Women will be put at greater risk of domestic violence by David Lammy’s plans to scale back jury trials, the head of the country’s solicitors has warned.
Under the Justice Secretary’s reforms, defendants will lose their right to elect a jury trial and will instead be tried by magistrates or a judge-only court if they are likely to be sentenced to a term of under three years in prison.
In an interview with The Telegraph, Richard Atkinson, the president of The Law Society, said Mr Lammy’s plans would lead to longer delays in magistrates’ courts as they took over cases that would previously have gone to the Crown Court for jury trials.
He said victims and defendants in magistrates’ courts were already facing delays of more than a year because of record backlogs of nearly 380,000 cases in England and Wales. But he warned these could easily rise to four or five years under the reforms, which will require magistrates to undertake thousands more trials each year.
Mr Atkinson, a practising solicitor in Kent, said the cases most likely to be taken over by magistrates would be more serious assaults, of which a large proportion relates to domestic violence. These were also cases with high “attrition” rates, in which vulnerable victims, anxious about going to court, withdrew from prosecutions, he said.
“They will be your more serious cases of coercive and controlling behaviour, of stalking, of serious harassment. These are very vulnerable victims whose cases are known to have very high attrition rates,” said Mr Atkinson, whose society represents more than 200,000 solicitors.
“I speak to the police quite a lot. Their victim care units and witness care units repeatedly report that delay leads to withdrawal, particularly in domestic violence cases.
“So you have a very vulnerable cohort that is being effectively threatened by this policy, with even longer delays in their cases coming before the court.
“Tragically, and I say this as a defence lawyer, but also as a human being, we know this attrition rate will see some of those cases go on to suffer more serious violence because the perpetrator wasn’t dealt with and their offending wasn’t addressed when it was at a lower level.
“These aren’t merely academic discussions around numbers. These are people’s lives. These potentially have really serious consequences.”
Ministers claim the changes will reduce record backlogs of more than 80,000 Crown Court cases, which would otherwise rise to 200,000 by 2035, according to an independently audited study by the Ministry of Justice (MoJ). It projects the reforms will cut the backlogs to 50,000 by 2035 by speeding up justice.
However, the Law Society’s own analysis and other research by the Institute for Government (IfG) disputes the MoJ’s modelling – and particularly a projection that magistrates could clear cases far more quickly than Crown Courts. The forecast is that magistrates could clear 27,000 days of Crown Court work in just 8,500 days.
But Mr Atkinson said this was predicated on magistrates completing trials in four hours and sentencing hearings in half an hour, figures that even now are disputed as realistic. The forecasts were also over-optimistic as the cases transferred down to magistrates in the reforms would be more complex, he said.
“The assumption that it is going to take four hours for a case that is now being retained that previously had gone to the Crown Court just doesn’t match with logic or experience. It’s very alarming if, in fact, their numbers are significantly out,” he said.
The consequences, Mr Atkinson said, would be continued delays in the Crown Court but, more worryingly, increased delays in magistrates’ courts. “Those cases that are going into the magistrates’ court will make the delays there as long, if not longer, than the worst delays in the Crown Court,” he said.
Mr Lammy is facing a rebellion by more than 60 Labour MPs who are demanding concessions over the plans.
Mr Atkinson said he would back a compromise mooted by lead rebel MP Karl Turner for a pilot of an intermediate court with a judge and two lay magistrates, instead of the judge-only court plan.
“It’s not ideal, but if it were to be the way in which it brings down the backlogs so that people get justice in time, then we could probably live with that, but a pilot must show us it works and it must have a lay element to it,” he said.
He said the current plans to deny jury trials to thousands of defendants were unfair, particularly with the three-year prison sentence limit. It would mean that a professional person with no previous criminal record facing an allegation of dishonesty, with everything to lose, would not get a jury trial, while a career criminal would.
“So the heavily-convicted person gets the gold standard jury, and the person who’s never been in trouble before and for whom conviction would be utterly devastating doesn’t. That can’t be right as a way of denying people justice,” he said.
A leading barrister who quit in protest against David Lammy’s jury trials overhaul has accused the Justice Secretary of exploiting the pain of rape victims to force his changes through Parliament.
Flora Page KC, who represented victims of the Post Office scandal, said she was incensed at Mr Lammy’s “tyrannical” plans for jury-free trials after watching him use “the pain of victims” to try to force through his measures.
During a parliamentary debate this month, Mr Lammy referred to a rape victim, called Katie, who waited seven years for a Crown Court trial. Mr Lammy argued that scrapping jury trials for most cases would help reduce the court backlogs and help “thousands of victims ... move on with their lives”.
However, Ms Page said Mr Lammy’s “manipulative” use of “people’s pain” to support his measures was outrageous – prompting her to quit her role on a powerful legal watchdog this month in protest.
