Friday, 30 October 2026

The Martin Lewis Budget


Was this Andy Burnham’s budget – the bold vision of a new prime minister who burns with a passion to topple “40 years of neoliberalism”? Fat chance. Was it John Healey’s budget – the repair job of a cautious chancellor fretting about record-high taxes, £3tn of public debt and an economy stuck in first gear? Little sign of that.

This budget was cast in the image of a man who isn’t in Burnham’s government or even a Labour politician – but who appears almost every day on TV, on podcasts and is probably better known than 649 of the MPs at Westminster. Today’s budget was the Martin Lewis budget.

Lewis is the MoneySavingExpert, whose weekly Money Tips email advises 10 million British subscribers on cheap mortgages, Black Friday deals and how to score two pizzas for £10. Tips and tricks to stave off rising prices and make the most of the money you have. Given that the Bayeux tapestry is French, and the Koh-i-noor is Indian, Lewis may be the closest thing Britain has to a genuine national treasure.

Over the past four years, since Russia launched its full-scale war on Ukraine and sent energy prices soaring, Lewis has become more political and wielded greater influence in Westminster. His fingerprints were all over this “red book”. This morning, before the cabinet had even had its traditional pre-budget pep talk, Lewis had gone to Downing Street for a personal briefing from the chancellor on its key measures. On Radio 4’s Today programme, he was the big budget interview, rather than any politician or BBC editor.

No wonder, because the most eye-catching of the budget’s measures had been written by the money saving expert. Scrapping standing charges on gas bills, shielding more pensioners from income tax and fixing energy bill credit against council tax bands – all of these came from Lewis’s wishlist. Beyond policies, he has also informed Burnham’s politics. At last year’s Labour conference, Lewis advised any new prime minister to “pick a hundred things that piss people off and fix them at one a day for the first hundred days”. Et voilà! The King of the North has vowed to end loudcasting on public transport, crack down on unfair parking fines and introduce more drop boxes for the post … and more and more.

For Labour ministers, government by MoneySavingExpert may seem a no-brainer. After a wretched couple of years under Keir Starmer, they can pose as the people’s champion, for ever on your side. Best of all, all these micro-policies cost micro-money. Today’s budget had 98 measures – more than any I can remember in decades of covering fiscal events, yet they all cost trifling sums.

Which brings us to the killer problem: Lewis is one of the most trusted people in Britain. But he’s not a politician. He’s never claimed to be. He speaks the language of terms and conditions, not financialisation – and he knows his limits. To quote a New Statesman essay last week on the new MoneySavingPolitics: “As governments have embraced retail policies and suggestion-box-style politics in his image, Lewis has been raising the alarm that there are too many people who can no longer help themselves and it is time for structural change.”

The difference was clear today. In her first budget, Rachel Reeves announced extra spending worth £74bn by the end of the period. By comparison, Healey announced a grand total of £380m. For all Burnham’s grand ambition and soaring rhetoric, his first budget was only 0.5% of Starmer’s first budget.

This is obviously not how the King of the North wants you to see him. Listen to Burnham speak, and you hear a changemaker, an ideas man, a leader with a 10-year plan. But does he put his money where his mouth is? Does he heck. The anxiety I have heard for months from so many of his advisers and MPs was borne out in this budget: he’s big talk and small stick.

The best line of the day came from Kemi Badenoch. “The prime minister came to power promising to end 40 years of neoliberalism, and instead we got 4p off gherkins,” the Tory leader said, while Burnham and Healey frowned like men caught bang to rights. What’s the point of cut-price marmalade when a few months ago you promised to nationalise Thames Water?

Why, for that matter, chuck out the old boss when the new one is less ambitious? Whacking banks with a tax in order to cut energy costs is good politics, but this new government should have been much more ambitious. A hundred pounds is a token saving when the typical household’s fuel bill is about to top £2,000. Given how harsh this El Niño winter is likely to be, I imagine the government will have to cobble together another intervention before the new year.

Ministers are now caught in a pincer movement between Badenoch to their right, who can argue they aren’t tackling the really big problems and, to their left, the Greens and Plaid, as well as the Scottish nationalists, who will keep on saying they aren’t doing enough for their own voters. In a day of grim economic forecasts, perhaps the worst was from the Office for Budget Responsibility, which said that in the face of high inflation, earnings will not rise at all next year – while 2030 would see households with take-home pay just 2% above where it was before Covid struck in 2020. Put those two figures together and – despite all the Westminster chat – you can forget about a snap election that delivers Labour a new majority.

If ministers can’t offer any protection against an economic outlook that bleak, they will face an angry and mutinous public. If the Labour party wants to be re-elected, it needs to give people a reason to go out and vote for it. Pointing to bond markets isn’t a defence, because markets aren’t in open rebellion. Yes, government borrowing is a lot more expensive than it was in the post-crash years of cheap money and the interest bill on the nation’s debt is high. But no one thinks Britain is France. Gilt traders today looked at a government running down its financial buffer and were completely unruffled. Had Healey borrowed much more to invest in social and cheap housing, he could have argued that such spending would soon enough bring down benefit bills – and markets would have believed him.

I write this as someone who wants Burnham to do well – and certainly to do better than today’s tiny raft of tweaks. Unlike many Labour politicians, he can talk sincerely about where disastrous rightwing politics have led this country. When he promises a new economic and political model, I – and many others – am up for it. In contrast to Starmer he doesn’t act as if he hates 80% of his own party members. Unlike Starmer’s advisers, his team doesn’t subsist on a diet of received wisdom and petty vindictiveness. But at some point, the grand rhetoric and the romantic notions need to cash out into a programme of change. Otherwise, voters will draw the conclusion that this summer’s coup against a recently elected prime minister had no grand motivation apart from saving the skins of Labour MPs and fanning a few egos.

A Martin Lewis budget is fine, but Labour chose Andy Burnham as its leader and the public were promised a Burnham budget. They’re still waiting.

Incredibly Painful To Deliver

If John Smith had lived, then Labour would still have won the 1997 General Election, and Robin Cook would have been Foreign Secretary until the day he died, with all that that would have entailed. But Gordon Brown would still have become Chancellor of the Exchequer and eventually Prime Minister, while the pre-2007 Home Office would have been headed by Tony Blair, meaning that the social authoritarianism of New Labour would still have been implemented. For example, the legislation renaming Stipendiary Magistrates as District Judges goes all the way back to 1999, meaning that a Bench Division has been the intention for a very long time. By that means, it would still be the result of the Courts and Tribunals Bill even in its supposedly moderated form. Thus, and although she is wrong about the Employment Rights Act, such as it is, Sonia Sodha writes:

There is a well-known trick chancellors use to balance the books in tough times. Because the fiscal rules demand that the deficit is eliminated in five years’ time, they promise to cut public spending not in the next couple of years, but later in the cycle. Jam today, dry toast tomorrow. Jeremy Hunt did it, Rachel Reeves did it and so did John Healey in his first budget.

The move has invoked even more scepticism than usual this time because the pain will be augmented by Healey’s pledge to increase defence spending, and the cuts would land just before a 2029 election. The fundamental problem is there is no fat to trim from departments whose spending was hit hard by austerity.

One of the worst affected was justice: the courts and tribunal system has been badly undermined by sustained underfunding. It is a relatively easy area to cut politically; people end up in the courts only when something has gone seriously wrong, so they touch many fewer lives than services such as hospitals and schools. For most of us, the rule of law remains a happily abstract concept and our knowledge of the justice system comes from television dramas.

Today, justice funding is 25 per cent lower per person than it was almost 20 years ago. This shows up in the dilapidated state of court buildings, with their leaking ceilings, asbestos and rat infestations, but also in record backlogs that mean people are waiting many years before their cases get anywhere near resolution.

In criminal trials, this means criminals are more likely to get away with it as witnesses become harder to track down. Victims’ lives are put on hold, and the innocent have charges hanging over them for longer before they are cleared. Sir Keir Starmer’s answer included taking away the right for defendants to be tried by jury for offences attracting a prison sentence of less than three years. Critics rightly pointed out that, for marginal efficiency gains, this would increase the risk of miscarriages of justice for people accused of fairly serious crimes.

Andy Burnham wisely dropped the most controversial aspect of the reforms, judge-only trials for people facing prison sentences of between two and three years. But he has kept the rest: increasing magistrates’ sentencing powers to two years; removing defendants’ right to choose a jury trial in the crown court for mid-tier “either-way” offences; and removing the right to automatically appeal against magistrates’ verdicts to the crown court and have a trial reheard in front of a jury.

There are two problems with this. Juries provide a triple safeguard against convicting the innocent. Ten to 12 fellow citizens — not one judge — must agree someone is guilty based on the evidence. The process of deliberation can help iron out human biases. Jurors have not heard the same defence run over and over, or sentenced countless criminals: they bring a fresh perspective to every case.

Magistrates’ courts, in which charges are tried either by three lay volunteers, or by a single district judge, have historically dealt with minor offences that do not result in prison sentences. Under the government’s reforms, magistrates’ sentencing powers will have quadrupled in only four years, and they will be trying more complex crimes, with serious consequences for reputation and liberty.

The second problem is that the backlog in the magistrates’ courts is even worse than in the crown court. These reforms risk simply moving cases from one horribly overloaded part of the system to another. It is not clear that it is even practically feasible to expect volunteer magistrates, many of whom have day jobs, to go from hearing cases that generally last less than a day to complex multiday trials.

Things are no better when it comes to employment disputes. The recourse for employees who have been unfairly sacked or discriminated against is an employment tribunal. But the waiting list has grown and, in a system that was originally supposed to dispense user-friendly, speedy justice, cases are routinely taking three or more years to make it to a full hearing, rendering it near-impossible for workers to meaningfully enforce their rights. In the face of these delays, many give up and move on, leaving the worst employers to get away with unlawful practice. Artificial intelligence has made the problem worse as employees without lawyers use it to draft pages and pages of claims that take longer for the system to digest.

Ministers risk making the situation worse through the Employment Rights Act, which lays out a host of new rights including giving more employees rights against unfair dismissal, expanding employer liability for third-party harassment and allowing employees more time to submit legal claims. There is a danger that introducing more rights into the system further increases the backlog. The government is also lifting the cap on unfair dismissal claims in a way that will be of little benefit to workers on average wages but will incentivise the highest earners to bring big, complex claims they would previously have been able to take only to the High Court, crowding out claims from lower earners.

