Saturday, 31 October 2026

A Proper Split

Sinn Féin has never been in government in the 26 Counties, and all the stops have already been pulled out once to ensure that it would not be. That will always be the case, probably successfully. In the Six Counties, by contrast, Sinn Féin has been in government for 27 years and counting, already nearly a quarter of the entire existence of the two states in Ireland, and it always will be, probably always providing the First Minister now that it had assumed the office. Seen from either side, there may eventually come to be a United Ireland, and even a 32-County Republic, but the excuse of how long ago Partition had been will be used to prevent a unitary state both for the sake of the dominant force in Northern Ireland, Sinn Féin, and for the sake of its implacable enemies who dominated the present Republic.

Meanwhile, Enoch Powell, Jim Molyneaux, David Trimble and Ian Paisley were all more than familiar with highly ambitious young men who were utterly convinced of themselves. Each of them had been one. Yet each of them in turn saw something particular in Jeffrey Donaldson. Whatever might that have been? Northern Irish politicians are surveilled up to their eyeballs both at home and in London, so the suggestion that “nobody knew” is unworthy of serious attention. Was Donaldson blackmailed first to take over the DUP and then to lead it into full compromise with Sinn Féin, itself riddled with touts? The full story will be more complicated than that. But it is quite clearly along those lines, as Patrick Murphy writes:

Brendan Behan was only half right. He said that the first item on a republican agenda was a split. The other half of his observation might have been that a split is also high up unionism’s agenda, as evidenced by the three unionist parties currently tearing strips off each other. n fairness, Behan died in 1964, a few years before the Northern Ireland Civil Rights Association created the deep divisions in unionism by saying, “If we are British, give us British rights.” That demand exposed unionists’ confusion as to what exactly unionism was. Unionists were British, but not so British as to accept British laws and values. It was as if unionists had looked across the Irish Sea and said, “You think you’re British? We’ll show you Britishness”, as the RUC batoned civil rights marchers off the streets. 

Had it not been for Rev Ian Paisley, unionist confusion might not have been so acute. He wrote a new agenda for unionism by creating the concept of a politico-religious heaven, where intransigent unionism and hardline Protestantism would fuse seamlessly to form a promised land which he called Ulster. Paisley’s ghost still haunts unionism today. Its culture of competitive sanctity reflects the split between the UUP, the DUP and the TUV. Each party regards itself as more unionist than the other two, based on what might be termed the Paisley scale of unionist purity.

That makes unionism a bit like gravity – we all know how it operates, but it is hard to find anyone who can explain what it is. Despite its political nature, unionism lacks a political theory which might define an agreed ideology. Its loyalty to the crown sits in the middle of a political vacuum and while it proclaims a unionist culture, there is a limited body of literature, music or art to justify that belief. Most political organisations plan where they would like to be in five or 10 years’ time.

Unionism’s long-term goal appears to be to return to where it was 70 years ago. It knows where it has been, but appears unsure of where it is going. As a result, it reacts to events rather than setting its own agenda. That comes from an intellectual laziness, fostered by having 50 years of guaranteed power in the old Stormont. When Stormont fell, unionists had no idea what unionism stood for. They still have that problem today, as evidenced by the three-party split. The UUP and DUP are further seriously splintered.

The UUP is unionism’s comfort blanket, offering reassurance that the union is safe. Someone once said that the Church of England is a social organisation with God as an optional extra. The UUP is a bit like that – the sort of place where political realities rarely interfere with the primacy of the union. The DUP is different. Paisley appears to have founded it on the belief that God was a unionist and that the Protestant Reformation began somewhere near Ballymena. It has shed some of its religious overtones, but it is still the most religiously righteous of our political parties. It was unfortunate then that its former leader turned out to be a criminal. Jeffrey Donaldson worked for the British government overseas. That apparently gave his political masters in London sufficient control to require him to claim that the government had abolished the Irish Sea border. He may have been unionism’s equivalent of Stakeknife. Has London been running the DUP?

Meanwhile, the TUV has become the new DUP, still believing in a unionist heaven. Three-party unionism will not survive. It needs to abandon its narrow right-wing base and embrace, for example, anti-monarchists, left-wingers, Gaeilgeoirí, a healthy sprinkling of atheists and, heaven forbid, Catholics. Otherwise it will become a historical enclave, isolated from a changing world in Ireland and Britain. Sixty years ago Ian Paisley launched his “O’Neill must go” campaign, to oust Terence O’Neill from the office of Prime Minister. This week, some in the DUP said O’Neill must go as First Minister – a different O’Neill, but the same antiquated reaction to events.

