Wednesday 31 August 2022

Openness and Reconstruction?

Had he lived a few more days, then Mikhail Gorbachev would have been subject to the blanket ban on Russian travellers. Even though, like many leading Soviet figures, he was largely Ukrainian.

Khrushchev came of age in Ukraine, and he continued to identify with it so strongly that he gave it Crimea as a drunken birthday present to himself. Brezhnev was Ukrainian without complication. Chernenko's name was immediately recognisable as Ukrainian, for such was his father. Gorbachev's mother was an ethnic Ukrainian. And so on. Populous and industrialised, it was hardly surprising that a land of coal and steel should have provided so many leading figures in the Communist Party, in an order than ended only one generation ago.

As the largest country entirely in Europe, and being more populous than any of its neighbours apart from Russia, Ukraine seeks a global role that befits a nation of more than 40 million, strategically located, abundant in natural resources, the heir of the Kievan Rus' and of the Kingdom of Ruthenia, and the homeland, one way or another, of much of the Soviet elite.

As in most wars, there are no goodies here. Each side is a ragbag of shady characters who wish to rule the whole of the area of the former Soviet Union. The likes of Mikheil Saakashvili and David Sakvarelidze have washed up in Ukraine, there to engage Nazi muscle. Everyone knows about the Wagner Group and so forth, but none of that makes any of this less true. The influence, if any, of Aleksandr Dugin does not negate the influence of Andriy Biletsky, to whom, "The mission of Ukraine is to lead the White Races of the world in a final crusade for their survival against the Semite-led Untermenschen."

It is no wonder that, for all his many, many, many faults and failings, Gorbachev, like Margaret Thatcher and George Bush, opposed the dissolution of the Union itself, as was indeed emphatically rejected in the referendum of 1991. Of course, it is too late now. But they have undeniably been proved right.

The internal boundaries of the Soviet Union were never designed to be international borders, indeed they were specifically designed to make impossible independence in those forms, and they were never going to last more than one generation as frontiers. Whether we like it or not, and we have no particular reason to care either way, Crimea has gone back to Russia. The parts of the Ukraine that the largely Ukrainian Soviet elite had put into the Ukrainian SSR in order to make its independence impossible are going to become Russian satellite states, although they are economically and culturally too Soviet for today's Russian Federation. Expect a lot more of this kind of thing.

Traffic Light

Nothing about the Shamima Begum story surprises me. Undoubtedly with the full cooperation of its British counterparts, Canadian intelligence was trafficking British girls to Syria to join the side that we were aiding and abetting there while bombing it across the Sykes-Picot Line in Iraq, where our intervention had created it in the first place.

Via NATO Turkey, IS jihadis have been entering Ukraine for months, causing Russia to bring in Assadists against them. IS is now part of the side that we are backing in Ukraine, while, yet again, everyone who knows anything at all about the subject is pointing out that our position is suicidally insane. Our rulers never learn.

And do we know that our girls are not being smuggled into Ukraine, which is itself a global centre of sex trafficking, in order to be handed over to IS? Or our boys, come to that, to be sent to the front line? If you are brown and working-class, then at 15 you can be trafficked to IS. If you are black and working-class, then at 15 you can be strip-searched at school. If you are white and working-class, then at 15 you can very possibly be trafficked to something like the Azov Battalion. But if you are posh, and probably white although that is not quite the point, then at 15 you can vote on who the Prime Minister should be.

It is still British Government policy that IS should have won in Syria, yet under Shamima's Law, if you would merely qualify for another nationality, whether or not you held it or wanted it, then your British citizenship could now be revoked at a stroke of the Home Secretary's pen. If you are one of the huge proportion of the population of Great Britain with an ancestral connection to Ireland, or if you are almost any of the current inhabitants of Northern Ireland, including all of the DUP's MPs, then your British citizenship could now be revoked at a stroke of the Home Secretary's pen. 

Saint Helena will never become independent, so I am all right this side of Scottish independence. But beyond the fair South Atlantic, most of Britain's former colonies in the Caribbean are independent now. And 50 per cent of people in Britain with an Afro-Caribbean parent also have a white parent. If you are in that position, even if your other ancestors have been Anglo-Saxon for as long as there have been any Anglo-Saxons, or even if Julius Caesar heard them speaking the language that was now Welsh, then your British citizenship could now be revoked at a stroke of the Home Secretary's pen. And if you would qualify under Israel's Law of Return, which is considerably looser than the Rabbinical definition of who is Jewish, then your British citizenship could now be revoked at a stroke of the Home Secretary's pen.

Tuesday 30 August 2022

Making NICE

I am only three years younger than Muqtada al-Sadr, so I had better start planning my retirement. I just need to stage a failed coup first. What a thing it must be to live in Iraq, where having done that, then you just got to retire. How delightfully civilised.

Maintaining a private army called the Peace Companies, noted for its use of IEDs with infrared sensors as triggers, would be quite delicious. The associated political party is called the National Independent Cadres and Elites, which also has a certain ring to it. NICE. What else, for the Peace Companies?

But who wants a failed coup at the moment? Britain stands closer to the Revolution even than in the immediate aftermath of the First World War. Lenin said that there would never be a physical force revolution in Britain, because eventually the British would just vote for it all, anyway. Accordingly, his would-be executors in this country, of whom I am certainly not one, have almost always preferred elections to insurrections as a matter of principle.

In any case, to suggest that any of their organisations existed to lead the Great Revolt of the Proletariat would be like suggesting that the St John Ambulance existed to recapture the Holy Land from the Infidel. Rather, they now find themselves campaigning for economic policies that have overwhelmingly popular support, and for not unconnected foreign policies that very soon will have.

Yet how are we to vote for those policies? This time last week, Labour's outright rejection of the renationalisation of rail, mail, energy and water put it in the most right-wing fifth of the population. It now puts Labour in the most right-wing eighth, and that is before the weather turns cold. Renationalisation would be far cheaper than anything else that was being proposed, and unlike them it would last forever. Do not bet against the Conservatives' doing it. With a Labour three-line whip to vote against. As the Queen Mother used to say, such fun.

We Cadres and Elites need to be ready to hold the balance of power in the next Parliament, without any sense of particular loyalty to any major party, nor any inherent squeamishness about any of them. They will all have been in government in the previous 20 years, they have all been rubbish, and they will all be led by people who had either been in those Governments or regarded them as the template. We have to be ready, willing and able to get whatever we could out of any of them as the situation presented itself, without fear or favour. If the DUP could do it, then so can we. Therefore, we must.

Counter Offensive


No, of course the Russians are not simultaneously occupying and shelling the largest nuclear power plant in Europe, at Zaporizhzhia. It is the Ukrainians who are doing that shelling, on what they maintain is their own territory, although they evidently do not regard its inhabitants as their own people, or even as human beings at all. See also their deployment of chemical and biological weapons.

Russia cannot even subdue Ukraine, much less conquer the whole of Europe. The internal boundaries of the Soviet Union were never designed to be international borders, indeed they were specifically designed to make impossible independence in those forms, and they were never going to last more than one generation as frontiers.

People wanting a homeland for ethnic Ukrainians would therefore be better off without the south and east of the former Ukrainian SSR, while nothing could be less attractive to Russia than the west of it. Accordingly, Russia has never stated any war aim of taking, much less holding, the whole of Ukraine. Crimea is not part of the Ukraine at all. In Galicia, it is Poland that may press a claim to the region centred on one of its principal historical cities, just as it is Hungary that has a thousand-year claim to Carpathian Ruthenia.

The sanctions regime is having no negative impact on Russia. It is pure self-harm. A sovereign state with its own free floating, fiat currency has as much of that currency as it chooses to issue to itself, with readily available fiscal and monetary means of controlling inflation, but that currency is able to purchase only the resources available.

Perhaps everyone who was suffering from the cost of living crisis should move to Ukraine, where the British Government would have no difficulty spending limitless amounts of money on us, with no questions asked, and with Opposition parties demanding only even more of the same? Yet there is no British strategic interest in any of this. We should recognise reality, and get down to freeing up the food and fuel supplies again, while we devoted ourselves to the long-term pursuit of energy independence and of greater self-sufficiency in food, the former a great deal easier than the latter.