This is the high price of justice done on the cheap: a greater risk of miscarriages of justice, victims waiting years for verdicts, employees with no effective recourse for unlawful treatment at work. And all this is before enforcing the planned cuts factored in to this week’s budget. It shows why Healey’s task is so gargantuan over the next few years: the savings he has already baked in to his spending assumptions are going to be incredibly painful to deliver.

Independence and Integrity

Of course Sir Iain Duncan Smith received no answer worthy of the name:

British citizens Ryan Cornelius and his partner have now been detained for 18—nearly 19—years, without due process, by the United Arab Emirates. The reality is that the UAE supports a huge amount of terrorism in Sudan, where it is responsible for huge loss of life. To make matters worse, it has nominated Lana Nusseibeh of the UAE to be UN Secretary-General. Apart from demanding the release of Ryan Cornelius and his partner, will the hon. Gentleman condemn the UAE for its brutal involvement in Sudan, and block its nominee for Secretary-General, who should never be allowed to take over the UN?

As Human Rights Watch reports:

Lana Zaki Nusseibeh, a long-serving UAE diplomat and foreign affairs official, has an extensive record of denying and whitewashing the country’s rights abuses in Sudan and Yemen, Human Rights Watch said today. On October 21, 2026, the UAE formally nominated Nusseibeh to be the new United Nations secretary-general.

“For years, Lana Nusseibeh has used her position to vehemently deny and divert attention from the UAE’s war crimes in Yemen and support for the abusive Rapid Support Forces in Sudan,” said Bruno Stagno Ugarte, chief advocacy officer at Human Rights Watch. “Her disinformation about the UAE’s rights record, particularly her dismissal of the UN’s own reports documenting the UAE’s links to the RSF, has seriously undermined justice and accountability for the victims.”

Nusseibeh has repeatedly denied that the UAE provides military support to the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) in Sudan, while refusing to address clear evidence to the contrary. The RSF, engaged in a conflict with the Sudan Armed Forces (SAF), is responsible for widespread war crimes and crimes against humanity, including as part of a campaign of ethnic cleansing in the Darfur region. The United Nations Fact-Finding Mission on Sudan concluded that their assault on the North Darfur capital of El Fasher “bore the hallmarks of genocide.”

In September 2024, Nusseibeh said in a letter to the editor of The Economist that, “[T]he UAE is not providing weapons or any other support to the Rapid Support Forces or any of the warring parties in Sudan.” The letter followed the publication of the first UN Panel of Experts on Sudan’s report, which included conclusions of “credible allegations” that the UAE was providing military support to the RSF through Chad. A UAE government letter from December 2023 in the report annex claims that flights from the UAE to Chad transported humanitarian assistance to Sudanese civilians. The letter is unsigned but bears the letterhead of the Permanent Mission of the UAE to the UN in New York. Nusseibeh was the head of the UAE’s mission from 2013 until April 2024.

In April 2024, in response to accusations from the government of Sudan that the UAE was providing the RSF with military, logistical, and political support, Nusseibeh said in a statement that the “claims were baseless” and affirmed the UAE’s categorical rejection “of the false allegations.” In July 2024, asked by CNN whether the UAE was arming the RSF, Nusseibeh replied: “No, those allegations are categorically untrue. The UAE, as it has done in countless places around the world when there is a humanitarian crisis, has projected humanitarian aid in as quickly as possible and then scaled that way.”

In November 2025, as a minister of state, Nusseibeh took part in an Emirati “lobbying blitz” with key European Parliament members that said that the UAE was “playing a constructive role in Sudan” in the lead up to a vote on a resolution condemning atrocities in Sudan, according to Politico. The European Parliament passed the resolution without mention of the UAE’s role in the conflict. Several parliamentary sources told Euronews that Nusseibeh “personally lobbied MEPs [members of the European Parliament] in Strasbourg to influence the content of the resolution.”

In a subsequent resolution adopted in July 2026, the European Parliament called out the UAE’s role in support of the RSF and requested sanctions on a UAE company involved in the hiring and transfer of mercenaries to the group.

A May 2026 Human Rights Watch report found that Colombian private military contractors, apparently hired by a UAE-based company, transited through UAE military bases before being deployed to Sudan to support and fight alongside the RSF, notably during the forces’ takeover of El Fasher, during which the RSF committed multiple massacres, widespread sexual violence, and a massive abduction-for-ransom racket. The findings provide further evidence that the UAE has been assisting or otherwise substantially contributing to the RSF’s capacity to commit war crimes.

In August, the Fact-Finding Mission on Sudan released a report echoing these findings, concluding “that individuals and entities operating from, registered in, or linked to the United Arab Emirates played a significant role in networks involved in the recruitment, financing, transportation and deployment of foreign military contractors and the provision of military-related support benefiting the Rapid Support Forces.” The mission noted “several sources” indicating the presence of Colombian fighters in and around El Fasher before, during, and after its takeover.

Human Rights Watch has also documented the RSF using military equipment—Serbian-made shells equipping an attack drone—that had first been sold to benefit the UAE armed forces.

On October 27, during an interactive dialogue with UN member states and civil society organizations, Nusseibeh was asked about her denials of findings by the Panel of Experts on Sudan and the Fact-Finding Mission. She did not respond directly to a question about whether she would “continue to reject the findings of the very organization [she] seeks to lead.” Instead, she stated that she had taken a leave of absence from her post as a UAE minister and would refer any questions about the UAE to the UAE government.

As permanent representative to the UN, Nusseibeh repeatedly defended the UAE as complying with international law during its intervention in Yemen while dismissing evidence of widely documented abuses. Beginning in March 2015, the UAE played a prominent role in a coalition of countries that conducted military operations in Yemen, including by committing over 30 fighter jets to carry out airstrikes, providing naval ships to enforce the coalition’s maritime blockade, and supporting abusive local forces.

In 2016, Human Rights Watch documented 58 unlawful Saudi/UAE-coalition airstrikes, killing nearly 800 civilians and hitting homes, markets, hospitals, schools, businesses, and mosques, and the coalition's use of cluster munitions.

In August 2016 and May 2018, Nusseibeh issued statements defending UAE actions in Yemen, claiming that the UAE “takes its own responsibility for upholding international humanitarian law and for protecting civilians very seriously.” The 2018 statement was made a few months before the UAE ordered humanitarian organizations in the coastal city of Hodeida to evacuate despite the immense humanitarian needs, while the Saudi/UAE-led coalition sought to take control of the city from the Houthis.

In 2021, the UAE, alongside Saudi Arabia, successfully led a lobbying campaign to end the mandate of the Group of Eminent Experts, an international, impartial, and independent body the Human Rights Council had established to report on rights violations and abuses in Yemen.

“Lana Nusseibeh has spent over a decade in roles acting for the UAE government and repeatedly whitewashing their abusive role in Yemen and Sudan, presenting Abu Dhabi as a humanitarian actor while dismissing or obscuring mounting evidence of its role in fueling abuses,” Stagno Ugarte said. “Having dismissed and undermined the findings of the UN’s own reports, UN member states should be asking tough questions about Nusseibeh’s willingness to defend the independence and integrity of the UN and its investigative mechanisms, including those exposing UAE abuses, at a time when these institutions are under attack.”

Thursday, 29 October 2026

NEET Freak

Whoever is to sort out the problem of young people who were Not in Education, Employment or Training, it is no job for a perpetual student. Alan Milburn started a PhD in 1979, but it remains lost in the Haze of Dope that he and Nick Robinson recently thought such a giggle. Dopey Alan was Secretary of State for Health. Specifically, with Tony Blair and Paul Corrigan, he brought NHS privatisation from the outer fringes of the thinktank circuit to the very heart of government. We already have a good idea with what he intended to repeat that trick.

Third and fourth generation middle-class teachers in primary schools will identify potential future NEETs. Third and fourth generation middle-class teachers in secondary schools will deliver to them a curriculum designed by and for the local vape shops, phone shops, nail bars, tattoo parlours, carwashes, mini-marts, adult gaming centres, Turkish barbers, American candy shops, and lap dancing clubs, there being nothing else, not even Poundland. And without trade unions, no one will be able to come up through those to enter the political process.

Ensure The Full Transfer


The government is holding talks with Labour MPs from former mining seats to reach an agreement on transferring pension funds. Chief Secretary to the Treasury, Emma Reynolds, told PoliticsHome podcast The Rundown on Thursday that ministers were “working closely” with backbenchers after a row broke out on the eve of the Budget on Tuesday night over the status of the funds. In his Budget speech on Wednesday, Chancellor John Healey pledged the “full transfer of the Guarantor’s Fund”, believed to be worth £1.2bn, and promised to end the “standstill arrangement”, ensuring the pensions continue to rise for former miners. “For ex-mineworkers, I’m guaranteeing that every penny of the pension fund surplus now goes to miners. I know the job’s not done, and I will go on to ensure the full transfer of the guarantors’ fund,” Healey told MPs yesterday. 

The night before, a group of Labour MPs expressed fury after being told that the government planned to renege on a pledge to transfer what remains of the Mineworkers’ Pension Scheme. As reported by PoliticsHome on Tuesday evening, the MPs made urgent representations to No 10, the Treasury and the whips in an attempt to persuade the government to rethink. Normanton and Hemsworth MP John Trickett told PoliticsHome on the night: “We owe a moral duty to the miners and the government must show that it has listened, understands and will act in this matter. Nothing less will do.” PoliticsHome understands that Blair McDougall, the reindustrialisation minister, met MPS trustees on Wednesday morning, just hours before Healey made his House of Commons statement, where he agreed to change course.

