Saturday, 26 September 2026

Doubting Thomas

Imagine, just imagine, that Palestine Action had slashed a dinghy at sea with a man in it, or attacked the RNLI, never mind the RNIB because it could not tell the difference. But at least Daniel Thomas has been remanded in custody despite having been charged with nothing more than criminal damage and failure to provide the PIN number for his phone when he had used a bladed article to try to kill someone.

In 2016, Thomas was one of three men who attempted to kidnap a rival drug dealer, got the wrong man, and then apologised to him on Facebook. Having gone to town on their stupidity, the judge gave Thomas a much lower sentence than the other two, for the same crime. "Danny Tommo" is a Police informant. Any conceivable doubt about that would be blown out of the water, either if his case never went to trial, of if he were convicted, but not then sentenced as a terrorist.

Parade Ground

Everyone is saying that the restricted Orange march at Drumcree would be over in a few minutes, but does that take into account the sheer age of today’s Orangemen? Yet on the steps of the Royal Courts of Justice in Belfast with Mary-Lou McDonald and Michelle O’Neill was of course Breandán Mac Cionnaith, eternal face and voice of the Garvaghy Road Residents’ Coalition, and for many years General Secretary of Éirígí. So it is not that this could turn spicy. It already is.

The decision to allow this march has been denounced by Colum Eastwood, whose partner is Louise Haigh. As First Secretary of State, Chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster, and Minister for the Cabinet Office, Haigh is effectively the Deputy Prime Minister. In black tie last month, I toasted “The King, Duke of Lancaster” in Liverpool. Make what you will of the fact that the Chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster was cohabiting with an SDLP MP. Or of the fact that an SDLP MP was cohabiting with the Chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster.

Thursday, 24 September 2026

A Liberal Dose?

With far more MPs than all smaller parties and Independents put together, the Liberal Democrats are the third largest party in the House of Commons, and all of their MPs were elected on their ticket. They also lead more councils than the Conservatives. Obviously, then, they do not need the publicity. Rather, the media blackout of them is a failure to subject them to proper scrutiny. It continued even during the five years of the Coalition. All in all, a dereliction of responsibility.

The subsequent Conservative Governments demonstrated that the Lib Dems had been the more pro-austerity and pro-war party to the Coalition. In itself, that would make them the perfect partner for Labour, perhaps even leading to a merger, a dream that has never quite died in certain minds. Tony Blair acquired it from Roy Jenkins, in both parties but of neither. If it were only about policy or even philosophy, then the leading elements of the five main parties in England, six in Scotland and six in Wales would all be in the same party. That would at least create the space for anyone else. But it is not going to happen.

The old battle of King and People against the Whig magnates has resumed, with Jacob Rees-Mogg, whose father called himself a Whig and sat in the House of Lords as a Crossbencher, siding with the Lib Dems, if not behind the latest bearer of the Spencer standard, then at least on conscription, which the Liberals introduced to this country. It does not approach Douglas Murray's overdone 1930s aristocratic Fascist leader, but Rees-Mogg's impersonation of a First World War general from Blackadder Goes Fourth would be enough to make anyone insist on Ukrainian levels of compulsion before joining up. Will he be sending any of his own five sons, or will they be spared in the manner of Blair's three? And what of Boris Johnson's vast progeny? Even more than Blair, Rees-Mogg and Johnson exemplify the injunction to ignore anyone who advocated a military intervention unless you could imagine that person as an 18-year-old in battle.

And so to the Lib Dems, who initially want "a national register of civilian volunteers" in preparation for war. As ever, the call for something like this is coming from the liberal bourgeoisie. That is the class least likely to join the Armed Forces voluntarily, or to see combat even in periods of conscription. Operationally, that is of course just as well. But if there is not a strong enough case for conscription, then there is not a strong enough case for war. Unless a country needed to mobilise its entire healthy and able-bodied male population of fighting age, then it is not under sufficient threat to justify going to war at all.

Having been born since 1995, nine Labour MPs, including a Minister, belong to the famous Generation Z. One is Nadia Whittome, and Euan Stainbank also showed Resistance potential during the Starmer Occupation, but are the others in the Reserves? Is the 27-year-old Joshua Reynolds, whose Lib Dems have only once in their 38-year history seen a war that they did not like? But if they were on this register, then that sort could claim to be doing their bit. In that spirit are the NIMBY campaigns by which the Lib Dems recruited. Piddington is in a Lib Dem ward of a Lib Dem district, it is in a Lib Dem ward of of a Lib Dem county, and it is in a Lib Dem parliamentary constituency. Not all individuals will have "voted for this", but the community certainly did. Just for somewhere else. Naturally.

Piddington also manifests one of the most important trends of our age, the radicalisation of the old. Had attendees at the Reform UK conference been lifelong political activists, then hecklers would have been par for their course. But having come to such matters late in life and having been whipped up into a frenzy of anger, they reacted by pulling hair, grabbing throats, and beating with walking sticks. At demonstrations organised by the likes of Stephen Yaxley-Lennon and Daniel Thomas, the ranting nanas are the Piddington ladies without the million pound houses. Alongside Japanese and Norwegian journalists who could not comprehend the unreliable wifi or the lack of public transport, Thomas himself has graced Piddington with his presence, so a bridging of the gap may be underway.

Yet Thomas and his Patriot Platform have been supported by Rupert Lowe, whose Restore Britain differs from Reform in supporting the abolition of the triple lock. Reform may want the pensioners whom Nigel Farage had himself done so much to rouse, but Restore clearly has its sights on the energised male youth, soon to be enfranchised from the age of 16, while conceding the female cohort to the Green Party. Quite how Suzette Watson fits into that, who knows?

Lowe and Restore are backed by John Cleese. Still ubiquitous in school RE lessons, Monty Python's Life of Brian has done more than any other single phenomenon to destroy a basically Christian culture in this and several other countries, to the point that most people would no longer get the jokes because those assumed mass familiarity with the Gospels. Such is the generation of which the male half will vote Restore if available but Reform if not, while the female half will vote Green.