Unionism has yet to learn that reaction is not a strategy. Its best way forward is to become a broad political movement, embracing progressive social and economic ideas and down-playing constitutional issues to gain the widest possible support. However, New Unionism is unlikely to emerge. Rather than uniting to form Stormont’s biggest party and ousting Michelle O’Neill, unionists prefer to remain divided over something which none of them has ever defined. Now that’s what Brendan Behan would have called a proper split.

We Have A Right To Know

Ricky Hale writes:

The Metropolitan Police are arresting peaceful protesters outside the US Embassy in London today. They’ve once again shamed themselves by carrying away pensioners by their arms and legs for holding up signs they don’t like. To make matters worse, some of those arrested were carrying blank placards and some weren’t holding signs at all. Yes, even saying nothing is a crime now. In fact, it’s terrorism. The Met Police began making arrests before any signs were on display, arresting volunteers like this woman for supporting people holding signs, and arresting people for having blank placards.

The demonstration was organised by the group Defend Our Juries. A Section 35 dispersal order was in force, but around 400 people gathered anyway to protest against the proscription of Palestine Action and the genocide in Gaza. In the UK, expressing support for Palestine Action is a terror offence, so I’m not encouraging anyone to do that. The protesters could face up to 14 years in prison for acting according to their conscience. Even if they’re not imprisoned, simply being charged with a terror offence will hang over them for the rest of their lives. It’s a matter of weeks since members of Andy Burnham’s government were telling us that no one wants to see old ladies being carried away, and now they’re going further than ever.

Prior to the demonstration, Met Police Commander Adam Slonecki stated that those “providing logistical support will very likely be committing an offence and face enforcement action.” It appears police have made it a crime to support people who support Palestine Action, even if they don’t support the group themselves! This is stupid on so many levels, not least that Palestine Action doesn’t exist anymore. Journalist Claire Hymer contacted the Met and asked them to clarify what is meant by logistical support. Does it mean giving someone a lift? Handing out a bottle of water? A few snacks? The Met refused to clarify. Police can’t explain what counts as criminal behaviour because they’re making it up as they go along. They’re making up secret laws, threatening you with arrest if you break them, and refusing to tell you what those laws are, or what you can do to stay within them! This is textbook fascism.

Not only are grannies and wheelchair users terrorists for expressing opinions the government doesn’t like, but anyone who is nice to those grannies and wheelchair users is also a terrorist. It gets even stupider when you consider the dispersal order meant police could force people to leave parts of central London on the assumption they might break the made up laws. That means we have pre-crime to go with the assault on free speech. Where do we draw the line? Are we gonna arrest people for saying they support the right of these people to protest? Are we gonna arrest people for saying they oppose the proscription of Palestine Action on free speech grounds? It’s McCarthyite nonsense to protect a state that’s committing genocide with weapons made in our country.

And whose interests is the State protecting? Peter Geoghegan and Jenna Corderoy write:

More than 30 senior Conservatives are named in newly released records of companies referred to the government’s controversial Covid PPE ‘VIP lane’ back in 2020, following a five-year fight by Democracy for Sale to force the government to divulge the information. The documents identify hundreds of businesses – and the politicians, ministers, senior civil servants and other figures who recommended them for the ‘VIP lane’ to lucrative government Covid contracts. Among those named are eight members of Boris Johnson’s cabinet, Sarah Ferguson and the banking giant Santander.

Four of those cabinet ministers in the documents had not previously been named: then foreign secretary Dominic Raab, justice secretary Robert Buckland, Welsh secretary Simon Hart, and housing secretary Robert Jenrick, who is listed only as a ‘possible’ referrer. Companies referred to the VIP lane were ten times more likely to secure contracts, according to the National Audit Office. Around £1bn of the £1.7bn spent on PPE from VIP suppliers was wasted on supplies later deemed unfit to use. 

The release of the records brings to an end a fight for transparency that began in February 2021, when now Democracy for Sale reporter Jenna Corderoy submitted a Freedom of Information request seeking the names of every company referred to the so-called ‘VIP lane’ and those who had recommended them. The government resisted disclosure for more than five years. In February 2025, a tribunal ordered it to name the unsuccessful suppliers and rejected its argument that identifying their referrers would cost too much.