“Once I watched it unfold and [Mr Lammy] and Sarah Sackman, his junior minister, started exploiting the very brave women who’d come to sit in the public gallery – rape victims – exploiting their stories ... I just thought, this is not something that I can silently watch,” said Ms Page.
“I’ve always believed in jury trials as the right way to try criminal cases because it’s the best way to bring the people of this country into the criminal justice system and make sure that criminal justice is reflective of what society wants.
“It was a surprise, frankly, when David Lammy and his department announced that they were going to make incursions into jury trial because it wasn’t in their manifesto and it wasn’t something that they even consulted on.”
“I just thought, I can’t stay silent. I can’t be part of working with a ministry that’s doing something that’s so damaging to the rule of law.”
Mr Lammy’s plans, which are currently going through Parliament, would remove jury trials for all but the most serious cases. It would mean only those facing more than three years’ imprisonment would have the right to defend themselves in front of their peers.
He has claimed the overhaul will help cut the record backlog of more than 80,000 cases currently waiting to be heard in Britain’s Crown Courts so that victims can have their cases heard more quickly.
However, Ms Page claimed plans had “nothing to do” with the backlog, and were instead driven by a belief that “everything must be controlled from the centre”.
“It comes from a place of not trusting the people. It comes from a place of not believing that the people of this country are the right people to take decisions about serious matters,” Ms Page said.
“The jury is something that is intangibly part of the constitution that delivers power outwards to people and doesn’t allow for it to be centralised. A certain type of person finds that very uncomfortable. They don’t like the fact that it’s not something that you can measure and control,” she said.
Ms Page said the “wantonly destructive” plans risk undermining the rule of law in Britain and damaging public trust in the system of justice that has developed for centuries.
She said the overhaul could lead to the rule of law disintegrating and “then you start to have people taking the law into their own hands”.
Ms Page is one of Britain’s leading silks, making her name as a criminal barrister working on complex criminal cases including high-profile corporate frauds.
Aside from her practice at the 23 Essex Street chambers, Ms Page also chairs the Institute of Business Ethics, an influential charity set up to research the moral issues faced by large corporations.
She came to prominence representing victims of the Post Office scandal, in a landmark appeal that saw 39 of their convictions quashed in the Court of Appeal in 2021.
However, last month she surprised the industry when she resigned from the Legal Services Board (LSB), a non-departmental government body sponsored by the Ministry of Justice, which regulates the sector.
Her exit marked a significant rebellion in the upper echelons of Britain’s legal system. The LSB board has only eight members, making her a leading figure in the regulation of the UK legal system.
She was appointed in 2020 and had originally been scheduled to step down in 2028.
Ms Page said Mr Lammy’s plans to let judges preside over the majority of criminal trials risks could give rise to scandal on a similar scale to the Post Office in future.
She said: “To put everything in the hands of a judge is a scenario that can so easily lead to miscarriages of justice and I think it will become rife if we go down this road.
“Judges are part of the establishment… It’s just not the same as 12 ordinary people who come with no preconceptions, who come ready to take their responsibilities incredibly seriously.”
Ms Page added: “Every single person has their prejudices, their preconceptions [but] what makes it worse as a judge is that you then have to go through your career listening to lots and lots of cases and starting inevitably to form your own views about certain types of case, certain types of witness, certain types of defendant.”
Ms Page warned that the record backlogs currently facing Britain’s courts will not be solved by Mr Lammy’s changes. At the same time, the Government is failing to fix “all the real things that will actually change the backlog”, she said.
The barrister pointed to long-standing issues that have worsened the court backlog, including the repeated delays in delivering prisoners to court. The problems have been blamed on the prison escort services run by third-party contractors, Serco and GeoAmey.
For a start, enforcing private contracts to deliver prisoners to court on time would save “hours and hours” and would be an easy win to help start trimming the logjam.
A Serco spokesman said: “Serco delivers over 99.8pc of prisoners to court on time.”
Supporters of Mr Lammy’s plans have argued that the overhaul would have a particular benefit for complex fraud cases, where it has been argued that juries lack the requisite knowledge and understanding to make a considered judgement.
Ms Page said this sent the message that “juries are too stupid to understand”.
“When it comes to it, these long cases involving frauds are about honesty and dishonesty. That’s what it’s always about in the end – and who better than 12 ordinary people to decide whether somebody’s acted dishonestly?” she said.
A Ministry of Justice spokesman said: “The Crown Court is on the brink of collapse, with over 80,000 cases as of December, and victims face devastating delays resulting from years of neglect.
“Through pragmatic reform, historic investment and increased efficiency, we are pulling every lever at our disposal to drive down the backlog. Victims have waited long enough – and we will deliver the swift, fair justice they deserve.”