It really will serve the Labour Party right when its lowering of the voting age had that effect. And in best Blairite fashion, whenever it is not trying to ban something, then it is trying to make something compulsory. People will vote if they are given anything to vote for. Indeed, with Labour now ahead of Reform, it is not clear why those agitating for compulsory voting thought that there was a problem.

They Are Telling Us What They Believe

"The only democracy in the Middle East" strikes again, as Michael Hauser Tov, Chen Maanit, Noa Shpigel and Jack Khoury write:

Israel's Central Elections Committee voted Wednesday to disqualify Mansour Abbas' United Arab List slate from running in the election, as well as the Joint List, which consists of the parties Hadash, Ta'al and Balad. The vote came after left-wing Knesset member Ofer Cassif of the Arab-Jewish Hadash party and Balad chairman Sami Abu Shehadeh were banned earlier the same day. These decisions may be reversed by appeal to the High Court of Justice.

In its disqualification of the UAL – which was part of former prime ministers Naftali Bennett's and Yair Lapid's government – the committee said the party rejects Israel as a Jewish and democratic state, incites racism and expresses support for an armed struggle against the country. Last month, centrist politician and former Deputy Public Defense Minister Yoav Segalovitz joined the party as number two. Additionally, the committee disqualified the Joint List on the same grounds as the UAL. 18 voted in favor of the disqualification and five opposed. The ban on Cassif, on the grounds that he denies Israel's existence as a Jewish and democratic state, was objected to by Israel's attorney general. The committee also voted to disqualify Sami Abu Shehadeh, chairman of the Balad party, over an article he wrote the day after the October 7 attack, on the grounds that he supported an armed struggle or actions of a terror organization against Israel. Unusually, Central Elections Committee chairman Supreme Court Justice Noam Solberg also voted in favor of disqualifying Abu Shehadeh. 

Under Israel's Basic Law on the Knesset, a candidate or party may be barred from an election for rejecting Israel's existence as a Jewish and democratic state, inciting racism or supporting armed struggle against Israel by an enemy state or terrorist organization. Disqualifying a party or candidate from running in Knesset elections is a far-reaching step, intended to be used with maximum caution and restraint due to the fact that disqualification runs counter to the fundamental right to vote and be elected, and infringes on freedom of expression. The bid to disqualify Abu Shehadeh was filed by Itamar Ben-Gvir's far-right Otzma Yehudit party over the article, in which the leader described the Hamas attack as "an important historic event militarily, politically and strategically." Abu Shehadeh said he regretted writing the article at the center of the request to disqualify him. "I wrote it on October 7, and I didn't know the scale of the atrocities. If I had known, I would not have written it this way," he said. "I agree with the justified criticism of the article. I should not have written it, and I should have clearly condemned [the attack]." "My intention was for the military campaign to be halted and for the parties to move to a diplomatic track led by the Palestinian Authority and Arab states," he explained.

All Jewish-majority opposition parties have expressed support for Abu Shehadeh's ouster, including the center-left Democrats party chairman, Yair Golan. "There are no concessions for Abu Shehadeh and no concessions for Ben-Gvir – both should be disqualified," Golan said in a statement. According to Attorney General Gali Baharav-Miara, the article might have constituted support for an armed struggle by a terrorist organization against Israel, which would be suitable grounds for disqualification. Avigdor Lieberman's Yisrael Beiteinu party went one step further than the other opposition parties, saying that it would vote for the disqualification of all majority-Arab parties running for the upcoming Knesset elections, not just Abu Shehadeh.

Discussing Likud's request to disqualify Cassif, attorney Ilan Bombach said Cassif had acted contrary to Israel's objectives as a Jewish and democratic state. "He wanted to repeal the Law of Return. He approached countries and said that we are committing 'genocide,' and called for the release of Marwan Barghouti, who was convicted in three terror attacks in which five people were killed," Bombach said. Cassif said that portraying his opposition to the government's policies as support for the enemy distorted reality. "The disqualification requests are intended to achieve the complete delegitimization of Arab society and Israeli-Arab partnership, and to perpetuate totalitarian rule and majority tyranny," he said. He added: "There is no contradiction between the absolute condemnation I have expressed of the Gaza massacre and the war crimes being committed by the Israeli government, and the absolute condemnation I have expressed of the October 7 massacre and Hamas' horrific crimes."

Cassif's attorney Hassan Jabareen responded: "Bombach complained that Cassif said there is genocide in Gaza. There are at least a million people in Israel who say it's genocide. Are they illegal? Is it a crime? Is a member of Knesset not allowed to say something that an ordinary citizen is allowed to say?" Jabareen added: "There is no case for disqualifying Cassif. Cassif has made no statement supporting armed struggle against Israel." During the election committee's session on Wednesday, left-wing activists protested outside the Likud's headquarters in Tel Aviv against the effort to ban the lists, saying that they "reject the racist campaign against the Arab public and the idea that democracy is only for Jews."

The Central Elections Committee's largely political composition, with most members stemming from Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition, was expected to approve disqualification requests against majority-Arab parties, the United Arab List and the Joint List – and potentially against the center-left Democrats as well – while rejecting requests against right-wing parties. Later on Wednesday, the committee will also discuss the coalition's petitions to bar Mansour Abbas' United Arab List, which argue that the party supports Hamas' armed struggle against Israel and rejects Israel's existence as a Jewish and democratic state. The petition filed by Likud claims that although the UAL has integrated itself into Israel's parliamentary system, Abbas has acknowledged that he deliberately adapts his public statements to the legal restrictions governing participation in elections in order to avoid disqualification. The UAL said in response that the petitions include no evidence pointing to the party's alleged support for an armed struggle by a terrorist organization or an enemy state.

See also here:

Israel's Central Elections Committee voted Wednesday to bar two candidates from running in the October election, along with all the Arab parties, prompting appeals to the High Court and exposing divisions within the opposition over efforts to disqualify candidates and Arab-majority parties. The committee voted 31-4 to disqualify Balad chairman Sami Abu Shehadeh over an article he wrote immediately after the October 7 attack, on the grounds that it constituted support for armed struggle or the actions of a terrorist organization against Israel. It voted 19-5, with two abstentions, to bar left-wing lawmaker Ofer Cassif of the Arab-Jewish Hadash party on the grounds that he rejects Israel's existence as a Jewish and democratic state. Both decisions can be challenged before the High Court, which will ultimately determine whether the candidates may run. Abu Shehadeh, the third candidate on the Joint List slate, said he would appeal the decision, accusing the committee of seeking to silence Arab voters and exclude them from the political system.