The Cabinet Office still withheld the referrers’ names until Democracy for Sale appealed to the Information Commissioner’s Office, who ruled last month that they should be disclosed. They were finally published on Thursday. The Cabinet Office has warned that it cannot completely verify the accuracy of the reconstructed referral data, and some individuals are identified only as ‘possible’ referrers. There is no suggestion that making a referral was itself improper. Among other things, the documents show:

  • Raab recommended a Cambridgeshire toy maker who had only a single employee at the start of the pandemic. Jenrick, now Reform UK treasury spokesman, is listed as ‘possibly’ referring an export packing firm.
  • Graham Brady, then chair of the 1922 committee of backbench Tory MPs, referred an interior design company near his Altrincham and Sale West seat. Brady told Democracy for Sale that he had “no recollection of this but given the location, I assume I was passing on an approach from a constituent. I have no involvement with the company and never have had.” Owen Paterson, who later left parliament after a lobbying scandal, referred a Birmingham biotech firm working on pregnancy complications. None of these firms were given contracts.
  • Then health secretary Matt Hancock is named against 27 companies, three of them marked ‘possible’. Former Conservative party chairman Lord Feldman is recorded against 21 (three ‘possible’) and Cabinet Office minister Lord Agnew against 14 (four ‘possible’). Grant Shapps and Michael Gove also referred firms, including, in Gove’s case, Meller Designs, run by donor David Meller, which received £164m in Covid contracts.
  • Sarah Ferguson, then the Duchess of York and ex-wife of Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, referred Biz Trading Ltd, a small London-based pharmaceutical company that was dissolved in 2022, according to Companies House. The Covid Inquiry previously heard that she had approached the government’s PPE adviser, Lord Deighton, about supplies from China, but the company was not named.
  • A Cabinet Office official referred an offer recorded as ‘Greentech Labs on behalf of China Aerospace & NORINCO’. Norinco, China’s main state weapons manufacturer, has been sanctioned by the US. Huawei Technologies was referred by an NHS official in 2020, while the government was reviewing Huawei’s role in 5G, and No 10 policy chief Munira Mirza referred two Chinese firms. 
  • Santander is named as the referrer for four suppliers and as the possible referrer for eight others, including two gin distillers.

In total, 415 suppliers were channelled down the VIP lane, according to documents supplied to the Covid Inquiry and seen by Democracy for Sale. Conservative politicians referred 119 of them, and 25 went on to win contracts. Politicians from other parties referred just five, none of which landed a deal. 

Transparency International chief executive Duncan Hames said that the government should not have fought against disclosing the details of the VIP lane. “The public have a right to know who was fast-tracked and on whose say-so. Five years of resisting disclosure has been a prolonged and unnecessary failure of transparency, and it has only deepened the damage to public trust,” Hames said. Jo Maugham, executive director of the Good Law Project said that “contracts for cronies remains one of the greatest stories never told. The Cabinet Office, which ‘administered’ the bonanza, successfully diverted the attention of an easily distracted Labour Government. So it’s so reassuring that Democracy for Sale refuses to take no for an answer. It’s our money, it was vast fortunes, and we have a right to know.”

During Covid, normal procurement rules were suspended and contracts could be awarded without competition. The ‘VIP lane’ was a way for well-connected people to bring potential suppliers to the attention of the government. The government never explained how MPs and other individuals and organisations were made aware of the existence of the VIP lane and allowed to make referrals to it. The Covid Inquiry concluded that the scheme ‘was inherently biased towards those with connections to the UK government’ and ‘should not be repeated’. Last October, the High Court ordered PPE Medpro, the company led by the husband of Conservative peer Michelle Mone, which she referred to the VIP lane, to repay £122m. Mone and her husband Doug Barrowman deny wrongdoing.

Democracy for Sale contacted all the individuals named in this story. Former justice secretary Robert Buckland said: “I have no recollection whatsoever about this referral. I have never heard of the company and have had no connection with it whatsoever. “If there had been any connection between me and the company I would have declared it and if there had been a conflict of interest I would have asked another colleague to deal with the request.” Munira Mirza said that she referred “far more than two offers of help” listed in the Cabinet Office’s release. “I didn’t know any of the people or companies I passed on personally or I’d remember that. I certainly didn’t have any interest in any of them,” Mirza told Democracy for Sale.