Whether we like it or not, and we have no particular reason to care either way, Crimea has gone back to Russia. The parts of the Ukraine that the largely Ukrainian Soviet elite had put into the Ukrainian SSR in order to make its independence impossible are going to become Russian satellite states, although they are economically and culturally too Soviet for todays Russian Federation.

No additional state, including Sweden or Finland, is ever going to be allowed into NATO. A much more stable and coherent Ukraine will become constitutionally neutral, and all of this will require the denazification that no one any longer disputes is necessary to some extent, nor did anyone dispute that at all until very recently, although denazification is not being made a condition of potential EU membership, because it never is; being in the EU subjected us to the legislative will of many of the most terrifying people.

All of this was on the table before the Russian invasion. This war has been going on for eight years. But in the stage that the world has admitted to having noticed, it is now on the brink of turning out to have been completely avoidable even in its own terms. An enthusiast for it is the worst possible candidate to be Prime Minister. Yet we are days away from a Prime Minister who had, as Foreign Secretary, criminally encouraged British citizens to go and fight in Ukraine.

It must be said that while we may hope for a neutral and denazified Ukraine, eight years after NATO and the EU backed a Nazi putsch against an elected neutralist government, we should consider how many of those claiming asylum in Britain were from the NATO protectorate of Iraqi Kurdistan, and how very many, ostensibly from the NATO member state and EU candidate country of Albania, were in fact from the NATO protectorate of Kosovo, which is also the major source of the heroin, prostitutes, and illegal guns on our streets.

If it were also a NATO protectorate, then Ukraine, which is already a global centre of the traffic in women, and not unconnectedly of commercial surrogacy, would be like that, only with 20 times more people and 55 times more territory. It is already a candidate for EU membership. Thank heavens that Britain is not. 

And thank heavens that there is a world elsewhere. Neither Argentina nor Brazil signed the World Trade Organisation statement on Ukraine. This Latin American Pope’s nuanced approach is an important example of how this war is usefully compelling us to face the fact of a real world beyond “the international community”.

On 2nd March, more than half the population of the world was represented by those who voted against a United Nations Resolution to deplore the Russian invasion of Ukraine, or who formally abstained, or who recorded no vote. On 7th April, more than half the population of the world was represented by those who voted against a United Nations Resolution to suspend Russia from the Human Rights Council, or who formally abstained, or who recorded no vote, and the number of countries voting with Russia had increased sixfold, from four to 23.

This is the world of the recently inaugurated BRICS+ Dialogue with Kazakhstan, Saudi Arabia, Argentina, Egypt, Indonesia, Nigeria, Senegal, the United Arab Emirates, and Thailand. If we would not have picked some of those partners, then it is very telling that they have accepted the invitation. 

This is the world in which China, India and Russia are trading with each other in currencies that are not the dollar, in which even Saudi Arabia is accepting yuan for oil, in which even Israel has added yuan to its reserves, in which China has signed a security pact with the Solomon Islands of which the Queen is Head of State and thus technically a signatory to that pact, in which Russian Embassies in Africa are having to thank local men for their goodwill but ask them not to travel to Russia to join up in such numbers, and in which Vietnam has announced new joint military exercises with Russia, let the American sanctions regime be damned.

They are weakening because pompously saying that “we must be prepared to pay the price” is an unerring sign of someone who would never have to do any such thing, but sanctions against Russia have been imposed only by North America, by Australia and New Zealand, by the American military colonies of Japan and South Korea, and by Europe, although obviously not by Europe’s largest country, the capital of which is Europe’s largest city.

77 per cent of Russia’s population lives in its European part. Those 110 million people make Russia Europe’s most populous country as well as its largest. As a major entrepôt to the vast world of emerging Eurasia and to the world of alliances beyond even that, it offers a potentially glittering future to Mariupol and Avozstal. There may also be such for Kherson. Part of the same pattern is the expansion of cryptocurrencies in Africa and Latin America, unwelcome though that is in itself.

From Africa to Southeast Asia and beyond, people remember who stood with them in the liberation struggle, and they remember from whom they were liberated. The same tiresome types who pretend to believe that NATO was founded as an expression of social democracy also pretend to believe that it was and is some sort of liberation movement, but the world should not be run by smirking old Sixth Form and undergraduate debaters who had never grown up. Increasingly, it is not. All this, and the Belt and Road Initiative carries all before it. Like it or not, that is the reality. We need to be at the table, or we shall be on the menu. We need to be on the bus, or we shall be under it.

Class Politics

Always confront the Right with three Tests. First, the America Test: would his be acceptable in the United States? Secondly, the Union Test: would this be considered a threat to the Union in any part of the United Kingdom? And thirdly, the Enoch Test: would Enoch Powell have supported this? Unless the answers are at least two, and arguably all three, of Yes to the first, No to the second, and Yes to the third, then whatever the Right is proposing fails in the Right's own terms.

Well and truly failing the Enoch Test is the cession by Crown and Parliament of the right to choose the Prime Minister to the paying members of a private club, including to people who were ineligible to vote in elections to the House of Commons.

That enfranchisement of foreign nationals, of overseas residents, and of foreigners living outside the United Kingdom, is firmly in the same tradition as the assertion against the French Revolution of aristocratic world citizenship, of the right and duty to rule over wherever and whoever might happen to come to hand.

It is not an accident that there is no nationality or residency requirement to inherit a peerage, which still confers special voting rights for Parliament. Nor is there any nationality or residency requirement to inherit the Throne, or even to exercise the powers of the monarch; the law has not changed since Edward VII summoned Asquith to Biarritz to kiss hands in 1908. Voting for the elected hereditary peers can also presumably be done from anywhere.

The next monarch will be the son of an immigrant, through whom at least the next three monarchs will be Princes of the House of Oldenburg in general, and of the House of Schleswig-Holstein-Sonderburg-Glücksburg in particular. Likewise, there is no nationality or residency requirement to vote in a Conservative Leadership Election, and thus for Prime Minister.

And that enfranchisement of children, officially from the age of 15 upwards but no one is checking, expresses the adultification of the upper classes, ordering underlings around practically from the cradle, commanding sums of money far in excess of most workers' wages well before having left school, living away from home for more than half the year from a very early age, driving on private land and on the public roads between it almost as soon as they can sit up at a steering wheel, discharging firearms with live ammunition not that long after having learned to walk, drinking heavily and being sexually active pretty much from puberty, and so on.

There may be conventions, but are there specific minimum ages to vote in those elections among hereditary peers, and for a monarch to exercise the Royal Prerogative? Likewise, there is no minimum age at all to join the Conservative Party, and while the minimum age to vote in its Leadership Election, and thus for Prime Minister, is a mere 15, even then no one is checking. Depending on who was running it, such a check would be considered either ungentlemanly or impertinent.

Monday 29 August 2022

Maintaining Contact

The War on Cash is a war on the economic, social, cultural and political participation of certain classes and of certain ethnic groups.

The War on Cash is a war on the economic, social, cultural and political participation of the very old and of the very young.

And the War on Cash is a means of keeping track of every penny that the rest of us spent.

Resist.

Sunday 28 August 2022

Doctor Gratiae

For many years, and possibly still, two of the main sources of traffic to this site were the Wikipedia entries on Saint Augustine in Portuguese and in Slovene, neither of which I can read. This was the reason why, as perhaps it still is. And if you liked that, then you will love this.

Sancte Augustine, ora pro nobis.

Unparliamentary Conduct

In what other parliamentary country would an all-member but members-only Leadership Election be allowed in a governing party, such that it changed the Head of Government midterm? Would that country be any other Commonwealth Realm, or any other European constitutional monarchy?

Was Britain not parliamentary until 2019, which was the first ever occasion that a couple of medium sized football crowds' worth of people whose money a private organisation had agreed to accept were therefore accorded the gold card citizenship that was the sole right to choose the Prime Minister?

For such payment, that right extends to children, to foreign nationals, to long-term expatriates, to incarcerated convicts, and to people who have never set foot in the United Kingdom, all around a core of the affluent elderly to whom Liz Truss has promised tax cuts while funding their sweeties out of borrowing, leading to astronomical interest rates to the benefit of savings account holders who had paid off their mortgages decades earlier.

