Monday, 13 July 2020

Average White Banned

This week, the Conservative Party averaged 43.6 per cent. That was exactly what it polled at the General Election, when Labour went down to its worst defeat in 85 years.

There will be no attempt at a coup against Keir Starmer, just as there was none against Michael Howard when he was doing less well than Iain Duncan Smith had done. What matters is that the authoritarian and warmongering wing of the liberal "centre" controls all viable electoral options. IDS was barely outside that, yet he was still sufficiently so to have to be knifed.

Of course, we do not conduct General Elections by national poll. We do so by constituencies. Half of the Red Wall has already turned Blue, and we are feeling the benefit of being marginal seats for the governing party rather than safe seats for the Opposition. The other half can see that, and it will act accordingly. The Centre is the think tank for this new era. It already has plenty going on.

Meanwhile, the very existence of Starmer has created the Black Wall, ready to collapse at the earliest opportunity. Multiply the depth of commitment by the length of service, and Jeremy Corbyn is the staunchest white ally that the anti-racist movement has ever had in the House of Commons. Starmer, on the other hand, has started off as a former Director of Public Prosecutions, and he has managed to get worse even from there. Self-organised alternative candidates beckon as surely as they do in the United States.

Labour need not assume that even an unlikely 32.1 per cent would once again retain it a whopping 202 seats. Nor need the Conservatives worry that a mere repetition of 43.6 per cent would once again compel them to make do with 365 seats.

By the way, the Conservative majority here at North West Durham would double in 2024 even if no one switched from Labour, as plenty of people are going to do. That majority is 1,144. By then in his seventies, Watts Stelling would be highly unlikely to make a fourth attempt. And most or all of his 1,216 votes would go to Richard Holden.

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