The saga dates back to 1994 when British Coal was privatised and ministers agreed that the government would act as guarantor for its pension payouts. Former chancellor Rachel Reeves ended the 30-year-old arrangement in her first Budget in 2024, transferring part of the fund (£1.5bn) to members. Despite Healey’s words on Wednesday, Labour MPs and MPS trustees say there are still question marks over the remaining funds. Gary Saunders, chairman of the trustees, told PoliticsHome he was “very disappointed” that government had withdrawn a draft deal hours before the Budget, despite it being “ready to sign”. Allen Young, speaking on behalf of the MPS elected trustees, added: “One month ago, the Chancellor said that miners’ lamps are a symbol of hope, but today (Wednesday) he confirmed that there is still no light at the end of the tunnel for MPS members.”

The Coalfield Group of Labour MPs have written to Healey demanding the immediate release of the £1.2bn fund. Signed by MPs including Luke Akehurst, Rachel Taylor and group chair Grahame Morris, the letter urges Healey and Prime Minister Andy Burnham to “prove to miners and their families that this Labour government is on their side”. “Since 1994, the government has taken more than £4.4bn from the MPS in return for a guarantee that has never cost the public purse a penny,” the MPs write. “We understand the fiscal pressure of the Treasury, however, in light of the facts, we cannot see a justification for withholding the money that belongs to scheme members alone.” The MPs welcomed the commitments to end surplus sharing and the standstill mechanism, but criticised the Treasury for only changing its position after sustained pressure from coalfield communities and their representatives.

In her interview with The Rundown, which will be published on Friday, Reynolds said: “This government has done more than any other government to do right by our mineworkers. Rachel Reeves in 2024 took the decision to return the investment reserve to the mineworkers, which was the right thing to do. Yesterday, we took the decision, and John Healey took the decision, that any surplus going forwards of the pension scheme shouldn’t be a fifty-fifty split between government and the mineworkers, that a hundred percent of that surplus should go to the mineworkers. We have also got rid of the standstill clause, which essentially means that their pensions will continue to rise. It protects their pensions, so it means their pensions will not fall.” The minister continued: “We still have the outstanding issue of the guarantor’s fund, which we’re working closely with Labour MPs on. We were not able to do that transfer yesterday, but John Healey said on the floor of the House of Commons in his Budget speech, we are committed to making further progress on that.”

Understand This Dynamic

Evan Barker writes:

In the past week, a tidal wave of bad news has crested for Republicans. Ruby-red states like Texas have shifted to “lean Democrat” on pollsters’ spreadsheets. In Iowa, Democratic prairie populists are gaining momentum. Abdul El-Sayed still leads the polls in Michigan, despite having campaigned with controversial figures like Hasan Piker. States that have trended to the Right over the last decade are now causing Republicans to bite their nails in nervous anticipation for the midterms.

Have these red- and purplish-state Democrats found the winning message not just for today, but for 2028? What are they doing right — and what can the party learn from them? The short answer is that, with a few exceptions, these nominees are breaking with the party’s ultra-progressive messaging on cultural issues.

Consider Iowa, a state hard-hit by the bad trade deals of the past, alienated by the cultural Left, and now hurt economically by President Trump’s war in Iran. There, two self-described “prairie populists” are in close races. Barack Obama won Iowa in 2008 and 2012. Since then, it has been solidly red — aside from one candidate who became state auditor in 2022.

But Iowa isn’t a conservative red state — it is what I call “populist red.” The state has areas that vote red, but aren’t traditional Republican strongholds the way, say, South Carolina is. Populist red states switched to Republican because Trump dropped the GOP’s neoliberal orthodoxies on immigration and trade. This, even as the Democrats began catering aggressively to college-educated professionals at the expense of their historic blue-collar constituencies.

That combination — a Republican president who could sound remarkably like the old labor Left and a Democratic Party that didn’t — proved disastrous for the Dems in places like Iowa. Rob Sand, the Democrat running for governor, seems to understand this dynamic.

Sand has broken with his party on several issues. He has advocated against “political agendas” in children’s schools, arguing instead that basic education fundamentals should be the central focus. He supports Iowa’s law barring biological males from competing against women and girls in sports. He is pro-gun. This might make him sound like a “moderate”, but his economic policies mirror those of his populist GOP opponent, who wants to regulate data centres and ban limited liability corporations from buying Iowan land. Sand combines economic-populist ideas with Left-coded ones that are also populist — raising the minimum wage and legalising cannabis [boo!] to cover the state’s looming fiscal crisis.

Like Rob Sand, the Democrats’ nominee for US Senate, Josh Turek, has also broken with the national party on the trans sports issue. But on gun rights, Turek toes the party line, and is on record for wanting to ban assault rifles. Other red-state Democrats like Amy Acton, running for governor in Ohio, and Annie Andrews, running for Senate in South Carolina, have broken with the national party on trans ideology. Both women have stated that biological boys can’t compete in girls’ sports and have come out against trans surgeries for minors. Both have also faced substantial backlash. The Ohio Democrats Progressive Caucus, for example, released a statement criticising Acton’s remarks — even suggesting some may not vote or canvass for her. 

Annie Andrews’s ad, released this month, in which she came out against trans surgeries for minors, was reviled by progressives online. Cory Archibald, a powerful progressive activist, wrote: “Democrats who throw my trans siblings to the wolves will never get a dime out of me or a minute of my time.” Democrats like Acton, Sand, and now Andrews are paving the way for reining in the party’s excesses on issues like gender ideology, which proved consequential for Kamala Harris in the 2024 election. Progressive activists who criticise red-state Democrats for diverging on these issues often live on the coasts, inside blue bubbles, detached from the realities of working-class and rural areas; much of their success comes from electing progressive candidates in blue districts.

These activists dismiss issues like biological boys in girls’ sports, insisting that it only affects a small minority of people and that Democrats should stop playing into “Right-wing hysteria.” They contend that Trump’s defining political ad against Kamala Harris was an economic argument and had very little to do with gender ideology. But by taking the wrong side of an 80-20 issue, Democrats undermine their authority on health care and the economy, too. Voters in red states see these views as “lacking common sense” across the board, and espousing them discredits Democrats on all other issues, even when the party may genuinely have better ideas than the other side. Trump’s poll numbers are in the gutter right now, but the Democrats’ brand tracks even lower. Winning the midterm elections on backlash to the affordability crisis and the Iran war alone is not a long-term strategy for Democratic politicians, especially those in red and purple states.

El-Sayed, the progressive firebrand running for the Senate in Michigan, is an exception to this trend. He’s solidly on the Left when it comes to economics. But unlike his counterparts in Iowa and Ohio, El-Sayed has remained unapologetically progressive on most cultural issues. In a Fox News interview, for example, he stuck to the progressive line on gender, and he has made little effort to critique 2020-style peak woke-ism. “Not all of those were bad ideas,” he told one interviewer, referring to the Democratic Socialists of America’s “abolitionist” positions on prisons, borders, and policing.

For progressives, El-Sayed’s campaign is do-or-die. Winning in a purple state like Michigan will be a powerful sign that the progressive agenda is viable beyond deep-blue districts. Progressives will use this energy to advance their policy goals into the 2028 presidential contest, the same way they did in 2020, when 10 presidential candidates ran on AOC’s Green New Deal. AOC herself recently declared: “If Abdul can win in Michigan, anybody can win anywhere.”

Another (partial) exception is James Talarico, who is running a surprisingly competitive race for the Senate in Texas. Campaigning in far redder territory than El-Sayed’s Michigan, Talarico has been largely unwilling to separate himself from the national Democratic Party brand — saying he was against biological boys competing in girls’ sports if it is “unfair” but quickly reversing his position after receiving backlash from his own party. But even Talarico has come out against gender surgeries for minors.

Given the political climate, candidates like Abdul El-Sayed, Rob Sand, Josh Turek, and James Talarico have a real chance of flipping red states. But if the likes of El-Sayed and Talarico lose while Amy Acton and Rob Sand win in Iowa, it should be a glaring sign to the party that winning in areas they used to win but no longer do requires rethinking progressive culture stances.

That is the central lesson. In my experience, progressive operatives are unlikely to heed it. In Texas, they will blame Elon Musk for Talarico’s loss. In Michigan, they’ll whine that the establishment media sabotaged El-Sayed by focusing too much on Hasan Piker. They will blame everyone else before confronting their own unpopular ideology. On the other hand, as one Democratic strategist told me: “If Amy Acton, Josh Turek, and Rob Sand win — it proves you can tell LGBTQ activists to go take a hike.”

No such luck over here, though. The Bill Committee for the Conversion Practices Bill is to be chaired by Alex Barros-Curtis, until 2024 the Head of the Labour Party’s Governance and Legal Unit, where he was a scourge of members who held legally protected sex-realist views. And Julie Bindel writes:

“The gender capture is making a mockery of our profession,” says Lianne Smith*, an experienced clinical psychologist who works with children. “We save lives — I save lives. This approach is destroying lives.” Smith is in no doubt about the damage she believes is being done within — and by — her profession. Psychology should be a lifeline for youngsters struggling with their mental health. Yet according to a small but growing number of clinicians, their ability to help is being undermined when it comes to those experiencing gender dysphoria.

At the centre of their concerns is the rise of so-called “affirmative care”: an approach which treats a young person’s declared gender identity as something to be validated rather than explored. Complicating the matter yet further is the Conversion Practices Bill, which will criminalise any attempt to instigate conversations around sexual orientation and gender. In other words, it will criminalise those psychologists who attempt to prompt deeper thinking in minors who are gender confused.

I spoke to dozens of psychologists for this investigation, all of whom expressed fears about the professional consequences of speaking openly. The institutions that should be defending them have instead helped create a climate in which voicing scepticism can carry serious consequences — both for clinicians themselves and for the vulnerable young people in their care.

*** 

Michael Kerr, 34, describes himself as “a walking example of what’s wrong with trans ideology and affirmative healthcare”. When he was 18, and not long out as a gender non-conforming gay man, Kerr was raped in a nightclub. Traumatised by the experience, he used drugs and alcohol to cope, wanting to dissociate from his body. He fell in with a queer crowd in the gay scene, which tried to persuade him that he was really transgender, and should live as a woman. His GP referred him to the Sandyford gender clinic (known as the “Scottish Tavistock”) in 2018, and his first appointment was in 2020.

He was, he says, affirmed by every medical professional he met. “From GPs, to receptionists, the gender clinic — [they] all instantly started referencing me as a woman. It was almost intoxicating to be recognised like that.” After a couple of sessions, he was told he could go straight onto a course of hormones even though he was also struggling with depression and self-doubt. No questions were asked, except which pharmacy he wanted oestrogen to be dispatched to.