They have mostly never lived in a ward, much less a constituency, that had ever elected anyone other than a Conservative, so they are not remotely representative of the coalition that Boris Johnson created in 2019. Furthermore, while Johnson was overthrown by the anti-Brexit alliance of the City and the Home Counties, Conservative Party members tend to be Brexit supporters in the South, making them untypical even of their own local communities and of their own party's voters in those communities.

In spite of themselves, however, they did understand that Johnson was the only Leader who could ever have won an overall majority against Jeremy Corbyn, and even then only once, since this winter is going to make him Britain's most popular parliamentary politician, rather than trade union leader, since Tony Blair in his pomp. Truss, or whoever was the Conservative Leader by the end of this Parliament, will be extremely lucky to have to beat only Keir Starmer rather than Corbyn.

To have dissolved the People and elected another, to have deposed the Queen without legislation, would be just as objectionable in any other party as it is in the Conservative Party, but only the Conservative Party has ever done it, this is only the second time, and the first was only three years ago. This is no pillar of the Constitution.

Moreover, in 2019, the party members elected the candidate who had led in every round among Conservative MPs. Truss never led in any such round. Even in the fifth and last, she took a mere 31.6 per cent, with 113 votes. Taking the House of Commons as a whole, that was 113 out of 650, 17.38 per cent. There is no reason for the Queen to accept the imposition of this person as her Prime Minister.

Rather, Her Majesty should put the name to a Yes-No ballot of all Conservative MPs. If the majority voted Yes, then she should honour that. If not, then the same question should be put to a division of the House of Commons. What if it also failed there? The Premiership has not been vacated. There is a Prime Minister right now.

Most Opposition parties have no parliamentary representation, and only in the most wildly improbable circumstances could any install its Leader as Prime Minister without there having been a General Election. But when that office were guaranteed to be assumed by a party's Leader, then the shortlist of two determined by its MPs might be submitted to an election among all registered parliamentary electors in the United Kingdom. No party could afford that. But the State could.

Or a governing party might have two rounds of voting among its MPs. The first would be open to all of them to contest, and the highest scoring two would go through to the second. The whole thing could be done from start to finish in half a working day.

Reared Up


The sixth-richest country in the world faces a winter of humanitarian crisis. Unless the government acts now, millions of Britons will be unable to keep their homes warm. Some will die while, as the NHS warns, many more will fall seriously ill. Schools, hospitals and care homes across the country must choose between busting their budgets or freezing. Countless shops and businesses will close, never to open again. More than 70% of pubs are preparing for last orders, while any restaurant, cafe, chippy or kebab shop must now face existential threat, thanks to a quadrupling of their energy bills, surging food prices and a recession that will kill discretionary spending. As economic catastrophes go, this looks far bigger than the 2008 crash. It promises to reshape our everyday lives and social fabric.

That is the meaning of today’s statement from the watchdog Ofgem. The new price cap of £3,549 it has set for household energy bills is almost triple that of last winter, and for many it is simply unaffordable. When it kicks in, at the start of October, 25% of Britons will not be able to pay their fuel bills. They just don’t have the income, according to calculations by Citizens Advice. Crucially, half those people would normally be what the charity calls “financially stable”. In their first immersion into hardship, many will struggle to navigate their entitlements or the system. Some will sink. We are weeks away from creating a new poor. 

Their ranks will keep growing, because even the regulators now accept that “prices could get significantly worse through 2023”. Analysts forecast that the typical household on a dual tariff and direct debit will face annual bills of more than £5,000 come January. And millions will pay far more for their heat and light, such as those on pre-payment meters, or running nurseries or small businesses.

“Unless the government acts now,” I began, but what a joke that is. You and I both know that we have no government. No minister stirred themselves this morning to address a public facing a pivotal moment. Fratboy Boris Johnson spent his summer not tackling this emergency, but at parties and on holiday. The citizens of Slovenia and Greece saw more of our prime minister than we did. I’m unsure which of us got the short straw.

Given plenty of chances to discuss the economic disaster that will define her likely premiership, Liz Truss has offered not ideas but bluff and delusion. There will be no handouts, she has said, while promising just that, in the form of tax cuts, for rich people. Her latest wheeze is to scrap “green levies” from energy bills, a pledge worth a grand total of £11 for each household.

But of course it goes beyond two workshy blondes. In political terms, the energy shock expands and intensifies the same problem we have faced ever since the death of Lehman Brothers in 2008: our immediate crises are far more serious than the people who run the country. Whether in politics, policy or the media, those at the top, nourished on platitudes and drunk on careerism, just cannot handle what stares us in the face.

Having landed us in Brexit, David Cameron whistled his way into lobbying for Greensill Capital. George Osborne, who once urged a “march of the makers”, now troughs it up in the City. The Bank of England turns the screws even as ordinary working people are already in financial agony – and nobody points out that two members of its rate-setting committee hail from one City firm, Goldman Sachs, while none come from the entire trades union movement.

That Koh-i-Noor of Radio 4, the Today programme, has spent the past week diagnosing what ails the British economy. One morning was spent with a private equity investor, the editor of the Economist and a Lib Dem from the failed coalition government. All three bathed in happy consensus, bemoaning the lack of investment and decrying the abundance of red tape. The Today programme has never invited comparable analyses from Mick Lynch or Sharon Graham, of course; it wants only to lambast them over the inconvenience caused by workers sticking up for themselves.

This is a country ruled by groupthink, when the group in question is a bunch of well-raised and nicely suited mediocrities. Organisations mired in groupthink eventually fail, and so it is with the UK. We have a market unable to deliver an essential commodity at a price that people can afford, which is therefore broken. We have a rail network that is effectively carrion feasted on by financial vultures and foreign states. And we have a water industry that is quite literally a shitshow. All of this has been clear for years, as indeed has the cost of living crisis, steadily growing during the past decade of stagnant wages.

Yet no one in mainstream politics or policy seems capable of thinking up any ideas that are not more of the same. The public on the other hand is already doing so. In the largest survey of its kind, a poll this month by Survation shows that two-thirds of Tory voters want energy, water, rail and the postal services taken back into the public sector. Why wouldn’t they? A commuter from Guildford doesn’t cheer at price-gouging on her train. A Tory voter in Bexhill doesn’t want their beaches coated in sewage. And all fret over heating bills. Yet no major party dares mention nationalisation, least of all Keir Starmer’s Labour. Even as hardened ideology breaks against reality, the “sensibles” are playing dumb; the centrists are the ones acting extreme.

I caught a glimpse of the new public mood last week, at the launch rally for Enough is Enough. It was a couple of miles south of Westminster, at a concert hall that normally puts on comedy shows. When I turned up, an hour before kick-off, the queues already blocked the main road. Fifteen hundred people packed out the venue, hundreds more were turned away. The entire event had been pulled together within a week on a shoestring budget. The lectern for the speeches turned up in the back of a van just minutes before the start.

Although Enough is Enough was founded by two small trade unions, it was not a traditional union event. The housing activist Kwajo Tweneboa took his turn onstage, while Dave Ward of the posties’ union, the Communication Workers Union, declared this was the start of a social movement. The Labour MP Zarah Sultana declared, “British politics is a bit shit, isn’t it?” to widespread laughter. Other speakers yoked together issues of pay and working conditions with crap housing and the climate crisis in ways that I’ve never heard from Wes Streeting and his ilk.

Enough is Enough launched two weeks ago, with the goal of signing up 50,000 people; it now has 450,000 on board and plans to get to a million by the end of September. Don’t Pay, which was started by three people in their evenings, has attracted more than 100,000 people pledging to cancel their direct debits. Between them these organisations, as well as trade unions and civil society organisations, are starting to set the terms of the debate on this crisis. A moment that could have been commandeered by Nigel Farage or the extreme right has instead been framed as a class-based conflict in which poor people of all ethnicities get screwed while utility bosses and their shareholders profit.