A government spokesperson said: “This relates to matters under the previous government,” adding: “we are relentlessly pursuing those who defrauded taxpayers during the pandemic, determined to recover as much as possible of the billions lost - money that should have been funding our teachers, police officers, and vital public services.” Labour MP Lloyd Hatton told us that while referring a company is not improper in itself, “I am shocked that Conservative politicians referred 119 contracts - and 25 then went on to receive taxpayers’ money, most of which was wasted. “The public deserves to know who referred what, who benefited, and why. Every pound of taxpayers’ money must deliver value for money.” It took Democracy for Sale more than five years to get these names released. Know more about the companies or referrals? Get in touch at info@democracyforsale.uk.

If You Tolerate This

Ethan Shone writes:

More than a hundred thousand retired miners who expected their pensions to rise by up to 20% next month have been left with no timetable for the payment, after a last-minute Treasury U-turn that senior Labour sources say left the prime minister “furious”. openDemocracy understands the government may now be unable to transfer the funds it promised until next year – a delay that means thousands of miners could pass away without ever seeing the money. When British Coal was privatised in 1994, the government agreed to guarantee the two primary miners' pensions if the funds they had been paying into ever fell into deficit. In exchange, the Treasury demanded 50% of any investment surplus.

The funds performed well enough that the government never had to pay a penny into them, but still got access to the reserves. Miners have lost out on more than £4.4bn as a result, according to the National Union of Mineworkers. As chancellor, Rachel Reeves released the funds for the British Coal Staff Superannuation Scheme, whose members were generally better-paid, non-mining staff. Based on assurances from ministers, campaigners and coalfield MPs expected that Healey would do the same for the Mineworkers’ Pension Scheme this week, freeing up more than £1bn according to MPs’ estimates.

But in a meeting on Tuesday, Treasury officials told the trustees the money would not be released after all, blaming government accounting rules. Senior Labour sources told openDemocracy that Andy Burnham was “blindsided” by the decision, which he and Healy “clashed” over. The Treasury did not directly comment on these allegations, and Downing Street had not responded to our questions at the time of publication.

Burnham made the dispute part of his Makerfield by-election campaign earlier this year, pledging to “keep fighting” to make sure “every penny reaches the people it is meant for”. Believing the deal would be signed off at the Budget, trustees of the Mineworkers’ Pension Scheme (MPS) had lined up a bonus to be added to members’ December pension payments, following months of negotiations with ministers, coalfield MPs, and the National Union of Mineworkers.

The pension boost would have been funded by the government renouncing its claim to the scheme's guarantor's fund, and would not have cost the taxpayer anything. Now, the former miners have been left with no timetable for payment. The MPS estimates that more than 5,000 of its members, many of whom are ageing and suffer health problems related to their former profession, pass away every year. Any delay means many more pensioners will never see the additional funds they were promised.

The National Union of Mineworkers understands that the remaining funds can only be released at a fiscal event such as a Budget. If correct, this would likely mean the earliest money can be released will now be well into next year. Chris Kitchen, the NUM’s general secretary, told openDemocracy: “We're frustrated that money that could be used to mitigate cost of living pressures and benefit the country now is still locked up, doing no good for anybody.”

The Treasury would not respond to openDemocracy’s questions on what prompted the last-minute U-turn. Instead, it pointed only to remarks the prime minister made earlier this week: “Nothing's gone wrong. The commitment is in no way diminished.” In the interview cited by the Treasury, Burnham added that the Budget “didn’t give us all of the room for manoeuvre that we would have wanted”, and that the fund “does have to be scored on the public balance sheet and that is part of the challenge that we've got”.

‘Heard loud and clear’

When he made his first conference speech as chancellor in Liverpool last month, Healey referred throughout to a miner’s lamp that sits on a shelf in his home. “Those miners,” he said, “didn’t just use their lamps to light their own steps, they shone them to help others.” But as he drained his pint at the Two Chairmen pub in Westminster on Wednesday evening, celebrating his first Budget in traditional style, many of his Labour colleagues’ inboxes were filling up with angry correspondence from those same miners. Labour activists canvassing in coalfield constituencies in the days after the Budget told openDemocracy the issue has already come up frequently on the doorstep, and the party’s coalfield MPs have since engaged in three days of fierce lobbying of the Treasury, both in public and behind the scenes.