"The Elections Committee's decision today to disqualify my candidacy is not directed only against me, but seeks to disqualify the voice of an entire public, exclude it from the political arena and reduce voter turnout in Arab society," he said. "We will petition the High Court to defend our right and our public's right to representation and political participation," Abu Shehadeh added, saying he would continue his "consistent and nonviolent struggle for freedom, justice and equality for all citizens." Cassif called his disqualification "a predetermined decision with no legal basis," accusing Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition and its allies of using the Elections Committee against government opponents. "I will continue to fight for the representation of my voters and for the values of peace, equality and genuine Jewish-Arab partnership in the next Knesset as well," Cassif said. 

The votes highlighted a divide among Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's opponents over the disqualification proceedings. Democrats chairman Yair Golan backed Abu Shehadeh's disqualification while saying his party would oppose efforts to ban the United Arab List and Joint List in their entirety. "We will resolutely defend the right of Israel's Arab citizens to vote, be elected and be partners in leading the country," Golan said, adding that his party would not allow "an entire public to be made illegitimate." Golan said, however, that Abu Shehadeh's remarks following October 7 crossed a line, while Democrats faction chair Efrat Rayten said his statements amounted to support for armed struggle. Both drew a parallel with far-right Otzma Yehudit chairman Itamar Ben-Gvir, with Golan saying, "There are no concessions for Abu Shehadeh and no concessions for Ben-Gvir – both should be disqualified."

The Democrats' position drew a sharp response from the Joint List. Its chairman, Yousef Jabareen, accused Golan of joining what he described as a "racist and anti-democratic" disqualification campaign led by Ben-Gvir and Netanyahu. "Anyone who seeks the votes of the Arab public cannot support denying its right to political representation," Jabareen said. "Democracy for Jews alone is not democracy." A senior Joint List official separately described the Democrats' support for Abu Shehadeh's disqualification as "bizarre" and "condescending," criticizing the party for joining a petition submitted by Otzma Yehudit. The Together party, headed by Naftali Bennett, also said it supported barring Abu Shehadeh, while Yisrael Beiteinu said it would support disqualifying both candidates as well as the United Arab List and Joint List.

Yesh Atid chairman Yair Lapid, by contrast, said his party would largely sit out the proceedings, describing Elections Committee disqualification hearings as "a show for the voters." "I voted in the past to disqualify Abu Shehadeh, just as I voted in the past to disqualify Ben-Gvir," Lapid told Army Radio. "The court always overturns it, so we decided that we'll simply stop participating in this game." Attorney General Gali Baharav-Miara opposed Cassif's disqualification, saying the evidence did not establish grounds for barring him despite statements and actions she strongly opposed. Adalah, which represented Cassif, said it expected the High Court to overturn the decision. Baharav-Miara took a different position on Abu Shehadeh, saying his October 2023 article could constitute support for armed struggle by a terrorist organization and provide grounds for disqualification. Abu Shehadeh told the committee that he regretted the article and would not have written it as he did had he known the scale of the October 7 atrocities. He denied ever supporting terrorism or armed struggle against Israel.

Supreme Court Justice Noam Sohlberg, who chairs the Elections Committee, took the unusual step of voting for Abu Shehadeh's disqualification. Committee chairmen have generally refrained from voting in such cases for roughly two decades. Sohlberg said he had initially intended to follow that practice but found Abu Shehadeh's response to the allegations insufficient, saying the case was clear enough that he could not justify abstaining. Ben-Gvir, whose party filed the petition against Abu Shehadeh, said the evidence warranted his disqualification and argued that the committee should have voted unanimously to bar him. The committee is also considering petitions to bar the United Arab List and Joint List, as well as requests targeting Otzma Yehudit, Religious Zionism, Zehut and the Democrats.

Causing Joshua Leifer to write:

If their recent conduct is any indication, many in the anti-Netanyahu opposition would prefer to lose the upcoming election – allowing Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to remain in power – than to accept the basic democratic principle that the votes of Palestinian citizens of Israel are equal to those of Israeli Jews. While polls show that the opposition has no path to a majority without support from at least one of the Arab-led parties, opposition leaders are vowing not to form a coalition with them – and are now joining in the attacks on their legitimacy.

Avigdor Lieberman, who heads the secular, right-wing populist Yisrael Beitenu party, announced on Wednesday his support for barring the Joint List, Hadash MK Ofer Cassif, Balad leader Sami Abu Shehadeh, and Mansour Abbas' United Arab List from running in the election. Yet it is not only Lieberman, long the more xenophobic pole of the anti-Netanyahu camp, who has taken aim at the Arab-led parties and their representatives. Haaretz reported earlier Wednesday that members of Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party have pushed him to declare that he will not form a government with Abbas' United Arab List – in which Yoav Segalovitz, a former deputy police commissioner and Zionist Israeli, occupies second place on the party roster. Eisenkot has repeatedly said that Abbas' UAL does not meet his minimum criteria for joining a potential coalition that he would lead. Even Yair Golan, leader of the left-wing Democrats, announced his support on Wednesday for barring Balad's Abu Shehadeh from running.

There is a great deal that distinguishes the leaders of the Arab parties and their ideologies. Abbas has turned his Islamist party into a platform for Arab-Jewish partnership and speaks in terms of peace, mutual recognition, and the common ground of shared citizenship. Abu Shehadeh, by contrast, wrote on October 8, as fighting still raged in Israel's south, that Israel's humiliation at the hands of Hamas might be a model for others – that "if small, besieged Gaza managed to do this at this level, then others can do it even more effectively and simply." Abu Shehadeh's comments in praise of the Hamas attacks are morally wrong. He has since apologized, and in a social media post on Wednesday, wrote that he opposes armed struggle. Yet in any democracy worth its name, the freedom to express beliefs that others find abhorrent is a fundamental freedom. Moreover, few legal experts believe his statements are sufficient evidence for disqualification, and there is no precedent for barring a candidate for expressing support for armed struggle against Israel.