Top of the bill was Mick Lynch. A few months ago, he was addressing tiny rooms of RMT members; now he packs out concert venues, while still dressing like a dad at a school sports day. Much of that success comes from how skilfully he can toreador dumb TV interviewers; but he is also leading a march straight into unclaimed political territory. He wound up his remarks by describing going on the BBC with a Labour frontbencher who “didn’t even know what public ownership was”. There was the sound of 1,500 people laughing. But he was in earnest. “Keir Starmer has no idea it might appeal to the working class of this country.” Now the hall was filled with applause. I looked across at the bouncer next to me. All night, his expression had been frozen in place. But now he was reared up and clapping like mad.

For It Is Inescapable

As someone once said, every conflict ends in a political solution, so why not start with one? Lord Dannatt has taken to Times Radio to say that the Ukrainian Generals needed to tell Volodymyr Zelensky that they could do no more and the game was up, while Peter Hitchens has more than his first go at channelling his inner Jeremy Corbyn when he writes: 

I ask you to think very hard about what the Prime Minister said in Kiev a few days ago: ‘If we’re paying in our energy bills for the evils of Vladimir Putin, the people of Ukraine are paying in their blood.’ 

Mr Johnson added: ‘We must keep going. We must show as friends of Ukraine that we have the same strategic endurance as the leaders of Ukraine.’ Must we? Till when? Is this either a conservative or a patriotic thing to say? Is it even sensible? Pause before you answer.

War is often popular to begin with. But it has a nasty way of ruining the lives of those who once cheered for it. By the middle of the First World War, Britain had bankrupted itself and the flower of our young manhood had been churned into the Flanders mud. Millions had paid, both in blood and wealth, a savage price for a war that almost all would one day agree was a mistake.

Lord Lansdowne, a veteran Tory and former Foreign Secretary, wrote to The Times newspaper to suggest it was time to make peace. The Times refused to publish the letter. He was pretty much driven from public life.

He was falsely derided as an unpatriotic defeatist, when he was the opposite. If he had been listened to, we would have had no Russian Revolution, no Stalin, no Hitler, no Mussolini, and no Second World War. Britain would have survived as a major power for many decades longer than she did.

Almost all wars end in ugly compromise. We were only able to defeat Hitler because Stalin was on our side, and he exacted a huge price – including gobbling up Poland, the country whose independence we had gone to war to save.

Now, as I showed during the Covid panic, I think it my duty to stand up against the majority when I think they are wrong, and I think it my job to endure the abuse that follows.

So here goes: the undoubted villainy of Vladimir Putin is not really a justification for the bloodshed this war is bringing to Ukraine. Nor is it a good reason for the poverty it is bringing to the rest of Europe. It is Mr Johnson who has coupled these two together, by the way, not me. Yet for once I agree with him. They are very much linked.

This is not really a principled war against evil. The Foreign Office has no such principles. Mr Johnson has no such principles. Britain is not going to support a war against Saudi Arabia, whose tyranny is just as foul as Putin’s – if not worse. We are on smiley terms with the Saudis and with a worrying number of blood-spattered despots.

I’m not going to argue at length about what the war in Ukraine really is, though I view it as a futile conflict. I think it was brought about by long years of stupid goading of Russia by the USA – and by the even stupider decision by Putin to respond with a lawless, gory invasion.

That’s my view, dismiss it if you like. After all, what do I know? I’ve only lived in the region and been closely interested in it for decades. So I’m disqualified from the national debate – under the rule that it is now a positive disadvantage to know anything about the subject under discussion.

But heed me when I say this, for it is inescapable. The longer this war goes on, the more it will hurt both us and Ukraine. It will mean more coffins and lost homes and grief for Ukrainians. It will mean truly shocking poverty here, as the new energy prices clearly show.

Yet there will one day be peace, and it will be on terms rather worse than they would be if a deal were made now. Can you, or any politician, justify the pain and loss that will take place? Worse still, can you justify the untold dangers which we face if the war spreads, as it so easily could, if we do not try to stop it while we still can? Well?

For The Win?

Britain's biggest-selling newspaper is now raffling heat and light.


Imagine that this were happening under any other party. Or imagine that any other party were allowing one trillion litres and counting of human faeces to be pumped into the rivers and the sea, while suggesting that the vastly profitable, commercially risk-free companies responsible might have to charge even more than they already did. Or imagine that any other party were ... well, it is a very long list.

There would not be calls for a military coup. There would already have been a military coup. I am not joking. There really would have been. But the Conservative Party is different. It is special. It is not quite political at all. A couple of medium sized football crowds' worth of people whose money that private organisation had agreed to accept are therefore accorded the gold card citizenship that is the sole right to choose the Prime Minister.

For such payment, that right extends to children, to foreign nationals, to long-term expatriates, to incarcerated convicts, and to people who have never set foot in the United Kingdom, all around a core of the affluent elderly to whom Liz Truss has promised tax cuts while funding their sweeties out of borrowing, leading to astronomical interest rates to the benefit of savings account holders who had paid off their mortgages decades earlier.

This would be just as objectionable in any other party, but only the Conservative Party has ever done it, this is only the second time, and the first was only three years ago. This is no pillar of the Constitution. If any other governing party attempted it, then there would be a military coup. I am not joking. There really would be.

My Generation Has Been Trussed

Ha, Ha, Ha, Ha, Ha. Britain is about to acquire a Prime Minister who was born in the 1970s, probably the only one that it will ever have, but she is certainly not any of the Blairite Boys. Most of them never made it into Parliament, most of the others did not last very long, and the remainder are going to be in Opposition for the rest of their lives.

They spent several recent years in Triple Opposition, simultaneously opposed to the Government, opposed to the Leader and members of their own party, and opposed to the Brexit-voting electorate, which was heavily concentrated in the constituencies of those of them who had ever managed to find any.

They, their views, and their ridiculous Leader remain vastly less popular than Boris Johnson, or than Jeremy Corbyn's programme even if not necessarily his person (although the popular view of him will improve dramatically this winter), or than Brexit.

Truss personifies none of those things, including Brexit. She ought to be easy to defeat. But Jim Callaghan and Denis Healey could not beat Margaret Thatcher from her right, which was where they were after the Budget of December 1976, and nor will Keir Starmer and Rachel Reeves be able to beat Truss from her right, which is where they are.

The lockdowns made Rishi Sunak's name with a public that had objected only to the failure to lock down earlier due to the baleful influence of Johnson's circle of "libertarians" and "contrarians", who had themselves worked from home for years, but who objected to any disruption to their punishing regime of alcohol consumption.

Now, however, Sunak has to appeal to the couple of medium sized football crowds' worth of people whose money a private organisation had agreed to accept in return for the gold card citizenship that is the sole right to choose the Prime Minister.

For such payment, that right extends to children, to foreign nationals, to long-term expatriates, to incarcerated convicts, and to people who have never set foot in the United Kingdom, all around a core of the affluent elderly to whom Truss has promised tax cuts while funding their sweeties out of borrowing, leading to astronomical interest rates to the benefit of savings account holders who had paid off their mortgages decades earlier.

This would be just as objectionable in any other party, but only the Conservative Party has ever done it, this is only the second time, and the first was only three years ago. This is no pillar of the Constitution. Moreover, in 2019, the party members elected the candidate who had led in every round among Conservative MPs. Truss never led in any such round. Even in the fifth and last, she took a mere 31.6 per cent, with 113 votes. Taking the House of Commons as a whole, that was 113 out of 650, 17.38 per cent. There is no reason for the Queen to accept the imposition of this person as her Prime Minister.

Rather, Her Majesty should put the name to a Yes-No ballot of all Conservative MPs. If the majority voted Yes, then she should honour that. If not, then the same question should be put to a division of the House of Commons. What if it also failed there? The Premiership has not been vacated. There is a Prime Minister right now.

Most Opposition parties have no parliamentary representation, and only in the most wildly improbable circumstances could any install its Leader as Prime Minister without there having been a General Election. But when that office were guaranteed to be assumed by a party's Leader, then the shortlist of two determined by its MPs ought to be submitted to an election among all registered parliamentary electors in the United Kingdom. No party could afford that. But the State could.

Or a governing party could have two rounds of voting among its MPs. The first would be open to all of them to contest, and the highest scoring two would go through to the second. The whole thing could be done from start to finish in half a working day.