On Friday afternoon, Labour whips sent the party’s MPs a briefing promising to meet with coalfield MPs “in the coming weeks” – but set out no date for releasing the money. The briefing, which openDemocracy has seen, said that Healey, chief secretary to the Treasury Emma Reynolds and reindustrialisation minister Blair McDougall had “heard loud and clear the representations” and would work with MPs, trustees and the National Union of Mineworkers “to find a resolution”.

But this resolution may come too late for many former miners. In a letter sent to his MP and shared with openDemocracy, a retired miner from Yorkshire asked: “Are we seriously expected to believe that an accounting problem significant enough to prevent the agreement being implemented was not identified until the final hours before the Budget?” “Many MPS members are now elderly. Some will never live to benefit from another pension increase if these delays continue,” he added. “Blaming accounting rules at the very last moment is simply not good enough.”

Jon Trickett, the MP for Normanton and Hemsworth, was among the coalfield MPs who lobbied No 10, the Treasury and the whips on the eve of the Budget. “The apparent last-minute decision by the chancellor to make changes to the miners’ pension promise has sparked anger and puzzlement in the coal mining areas I represent,” he told openDemocracy. “Whilst I wholly welcome the good intentions of the Prime Minister, people are telling me that it’s time to deliver what was promised, sooner rather than later. I will continue to press hard for an immediate decision. Nothing less will do.”

In his Budget speech on Wednesday, Healey did end the 50:50 split of future surpluses between the government and members, telling MPs: “For ex-mineworkers, I'm guaranteeing that every penny of the pension fund surplus now goes to miners. I know the job’s not done, and I will go on to ensure the full transfer of the guarantors' fund.” The chancellor also abolished the “standstill” rule, under which bonus pensions could be frozen if the scheme fell into deficit. But, unlike the release of the guarantor’s fund, neither of these measures will put extra money in former miners’ pockets before the end of the year. “The money in the MPS guarantors fund is not taxpayers’ money,” the NUM said in a statement on Wednesday. "It is the remaining ill-gotten gains from an unfair system put in place that has penalised members of the MPS for the last 31 years.”

‘Second-class deal’

The trustees say the accounting explanation is hard to square with last year’s decision to transfer £2.3bn to members of the British Coal Staff Superannuation Scheme, which covers non-mining staff from the industry and already pays higher pensions. Gary Saunders, chair of the MPS trustees, said they were “very disappointed” that the chancellor had decided “just hours before the Budget announcement” not to go ahead, “even though a deal had been worked on extensively by both sides for months and was ready to sign”.

“What is hard to understand is how members of the MPS have been left with a second-class deal compared to the higher pensioned members in the British Coal Staff Superannuation Scheme,” he said. Allen Young, speaking for the scheme’s elected trustees, said: “One month ago, the Chancellor said that miners’ lamps are a symbol of hope, but today he confirmed that there is still no light at the end of the tunnel for MPS members.” The Treasury’s Emma Reynolds has defended the package. “This government has done more than any other government to do right by our mineworkers,” she told PoliticsHome after the budget. “We still have the outstanding issue of the guarantor's fund, which we're working closely with Labour MPs on.”

And for what were the miners fighting? How ecofeminist would Britain have become if they had won? Would Green councillors, from Kirsty Knight in Peterborough to David Hawley in St Helens, be welcomed into all other parties without the slightest suggestion that their views had changed? But directly because the miners were defeated, Paul Knaggs has to write:

Ask yourself what remains of private life when a father can be investigated, and threatened with five years in prison, for telling his daughter that she is a girl. That is not a rhetorical flourish. It is what the draft Conversion Practices Bill, published in June and now before a joint committee of both Houses, makes possible. Ministers have wrapped it in the softest language of modern virtue. They speak of dark rituals, quack therapists and cruelty to the young, and nobody sane defends any of those things. But a minister’s language does not go before a Crown Court judge. The statute does, and this statute does not stop at the clinic door or the prayer meeting. It walks straight into the kitchen.

Olivia Bailey, the minister who steered the draft into Parliament, assured the public that the bill “is not about policing how parents parent.” In the same interview, she confirmed there would be no “carve-out” for parents. Where the line falls between a loving parent and a criminal one, she said, is for the courts to decide, not politicians. So a mother will find out where the line was only after the police have crossed it. No father stands in the dock yet, because the bill is not yet law. Every prime minister since Theresa May has promised it. Keir Starmer’s government published the draft, and Andy Burnham’s has inherited it. It would apply to everyone in England and Wales: parents, teachers, youth workers, pastors and counsellors, not only therapists. It creates an offence of carrying out an abusive conversion practice, a second of encouraging one abroad, and a third of breaching a new civil order designed to stop one before it happens. Ministers will say it is only a draft. That is exactly why it must be fought now, before there is a first case.