The attempt to bar the Arab-led parties is one of Israel's perverse election-time rituals. Even when the election committee does bar parties, the decisions are often reversed by the Supreme Court. Only in very rare cases have bans on parties or their leaders been upheld. On Wednesday, the committee – whose composition reflects the composition of the current coalition – voted to bar both the United Arab List and Joint List from running, including Cassif and Abu Shehadeh. Absent a significant deviation from the Supreme Court's historically cautious record, these decisions will likely be reversed too. Still, the cumulative effect of the attacks on the Arab-led parties and their representatives is to reinforce the notion that Arab political participation is illegitimate writ large.

The process also reflects a racist double standard. Where Arab-led parties are closely scrutinized for their support, or lack thereof, for Israel as a "Jewish and democratic state," extremist Jewish parties are not. Their participation is taken as a given. It was not the supporters of the UAL, Hadash, or Balad who have, over the last few years, rioted outside military bases, besieged the homes of Supreme Court judges, and threatened the lives of institutional gatekeepers like the attorney general, but those of the right-wing and religious parties that comprise Netanyahu's outgoing coalition. Some may argue that the opposition is once again falling into Netanyahu's trap – getting pulled along in the perpetual moving-right show that is Israeli politics – by joining in the attacks on the legitimacy of the Arab-led parties. But that would be to let the leaders of the anti-Netanyahu opposition off the hook. They are telling us what they believe. Given the choice between Netanyahu's return to the prime minister's office and a government in which the Arab-led parties play a role, they appear to prefer the former.

Wednesday, 23 September 2026

Burnham Introduces the Ministry of Truth

Paul Knaggs writes:

In the seventh chapter of Nineteen Eighty-Four, Winston Smith arrives at the thought that sits at the centre of the whole book. “The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears,” he reflects. “It was their final, most essential command.”

Orwell did not think tyranny began with the burning of books. He thought it began when ordinary people were persuaded that what they could see for themselves was not really there: the thin ration, the broken lift, the promise that had quietly become its opposite. The Party did not need everyone to love Big Brother. It needed them to doubt their own experience. 

On Tuesday night in New York, Prime Minister Andy Burnham stood before the United Nations General Assembly and told the world that “over the last decade we have given too much ground to those who want to run a negative, corrosive narrative about life in Britain, which bears no resemblance to reality.” Then he announced a new National Centre for Information Defence.

Before going any further, I want to be fair to him, because the threat he described is real.

THE ENEMY IS REAL. SO IS THE MIRROR.

Russia runs an information war against this country. Burnham listed the tools: bots, fake websites, falsified newspaper articles and the forged branding of 28 British organisations, including universities and the BBC. These are not harmless internet pranks. They are deliberate attempts to manufacture credibility, disguise the source of information and exploit existing divisions inside another country. That is information warfare, and Britain has every right to defend itself against it. Nothing that follows excuses Moscow. 

But we would be treating our readers as fools if we pretended Britain comes to this fight with clean hands. Britain did not learn information warfare from the Kremlin. In a good many respects, it was the teacher.

In 1948, Clement Attlee’s Labour government set up the Information Research Department inside the Foreign Office to counter Soviet propaganda. It was not an MI5 outfit or some shadowy Conservative plot. It was ours, created by the most radical government this country has ever had. And it was secret. It operated for nearly three decades before it was wound up in 1977.

What began as counter-propaganda did not stay there. In 2021, The Observer revealed that during the Indonesian massacres of 1965, the IRD had produced pamphlets posing as the work of Indonesian patriots and urging them to eliminate the communist party. Hundreds of thousands were killed. Declassified files later studied by the historian Rory Cormac showed the department forging statements in the names of Soviet bodies: at least eleven fake statements from the Soviet news agency Novosti between 1965 and 1972. In 1963 it forged a statement from a Soviet front organisation denouncing Africans as “primitive” and morally weak, then watched it spread through the African press.

Set that beside the charge Burnham laid against Russia at the United Nations: forging the branding of other people’s institutions to deceive a foreign public. Britain did it first. In Indonesia, it did it while people were being slaughtered.

Nor was the BBC’s overseas broadcasting ever as detached from the state as its reputation suggests. In August 1953, as MI6 and the CIA moved against Iran’s elected prime minister, Mohammad Mossadegh, the BBC Persian service is reported to have altered its routine midnight time announcement as a pre-arranged signal to the plotters. The World Service’s credibility abroad has always been an asset of British foreign policy, which is precisely why the state has valued it.

The pattern did not end with the Cold War. In 2011, the public was told that bombing Libya was necessary to protect the people of Benghazi. Five years later the Commons Foreign Affairs Committee concluded that the threat to civilians had been overstated, and that the mission had “drifted into an opportunist policy of regime change.” Libya collapsed into civil war. The claims that took Britain into that war did not come from St Petersburg.

Then, in 2018, came the case that should hang over every word Burnham said on Tuesday. The Integrity Initiative, a Foreign Office-funded project set up to counter Russian disinformation, was found to have shared articles on its Twitter account calling the Leader of the Opposition, Jeremy Corbyn, a “useful idiot” who “helped the Kremlin cause”. Money voted by Parliament to defend democracy from Moscow had been spent, in part, amplifying attacks on the Labour Party. Richard Burgon put it plainly at the time: the government “shouldn’t be using public funds or the state to undermine or attack the official opposition.” The Initiative’s founder later apologised to Corbyn.

Today, Britain works openly inside other countries’ information environments. Burnham told the Assembly that “we have already supported Moldova to protect its elections from Russian interference.” Perhaps that support was entirely benign. But Moscow describes its own operations in the language of protection too. The only thing that separates a democracy’s information work from an autocracy’s is accountability: open rules, independent oversight, and a firm wall between foreign threats and domestic argument. That wall is exactly what Britain has failed to build at home.