Saturday 27 August 2022

Judge Him On Deeds

Liz Truss was not asked about France, but about Emmanuel Macron.

Last month, his supporters gave two of the six Vice-Presidencies of the National Assembly to supporters of Marine Le Pen.

This week, he has sent the French Foreign Legion to invade long-suffering Yemen in order to take control of its gas.

The jury may be out in her mind as to whether he was a friend or a foe, but some of us have no such ambivalence.

A Fair Hairing

If you know, you know.

Giles Radice is dead. But the best stories are going to have to wait until so were certain other people.

The sound of his voice through a microphone on Stanley Front Street was unforgettable. "Vote Labour, Vote Labour" in best Winchester, Oxford and the Guards. People looked round as if an alien had landed. And it had.

He was at Winchester long before Rishi Sunak, whose middle-middle-class, South Coast accent makes you wonder what all that money was spent on.

Thursday 25 August 2022

The Bare Minimum

Last year's Labour Party Conference resolved for a minimum wage of £15 per hour, but Keir Starmer rejected it out of hand, causing Andy McDonald to resign from the Shadow Cabinet.

A year later, and the TUC is setting the heather alight by campaigning for a £15 per hour minimum wage by 2030, when it would amount to a three pounds per hour pay cut even at only the present rate of inflation.

As we prepare for the umpteenth demonstration that there was no energy cap, we are being told to bear it all for Ukraine. Of course, that is rubbish in itself. Nor would I for one ever feel any obligation to starve and shiver in the dark over which country Kherson should be in.

But at least they are admitting the connection, even if they are lying about what it is. Inflation has not been caused by the Russian invasion of Ukraine, any more than it has been caused by either the Brexit or the lockdowns on which rival tables of pub bores are determined to blame everything for the rest of their lives. Rather, it has been, it is being, and it will continue to be, very significantly worsened by a sanctions regime that is not hurting Russia in the slightest.

Inflation's roots, however, go back a lot further. Often out of the public subsidies of which even more are being proposed, huge bonuses and dividends continue to be paid while wage claims are refused, while energy prices quadruple, while a trillion litres of human faeces are pumped into the sea, and so on. If those dividends are being paid to pension funds, then show me the pensioners who are benefiting at all, never mind more than they would from, in particular, cheaper energy.

A Deep Breath Out?

Pull the other one, Emily Maitlis. 

We remember your role in the vilification of Jeremy Corbyn. He did not always help himself, but even so.

Liberals, self-styled "centrists", do this all the time. They dish it out by the bucket load, but they cannot take a thimbleful of it back.

They hack the legs off everyone else, but they only have to have their arms brushed and they go squealing to themselves as somehow the referee as well as a player.

Upon Examination

There are far more private schools in London than in the North East, plus many institutions that a casual observer would assume to be private schools? Who knew? Of course, the exclusive London day school sector does have to exist, in order to staff the Labour Party. 

There is no point complaining that private schools "took advantage" of teacher assessment by giving "too many" pupils top marks last year. All schools could have done that. Only those schools were entitled enough to do it, but that is not their problem. In any case, they are often still using the largely coursework-based International GCSE, which has been banned in the state-funded sector because it is too easy. Always view their stellar results in that light.

Assess everyone both by coursework and by final exam, and give each of them their lower mark. But allow unlimited resits. As long as you knew the stuff when you passed, or else you would not have passed, then where is the problem? You can sit the driving test as many times as you pleased, and that puts you in a position to kill people.

Unincorporated

The collapse in the Labour Party's membership is not only a cause of its impending bankruptcy, but also a symptom.

The Labour Party is an unincorporated association. Think on.

Not Going To Engage?

Rishi Sunak has hinted that he might not vote for the Budget. He can backtrack a bit now, but that was obviously what he meant, and his point has been made. In that case, would a Truss Government have a Commons majority? Most of her party's MPs will never have wanted Liz Truss as Prime Minister, and if her rival would not necessarily give her confidence and supply, then presumably nor would at least some of his many supporters.

Voting rights officially kick in at 15, although there is no sign that anyone is checking, but there is no minimum age whatever to join the Conservative Party, and membership is sometimes given as an upper-class christening present. For a person who was under the age of 26, it may be bought for a mere five pounds. At £105, 21 years of such gold card citizenship would be a pittance to a silver-spooned godparent.

Yet in appointing a Prime Minister, why should the Queen honour the choice of people who were aged 15 or younger, and of any and everyone whose grownup rate of £25 a private organisation had agreed to take, including people whose nationality would not qualify them to vote or stand for Parliament, people who had lived abroad for decades, people who had never set foot in the United Kingdom, and people who were having official-looking envelopes forwarded to them in prison or in secure psychiatric institutions?

Tuesday 23 August 2022

To Put These Considerations?

The TUC had the susceptible on tenterhooks with the promise of a big announcement at 10:30 this evening. When it came, then it was a campaign for a minimum wage of £15 per hour. Absolutely right in itself, of course. But under the current circumstances, is that it?

On 31st October 1955, Princess Margaret made it known that she had decided not to marry Group Captain Peter Townsend, and Philip Larkin wrote to Monica Jones that he had assumed that any announcement would have been an engagement, "since you couldn't announce nothing. Well, apparently you can."

Reach For The Stars

Of course we should be going back to the Moon, and well beyond it. People who think that these missions impoverish anyone, even as an initial outlay, do not understand how the money supply works. And if God had not intended us to be a spacefaring species, then He would never have put anything up there for us to find.

“To increase the power of Man over Nature, and to abolish the power of Man over Man,” said Trotsky. “Dominion,” says the God of the Bible. Dominion over the beasts, thus over the land, and thus over everything on and under the land. Dominion over the fish, thus over the waters, and thus over everything in and under the waters.

And dominion over the birds, thus over the sky, and thus over everything in the sky, as far up as the sky goes, and the sky goes up a very long way. That dominion is entrusted so that we might “be fruitful and multiply”. Entrusted as it is to the whole human race, its purpose is, “To increase the power of Man over Nature, and to abolish the power of Man over Man.” 

Life is the geological force that shapes the Earth, and the emergence of human cognition fundamentally transforms the biosphere, not least by the uniquely human phenomenon of economic growth, so that human mastery of nuclear processes is beginning to create resources through the transmutation of elements, enabling us, among other things, to explore space and to exploit the resources of the Solar System. Vladimir Vernadsky and Krafft Ehricke will yet have their day.

The United States Space Force will do important work in research and development, work such as probably only the United States could do, or at least coordinate. But space is being both privatised and militarised, and that by the country that does not recognise it as a common resource for all humanity. There needs to be a return to President Eisenhower’s proposal, in a speech to the United Nations General Assembly on 22nd September 1960, for the principles of the Antarctic Treaty to be extended to Outer Space.

Then we might begin to exercise dominion that has been entrusted to us, as a species, over the birds, thus over the sky, and thus over everything in the sky, as far up as the sky goes. Exercise that dominion in order to “be fruitful and multiply”. Exercise that dominion, “To increase the power of Man over Nature, and to abolish the power of Man over Man.”

From Top To Bottom

There is going to be civil unrest in the very near future, but it is not going to have been encouraged by Owen Jones in The Guardian. He wishes. You see, he has still never got over his demotion to warm-up man in the summer in 2015.

FTSE 100 CEOs have median remuneration of £3.4 million. There can be no sense of common citizenship in a society like that. That would be true even in better times for the rest of us.

By Statute, nothing should be permitted to pay any employee more than 10 times what it paid any other employee. That is quite liberal; that noted Maoist, Aristotle, wanted no one to be three times richer than anyone else. Three.

Under that, shareholders should have control over executive pay. How has that ever not been the case, since it is their money?

And free from the EU's State Aid rules, the British State, with the power to issue to itself as much as it pleased of its own free-floating fiat currency, should buy a stake in every FTSE 500 company. 

That stake should be large enough to secure Board-level representation, for the exercise of which the Chancellor of the Exchequer would be accountable to the House of Commons.

After any investment in public services, then the dividends would be distributed equally to everyone, through the same infrastructure that paid the Universal Basic Income.

Indeed, corporations' level of dependence on the in-work benefit system already blows out of the water the suggestion that they are not answerable to the representatives of the State, as such.