A LAW IN SEARCH OF A CRIME

There is a real history here, and the left should own it. Within living memory, the NHS tried to cure gay men with electric shocks and drugs that made them vomit. Some congregations still try to pray homosexuality out of teenagers. A movement that believes in the dignity of ordinary people should want every trace of that driven out of British life, and this paper does. But almost everything that made that history cruel is already a crime: assault, actual bodily harm, false imprisonment, threats, and coercive control. Asked to show the gap, the government has struggled. As Sonia Sodha has pointed out, its impact assessment gives no clear examples of abusive conduct that current law fails to reach.

What it offers instead is arithmetic. Baroness Cash told peers it claims a benefit of £783 million, on the assumption that the law will prevent 100 per cent of conversion practices. Baroness Cash then dismantled that arithmetic before peers, exposing the rotten foundations of the government’s entire case. The bill’s claimed economic benefit of £783 million rests on two preposterous assumptions: first, that the legislation will prevent 100 per cent of conversion practices; second, that exactly 38 per cent of those saved will also avoid depression, a figure lifted from an American study that was never peer-reviewed. The underlying estimate of 75,000 to 93,000 victims relies on a Stonewall survey claiming that 10 per cent of LGBT people have undergone an exorcism, an absurd measure that would imply 24,600 gay exorcisms in this country every year. Against all that, the bill’s costs amount to 45 minutes of training per police officer. Departments are bound by the Treasury’s Green Book rule against cherry-picking data; Cash told peers this document fails that test. “One might laugh,” she said, “if only it were not so gravely serious.”

The minister, Olivia Bailey, had told MPs it was “beholden on us all to ensure that this conversation is based on real facts”. Her real facts came from a report by the charity Galop, which she said contained hundreds of case studies of abuse happening now. It identified fewer than 200 cases, and only 51 of those people were seeking help specifically with conversion practices. Galop’s own researchers conceded that the abuses they found already matched existing crimes, from actual bodily harm and rape to forced marriage and coercive control. What the minister did not mention was that Galop had run a helpline for the government, funded to the tune of £360,000 over three years. The government’s star witness was its own contractor.

So what is genuinely new? Two words: “transgender identity”. The draft writes this concept into criminal statute, defines it loosely enough to include people who identify as “neither male nor female”, and makes trying to change it a potential crime. It is worth being clear about what that concept claims, because it is often blurred with something quite different. Sexual orientation concerns whom a person is attracted to. A transgender identity, as its advocates define it, makes a different claim altogether: that a person can be born in the wrong body, with an inner sense of self at odds with their sex. The distress some young people feel is real and deserves care. But the explanation offered for it is a belief, not a biological fact. Humans, like every other mammal, are male or female, and no feeling, however sincere, can change which. The Supreme Court confirmed last year that in the Equality Act, sex means biological sex.

That distinction is the key to what has gone wrong for gay children. A teenage girl who finds herself attracted to other girls, and uncomfortable with the femininity expected of her, may be told that her discomfort proves she is really a boy. A gentle, effeminate boy may be told he is really a girl. Their feelings are taken as the truth about their bodies, when it should be the other way round. Children at that age are often confused, and confusion is not a diagnosis. It is exactly the moment when they most need a parent’s steady guidance: someone who will tell them that their body is not a mistake, that there is nothing wrong with being gay, and that nothing needs to be decided in a hurry. This bill makes that guidance risky.

Here the bill turns on the very children it claims to protect, and the evidence comes from the state’s own reviewers. The Cass Review listed struggles with emerging sexual orientation among the possible drivers of gender distress, and told clinicians to explore a young person’s developing sexuality rather than ignore it. Cass’s interim report criticised the Tavistock’s gender service for a “predominantly affirmative, non-exploratory approach”, and the service has since been closed. The Charity Commission found the charity Mermaids mismanaged, and told it that any future chest-binding policy must follow Cass on involving parents. Telling a lesbian teenager that she is really a boy is, in the most literal sense, an attempt to change her sexual orientation. On paper, this bill could reach the adults who do it. In practice, nobody expects the complaints to run that way. A ban sold as protection for gay children risks shielding the newest method of talking them out of being gay.