Both England and Scotland have recently pursued criminal justice reforms which would limit the role of juries, providing important insight into how British governing elites view the public. In Scotland, failed proposals to address poor conviction rates in cases of sexual assault sought to substitute juries with trauma-informed single judges. In response to an overwhelming case backlog in England, ministers are pressing ahead with their own proposals to replace juries with magistrates for a range of non-serious offences.
These proposals differ in both rationale and scope, so it should give us pause that lay judgment in both cases is what the state has been most eager to dispense with. This suggests that a set of shared assumptions are guiding solutions to what are otherwise quite distinct problems — if not determining what those problems are taken to be.
In that case, the real issue is neither backlogs nor conviction rates but juries themselves, and by extension the public. For one thing, in posing their interventions as technical or administrative reforms, the jury is treated as a problem variable rather than a constituent element of justice or a democratic institution. Juries are interpreted as a mere legal mechanism for producing verdicts, and if those verdicts can be reached more efficiently, or indeed, more agreeable verdicts reached, then juries should be removed.
Underlying that, I suggest, is a much more deep-seated anxiety which both sets of reforms express — that ordinary people cannot be trusted to judge. In the Scottish case this was explicit. Low conviction rates in cases of sexual assault, the Scottish government claimed, were a result of juror prejudice, specifically the influence of rape myths. The Scottish public was simply too biased to fairly adjudicate a sensitive case like rape.
In the English case it is rather implied. Once judgment is viewed as an “output” and tied to efficiency, a squabbling public can only introduce risk, distortion, and procedural drag. It really does not matter, then, as others have shown, that the time saved by abolishing juries would be negligible. What matters is that the whole business of judgment be professionalised and contained in pursuit of uniform results. England wants orderly verdicts; Scotland wanted guilty verdicts.
Changes in outcome give this away. In England, defendants convicted under the reforms will lose their automatic right of appeal, as if the professional magistrate brings discipline and certainty. In Scotland, the successful abolition of the historically exceptional “not proven” verdict is equally revealing. A device uniquely suited to adjudicating what is perhaps the most difficult allegation to prove — sexual assault with no evidentiary basis beyond testimony — the verdict gave juries the means to credit a complainant’s account whilst acknowledging that the evidentiary thresholds necessary to convict had not been met.
The jury’s embrace of this third verdict necessarily came at the expense of decisive convictions. What its abolition therefore exposes about the mindset of Scottish reformers is an inability to deal with nuance. This same lack is discernible in the English reforms, notorious before the fact for doing away with juries for a range of speech offences. Having proven themselves much more judicious than magistrates in assessing meaning, intent, and harm when it comes to the words people say, English juries have shown themselves equally capable of resisting the state’s urge to classify and contain.
Most of all these examples expose a profound fear of jury agency, for they show that once jurors are allowed to exercise judgment on their own terms — acknowledging doubt, resisting false clarity, declining meanings fixed by the state — they cease to be manageable instruments of policy and become something altogether more dangerous: independent actors in the democratic sphere.
The problem with juries, then, is not that they cannot judge. Rather, it is that they judge only too freely and well, if we understand judgment, as I think we should, not as a rarefied skill or instrument for generating outputs, but as an innate capacity for navigating uncertainty and ambiguity. Political theorist Hannah Arendt, perhaps the thinker who has done most to advance our understanding of judgment, conceived of it in just these terms: judgment is needed most when easy answers fail, and all are equally capable of it when given the chance. A chance is what juries provide.
With that in mind, one of the most remarkable things about the Scottish government’s tarring of the Scottish public as uniquely prejudicial is that it rested on evidence in which the public was never placed in a position to judge at all. The proposals instead relied on a single mock jury study composed entirely of Scottish students. Are we to believe that this sample of students held especially illiberal views on rape? Or are we to believe with Arendt that there is something significant about setting jurors to the task of shared and difficult decision-making under real conditions of responsibility — conditions that force them to examine what they think and that a mock study could never capture?
What both sets of proposals disclose, then, is not the limits of juries as intended, but the limits of a political imagination that has stopped trusting the public to judge, either out of a misunderstanding of what judgment entails, as in the Scottish case, or through an uneasy recognition of its independence, and corresponding desire to contain it, as is the case for the English. This should worry us far beyond the courtroom, for both betray a weakly articulated vision of citizenship in which the public is a problem to be managed out of public life – and out of the very situations in which judgment becomes salient. Whether citizens are cast as unfit to judge the most normatively fraught questions or imagined as redundant in a broad class of ordinary cases, the premise that public judgment is suspicious and ultimately expendable always remains the same. At that point, it is not only the jury that is up for grabs, but every sphere in which ordinary citizens might claim a governing role.