From then on, Kerr says he was led down a path to full transition. “I now know that my problems came about because I had been raped and had no support to deal with it,” he tells me, “but I was just sent on a single path towards transition, and ended up living as a woman for seven years before realising it was a huge mistake, and starting on the path to detransition.”

Kerr, who set up Detransition Pathway UK this year, has suffered numerous health conditions since stopping oestrogen and starting testosterone. He is almost always in chronic pain, and has gynecomastia — excess breast tissue. But, he says, there are no agreed protocols to support people like him. Neither his GP nor anyone at Sandyford suggested Kerr might try generic mental-health support. “Any decent clinical psychologist should be able to recognise that so many of the young people presenting with gender identity issues have got underlying trauma under conditions,” he argues. “I am a living, breathing example of how not to deal with someone in mental distress.”

Transactivists have long argued that the number of those who regret transitioning, or revert back to their actual sex, is small, tending to estimate the figure at perhaps 0.1%. Kerr believes the figure is far higher, and suggests this is the fault of medical professionals looking after them. Even when he voiced doubts about his gender treatment, he says, the clinic told him to “keep going”.

Hilary Cass foresaw the problem back in 2024 when she published her review of gender identity services for children and young people. Back then, she addressed the fact that some practitioners had become reluctant to provide psychological support because they feared being accused of “failing to affirm a young person’s gender identity or of practising conversion therapy”. Cass was anxious that any future legislation “should not make workforce problems worse than they are”.

The British Psychological Society (BPS) does have a Code of Ethics and Conduct (2021). This outlines four key principles to adopt when working with patients: dignity, privacy, consent and self-determination “of all persons”; working only within one’s trained expertise; avoiding harm and safeguarding welfare; and honesty and transparency. These principles are particularly vital when working with children and young people, for obvious reasons. The trouble is, the body that is supposed to be advocating for children and professionals is failing to properly care for either.

Two years on from Cass’s review, the psychologists I spoke to attest that, if anything, things have got worse. Underlying complex presentations remain unexplored and insufficient time is given to evaluate psychological needs. As the conversion practices bill strides ever closer to legislation, fear within the profession is growing — yet hardly anyone dares to speak out. Of that small but significant minority of child clinical psychologists who have questioned the affirmative approach of “gender medicine” — all have been roundly punished. Some have lost their income, been labelled transphobic, or worse, held responsible for the deaths of “trans kids”.

“I’m seeing kids now who really need a psychologist who isn’t going to instantly affirm them and send them down the ‘gender’ route,” says Nancy Reed*. Clinicians are afraid to speak out, says the clinical psychologist based in London. “If they heard bad things about me [professionally] and their parents took them away from my care, they would be instantly affirmed by someone else, and that would be the end of that.”

The current model for gender treatment resembles what clinical psychologist Leslie Jones* describes as a “trans conveyor belt”: the affirmation approach leads to social transition, which in turn leads to puberty blockers, cross-sex hormones, and seriously risky life-long medical trajectories. We already know this. But what’s surprising is that the direction of travel isn’t changing. Jones was “horrified” by the “ideological stance” that had gripped the private gender clinic he worked in. Gender became the sole focus, with all of the problems which may have been behind the gender distress unexplored and left to fester. And as another clinician confirmed, we have “gone miles from evidence-based psychological thinking. It’s infiltrated everyone as well as the systems, the people, society.”

*** 

Consultant psychiatrist Az Hakeem believes the ideological capture of the mental health establishment first took hold two decades ago. When he began practising in 2000, Hakeem specialised in using psychotherapy to treat adult gender dysphoria. He trained in forensic psychotherapy at the Portman Clinic. This went on to become part of the Tavistock, where the now-disgraced and closed Gender Identity Development Service (GIDS) clinic, itself entirely focused on clinical psychology, was located. For Hakeem, who worked at the Tavistock until 2012, psychology was a crucial part of the diagnosis and treatment. He has always seen gender dysphoria as a “symptom” of broader mental-health problems, not simply a medical one. There is a significant distinction, as he saw it, between the work the psychologists were doing, and the work the physicians carried out. “The surgeons [carrying out sex reassignment procedures] were like master craftsmen,” he tells me. “They didn’t know what was happening in the mind of the patients; the psychiatrists simply referred them for surgery.”

In the early days at the Tavistock, he says he couldn’t keep his mouth shut. “It was just horrific what I was seeing. All I could see were children who’d just be gay. They were like camp boys and tomboy girls. And I remember saying to the person who ran it, ‘Isn’t what you’re doing mad?’” Hakeem was an early heretic, one of eight clinicians working at Tavistock to sign a 2002 letter published in the Telegraph which criticised a European Court ruling allowing a trans-identified male to marry his same-sex partner. The signatories described it as “a victory of fantasy over reality”. He knew, unlike many outsiders, exactly what was going on because he had worked closely with both preoperative and postoperative transsexuals. “They gave me a very good insight into how transitioning unhappy people with psychological problems is not the answer,” he told me. “In fact, their problems are almost always exacerbated. Some of the post-operative group members warned those that hadn’t yet had surgery to avoid it at all costs.”

In any other context, he says, the medical professional would explore a patient’s beliefs and motivations, in order to understand what else might be going on. And yet, right from the start, this was not the approach taken by mental health professionals with gender confused patients. As far back as the early 2000s, in other words, concern was being expressed, and indeed allowed to be expressed, about the fact that little, if any, treatment other than cross-sex hormones and surgery was available to gender-distressed patients. But if Hakeem was able to be relatively open about his views, the professional culture soon started to change.

*** 

Sam Wood*, a clinical psychologist for some decades, says the rise of transactivism “really hit hard a decade or so ago”. Such is the degree of its current entrenchment that the vast majority of clinical psychologists will avoid expressing any disagreement in public. Indeed, many are choosing not to work with gender distressed children because of the requirement to either affirm them or be accused of practising conversion therapy. “You’re going to get attacked by transactivists, including colleagues,” she tells me. “They can wreck you.”

Many clinical psychologists warn of this “chilling effect” when discussing the draft conversion practices bill, currently at the pre-legislative scrutiny stage. The Government claims the legislation is designed to criminalise abuse, as opposed to punishing parents or psychologists who resist the push to affirm. The problem is that what Cass suggested in her review two years ago is already coming to pass. Clinicians fear they will be accused of conducting conversion therapy if they take an exploratory approach with the patient — essentially, doing what they were trained to do. And so, instead of questioning the kids, they are urged to enable them. Psychology, it seems, has forgotten what it is for.

As Anna Hutchinson, a clinical psychologist with significant experience in child and adolescent mental health says: “Psychology is not just a profession that provides support and reassurance. It is supposed to be a scientific and clinical discipline, which requires us to question assumptions, scrutinise evidence and consider different explanations in all kinds of ways for all sorts of things. Gender shouldn’t be made an exception. If we lose the freedom to do all of this, we lose something really fundamental.”

Tony Lane*, who trained as a clinical psychologist in 2020, makes a similar point. “One of the first things I was told was: ‘If you have a butch-presenting girl, or a feminine boy… you’re going to have to affirm them as trans, unless their parents are hostile to the idea, and then you’d probably be sacked for conversion therapy’.” He added: “I thought they were exaggerating, but it turned out they weren’t.” More worrying still, Lane says he was constantly told that being transgender was not a mental health problem despite the repeated insistence that if these children were not seen and affirmed urgently, they might end up suicidal. “Surely that is a clear sign of extremely precarious mental fragility?” he asks. “I felt like we were being told: ‘agree with everything your patient says, do not scrutinise, meet their demands or they might die, and then you’ll have blood on your own hands’.”

It hardly helps, Sam Wood* says, that there “isn’t much of a backbone in the profession”. She tells me that as a result of this lack of resolve, “trans activists can easily steamroll, and just take over, delivering the training courses on gender, and writing the rules pretty much”. The backbone should be provided by their representative body, the BPS, which is supposed to advise and advocate for its members. But instead, supported by charities and lobbyists such as Gender Plus, Gendered Intelligence, and Pink Therapy, it is delivering courses which pretty much uniformly encourage the affirmation approach. As one old hand who attended such a course complained: “It was hard-line DEI, with constant talk of how race, class, disability, and all the other currently popular oppressions overlap with gender identity.”

That politicisation is now standard, with the BPS silencing any scepticism and pushback. “Their view is, anyone who hasn’t worked with gender is ‘not an expert’,” one former GIDS employee told me. “This mystical ‘expertise’ simply means being willing to affirm anyone and everyone who says they are the opposite sex.” “If you want an easy life as a psychologist affirming people, [it’s] a dream!” says Lianne Smith* who isn’t smiling. She is deeply frustrated by what has happened to her once meaningful clinical practice. “It takes a high cognitive load to sit with someone for 50 minutes trying to attune to their words, body language, [and] subconscious. Then there are the deeply traumatic stories of rape, childhood abuse, and loss. Gender affirming care takes away all the negativity and just leaves clinician and patient feeling happy and productive.”

What particularly upsets her is, somewhat ironically given the avowed commitment to diversity, is the one-size-fits-all approach. “The kids I work with, they are so varied,” says Smith. “The fact they’ve got the same diagnosis is utterly ridiculous.” “There’s a lot of victimhood about,” another whistleblower tells me. “There are individual [practitioners] using the fact that they are LGBTQ+, or autistic, or black as a qualification, as opposed to their skills as an actual clinical psychologist.” Indeed, she goes as far as to say that within the profession there are those “who are not cut out to be psychologists” — they simply want to “‘be kind”’.

If the affirmative model dictates that gender dysphoria is not a disorder — and the only “treatment” which can be offered is to kindly say “yes” to any request from the patient, fearing that to do otherwise would be an inducement to suicide — then the inevitable result is medicalisation. As Smith explains: “All identity is socially constructed, trans is no different. And in the case of ‘trans’, the identity has been constructed by and with medics and psychologists. No other identity needs medical affirmation to be legitimate, but this one does. It wouldn’t exist — in its current form at least — without medical and psychological compliance.”