SCRUTINY IN NAME ONLY 

The committee examining the bill is chaired by Alex Barros-Curtis, Labour MP for Cardiff West, who has pressed ministers in the Commons on getting the ban done. Before entering Parliament in 2024, he was Labour’s executive director of legal affairs, and was described as effectively running the unit that handled complaints against members. Rosie Duffield, now an independent MP, says that unit investigated her for thirteen months over a single “like” on a single tweet, one of hundreds of members she says were pursued for gender-critical views. She has no seat on the committee. Burnham dropped Barros-Curtis from government in his cull of Starmer loyalists, and he was then given the job of scrutinising this bill. A committee chair should be an impartial scrutineer, not a handmaiden to the legislation he is meant to examine.

WHAT THE BILL WOULD DO TO A FAMILY 

The draft lists the forms abuse can take, among them psychological pressure, emotional pressure and economic pressure. No violence is required. Raising a distressed adolescent means confiscating phones, cutting pocket money, refusing to buy a breast binder and refusing to sanction hormones bought online. Every one of those acts can be described as pressure, and every one is meant to stop a child taking a path the parent believes will harm them. Under this bill, that purpose is the prosecution’s case, not the parent’s defence. No malice need be shown. The only intention the law asks about is the intention to change an identity. A mother protecting her autistic son or daughter from an irreversible medical pathway has no defence that she acted in her child’s best interests. Parliament knows how to write one. The offence of controlling or coercive behaviour excludes parents managing children under sixteen. That exclusion was left out of this bill, and the minister has told us it was deliberate.

Defenders point to the harm threshold: serious harm, or serious distress that substantially affects daily life. But such complaints are never built from one row over dinner. They are built from a catalogue of months of being “pressured”, “belittled” and “misunderstood”, with every refusal recast as a wound. The relationship between a parent and a child should rest on trust. It should be a place where anything can be said at the kitchen table, where a confused teenager can tell their mother what they are feeling and hear an honest answer, without either of them fearing what comes next. This bill poisons that. The parent learns to weigh every word against how it might sound in a police interview. The child learns that a complaint can end any argument. Where there was conversation, there is calculation, and then silence. The children who lose most are those who most need an honest adult to talk to.

THE THOUGHT POLICE AT THE KITCHEN TABLE 

No one is suggesting the bill makes thought itself a crime. Orwell’s warning was subtler. What a person meant when they spoke becomes the business of the state. Was a father’s refusal a parent’s judgment, or an attempt to change an identity? Only an investigation can settle that, and investigating it means questioning the child, the siblings, the school, the GP and the family’s messages. Ministers insist that the bill’s language draws on settled law on coercion. It does, but it leaves the safeguards behind. The draft lists its factors, then leaves courts to decide abuse from “all the circumstances”. Orwell warned in 1946 that political vocabulary can “give an appearance of solidity to pure wind”. Can an ordinary parent know in advance where lawful conduct ends? Bailey’s two answers, that parents are untouched and that parents get no exemption, cannot both be relied on.

If ordinary parenting is safe, the bill should say so. It does not. The punishment starts long before any verdict. Sex Matters interviewed thirty mental-health professionals who work with gender-distressed young people, and some said they would leave the field rather than risk being accused. Parents have no field to leave. A conviction breaks a family; an acquittal often breaks it anyway, because trust does not survive a police interview. The government’s own explanatory notes complain that some existing offences cannot be committed in a private dwelling. They see the front door as a loophole to be closed.

ORDERS AT THE BREAKFAST TABLE

Nor does the threat depend on the police or the council. The bill lets anyone bring a private prosecution without the consent of the Director of Public Prosecutions or the Attorney General. Baroness Cash warned peers that this would allow “privately funded campaign groups, such as the Good Law Project”, to destroy the lives of those they disagree with. The bill also creates conversion practice protection orders. The young person, the police or a local authority can apply as of right, and anyone else can apply with the court’s permission. A family judge can make one in the middle of a divorce. It can be imposed where abuse is merely “likely”; it may contain any requirement the court thinks appropriate, and breaching it carries two years in prison. 