Orwell understood all of this from the inside. He spent the war at the BBC, producing broadcasts for India, and drew on its grim offices for the Ministry of Truth. In 1949, gravely ill, he handed the IRD a list of writers he considered unreliable as anti-Stalinist propagandists. His critics have spent decades calling that hypocrisy. They misread him. Orwell believed Stalinist lies had to be fought, and believed just as fiercely that any state entrusted with that fight would be tempted to turn its weapons on its own people. He saw no contradiction in holding both convictions. Neither should we.

So if the new centre does only what the Prime Minister’s own words say it will do, “to detect, attribute and disrupt these kinds of hostile state information attacks”, few of us would object. The trouble is that the speech does not stay there.

HOW THE TARGET MOVED 

Read the passage as Burnham delivered it, in sequence, and watch the enemy change shape.

It begins with the Kremlin: its bots, its forgeries, its roughly £1.3 billion a year. It then describes what that money buys, “an insidious campaign that reaches into people’s homes and twists what they feel about their own country and community”, which is “creating a narrative of decline, stoking division and sowing despair.” 

Then comes the sentence that should have stopped every civil libertarian in the country at breakfast. “We have given too much ground to those who want to run a negative, corrosive narrative about life in Britain, which bears no resemblance to reality.” 

Those. Not “the Kremlin”, not “hostile states”, but a word left open. Perhaps he meant Moscow alone; several broadcasters reported it that way. But a head of government choosing his words for the world’s largest diplomatic stage knows the difference between naming an enemy and describing a mood. He described a mood. 

He then told the Assembly who is most at risk from that mood. “If you’re struggling with the cost of living and your life is not improving”, he said, or if you are young and “not in employment, education or training”, then “you are going to be much more vulnerable to this kind of influence.” 

So in the space of a few paragraphs we travel from a foreign intelligence operation, to a feeling of national decline, to the people who are poorest and the young who have been left without work. The sense that things are getting worse is presented as something done to Britain from outside. The people most likely to feel it are presented as the weak point in the nation’s defences. 

This is the part Orwell would have recognised. The danger is not that a government fights Russian propaganda. The danger is that a government comes to treat discontent itself as a security threat, and then builds an institution to manage it. 

WE HAVE SEEN THIS MACHINE BEFORE 

The Integrity Initiative was an outsourced project, and ministers could plead ignorance of what it did. The state’s own in-house machine tells the same story, and here there is no one else to blame. 

In 2019 the government set up the Counter Disinformation Unit, supposedly to tackle false information spread by foreign states. During the pandemic its remit spread outwards. Investigations by the civil-liberties group Big Brother Watch found that it had been logging the online speech of MPs, academics, journalists and campaigners who disagreed with government policy. Posts by senior Conservative, Labour and Green politicians that criticised government policy, and contained no factual errors, were among those flagged to social media companies. 

When the story broke, the government did not close the unit. It renamed it. In November 2023 the Counter Disinformation Unit became the National Security Online Information Team, and ministers began to stress its security role. Big Brother Watch then obtained the team’s internal policy, which it said contained almost no references to national security and described the unit’s function as building “a picture of mis/disinformation threats”, with a remit that also covers “public safety”. 

Parliament has tried twice to bring the team under proper scrutiny. In March 2024 the Culture, Media and Sport Committee called for an independent review of its activities. After the 2024 election, the new Labour government ruled that out and said ministerial oversight was sufficient. In July 2025 the Science, Innovation and Technology Committee went further, recommending that the government “place NSOIT on a statutory footing and bring it under the remit of the Intelligence and Security Committee.” The government’s reply that October pointed to privacy notices, Freedom of Information requests and ministerial oversight. It did not accept the recommendation. 

When a Liberal Democrat peer asked in early 2024 why the team escaped the Intelligence and Security Committee, the minister, Viscount Camrose, told the Lords that the government had “a strong preference for not allowing it openly to share national security information”. The logic runs in a circle. The unit is called a security body, so it cannot be scrutinised; it cannot be scrutinised, so nobody can check whether it deserves to be called a security body. 

Against that record, the morning after the speech, Defence Secretary Wes Streeting went on GB News to reassure the country. “We’re not interested in policing domestic political dissent,” he said.

He may mean it sincerely. But assurances from ministers are exactly what we were given last time. No one has yet told Parliament whether the new centre will absorb NSOIT, stand alongside it or replace it. No one has said what law it will operate under, which committee will oversee it, or what it may refer to the platforms it will work with. A Prime Minister who was serious about the difference between foreign attack and domestic argument would have answered those questions in the same breath as the announcement. He did not.

WHO VERIFIES THE VERIFIERS? 

There is a further, quieter problem, and Burnham handed it to us himself by naming the BBC as a victim of Russian forgery. 

The BBC is a victim of that forgery. It is also, at home as well as abroad, an institution that gets things wrong. In November 2025 its Director-General, Tim Davie, and the head of BBC News, Deborah Turness, resigned after a Panorama programme was found to have spliced together separate passages of a Donald Trump speech, so that viewers heard him say something he had not said in that form. 

None of this makes the BBC a Russian asset, and none of it makes Moscow’s lies harmless. Foreign propaganda does not become innocent because domestic broadcasters make mistakes. But domestic institutions do not become the custodians of truth simply because foreign propaganda exists. Every body that will sit around the new centre’s table (government departments, the security services, the platforms, the trusted broadcasters) has its own interests, its own blind spots and its own record of error.

Then there is the Prime Minister’s own number. The Kremlin, he said, spends “around £1.3 billion each year on manipulating information.” It is a striking figure, and it may be right. But no methodology was published with it, and UN News rendered it in dollars without any source either. Figures of that size that have circulated in the past referred to the entire budget of Russian state media, rather than covert disinformation. In a speech about the dangers of unsourced claims, the most quotable statistic arrived unsourced. It is a small thing. Small things are how trust is lost.

DECLINE IS NOT A NARRATIVE IN THE HEARTLANDS 

Here is what troubles me most, and it is not really about Russia at all. 

For much of the past decade, Andy Burnham was the most prominent politician in England making a simple argument: that the North had been failed. As Mayor of Greater Manchester he stood on the steps of the Town Hall in 2020 and fought Downing Street over support for workers during lockdown. He built a political identity out of telling Westminster that people in towns like Wigan, Oldham and Bolton were not imagining their decline. They were living it. 