There are some who dare speak out. But the consequences can be grim. Anne Woodhouse is an independent consultant clinical psychologist with over 25 years of experience. She nearly lost her job when, in 2022, she was reported to the Health and Care Professions Council (HCPC) for posting and interacting with Twitter posts critical of transgender orthodoxy. Only after three years of investigation was she cleared when no compelling evidence was found that she was unfit to practice. Regardless of the outcome, though, “the process has been the punishment,” she says. “Those three years were so stressful, and to have this serious threat to my professional integrity and career, pretty hellish.” “I had completely missed how all the organisations had been captured,” she continues. Her case perfectly illustrates the stakes of professional disagreement. Any questioning of the orthodoxy could lead to complaints not just from within the professional body, but also from the general public. In fact, Woodhouse was referred to the HCPC by the deputy head of her child’s school — a part-time drag artist.

I did find another psychologist to push back on the record. But Sandra Pertot is retired and in Australia, whose psychological society likewise refuses to support any form of mental health practice that does not “affirm” children who say they are transgender. Pertot specialised in sex therapy before retiring as a clinical psychologist four years ago. “In the Seventies and Eighties, I saw a lot of young kids who were confused about their sexuality. I used what has become called ‘watchful waiting’ with them and didn’t tell them whether they were gay or not gay.”

In 2006, Pertot moved to a small town and “naively” began airing her concerns about the rise in children presenting with rapid-onset gender dysphoria at her practice. “I knew nothing about this transgender drama that was going on in the rest of the world,” she says. “And I saw these young kids come in saying they were trans and I didn’t think anything of it. I just did some work, watchful waiting and the interesting thing was none of them suicided, none of them threw hissy fits.” Then, around 2019, Pertot saw two girls who both independently determined they were male. Unconvinced they met the criteria of persistent gender dysphoria, she sought the opinion of a psychiatrist who specialised in gender. She was told: “Sandra, If they’re saying they’re trans, they are trans.” “Both of them ended up going on hormone therapy, but it really bothered me,” Pertot continues. “So I started to question this, and this is where I got into trouble.” Like Woodhouse on the other side of the world, she received a complaint against her, and was told she was “the most hated woman in the Sydney queer community”. She’s only speaking out now because she’s retired. As she told me: “They can’t do anything to me now!”

*** 

So who protects the psychologists? The BPS, which represents 50,000 practitioners and shapes standards and the public debate, is the profession’s representative body. It should advocate for the integrity of the profession. But every single person I spoke to for this investigation holds that the BPS is, at least in part, responsible for the current climate of fear. It has failed to reassure practitioners that legitimate clinical disagreement will be protected. Indeed, it has shut down attempts by those within psychology to stand up to activism — and it has failed to stop activists from embedding themselves within the profession.

Pat Harvey, a retired BPS office holder, is among the Society’s most outspoken critics. She helped set up BPS Watch with other retired clinical psychologists concerned about the organisation’s direction. For her, the problem is not merely the BPS’s public position on gender, but how it has responded when members have challenged it. Its position is represented by the in-house magazine, The Psychologist. Harvey has made several official complaints about Jon Sutton, its long-standing editor, accusing him of personal bias and failing to foster balanced debate around gender ideology. Instead, she claims the publication has “regularly promoted the views of proponents of transgender ideology… actively suppressing those of gender critical or sex realist psychologists”. She also claims that BPS gender guidelines were resolutely “affirmative” and minimised the importance of co-morbid mental health concerns. Sutton, meanwhile, bats the complaints upstairs, confident that he will be supported.

Nowhere is this clearer than in the magazine’s promotion of the online clinic GenderGP. Run by Helen Webberley along with her husband Mike Webberley, the controversial service regularly prescribed puberty blockers to children with only minimal consultation. Helen was suspended for two months by a tribunal after putting three patients at “unwarranted risk of harm”, and Michael was struck off by the General Medical Council following a “catalogue of failings” and serious misconduct. When Harvey contacted Richard Stephens, at the time chair of the BPS’s editorial board, and now chair of its research strategy board, to complain about The Psychologist promoting GenderGP, he told her that the magazine’s advisory committee did “not propose to advise amending the article”.

“[Stephens] wrote that the day after the final Cass report was published,” Harvey says. “Doctors had been told that they should not prescribe puberty blockers or cross-sex hormones on the advice of GenderGP as it does ‘not provide physiological or psychological support to patients’. This clearly indicated that they should amend the entry or remove it.” Eventually, they took it down. Others have submitted similar complaints about being silenced and curtailed from doing their jobs effectively to no avail. One said that he was called a bigot for questioning the “trapped in the wrong body” narrative and told he shouldn’t be practising as a psychologist. Sutton, says Leslie Jones*, is “ideologically signed up” to trans ideology. “He said explicitly to me and several other people that he’s not actually going to produce any questioning or critical content relating to trans stuff, it’s all going to be affirmative because ‘trans people are the most marginalised and oppressed’.”

For Harvey, all this runs counter to the very purpose of psychology. “Psychology is supposed to be there to help people navigate their way through difficulties in their mental health, and understand how they became unwell,” she insists. It does not exist, “to validate social justice causes.” However, this is what happened to the BPS. And without the supportive oversight of the body purporting to protect its members, any psychologist exercising critical thoughts — essentially practising according to their training — is left at the mercy of activists.

Trans rights activists these days wield a lot of power when making complaints about “transphobic” clinicians. The Trans Safety Network (TSN), formed in 2020, extensively scrutinises the work of healthcare professionals, in particular clinical psychologists and those working in gender-identity services. Its stated mission is that it will “record evidence to understand the timelines and escalation of organised harm against trans people in the UK.” It looks into institutions to ascertain whether or not they are “transphobic”, and reports on alleged misdemeanours. “Trans people are not required to transition in particular ways, experience particular feelings, or obtain medical approval in order to be considered trans,” reads its values section.

In 2021, TSN was successful in its efforts to cancel a conference for trainee psychiatrists, hosted by Great Ormond Street Hospital, claiming that attendees would feel “unsafe” because two “trans sceptical” speakers would be attending. “There is no possible way in which this event can be a ‘safe environment’ for LGBTQ+ and especially trans participants,” they wrote. Health Education England agreed to cancel the event. The TSN has also devoted considerable time and resources trying to discredit the Cass Report. It has opposed Wes Streeting’s decision to ban puberty blockers; and it has poured scorn on the NHS for failing to immediately validate “trans children” and offer instant access to “gender affirming” drugs. The TSN also takes aim at the Royal College of Psychiatry, criticising anyone who suggests that puberty blockers and cross-sex hormones may not be good for children.

For his part, TSN’s director, Mallory Moore, has invested a great deal of time harassing clinical psychologists, and making numerous complaints to regulators and management. In an article published in 2023, Moore wrote: “I’ve been reporting conversion therapists to professional medical and therapeutic bodies in the UK for over two years, facilitating survivors to make complaints”. It’s worth remembering, here, what Hilary Cass said about clinicians worried about the affirmative approach: “The majority of [their] patient presentations were extremely complex, with a mix of trauma, abuse, mental health diagnoses, past forensic history, ASD and ADHD, and therefore this limited assessment was inadequate. These other clinical issues were not addressed or considered in decisions to prescribe masculinising or feminising hormones.”

*** 

Audrey Taylor* has worked with gender-distressed children and young people for her whole career. “I became known as the one that parents struggling to talk to their kids about sexual identity, or the difficulties they were having approaching puberty, would come to, because they trusted me. I’m a bit gender-unconforming myself, and I know how both boys and girls internalise punishing rules about how they should behave.” Initially, Taylor, who qualified in clinical psychology in the early Nineties, suggests that the kids who came to her would more often than not turn out to be lesbian and gay — or simply not fit the traditional mould of boys and girls. But, as she tells it: “Things got much more confusing once we got into the 2010s and beyond. Kids started telling their parents what to think, and the tables were turned.”

“Parents were being dictated to by their children who told them that they had no idea what it was like to be trans,” Taylor continues, “and that they knew exactly what the issues were, and that they didn’t need a psychologist to work it out for them. They diagnosed themselves.” She adds: “And the parents, this later cohort, appeared to be frightened of their own children.”

Taylor recalls that parents would initially make contact and tell her that their child was suffering from gender dysmorphia, or simply that they were transgender. “I’d never had patients or their parents self-diagnosing. I wasn’t sure what my role was anymore. I would try to scrutinise what the issues were, but I was usually shut down as soon as I started exploring other issues, such as trauma, potential neurodiversity, or some kind of mental health condition.”

Indeed, it’s hard for parents to know how to manage gender confused children, who may get kudos from their peers for identifying as trans, and validation from schools and social services. Given the ever-lengthening waiting lists for psychological help from the NHS, and the explosion in anxiety and autism among children, many desperate parents will seek help elsewhere — and private psychologists are happy to help. “If they are going through difficult times, for all kinds of reasons, they’ll just put all their eggs in one basket and say: ‘We’ve got a gender incongruent child’.” Private clinics will then give them instant validation. “Then the problems really begin.”

By this she means medication. Despite the warnings in the Cass Report about the weak evidence base for prescribing puberty blockers to treat gender dysphoria, this is an increasing problem. Not counting those who are in private treatment, today, more than 250 primary age children, some as young as four, are in line for “gender care” treatment at NHS clinics. What this care actually consists of is unclear. Although the use of puberty blockers has been banned, Cass has thrown a crumb to the activists, who may be able to access medication via clinical trials; Cass believes that otherwise, children will procure drugs from “unregulated and dangerous routes”.

In the meantime, with the explosion in mental health problems among the young, NHS waiting lists are growing ever longer, and private providers are thriving. In 2024, a private clinic called Gender Plus Hormones, for “gender questioning” young people, became the first service of its kind in the UK to receive approval from the Care Quality Commission (CQC). Part of the provider Gender Plus, it offers hormone treatment to those over the age of 16 following psychological assessment “by a team of clinical psychologists across a minimum of six sessions”. Its CEO is Aidan Kelly, who in 2024 wrote in The Guardian that clinicians should be the only ones deciding whether or not to ban puberty blockers, not politicians. He points out that puberty blockers can be helpful for a “carefully selected minority of transgender youth who have a clear and consistent understanding of their gender identity”. The trouble is, if these children have been affirmed in that identity without challenge from a young age, as seems to be the case within the profession now, how are they to know that this is truly what they want?