Monday 22 August 2022

Over The Horizon

Tony Blair was warned about the Horizon IT system, but he still imposed it on the Post Office, leading to more than 700 wrongful convictions and at least four suicides.

Yet next month's Labour Party Conference will not expel him. No such motion will even be tabled. Do not vote Labour. Just don't. Instead, demand that your trade union stop funding it.

Fight Them On The Beaches

Several people have been in touch to say that it is not illegal to dump raw sewage into the rivers and the sea, because MPs, including one who was now a Labour frontbencher, had infamously voted down an amendment to ban it.

But I refuse to believe that there is no law that could possibly be invoked against what amounted to defecation into our waters, and thus onto our riverbanks and our beaches. You would be breaking the law if you let a dog do that.

As soon as the Criminal Bar Association had won its strike, as it must, then we all need to get on with this. Even if trade unions or others had to bring private prosecutions.

Trial By Combat

The Criminal Bar is going on strike indefinitely. The Criminal Bar.

Popular uprisings are one thing, but Jefferson, Robespierre and Lenin were all lawyers. 

This is when revolutions get real. I am not joking.

Flushing It All Out

There is little skill, and no financial risk, in managing a regional franchise to collect rain in reservoirs and then disperse it through pipes that were already there. The least that you can do is not defecate into the rivers or the sea. Yet that is what is happening.

But do not expect criminal proceedings. The Crown Prosecution Service could see no hope of a conviction in the case of P&O, so it will see none here, either. And remember, the position of the CPS is the position both of the State and of Keir Starmer. Still, at least neither the water companies nor P&O have had more than six people on a picket line. They would already have been in prison if they had done that.

There is no such thing as a below inflation pay rise. That is called a pay cut. If you are still paying dividends, never mind bonuses at the top, then you have no excuse for offering that, and least of all if you are publicly subsidised, in which case you do not really belong in the private sector at all, as two thirds of voters recognise.

Simply bypassing the useless Official Opposition, the strikes have made leaders of the people out of the leaders of the RMT, which is not affiliated to the Labour Party. Figures such as Mick Lynch, Eddie Dempsey and Alex Gordon campaigned for Brexit from a left-wing perspective, and dare to speak the truth about Ukraine and other conflicts from the point of view of the class that fights wars rather than the class that starts them.

Enough is Enough already has as many members as the Labour Party, and that membership is growing while Labour's is collapsing. As they campaign for a mere six month sticking plaster that would give the energy companies 10 times more public money than it would cost to nationalise them forever, then the liberal bourgeoisie and its ridiculous parties are utterly irrelevant.

Sunday 21 August 2022

Foundations of Geopolitics

Do not hope for a better foreign policy from Rishi Sunak than from Liz Truss. Sunak has been endorsed by Michael Gove.

The glee at the murder of Darya Dugina says it all about the morality or otherwise of the hawks. The intended target was obviously her father, Aleksandr Dugin, whom it is not clear that Vladimir Putin has ever met, and whose writings bear only the most superficial resemblance to Putin's policies. As Enoch Powell said, when told that Margaret Thatcher professed to have been influenced by his books, "She cannot have understood any of them, then."

In launching this attack and in claiming responsibility for it, Ukraine has dramatically escalated the war. It is also quite clearly deploying chemical and biological weapons on what it insists is its own territory, but the inhabitants of which it obviously does not regard as its own people, or as human beings at all. As the largest country entirely in Europe, and being more populous than any of its neighbours apart from Russia, Ukraine seeks a global role that befits a nation of more than 40 million, strategically located, abundant in natural resources, the heir of the Kievan Rus' and of the Kingdom of Ruthenia, and the homeland, one way or another, of much of the Soviet elite.

Khrushchev came of age there, and he continued to identify with it so strongly that he gave it Crimea as a drunken birthday present to himself. Brezhnev was Ukrainian without complication. Chernenko's name was immediately recognisable as Ukrainian, for such was his father. Gorbachev's mother was an ethnic Ukrainian. And so on. Populous and industrialised, it was hardly surprising that a land of coal and steel should have provided so many leading figures in the Communist Party, in an order than ended only one generation ago. Ukraine is used to being a big deal, and it intends to be a big deal again.

As in most wars, there are no goodies here. Each side is a ragbag of shady characters who wish to rule the whole of the area of the former Soviet Union. The likes of Mikheil Saakashvili and David Sakvarelidze have washed up in Ukraine, there to engage Nazi muscle. Everyone knows about the Wagner Group and so forth, but none of that makes any of this less true. The influence of Dugin does not negate the influence of Andriy Biletsky, to whom, "The mission of Ukraine is to lead the White Races of the world in a final crusade for their survival against the Semite-led Untermenschen."

Those two lots of very bad baddies are now facing off at Zaporizhzhia, where we are expected to believe that the Russians are simultaneously occupying and shelling the largest nuclear power plant in Europe. Of course we all know what is really happening. Sadly, one or other of these is going to have to win, and we are going to have to deal with it when it did. In the meantime, however, we should be strictly humanitarian in our involvement in this as in most war zones, and we should absolutely not take either side.

Still, the existence of Zaporizhzhia is an unlikely glimmer of hope. The use of nuclear energy as part of the destruction of the British coal industry, in order to destroy the political power of the miners, has left an unnecessary legacy of bitterness on both sides. But Britain still stands on coal, and it is surrounded by sea that is itself rich in oil and gas. The wind blows a lot, and the Sun shines quite intensely from time to time, in this country that pioneered nuclear power. Let it be bathed in heat and light. This is why we have a State.

Saturday 20 August 2022

Polling Cards On The Table

43 per cent for Labour in one poll is lower than it polled fairly regularly under Jeremy Corbyn, and none of those occasions was in the middle of a Conservative Leadership Election or the worst cost of living crisis in at least a generation, never mind both.

In any case, it is academic, since Keir Starmer has bankrupted Corbyn's financially healthy party, which therefore could not afford to fight a General Election campaign. And even if it could, then Starmer's staggering and ongoing record as a liar would make the Conservative campaign a classic of the genre.

It is no wonder that the process to select a Labour candidate here at North West Durham has still not even begun. In 2019, Labour lost this seat for the first time and by only 1,144 votes. If you do not want a mixed-race MP, then contact nwdclp.campaigns@gmail.com. Feel free to copy in davidaslindsay@hotmail.com.

Friday 19 August 2022

The Finnish Line

Imagine if, in the manner of Sanna Marin, British politicians were tested for drugs.

You have to be, if you drive a train.

Of No Account

There are going to be bread riots this winter, recalling France on the eve of the Revolution, and the Prime Minister is going to be someone who had gone into politics due to having failed as a common or garden graduate accountant.

Rishi Sunak did stick it out for 14 years, but he ended up being employed by his father-in-law. Liz Truss managed all of nine years before being unemployed for three, and then spent two as Deputy Director of some Westminster Village think tank while she slept her way into a safe seat.

Between these two and Keir Starmer, there has never been a weaker field for the Premiership.

Thursday 18 August 2022

The Inside Track

A political party would probably draw the line at sending a ballot paper directly to you in prison. But if someone were forwarding official-looking envelopes to you from home while you were pleasuring Her Majesty, then let me assure you that you would have no difficulty voting in a membership organisation's internal election.

The declared winner of the Conservative Leadership Election will become Prime Minister within 24 hours, having been elected by people whose nationality did not qualify them to vote in parliamentary elections, by people who had never set foot in the United Kingdom, by 15-year-olds, at least potentially by patients of secure psychiatric institutions, and certainly by inmates of Her Majesty's Prisons, who will have had more say than Her Majesty herself.

Time To Energise

The last time that there was double digit inflation, then there was also a Conservative Government. Freezing energy prices at their present rate would still be a 70 per cent increase on last year, which is why 68 per cent of the electorate, more than two thirds and only possible with more than half of Conservative supporters, want renationalisation. The figures for water, rail and mail are comparable.

Only 20 per cent positively support keeping energy private, and again the other figures are in the same area, but somehow our entire Political Class is drawn from the most right-wing fifth of the population, well to the right of the average Conservative voter.