In the places this newspaper writes for, decline is not a story someone planted. It is the bus route that stopped running, the high street of charity shops and vapes, the GP appointment three weeks away, and the young man with no work, no training and nowhere to go. No bot farm in St Petersburg closed the pits or sold off the buses. Russia exploits these wounds; it did not inflict them. And the people who feel them are not a vulnerability in the national information system. They are witnesses. 

Burnham half-knows this, and to his credit he said so at the UN. “Part of the challenge is to lift our people up and create the opportunities they need,” he told the Assembly. “When inequalities grow too wide, our societies are at greater risk.” That is the right diagnosis. But notice the order of events. The security chiefs were tasked with building the information centre “today”. The 10-year Plan for Britain, which is meant to address the conditions that make people angry, will be brought forward “later in the year”.

The contradiction deepens further on. Near the close of the speech, Burnham described the statue of Abraham Lincoln outside his new No10 North office in Manchester, which commemorates the mill workers who refused to handle slave-picked cotton during the American Civil War. He praised them as people “with little power” who used it for others, and called theirs “bottom-up change led by people.” He is right to honour them. But those workers were not repeating an approved narrative about life in Britain in 1862. They were hungry, they were angry and they were right, and the respectable opinion of their day told them otherwise. 

WHAT MUST HAPPEN NOW

If the government means what it says about defending democracy, it can prove it before the new centre opens its doors. 

The National Centre for Information Defence should be established in statute, with a remit written into law that is confined to hostile state activity and expressly excludes lawful speech by people in this country, however gloomy, angry or wrong. It should come under the oversight of the Intelligence and Security Committee, as Parliament’s own Science Committee has already recommended for NSOIT. It should publish an annual report listing every request it makes to a social media platform to remove or restrict content, with the reasons. It should carry a sunset clause, so that Parliament must actively vote to renew it. And ministers should tell the country now whether NSOIT is being folded into it, and what becomes of that unit’s files. 

None of this weakens the fight against Russia. A centre that exposes Kremlin forgeries in public, with its methods open to scrutiny, is more credible and therefore more effective than one that works in the dark. Britain’s own history shows what happens when information work is left to operate in secret: it drifts from the enemy abroad to the awkward voice at home. Secrecy is not strength. It is simply the condition under which mission creep goes unnoticed. 

Orwell’s Party asked people to reject the evidence of their eyes and ears. A democratic government should ask the opposite: to look hard, to report honestly and to keep asking awkward questions, above all about the government itself. 

Russia did not close the pits, sell the buses or empty the high street. A government that cannot tell the difference between a foreign lie and a domestic grievance will end up policing the grievance.

Joined Forces

Inside Time reports:

Parliamentarians, trade union leaders and rank-and-file police officers have joined forces to call on the Government to order a Royal Commission on Prisons and the Justice System.

A joint letter to Prime Minister Andy Burnham calling for the move was signed by the officers of the Parliamentary Justice Union All Party Parliamentary Group: Liz Saville Roberts MP (Plaid Cymru), Lord Balfe (Conservative), Richard Burgon MP (Labour) and Lord Woodley (Labour).

They were supporting an approach from Steve Gillan, General Secretary of the Prison Officers’ Association; Jo Grady, General Secretary of the University and College Union; Fran Heathcote, General Secretary of the Public and Commercial Services union; Ian Lawrence, General Secretary of the National Association of Probation Officers; Nicola Ranger, General Secretary of the Royal College of Nursing; and Mel Warnes, acting National Secretary of the Police Federation of England and Wales.

In a joint statement, the unions said: “Rehabilitation is simply impossible in violent, squalid and overcrowded jails. Sticking-plaster solutions such as early release schemes are doomed to fail unless probation is made fit for purpose, while plans to restrict jury trials are a dangerous and wrong-headed response to case backlogs caused mainly by cuts and mass court closures under the last Government.”

The union chiefs said that despite early warnings by the Labour government that it had inherited a “ticking time-bomb” in prisons and that failure to act would mean “the prospect of a total breakdown of law and order”, the response by ministers since had been piecemeal, timid and contradictory. The unions said that narrow reviews into sentencing, courts and prisons had barely scratched the surface of what is needed. They also criticised privatisation within the justice system and last year’s cuts to prison education provision.

The Parliamentarians, in their supporting letter, added: “The current prison overcrowding crisis is just the tip of the iceberg, and it is important to recognise that it is interconnected with other problems – from squalid and violent prison conditions, with ineffective education and rehabilitation programmes, to excessive probation workloads, severe courts backlogs and intolerable pressures facing staff throughout the criminal justice system.

“As the statement (from the Unions) makes clear, the scale and interconnected nature of the problems demand holistic, end-to-end reform, rather than the current piecemeal approach of narrow reviews. We ask you to give serious consideration to this proposal and to engage directly with the unions, whose members experience the consequences of these pressures every day. We would welcome the opportunity to meet with you and relevant ministerial colleagues to discuss the case for a Royal Commission.”

Added to these calls, Nick Smart, president of the Police Superintendents’ Association, also called for a Royal Commission whilst speaking at his organisation’s annual general meeting, which was attended by Policing Minister Sarah Jones. Mr Smart said this had been promised by the then-Conservative government in 2019 but not delivered, and would be the first such examination of the criminal justice system in more than 60 years.

Further Fuel

Jess Barnard is an elected member of the National Executive Committee of the Labour Party, and she writes:

Last night, Andy Burnham announced that the UK will provide ‘defensive air to air refuelling’ support to Saudi Arabia’s military, plunging Britain into another disastrous conflict in the Middle East. Amid a worsening humanitarian situation in Yemen, the latest Saudi attacks risk more civilian deaths and an acute refugee crisis, with thousands already displaced.

Burnham’s arrival in office seemed to suggest the possibility of a break from Starmer’s complicity in Israel’s genocide in Gaza and collusion with the war on Iran — two shameful stains on Labour’s legacy. But with this new announcement, history seems to be repeating itself.

The conflict with the Houthis began in 2015 when a Saudi-led coalition, backed by the US and UK, intervened in Yemen’s civil war. Their goals were to dislodge the Houthis and to prop up the government headed by Abdrabbuh Mansur Hadi, who would keep the country in favour with Saudi Arabia. The campaign killed nearly 9,000 civilians, with many more dying from the effects of the war, from collapsed services to starvation to epidemics.