Currently, Gender Plus Hormones is unable to prescribe puberty blockers, but they have commissioned what they’re calling “an independent review” to assess the evidence behind the decision to ban them for children. Dr Gideon Meyerowitz-Katz has been commissioned to write it: he has referred to the Cass ban as a “moral panic”. So while a few clinical psychologists are battling to discuss whether their young patients have underlying trauma, others are applying to gender dysphoria the same logic that they might apply to preventative dental work, i.e., the earlier we get in there, the better.

This tortured debate over puberty blockers raises a serious question for psychologists: how are the effects of transition actually measured in the young? And this is something David Freedman, a retired social science researcher, has studied in depth. In 1998, he co-edited a book by the founder and former director of Tavistock’s Gender Identity Development Service (GIDS), Domenico DiCegli, called Stranger in My Own Body: Atypical Gender Identity Development and Mental Health. “At that time,” Freedman tells me, “there were relatively tiny numbers of people who claimed to be trapped in the wrong body.”

Some years later, as he saw growing disquiet within the profession with regard to children presenting with gender distress, Freedman came out of retirement to examine an early intervention study by GIDS and University College Hospital. The study involved 44 children aged between 12 and 15 recruited over three years. It concluded that the puberty blockers brought “no changes in psychological function”.

The methodology included information compiled from questionnaires from both parents and children about feelings, relationships and depression. Yet when Freedman, along with Professor Susan McPherson of the University of Essex, re-analysed the data, they found a huge range in the outcomes in terms of mental health. While just 29% had improved, 37% showed no change, and 34% had deteriorated. Their 2024 paper on the topic caused consternation among transactivists who had previously argued that puberty blockers do not cause harm.

“I felt children were actually being abused,” says Freedman, “and that they were being entrusted to a service that was not offering the best possible treatment to them.” “Puberty is crucial,” he continues, “children build bone mass and [the drugs] suppress growth spurt and skeletal strength. We don’t know yet exactly what effect it has on the brain, but we know it can and does affect functioning. This is unforgivable abuse.” 

Nonetheless, following the closure of the GIDS and a growing call for the puberty blocker trial to be cancelled, Cass told the British Medical Journal that she still considered it justified. “Her own review found that the evidence for puberty blockers is extremely weak, that there is no demonstrated benefit, and states that the longer-term risks are unknown,” says Lianne Smith. “And now Cass is a staunch defender of conducting a trial involving 250 child guinea pigs…”

*** 

Could there be another motivation behind the push for blockers? Joanne Hall*, who worked with young adults in a gender service, believes there might be. She says she discovered the limits of her freedom when she began questioning whether patients’ wider psychological needs were being adequately addressed. “Of the patients that come to the clinic, there is high rates of autism, of complex trauma, of abuse. Those things are clearly relevant, but I was called transphobic for saying it.” Hall says she took her concerns to senior managers, but was eventually pushed out of her role. She recalls confronting one manager: “I said, ‘We’re castrating people as a treatment option when this is about trauma and autism.’ He said, ‘I agree with everything you’re saying. The thing you don’t understand is that the gender service bankrolls the mental health service in this city.’” Her account raises a question that is arguably bigger than the dispute over gender medicine per se: what happens when someone’s clinical judgement comes into conflict with the priorities of the institution employing them?

 *** 

Today, Parliament will hear the first oral evidence on the Conversion Practices Bill. Which way will it go? And will the outcome be indicative of whether this bitter battle is lost or, finally, won? It is worth remembering Cass’s emphasis, in her review, that young people experiencing gender distress should receive comprehensive, evidence-based mental-health support, just like any other child with similar psychological or neurodevelopmental needs. But that would require psychologists to be brave and robust enough to stand up and say that their profession doesn’t advocate for this approach any more. It would also require their regulatory body to support them.

Will the BPS do that? The jury is out. I contacted them, offering a right of reply regarding the numerous complaints made by members and former members. And I also asked what they had to say about Sallie Baxendale’s shortlisting for the Maddox Prize, following her research into the effects of puberty blockers on brain development. The prestigious prize is awarded to scientists “whose courage and persistence in promoting or defending evidence despite facing obstacles have had significant real-world impact”. And, as Baxendale pointed out: “It is a sign that something has gone very wrong when ordinary clinical enquiry and following the evidence needs to be recognised as an act of courage.” “The BPS should have been the strongest advocate of the concerned clinicians at the Tavistock,” she says, “and should now be celebrating them as examples of the very best of us.”

But while the BPS declined to respond, there is a glimmer of hope. A number of psychologists have gravitated over to the Association of Clinical Psychologists (ACP-UK), which does take a firm stand against the instant affirmation model. What will this rupture do to the practice and integrity of clinical psychology? Today’s parliamentary hearing will give an early indication of how this battle might play out. But amid all the furore, a more important point risks being forgotten. Those who have the most to lose from this struggle aren’t the psychologists or the credibility of their discipline; the greatest price will be paid by the vulnerable people it exists to help.

* Names have been changed.

More Equal Than Others

The Green Party supports Scottish and Welsh independence, so parties opposed to the existence of the United Kingdom represent all four parts of it in the House of Commons while providing the First Ministers of all three parts that had them. Sinn Féin has never condemned the IRA, any more than the DUP has ever condemned Ulster Resistance, which has never declared a ceasefire. Or any more than Likud has ever condemned the Irgun, the Lehi or the Haganah.

53 seats for the bloc led by Benjamin Netanyahu, much of which would, or at least should, be unconscionable on the part even of Israel’s rightist partisans in the West, never mind its centrist ones. 48 seats for the bloc led by Gadi Eisenkot, which those liberals ought to consider contained Yisrael Beiteinu. Would or should their own parties allow membership to be retained by anyone who had gone into so much as a municipal coalition with anything remotely comparable to that? And 19 seats for the Arab-led parties, which are as diverse as the rest, since there are 2.1 million Arabs in Israel, as many as the population of Slovenia, Saxony-Anhalt or Thuringia, and more than the population of each of a further 11 European countries, of each of a further four German Länder, or of Northern Ireland.

Yet unlike in 2021, a ring of fire must surround those parties, a change comparable to the removal of Coloureds from the common electoral role in the Cape in 1956 and then from the electorate altogether in 1968. Apartheid South Africa lasted 48 years, and Coloureds had the vote for the first 20 and the last 10 of them, with Indians also enfranchised in that final decade. But it was still apartheid. As is this, since United Torah Judaism is non-Zionist. It is not anti-Zionist like Neturei Karta or Satmar, but since those prove their point by boycotting even so much as voting for the Knesset, then nor is Balad, Hadash, Ra’am or Ta’al. Like the equally anti-enlistment Shas, though, UTJ is Jewish, and that makes all the difference. So yes, apartheid. Even in The New Yorker, Ruth Margalit has noticed:

As the projected results of Israel’s elections were announced on Tuesday night, the atmosphere in Tel Aviv was oddly quiet. In Habima Square, which has hosted raucous anti-government protests in the past three years, only a trickle of people showed up. Some waved the Israeli flag, colored pink to signify resistance; others walked around in a daze. No one seemed to know whether to celebrate or weep.

Here’s what the results showed: A decisive majority of Israelis rejected the government of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. His coalition of far-right and ultra-Orthodox partners went into the election with sixty-eight seats, out of a hundred and twenty; it is projected to emerge with fifty-three—eight seats short of what Netanyahu needs to form a majority government.

Palestinian citizens of Israel voted in unprecedented numbers, with a turnout rate estimated as high as eighty per cent. Predominantly Arab parties are projected to have almost doubled their representation in the Knesset, from ten to nineteen seats. It’s not hard to imagine that the current political climate would discourage Palestinian Israelis from voting: the national-security minister, Itamar Ben-Gvir, openly regards them as enemies; gangs of Jewish settlers act with impunity in the West Bank; Gaza has been almost completely destroyed. Instead, their outrage seemed to have served as an extraordinary mobilizer. Many of them were reportedly inspired to vote by Ben-Gvir’s claim that he would demand the defense ministry in the next government.

But the results also show that Netanyahu’s Likud Party maintained its dominance. His main challenger, Gadi Eisenkot, fell well short of the results that most polls predicted. Eisenkot’s party, Yashar, is projected to have twenty-one seats—a decent showing for a new party, but not a groundswell by any measure. If you combine the Jewish parties and the Arab parties in the anti-Netanyahu bloc, they secured more votes. But the pro-Netanyahu bloc won more votes from Jewish Israelis. Many will view this as the election’s bottom line: that a “Zionist majority” is the only one that counts. (What they mean is a Jewish majority. The ultra-Orthodox parties are openly anti-Zionist.) Eisenkot himself seems to have adopted a similar framework when the exit polls were first released. “Netanyahu finds himself tonight facing a larger and stronger Zionist majority,” he said.

“It is disappointing, but comes as no surprise,” Noa Landau wrote in the left-leaning newspaper Haaretz, to see how Eisenkot “framed the election results in the form of a ‘Zionist’ majority for a government led by him and fell precisely—and I mean, precisely––into the trap Netanyahu laid for him.” Under the Israeli electoral system, the next step is for the country’s President, Isaac Herzog, to ask party leaders which candidate they recommend for Prime Minister. That candidate then has roughly a month to form a majority. As things stand, it is unclear whether that task will fall to Netanyahu, the leader of the largest party, or Eisenkot, who could become the leader of the largest bloc of parties. But Eisenkot would need support from Arab parties to form a coalition, and he spent his campaign equivocating on whether he would be willing to do so; some of his partners in the opposition have flatly rejected the idea.

That leaves Netanyahu. His campaign strategy in the days before the election seemed to rely on scaring the Israeli public into voting for him. In a series of interviews, Netanyahu acknowledged that the multi-billion-dollar annual defense package that the U.S. gives Israel “is over.” He added that crippling international sanctions were inevitable, so the country should be prepared to “circumvent” them by turning to cryptocurrency. (He seemed to regard his government’s policy of expanding Jewish settlements in the West Bank, which has already triggered sanctions from eleven European countries, as irreversible.) The comments rattled markets and scandalized experts. “All he has to offer the Israeli economy is a bizarre solution that is common among criminal organizations,” a scathing letter signed by more than a hundred Israeli economists concluded.