This is partly blind ideology, and it is partly sheer corruption, with the political parties funded by the sole beneficiaries of privatisation, which are almost never companies registered  in the United Kingdom for tax purposes, and which are very often foreign states.

The governing party has no apparent policy whatever. And out of the public purse, Labour and the Liberal Democrats want to give those beneficiaries in the energy sector 10 times more money than it would cost to nationalise them.

Never mind the old debate about nationalisation without compensation. This would be compensation without nationalisation, spending 10 times as much on a six month sticking plaster than it would cost to solve the problem permanently. Tell me again who are the moderates, and who are the extremists.

It is no wonder that the Labour Party is haemorrhaging members, and that the financially healthy organisation bequeathed by Jeremy Corbyn is now effectively bankrupt. Labour is barely, if at all, ahead of the Conservatives in the polls, and Keir Starmer is behind Liz Truss, making him objectively a drag on his party, a dead weight, a liability.

People have realised that there is a world elsewhere, with unions winning very favourable pay deals all over the place, and with huge majorities for strike action. On a turnout of more than 72 per cent, the vote to strike in the Royal Mail was 98.7 per cent. The Conservatives are choosing their new Leader by means of online voting, but they have banned the unions from using it. Yet these are the figures. How are the unions winning, if strikes or threatened strikes do not work? How are the unions winning, if there is no money to meet their "demands"?

The Conservative Party will go into the next General Election with a huge psephological advantage, but if it did not win outright, then the next Parliament would be hung, and the balance of power could and should be held by 20 or 30 Left MPs, if even that many were necessary, with absolutely no sense of affinity with the Labour Party in particular. Point this out if you really and rightly wanted to annoy Keir Starmer's dwindling band of increasingly aggressive and abusive supporters.

Wednesday 17 August 2022

Ending The Khanage?

Sadiq Khan is an unmitigated disaster, but consider to whom his policing powers would revert if they were to be taken away from him.

Immediately, to Priti Patel. And then very soon, to whoever had been made Home Secretary by Liz Truss.

The Cheney Gang

The cooing over Liz Cheney exemplifies the sheer bankruptcy of American liberalism and of its tribute acts, of which the most notable, and the most contemptible, is in Britain.

Cheney is opposed to no-first-use nuclear policy. She is in favour of torture in general, and of waterboarding in particular. She is in favour of Israeli annexation of the West Bank. She is in favour of bombing Iran at the behest of Saudi Arabia. She still defends the Iraq War.

All in all, she could be on Keir Starmer's frontbench. After all, she is not Donald Trump, who is just so vulgar.

Tuesday 16 August 2022

Wage Rage

A three per cent fall in wages is the fastest since records began. Anyone would think that wages were not driving inflation. In other news, bonuses at the top are still going through the roof. Bonuses for what?

"We need more graft," opines Liz Truss. What graft has she ever done? British workers, whom she has called "the worst idlers in the world", put in the longest hours in Europe, averaging 42 per week. 52 per cent of households are in receipt of one or more state benefits, because working every hour God sends still does not keep people from the permanent cusp of destitution.

It is questionable in itself that you cannot stand on a picket line if you sit at a Cabinet table, but no member of the Labour Party has done the latter in 12 years. From the shop floor to the floor of the House, protesting against bad Government policy is exactly what the Opposition is paid to do.

Declassify This

Since Donald Trump was still President when he took or sent those documents to Mar-a-Lago, then did he not have the power to declassify anything he pleased? But never try to suggest to Americans that the problem might be their Constitution itself.

Their wannabes in liberal Britain are even worse, though. Probably unwittingly, the objects of those wannabes' infatuation have become them, cheering on the FBI and the Espionage Act like members or courtiers of the Blair Government or the Starmer frontbench.

The same spirit applauds the Ukrainian shelling in Ukraine of Europe's largest nuclear power plant, applauds the starvation of the women and children of Afghanistan by means of a sanctions regime that poetically mirrors the immiseration of our own people by means of sanctions that are not hurting Russia in the least, and applauds what is now Israel's admitted killing of five children in Jabalya, killings that the owners of the most advanced military equipment in the world could only have committed as a political choice, as a show a strength by the present Israeli Government in relation to Benjamin Netanyahu.

On that last point, Keir Starmer, Liz Truss and Rishi Sunak all want to make criticism illegal. If it is not already, due to public bodies' adoption of the IHRA Definition. I would cheerfully go back to prison rather than sign that Definition. I would sooner die than make such a subscription. For that stand and for my support for the Dalits, I have been subject to intercontinental, state-sponsored terrorism for five years and countingThat threat remains in effect, while Google regularly locates me to the ward of the man who arranged it, where I have never lived or worked.

Despite having been ordered off Twitter while the right-wing Labour machine made its own arrangements, the mentally unstable alcoholic who still craves the Labour nomination here at North West Durham, and who thinks that I make things go bump in the night, was recently in Jerusalem, making alternative arrangements.

Monday 15 August 2022

Assumpta est Maria in cælum!

Gaude, Maria Virgo, cunctas hæreses sola interemisti in universo mundo!

The Church proclaims the resurrection of the body, and there is no such thing as a "spiritual body". It is impossible to sustain out of Scripture the view according to which newly disembodied souls entered immediately into their final, but incorporeal, bliss or torment.

Serious Protestant theologians do not hold it, although that does leave them with only the original Protestant position that until the General Resurrection, souls were effectively as dead as their bodies. But Catholics cannot hold it, since the Assumption is the standing contradiction of it.

Straying Dogs

What goes around, comes around. You would have had to have been dead not to have laughed at the turning against Keir Starmer by the Campaign Against Antisemitism.

Treated as having the last word by the enemies of Starmer's predecessor, that Campaign is in fact the astroturfed rump of a London Conservative organisation that not very long ago could make Boris Johnson a two-term Mayor, but which has recently lost the ward that contained Mayfair.

And now, there is the outcry over Liz Truss's drivel about "woke Civil Service culture that strays into antisemitism". The people who dog-whistle for a living know it when they hear it, and they do not like it when they are the ones being whistled at. You would have to be dead not to laugh. What goes around, comes around.

Minima Carta

Imagine being the poor soul whose lot in life it was to try and devise policies to the right even of Keir Starmer and his sewer. Whoever has been allotted that thankless task has alighted on an old ruse from the Blair years, now known as charter cities.

Like every other nasty gimmick that this Government revives, I remember someone whom I am not supposed to name arguing forcefully for it 20 or so years ago, when he was running the constituency office of the then Government Chief Whip. They wanted to privatise Consett. Yes, really. Complete with the usual kickbacks, some corporation was going to be sold the rights to be the State there.

Like banning strikes by means of "minimum service levels", the Covert Human Intelligence Sources (Criminal Conduct) Act, the Overseas Operations (Service Personnel and Veterans) Act, the Nationality and Borders Act, the Elections Act, the Online Safety Bill, and the Police, Crime, Sentencing and Courts Act, are all Blairite through and through.

Another hobbyhorse was the perceived need to stop funding, even only by means of loans, degrees that were not considered economically useful, thereby restricting the humanities to the right sort. After a quarter of a century, the nationalisation-for-privatisation of English state schools is complete. England now has only state-funded schools, not state ones, and they are contractors of central, not local, government. The Left should have made the most of the prizing of the jewel from the Labour Right's crown. But we did not. It can always rely on us to defend its powerbases in return for less than nothing.

And England is always the Petri dish for Loony Right measures that would be inconceivable and sometimes unconstitutional anywhere else, including the United States, and which would be considered a threat to the Union in Scotland, Wales or Northern Ireland.

Next up will be the completion of the process of privatising the English NHS, which was begun in 1997 by Tony Blair, Alan Milburn and Paul Corrigan. That was New Labour's signature domestic policy. New New Labour will probably not vote against it, and will certainly have no policy of reversing it. Just as Labour will have no policy of restoring meaningful British citizenship to the serfs of charter cities. On the contrary, it will want hundreds more of them. It certainly used to.

One Expired

Donald Trump's three passports, one expired, were seized in the Banana Republic's raid on Mar-a-Lago. 

But how does he hold two valid passports? Through his mother, he would be entitled to a British one.