Britain supplied spare parts, ammunition and maintenance to the aggressors along with unconditional political support. The then foreign secretary Philip Hammond declared that the UK would assist the Saudi military ‘in every practical way short of engaging in combat’, which included sending military advisers.

London thus gave the Saudi coalition a free hand to commit a litany of war crimes. As early as 2016, a UN panel found that it had engaged in ‘widespread and systematic’ attacks on civilian targets. In 2018, a Saudi airstrike hit a school bus, killing 29 children. Cluster bombing targeted medical facilities and ancient heritage sites. Yet the onslaught ultimately failed. The Saudis were forced to sign a truce in 2022, but by that time it was too late: Yemen had already been shattered.

The fragile peace was broken after the recent bombing of Sana’a airport by Saudi Arabia. The subsequent Houthi offensive has seen them gain control of Yemen’s western coast and, with it, the chokepoint of the Bab al-Mandab Strait, an area crucial to Saudi Arabian oil transportation.

The UK responded by providing refueling support for US operations against Yemen last year. While Starmer tried to justify these actions as ‘defensive’, the Pentagon itself reported that they had ‘more likely than not’ resulted in the killing of 281 civilians. Human Rights Watch warned that Britain’s involvement in the operation ‘may make them complicit in war crimes’. On 29 April 2025, Starmer took British involvement up a notch, becoming the tenth British Prime Minister to directly bomb Yemen, as RAF Typhoons carried out a joint UK-US strike south of Sana’a.

This was yet another futile operation. Less than a week later, Trump was forced to sign a peace agreement with the Houthis. But the humanitarian impact of this forever war could not be clearer. Around 47 percent of the Yemeni population are currently experiencing crisis levels of acute food insecurity while nearly half of children under five are acutely malnourished, according to the UN. The World Health Organisation observes that the country is already facing ‘multiple concurrent health risks’, including cholera, measles, dengue, diphtheria and trauma. More than 112,00 people have already been internally displaced, with UN agencies warning that they lack the resources needed to support those forced from their homes.

Now, Burnham has agreed that Britain will help to refuel the Saudis’ killer jets — visiting yet more destruction and misery on the poorest country in the region. Outlandishly, he tried to frame this decision as an attempt to alleviate the UK’s cost-of-living crisis, as if deepening civilian suffering in Yemen would somehow offer respite to communities in Britain. If anything, more bombing will only exacerbate the inflationary pressures triggered by Trump’s war on Iran, which are pushing up prices for working-class people worldwide.

When the war on Yemen started in 2015, Labour opposed Britain’s involvement and committed to both suspending arm sales to Saudi Arabia and presenting a resolution at the UN to end the conflict. History now looks kindly on this position.

Burnham should follow this example and break from years of failed international policy. His government could rebuild the international aid programmes that Starmer brutally cut, and provide safe passage to refugees fleeing the war, rather than pouring further fuel into the region.

While Malise Ruthven writes:

In February 1940, my godmother, Freya Stark, arrived in Sana’a carrying a forbidden cinematograph projector. Her mission was to loosen Fascist Italy’s influence over Imam Yahya, the formidable ruler of Yemen’s Zaidi imamate. Fortunately for Stark and the British, scratchy Ministry of Information footage of Royal Navy ships in Portsmouth made what she called a tremendous impression, with Yahya and his court unable to resist this display of naval might. The Italian legation was furious, and talked of importing a projector of its own. But it was too late. Within a fortnight, Stark believed, Italian influence in Sana’a had been broken.

Some 86 years later, Britain is back Arabia, wooing a very different set of rulers. The Government has agreed to send an RAF Voyager tanker from its base in Cyprus to provide in-flight refuelling for Saudi aircraft defending the kingdom against Houthi missiles and drones. Unlike Britain’s earlier direct strikes on the Houthis, in which RAF Typhoons took part, the present commitment is described as limited, time-bound and defensive. British support is not, officials insist, intended for Saudi strikes inside Yemen. Yet aerial refuelling is never just symbolic. It enables aircraft to remain airborne longer, carrying Britain a little further into a war from which Saudi Arabia has spent years trying to extricate itself.

Britain supposedly withdrew from “east of Suez” more than half a century ago. In practice, though, it never entirely left, retaining close military relations with Jordan and Oman; a naval presence in Bahrain and the Gulf; and a defence industry tied intimately to the Saudi armed forces. As Sir William Patey, the former British ambassador to Riyadh, recently told the BBC, Saudi Arabia is Britain’s largest defence export market, while Britain is its leading supplier of advanced fighter aircraft. The relationship includes British-supplied Typhoons and air- defence systems, as well as continuing support for Saudi air operations under existing contracts. When Iran attacked Saudi Arabia, Patey added, Britain helped with the kingdom’s air defences. The flags came down with the “winds of change”, then, but the infrastructure of influence survived.

The Voyager’s mission may not be the return of former imperial power so much as the exposure of a continuing relationship normally hidden behind contracts, advisers and joint exercises. The Saudis, having been turned down by the United States, asked Britain to demonstrate that it remained a reliable partner. Andy Burnham then put the national-interest case more directly. “I go back to the point I made about cost-of-living pressures and acting to secure the interests of Britain and the wider region,” he said, “because of course Saudi Arabia has been experiencing attacks, is looking at potential further disruption, and we need to keep those pathways open.” The Houthis have seized the port of Mocha, and strategic Red Sea islands, tightening their grip on the approaches to the Bab al-Mandab, through which roughly a tenth of global trade normally passes. Their missiles have also reached Saudi territory, while attacks on energy infrastructure threaten pipelines designed to bypass the Strait of Hormuz. Altogether, that creates the possibility of a pincer squeeze on the world economy. What happens in the Gulf and Red Sea enters British and European politics through petrol prices, inflation and the cost of borrowing.