Netanyahu will now do everything in his power to peel lawmakers away from the opposition to cobble together a majority. It won’t be easy. Although some opposition leaders vowed not to sit in a coalition with Arab parties, all of them vowed not to join one headed by Netanyahu. This is the deadlock that many Israelis feared going into the election. It means that the country will now face weeks or months of coalition wrangling, of raw nerves and bitter infighting—only to risk ending up in the same impasse.

Once those negotiations are exhausted, there are two likely scenarios. There will be enormous pressure from within Israel and from abroad to form some sort of national-unity government, headed by both Netanyahu and Eisenkot. Trump indicated as much, when unnamed U.S. sources told Israeli media that he wants to “make sure” that the next government does not include Ben-Gvir. On Wednesday, the popular Israeli news site Ynet laid out a possible framework for such a government. It would include Netanyahu, Eisenkot, and Naftali Bennett—a former Prime Minister who is now in the opposition. The article suggested that the three would each take a turn serving as Prime Minister, in alignment with “Trump’s vision.”

For Netanyahu, though, breaking away from his longtime ultra-Orthodox partners could spell the beginning of his political end. (The last time he turned his back on them, in 2013, his coalition splintered after less than two years.) Eisenkot and Bennett also seem unlikely to agree to a unity government anytime soon. Not only did they promise voters that they would not join forces with Netanyahu—they also personally believe that he represents an active danger to democracy. “I know Netanyahu,” Eisenkot said on a recent campaign stop, in Tel Aviv. “He’ll stop at nothing” to remain in power. Bennett, for his part, has called recent allegations that Netanyahu’s aides served as influence agents for Qatar the “most serious act of treason” in the country’s history. Yet they might reconsider if Israel seemed headed toward another imminent escalation with Iran. On Wednesday, The Wall Street Journal reported that the U.S. and Israel were preparing for a possible round of strikes on Iran after the American midterms.

The other scenario is that the results will be so inconclusive that, in a few months, Israelis will be sent to the ballot box again. It wouldn’t be the first time. Between 2019 and 2021, there were four rounds of elections in just two years, and the government that was ultimately sworn in dissolved within eighteen months. Netanyahu may well be counting on a repeat election. He knows that Israelis living abroad, an estimated sixty-seven thousand of whom showed up to vote in this week’s elections, are unlikely to make another trip in a few short months. And Arab Israelis are unlikely to repeat their historic turnout if they conclude that it did nothing to improve their standing. In that scenario, Netanyahu would not only stay in office, as the leader of a caretaker government; he could emerge from the next election with a wider lead and a solidified base of support. Eisenkot is clearly aware of that risk. Early on Wednesday, he said that, after an election “with such high turnout,” it would be “a mistake” to call another.

And so, in opposition circles and in online forums, momentum began gathering around a simple argument. The anti-Netanyahu bloc, along with the Arab parties, will have a decisive majority in the next parliament. Why not use it? “We can no longer accept Netanyahu’s racist division between Jewish votes and Arab votes,” Yair Golan, who heads a left-wing opposition party called the Democrats, wrote as results filtered in. Golan is the only Jewish party leader who had stated that he would happily join a coalition with an Arab party. He added, “The vote of an Israeli citizen voting in Tira”—an Arab city—“is worth exactly the same as that of an Israeli citizen voting in Givat Shmuel”—a Jewish city. Historically, it’s not only that Arab parties were excluded from coalition negotiations. They themselves refused to participate, so as not to be seen as aiding the Zionist project. That changed in 2021, when Mansour Abbas, the head of an Islamist party called Ra’am, joined Bennett’s short-lived government.

Amit Segal, a political commentator for Channel 12 who is deeply influential on the right, on Tuesday tried to brush off Arab voters’ electoral potential. “The Israeli government will not sing ‘Biladi, Biladi,’ ” he said, referring to the Egyptian national anthem, which one Arab-majority alliance had reportedly sung as returns came in. The Arab Israeli vote is largely divided between two parties: the Joint List, an alliance of factions which is projected to have twelve seats, and Ra’am, which is projected to have seven. Abbas had already proved willing to be an active member in a coalition government. Yousef Jabareen, the leader of the Joint List, expressed the same willingness on Wednesday. Jabareen said that he was prepared to “leverage our political power to advance the values we believe in.” He put forth a stark choice before the Israeli people. “It is either continued racism, continued exclusion, and continued supremacy, or genuine Jewish-Arab partnership,” he said. “We will be ready to pave the way to topple the government of Netanyahu, Ben Gvir, and Smotrich—and send them home.”

Craig Murray is at the very least more right than wrong:

Netanyahu is seeking to build a new coalition with Jewish “opposition” parties to ensure the continued exclusion of Arabs from government in Israel. It will be a long and convoluted process but I expect he will eventually succeed. In the meantime he remains in power. Next week Trump will lose control of both Houses in Washington and face challenges to his executive power. Both Trump and Netanyahu will need a new war emergency to strengthen their domestic position. I shall therefore be surprised if there is not a major US/Israeli assault on Iran by mid November, to destroy Iran’s non-existent nuclear weapons (as opposed to Israel’s real ones).

This will have disastrous consequences for everybody involved. If Trumpenyahu seeks actually to topple the Iranian government it is going to require unprecedented levels of force, such as an invasion of many hundreds of thousands of ground troops or the deployment of a nuclear weapon. Merely resuming the murderous conventional bombing will have no more result that it did before. A spectacular event might be attempted such as the destruction of the oil facilities on Kharg Island, but the environmental consequences would be enormous and choke the Gulf States, while Iran’s retaliation would be massive and the economic impacts unquantifiable.

Trump and his circle have already seen the potential for vast fortunes to be made by insider trading and futures speculation in the on/off attacks on Iran we saw previously, but a return to limited and sporadic violence is not going to meet the scale of Trump and Netanyahu’s political necessity. Personally, I have applied to go to Iran in early November to be able to report truthfully on the country and on what happens, as any attack will be accompanied by a major wave of anti-Iranian propaganda. I appreciate that this is dangerous, but I have a compulsive belief that those of us who see how dark the world is turning have a duty to stand up against invigorated western Imperialism, which currently threatens a multi-front war that could blossom into World War III. 

It is extraordinary that zionists are claiming that, as Arab Israelis can vote, the Israeli elections disprove apartheid. The entire political discussion in Israel centres on how to form a coalition while keeping Arabs out of government. In the entire history of Israel there have only been 2 Arab Muslim cabinet ministers. Both were very short term and both were token “Minister Without Portfolio” – meaning they had no power over anything and crucially had zero Jewish personnel under them. The notion of any Arab Israeli ever instructing a Jewish Israeli is anathema to the racist mindset. That is, if you are interested, 00.8% of all full ministers in the history of Israel have been Muslim Arabs, who comprise almost 20% of the population. There have also been three Druze ministers over that 78 years.

Within the Knesset itself, Arab members have been repeatedly reviled, spat at, punched and entirely marginalised. The so called Israeli “opposition” explicitly campaigned both for continuing the policy in Gaza (they did not call it Genocide by name but that is what they meant), and for excluding any Arabs from the Israeli government. Zionism is plainly racism. It is proven beyond reasonable discussion on the above facts about exclusion of Arabs from government. Yet we have the entire political and media class in the UK attacking the English Green Party in a sustained onslaught for saying this simple truth. We also have schools in England being forced to teach uncritical support for Israel as a compulsory subject, based on a nonsense report by a committed zionist, commissioned by a committed zionist minister in hock to the Israeli lobby. 

The report’s claim that 70% of Jewish schoolchildren had suffered anti-semitism at school, based on the self reporting of the personal experience of 29 sixth formers, has been widely ridiculed. In general, even aside from the numerous self faked instances involved in anti-semitism reporting, it is essential the UK government stops accepting the self-reporting of Jewish victimhood without question or analysis. This is a privilege it accords to no other group. I have reported over decades on the ludicrously inflated alarmist claims of the Community Security Trust of double digit increases almost in anti-semitic incidents every single year – often high double digit increases – which if true would now amount to millions of incidents annually. They include, for example. saying “Free Palestine” as an anti-semitic incident if it is within the hearing of a Jewish person.

The Community Security Trust receive £21,000,000 million annually in UK government money to safeguard the Jewish Community. By contrast the equivalent body for the Muslim community, the British Muslim Trust, receives £650,000. This is a “safe” Muslim organisation whose leadership group is replete with Orders of the British Empire. A more active Muslim body, Tell Mama, used to receive the grant but was closed down after a right wing and zionist campaign against it, on the grounds it was inflating anti-Muslim incidents. For example, Andrew Gilligan published in an attack article in the Telegraph that only 7% of Tell Mama’s documented incidents involved physical violence against Muslims. Yet this is a higher percentage than ever found in the equivalent statistics from the Community Security Trust, whose grant is not only not cancelled but ever-increasing. Indeed every single criticism levelled by Gilligan at Tell Mama – criticisms which led to the cancellation of that group’s funding – is much more true of the Community Security Trust.


This part of the Bell report was particularly interesting. I would have no problem at all sitting down to eat with a Jewish person, but I would have qualms about sitting down to eat with an open zionist of any race – which is not to say I would not do it, but I would worry about how confrontational the meal might turn. According to Bell that makes me an anti-semite, and this is where his insistence that schools accept the IHRA definition, conflating anti-semitism with criticism of Israel, is key.

Soft zionists – those who wish the long term genocide of the Palestinian people and theft of Palestinian land to proceed without too much outcry – had hoped for a change of face to lead the project – though the notion that Eisenkot, the architect of the Dahiya Doctrine of destruction of entire communities, is any less genocidal than Netanyahu is a nonsense. Now Netanyahu is still there, and my bet is that Naftali Bennett or another “opposition” leader will join him on the basis of excluding Arabs from government.