He should now present himself at the British Consulate in Miami, and either claim his rights as a British citizen, or claim political asylum.

Fully Costed

Freezing the bitterly misnamed energy cap at its present level would assume that that level were acceptable. Keir Starmer's scheme would cost £29 billion and last a mere six months, while renationalistion would cost a mere £2.8 billion, less than one tenth as much, and last forever. Its huge popularity gives the lie to any suggestion that Starmer's refusal to consider it was in the interests of electability.

Spain has half England's rainfall, and no hosepipe ban. But Spain has publicly owned water. The debate that will be forced by the coming postal strike will bring home to the public that it was as right about mail as it was about water, energy and rail. The case for the public ownership of the Big Four is unanswerable, as most people accept.

Sadly, the only people who are paid not to accept it are the only people in any position to put it into effect. They know full well that if a company cannot provide an essential public service at an affordable price without going bust, then it ought not to be in the private sector at all. But those companies are paying them out of the public money that our rulers therefore keep flowing into those coffers.

Pension funds hold about two per cent of quoted equities in the United Kingdom. No pension fund invests only in privatised utilities. No trade union would advocate a policy that was bad for pensions. What pensioners need is cheaper energy. Aided and abetted by governmental corruption and incompetence, the root causes of inflation are out of control dividend payments, which few pensioners will have noticed, and out of control remuneration at the top. 

Not anything to do with Covid-19, whatever monomaniacal windbags are going to be bellowing down the pub for evermore. Nor primarily our masochistic sanctions against Russia over Ukraine, although those are certainly making matters a great deal worse. But plain, old-fashioned greed. Against that, we either act now, or we shall soon end up living and working in privatised towns.

Designated "freeports" or "charter cities", those would be owned and run beyond the law of this land by transnational corporations, or even by foreign states if the privatisations that we had already endured were anything to go by. All members of the Conservative Party could fit into one, there to pursue Liz Truss's Minfordian nightmare to their hearts' content, and all holders of the British National (Overseas) passport in Hong Kong could fit into one or two more. But we should be so lucky.

Take Back Control, or wake up and find that the laws to which you were subject were made and enforced, and the taxes that you paid were set and collected, by the transnational corporations and the foreign states that, in a colossal threat to national security, you had allowed to keep control of your key national infrastructure, in return for their bankrolling of all the political parties that you were allowed to know existed as anything other than objects of vilification, if at all.

Democracy Without A Demos

Mike Jones writes:

The ambitious “theory of capitalism” has been an important intellectual genre since at least the publication of Adam Smith’s The Wealth of Nations. Such theories describe the essential features of a capitalist economy and how they function.

The most popular example of recent years is Professor Wolfgang Merkel’s landmark essay, “Is capitalism compatible with democracy?”. Published in 2014, Merkel attempts to explain the always-interesting question of why deregulated and globalised markets have seriously inhibited the ability of democratic governments to govern.

Merkel’s judgement, whilst laconic, is generally quite sound: The basic “logics” of capitalism and democracy are fundamentally different and lead to considerable tension between the two. Democracy is egalitarian; capitalism is inegalitarian, at least in terms of ownership.

For political theorists in the liberal tradition, like Francis Fukuyama, the tension in democratic capitalism between its competing logics is overcome through a strong welfare state and settled distribution of property.

Writing in 1989, Fukuyama was in no doubt about the foundational role of capitalist democracy in what he described as “The End of History”. “What we are witnessing,” he wrote, “[is] the end point of mankind’s ideological evolution.”

Of course, history hasn’t exactly ended yet: capitalism since the Cold War has become less democratic, and democracy less capitalist. Fukuyama correctly predicted that the voluntary exchange of goods and services would become the dominant system around the world.

What he failed to anticipate, à la Merkel, was the reconciliation of the capitalist model to the primacy of an authoritarian state. Some critics have cited Singapore as a major example; others have pointed to the success of state-led capitalism in post-Maoist China. Adopting universal suffrage from the Western model is no longer seen as a necessary condition for achieving higher levels of growth and living standards.

At the same time, capitalism in the European Union has broken free of the shackles of European democracy. To realise their dream of a free and prosperous Europe, EU technocrats have hived off the functions of the state and farmed them out to a complex range of unelected bodies.

European members that do not follow the rules, such as Greece under the SYRIZA government, are punished by central authorities like the European Central Bank. Meanwhile, repeat offenders have their democratically-elected leaders replaced by technocrats, as happened in Italy with Mario Monti. Understood functionally, democracy in Europe can be suspended when this is required for the stability of the common market.

Elsewhere, democratic leaders have come under immense pressure to participate in an ongoing project of “diversity management”, including past or future migration by third-country nationals. This is one important reason why so many of Hungary’s domestic policies — from strict asylum laws to an outright ban on LGBT material in schools — have ended up being sanctioned by the European Parliament.

This new system is the direct result of a massive and sustained attempt to deterritorialize politics. It has produced a method of government which can most helpfully be described as post-democratic. The aim of this system is to push “the rules of the game” beyond the reach of the will of the majority.

Behind this post-democratic system lies another problem: the accelerating power of the managerial state. There is now, for instance, a Europe-wide campaign to ban the airing of unpopular opinions on the war in Ukraine, leading to the censorship of Russian-owned media outlets RT and Sputnik. “Combating misinformation” is the slogan under which this censorship program and its many analogues are advanced.

A further effect of post-democracy is the manipulation of the modern state’s bureaucratic machinery by activist judges and officers, or what Professor Otto Kirchheimer has called an “order of political justice”.

In most European countries, lawmakers have introduced a succession of “hate crime” laws that give law enforcement agencies enormous arbitrary authority they never had before, a power they have already begun to abuse. Here in Britain, police officers have become quite open enforcers of the speech codes and attitudes of the progressive Left.

Equally important is the neutralisation of democracy in the United States. There is plenty of evidence that wealthy individuals continue to push against many policies sought by majorities of American voters. From this, a vast political lobbying industry has grown up, the main role of which is to link the private sector to central government and the big social media monopolies.

In such a system, public policy results from the accumulated pressure of the most powerful interest groups. None of this is to say that Europe does not have its own problems with corporate hierarchies. What makes the U.S. particularly vulnerable, however, is the sheer amount of power exerted by lobbying groups.

How did this happen? Two reasons: First, America’s march towards post-democracy is underpinned by the power exerted by just a handful of big companies. In the U.S., political parties rely on these companies to buy advertising and fund election campaigns. It is also normal for American politicians and high-ranking officials to form long-lasting business and social partnerships.

The former Secretary of Defence Mark Esper, for example, spent seven years lobbying for American defence conglomerate Raytheon. In the face of vigorous lobbying campaigns, U.S. officials have come to see themselves as leaders of an “international community” based on that powerful sense of American exceptionalism.

Another contributing factor is the digitisation of the mass media, which means that political power is increasingly being exercised by the five most dominant companies in ICT: Google, Amazon, Apple, Meta and Microsoft. 

This “big tech” conglomerate is protected both by network effects and the self-reinforcing advantages of acquired data. This has three effects: 1) gatekeeper power; 2) the leveraging of monopoly power in one market to enter the ancillary market; and 3) information exploitation power.

The corollary of this is that key decisions are now taken by commercial actors, who have the power to clamp down on “offensive” speech and increase penalties for users who repeatedly share “misinformation”. Notable examples include the deplatforming of President Trump in 2021 and the systematic cover-up of Hunter Biden’s business deals.

Today, it is hard to imagine Fukuyama being more wrong. Since the collapse of the Soviet Union and the fall of the Berlin Wall, capitalism has become less democratic and democracy less capitalist. Some of these tensions have been with us for a long time. But others have grown worse in recent years.

The point may seem prosaic, yet it is a dramatic departure from much contemporary commentary that continues to be grounded in the Cold War rhetoric of “good vs evil” (Boris Johnson) or “democracy vs autocracy” (Joe Biden). The realities of Western politics do not live up to these conditions. Democracy itself is becoming less easy to define: the edges have suddenly become frayed and the boundaries less clear.

Where once there was an active state-society relationship, today we have a post-democratic elite which pursues its own sectional interest oblivious to the common good — a democracy without a demos.