The crisis represents not simply the return of Mohammed bin Salman’s disastrous Yemeni war, but also the re-emergence in revolutionary form of Yemen’s ancient Zaidi political tradition. To treat the Houthis merely as an Iranian appendage threatening Western commerce is to misunderstand why bombing has repeatedly failed to subdue them. Iranian technology, components, training and revolutionary language have increased their power, and tied them to the so-called “axis of resistance”. Yet Tehran did not invent the movement and probably does not issue its daily orders. Its strength rests on the religious memory and political dispossession of Yemen’s northern highlands.

Zaidism differs significantly from the Twelver Shi’ism of Iran. Its name derives from Zayd ibn Ali, who died in revolt against the Umayyads in 740. In classical Zaidi doctrine, an imam did not inherit office automatically through an unbroken, divinely designated line. Rather, he had to be a qualified descendant of the Prophet through Hasan or Husayn, as well as learned, just, and also courageous enough to “come forth” against unlawful rule. The choice was elective only within this restricted sacred lineage. Armed resistance was not an accidental feature of legitimacy; it helped constitute it.

Zaidi imams ruled varying portions of the Yemeni highlands from the 9th century. Imam Yahya, who fought the Ottomans and consolidated an independent kingdom after 1918, was the last truly formidable representative of his order. His state was isolated and administratively thin, but he balanced tribes, including the Sunnis of the Tihama lowlands, dynastic claims, and foreign powers with considerable skill, including flirtation with Mussolini in the Horn of Africa. Italian connections alarmed the British in Aden, hence Freya Stark’s films and her appeal to the aristocratic pride of Yahya’s court. She contrasted Yemen’s hereditary religious hierarchy with a rampant appeal to dynastic snobbery, explaining that Hitler had been a paperhanger and that Mussolini’s father had been a blacksmith. Such details, she told her husband, “carry unexpected weight”. 

The monarchy survived Yahya’s assassination in 1948, but not the republican coup of September 1962. Nasser sent an Egyptian army to defend the new republic. In one of the region’s more instructive confessional paradoxes, Saudi Arabia supported the Zaidi royalists. Wahhabi hostility to Shia belief mattered less than fear of revolutionary Arab nationalism. Britain also played a characteristically deniable role. Colonel David Smiley, an SOE veteran who had commanded the Sultan of Oman’s armed forces, advised Imam al-Badr’s royalists, and from 1964 directed a band of foreign soldiers that included former SAS men.

Britain is thus again assisting Saudi Arabia in a Yemeni war: but this time against Zaidi power rather than in its defence. The republic abolished the imamate but not the society that had sustained it. Zaidi scholars and descendents of Muhammad lost authority; Saudi-backed Salafi teaching expanded into the northern province of Saada; central government brought neglect, manipulation and intermittent repression. The “Believing Youth” movement began as a cultural and educational revival. Under the eponymous Hussein Badreddin al-Houthi, however, it acquired a fiercely political theology and the now notorious slogan against America, Israel and the Jews. When President Ali Abdullah Saleh tried to crush it, Hussein was killed, and six wars followed between 2004 and 2010. Saleh, the master tactician who boasted of dancing on the heads of snakes, later allied with the enemies he had persecuted. Forces loyal to him helped the Houthis seize Sana’a in 2014. When, in 2017, he changed sides again, and sought an accommodation with the Saudis, they killed him. The movement had swallowed the snake-charmer.

Saudi Arabia intervened in 2015 expecting a short campaign. Years of air strikes devastated Yemen — without dislodging the Houthis. Yet it would be their attacks on Red Sea shipping following the Gaza war that brought a local movement and international stage. Sympathy for Palestinians is genuine and consistent with Houthi ideology. It is also politically useful. Palestine lets the movement mobilise a war-weary population, humiliate Arab governments and claim a stature beyond Yemen’s borders. A missile need not hit its target to work. The credible threat alone diverts ships, raises insurance costs, and turns a sectarian militia into an actor capable of taxing the global economy.

Britain therefore confronts a genuine danger. But it also risks repeating an old error: mistaking superior machinery for political control. Freya Stark’s projector succeeded because it formed part of diplomacy. It flattered, persuaded and communicated. The Saudi air campaign, by contrast, showed the limits of firepower, especially when there is no plausible Yemeni order waiting to replace the people being bombed. As the Yemen specialist Elisabeth Kendall has warned, air strikes may degrade Houthi capabilities while increasing their popularity. Britain can help intercept drones; it cannot refuel its way to a legitimate government in Sana’a. Nor is the alternative to the Houthis a single coherent state. The internationally recognised camp contains Saudi clients, former Saleh loyalists, Islamists, southern separatists and competing tribal and regional forces. The UAE has sponsored secessionist allies, especially in the south, while Saudi Arabia has generally insisted on formal unity. The regions of Hadhramaut and al-Mahrah have their own identities and patrons. Oman, with its long experience of discreet mediation and its own British military history, fears disorder on its frontier.

In short, an east-of-Suez strategy built on royal relationships may preserve regimes more readily than it creates states. The Government’s distinction between refuelling defensive Saudi missions and enabling offensive operations is therefore crucial but fragile. Patey assumed that Riyadh had not asked Britain to join direct strikes on the Houthis. Saudi oil and civilian installations were being attacked, he argued, and helping the kingdom defend them was legitimate. That is persuasive as far as it goes. But tankers do not decide the purposes for which an alliance is used; ministers do. The record of the earlier Saudi campaign gives little cause for confidence. Jeremy Hunt, then foreign secretary, spoke of his “frank conversations” with Saudi counterparts about human rights, while the Government defended British arms sales by citing the “extensive British training” given to Saudi pilots and the programmers of its “smart bombs” to limit civilian casualties. RAF liaison officers worked in the Saudi air operations centre, ostensibly to help the kingdom comply with international humanitarian law. A former British official who had worked with the Saudis dismissed that claim in a single word: “bollocks.”

Britain now needs transparent rules, parliamentary scrutiny and an answer to the obvious question of what happens if the aircraft sustained by the RAF Voyager move from intercepting missiles to striking targets inside Yemen. Humanitarian law cannot be outsourced to the adjective “defensive”. In 1940, British power appeared in Sana’a as flickering images; today it arrives as invisible fuel. All the while, the Houthis warn that east of Suez, history never stays offshore for long.