I also strongly suspect that the increase in Arab representation will lead to the end of Palestinian representation in the Knesset, through a change to the voting system, the banning of parties or simple disenfranchisement. There is precedent: Israel formally considers occupied East Jerusalem a part of Israel proper, but the 400,000 Palestinian residents there do not have the vote. Jewish settlers there do have a vote.

There is every sign that the Burnham regime is even worse than the Starmer regime on Israel and the Middle East. Burnham has sent UK fighter jets to Saudi Arabia to support attacks on Ansar Allah and the Yemeni people. Burnham has capitulated in the effective closure of the UK Consulate General in East Jerusalem, and expulsion of British diplomats, without retaliation. Burnham has brought in no new sanctions against Israel and stopped no arms supplies. Trumpeted sanctions against illegal Israeli settlers in the West Bank were a lie – nothing has happened.

Above all, the persecution of supporters of Palestine Action continues unabated. The government has no obligation to continue the case in the Supreme Court. To frame this as “letting the courts decide” or “obeying the rule of law” is sickening hypocrisy. The question is not whether the government has draconian powers in law, which will be accepted by the Supreme Court. The question is whether it was moral and correct to use them in this way. It would, for example, be legal to abolish old age pensions and invalidity benefits. If parliament voted for it, the Supreme Court would uphold it. The question is not if the Supreme Court will allow it, it is whether it is the right thing to do. Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood’s equation of Palestine Action activists with skinhead gangs who attack immigrants was appalling.

I believe that happily we have reached a turning point. It was hubris for Healey to make a £10 billion donation to the Nazi friendly Ukrainian dictatorship in a budget which focused attention on the very real fall in living standards in the UK. Reaction across social media and in legacy media website comment threads has been overwhelmingly negative. It has taken time for the wide gap between the public and the Establishment on the crimes of Israel to have a major effect, but I sense a change there too. Netanyahu has retained power, and the conviction of grannies and aged priests in the UK as terrorists is due to get fully underway in the New Year. Huge increases in already the World’s highest grid energy bills are going to happen at the same time. The attacks on Iran and the Ukrainian destruction of Nord Stream have had a massive combined effect on world energy prices. The people are not stupid; they understand this. It is also increasingly plain that the war agenda encompasses both the Middle East and Eastern Europe.



Devil’s Coalition of USA, Ukraine and Israel led the resistance at the UN to the General Assembly vote condemning the illegal blockade of Cuba. It feels as though events are moving at fast forward, hurtling us helter skelter either towards the widespread war which western “liberals” are advocating, or to the overthrow of neoliberalism. I do not currently see where we could land between those two alternatives.

And David Miller may not be right about everything, but he is right about this:

This week Al Jazeera’s Investigative Unit broadcast Contract Killers and the Far Right, a 46-minute undercover documentary that exposes links between Turning Point UK (TPUK) and Allan Nesbitt, whom it describes as a convicted criminal and a member of the Ulster Volunteer Force. In a secretly recorded meeting in a London hotel, Al Jazeera reports, Nesbitt said he could arrange the killing of a fictional business rival, who “can have a bad accident”. The fallout was swift. The Conservative Party suspended TPUK’s chief executive Jack Ross, a former Tory candidate, “with immediate effect pending an investigation”.

One of the less-noticed figures in the film may be the most embarrassing for a British charity. Just under seven and a half minutes in, the narrator explains that “Jack introduces Greg as the leader of the Southeast Division, an anti-immigration group”, and an on-screen caption names him as “Greg Smith, Leader, South East Division”. Photographs I have examined show a man who bears a striking resemblance to Smith wearing the steward’s vest of the Campaign Against Antisemitism (CAA) at the charity’s march in London on 26 November 2023, posing alongside Tommy Robinson.

What Al Jazeera filmed

Al Jazeera does not call Smith a hitman. Its headline reserves that word for Nesbitt, the “paramilitary hitman” at the centre of the investigation. What the film shows is Smith meeting Ross and the undercover reporter to plan a joint protest. “For a law-abiding citizen,” the narrator observes, “he does appear concerned the police may find out what they’re going to discuss.” The subtitles have Smith telling the reporter: “So, I’m going to have to make sure you’re not wired.”

“Once reassured that no one is listening,” the film continues, “Greg explains how his associates will provide muscle at TPUK protests.” Unsure whether he can mobilise his own men, Smith recommends the Patriots of Britain, which the narrator says “include former football hooligans notorious for pushing an anti-migrant agenda”. That is the same group Ross described Nesbitt as belonging to, according to Al Jazeera’s press release. Smith, the narrator adds, “later attended TPUK protests alongside known members of far-right groups”, among them a man Al Jazeera links to the neo-Nazi group Combat 18. The film notes that TPUK “have always denied links to the far right”. Al Jazeera says that Ross denied its findings “completely” and that “the other parties featured did not respond to our inquiries”.

The steward at the ‘Antisemitism march’

On 26 November 2023, as crowds gathered for the CAA’s march, Robinson posted a photograph of himself beside a grey-bearded man in a pale blue high-visibility vest bearing the CAA’s logo. “Here’s one of the Stewards for today’s Antisemitism march,” Robinson wrote, “he’s absolutely fine with me being here, my presence doesn’t alarm or distress him at all.” The post resurfaced in April 2024 when the rapper Lowkey quote-posted it, observing that “it appears that Tommy Robinson was welcomed by a steward from Gideon Falter’s organisation, the CAA.”




Top: the CAA steward photographed with Tommy Robinson on the day of the march.
Bottom: Greg Smith as identified in Contract Killers and the Far Right.

Set the images side by side and the resemblance is hard to miss: a strikingly similar face, a similar grey-white beard, a similar black beanie. In Al Jazeera’s footage Smith’s beanie bears a small red badge that appears to be a poppy, and the South East Division’s logo, shown on screen, reads “South East Division Remembers” and “Lest We Forget”, framed with poppies. A photographic comparison is not proof of identity, so I put the question to the CAA: was Greg Smith one of its stewards?




Close-up comparison of the CAA steward (top) and Greg Smith (bottom).

The irony is acute. Two days before the march, a CAA spokesperson told The Guardian that “the drunken far-right thugs who came to ‘protect the Cenotaph’ on Armistice Day … are not allies of the Jewish community and are not welcome at our solidarity march”. The police said Robinson was not welcome either, and he was arrested at the march for failing to comply with a police dispersal order. He was later cleared: on 23 April 2024 a district judge ruled that there was no case to answer, because the officer who authorised the order had put the wrong date on it. Yet if the photographs show what they appear to show, a man whom Al Jazeera later filmed, and whom its narrator describes as explaining how his associates would “provide muscle” at TPUK protests, was wearing the charity’s vest that day and posed with Robinson.

A charity with secret trustees

The CAA is not simply a campaign group. It is a registered charity, number 1163790, a charitable incorporated organisation registered on 1 October 2015, which reported income of £2,479,754 for 2024. Its charitable objects, as recorded on the register, are:

“To promote racial harmony for the public benefit between Jewish people wherever in the world and other members of society by the elimination of antisemitism, including raising awareness of the occurrence of antisemitism and providing advocacy, assistance, care and relief in relation to those affected by antisemitism. To advance education as regards the history, causes, effects and prevention of antisemitism for the public benefit.”

Who is responsible for meeting those objects is kept secret. The register states that “there is no trustee information available for this charity”. The Charity Commission has granted the CAA an exemption from publishing its trustees’ names on safety grounds. When a rabbi used freedom of information law to obtain them, the commission, the Information Commissioner and a tribunal all refused. Gideon Falter, its chief executive, is the public face. The people who govern it are not.

The regulator’s findings

The Charity Commission has looked at the CAA repeatedly. In 2018 it opened a regulatory compliance case over a petition declaring that Jeremy Corbyn “must go”, and had the wording changed to say Labour “must act”, “to ensure it complied with our guidance on campaigning and political activity”. A second case, which followed complaints from Jewish Voice for Labour, was closed in 2024 with “advice and guidance”. The regulator refused the group’s application to strike the CAA from the register on the ground that it lacked standing.

In September 2025 the commission went further. After complaints, among them one from John McDonnell MP, about a CAA article that called the suspension of some arms export licences to Israel “obscene”, it concluded that “not all of the content within the article was capable of furthering the charity’s objects”. It also found that the trustees’ failure to keep adequate records of the decision to publish “amounts to mismanagement”. It issued a remedial Action Plan requiring the trustees to “improve the administration, management and governance” of the charity. The CAA called the finding “baseless and unacceptable” and said it was preparing a judicial review. I can find no public report of any outcome. In February 2026 McDonnell raised fresh concerns with the commission about a CAA statement attacking the High Court’s Palestine Action ruling. No outcome has been published.

‘Not playing it straight’

The CAA’s use of the courts has fared worse. In December 2025 District Judge Michael Snow quashed the charity’s private prosecution of the comedian Reginald D Hunter. “The CAA have demonstrated by the misleading and partial way in which it summarised its application and its wilful, repeated failure to meet its disclosure obligations that its true and sole motive in seeking to prosecute RH is to have him cancelled,” he wrote. “I have no doubt that the prosecution is abusive.” He found the failures of disclosure “intentional” and described the CAA as “an organisation which is not ‘playing it straight’ but is seeking to use the criminal justice system, in this case for improper reasons”. He also ordered that his judgment be attached to all of the CAA’s future applications. The judge noted that the CAA had not told him about the Charity Commission’s compliance case. The CAA has since applied for permission to seek a judicial review.

I should declare an interest. The CAA is also prosecuting me. It alleges that posts I made on X were “menacing” under section 127 of the Communications Act 2003. A fourth charge was added in October 2025, when my counsel argued that the prosecution was abusive and the court ordered the CAA to disclose internal material on how it decided to bring the case. The case is scheduled to continue on 12 November.

Should it remain a charity?

Here is a charity whose stated purpose is racial harmony. Its trustees are hidden from public view, the regulator has found mismanagement in its administration, and a judge has called one of its prosecutions abusive. Now it faces another question: did it put one of its stewards’ vests on a man Al Jazeera has since filmed offering “muscle” for protests alongside the far right? If the photographs show what they appear to, the Charity Commission should be asking how the CAA vets the people who act in its name. It should also be asking whether an organisation like this should keep the public trust, and the privileges, that charitable status confers.