The draft never mentions pronouns, and it does not need to. In Swindon, the maths teacher Kevin Lister wanted a pupil’s parents consulted before he adopted the pupil’s new name and pronouns. He was sacked, then barred from working with children, a ruling he is appealing. That is how the institutions around the family court already treat such refusals. The order instructing a father to use his son’s chosen pronouns at breakfast is the predictable next step. Families in the North East need no lessons in what happens when agencies are handed sweeping powers and total certainty. In Cleveland in 1987, 121 children were removed from their homes on the strength of a test later discredited, and after the Butler-Sloss inquiry 94 of them went home. Local authorities wielded those powers then. Under this bill, local authorities will be among the bodies that can apply for these orders as of right.

THE SHIELD OF THE PREDATOR 

The bill is at its most dangerous here. Grooming, whether sexual, criminal or ideological, begins by separating a child from their parents. The child is told that mother and father do not understand them, that home is hostile, and that only the new friend online truly sees them. The grooming-gang scandals showed how parents who tried to intervene were disbelieved while their children were drawn away. No case under this bill exists yet, because the bill does not. But anyone can see what it hands to the adult whispering through a fourteen-year-old’s locked phone. If the mother takes away the phone, or refuses to pay for a binder or testosterone ordered online, the mother faces the police. The groomer only has to teach the child the vocabulary of complaint, the coaching Sodha has warned about.

Ministers will reply that the definition cuts both ways, so the groomer is liable too. But the complaint comes from the child, and it lands on the parent. Private clinics are sheltered by a healthcare exemption that covers unregulated providers unless their care falls “far below” acceptable standards. The clinic is protected, the groomer is invisible, and the parent is in the dock. Mims Davies MP reminded the Commons of what happened when professionals were frightened into silence over the grooming gangs: safeguarding must never be sacrificed to ideology.

THE CHOICE THAT REMAINS 

In 1604, an English court declared that a person’s house is their “castle and fortress”. The principle has survived four centuries of governments, because it rests on a simple idea: the state must justify every step it takes across the threshold. This bill reverses that burden. It also strips away traditional legal safeguards, handing the power of private prosecution to ideological campaign groups like the Good Law Project without requiring consent from the Director of Public Prosecutions or the Attorney General.

If the pictures accompanying this column look like a dystopia that does not exist, that is precisely why they are there. Orwell did not write Nineteen Eighty-Four as a prophecy. He wrote it as a warning. He said he did not believe such a society would necessarily arrive, only that something resembling it could. A warning is issued so that it never has to come true. This bill is not yet that world, but it is a door into it. It is still a draft, so it can still be stopped. The joint committee should recommend that sexual orientation and gender identity be dealt with separately, each on its own evidence. It must insist on a statutory defence for parents who act in their child’s best interests, mandatory DPP consent before any prosecution can proceed, and the abolition of protection orders that turn domestic disagreement into contempt of court. Readers should tell their MPs, and the committee, exactly that.

Then the decision passes to Andy Burnham. He inherited this bill and he can still rewrite it. The front door was never a loophole. For a frightened child, it may be the last line of defence, and the prime minister must now decide whether his government will be the one that takes it down. The state that claims to protect your child by policing your kitchen table has not banished coercion; it has simply claimed the monopoly on it.

Law and Justice?

After the riots all over the Continent, and with the Far Right on course to win power both in France and in Germany, the European Union is at this very moment staging a coup in Poland.

The EU that we left was bad enough, but even that no longer exists. Join this? We would have to be out of our minds.

Nothing Cryptic About It

If North Korea is an unelectrified joke, then how could it have a nuclear weapons programme, why should we be frightened of a few thousand of its troops in Kursk, and how could it have taken down Binance, the name of which had four more letters than it needed? The speculative value of cryptocurrencies is hurtling towards their intrinsic value of zero. A suspicious number of those who decry us sceptics of the cashless society also claim that we are under constant threat of cyberattacks, and a surprising number of those who are forthright against the cashless society are enthusiasts for cryptocurrencies, about which the clue is in the name. In the cashless economy, every penny that we spent would be tracked. Cryptocurrencies are beyond democratic political control. The combination of the two would be, and increasingly is, that level of tracking by those who were thus unaccountable. If the North Koreans have paused or halted that process, then they have done the world a favour.

Bankrolled by Christopher Harborne, Reform UK proposes a Sovereign Bitcoin Reserve Fund. How is that looking now? Instead, as Jackdaw is opened up and as we hope for Rosebank, the talk is of a proper sovereign wealth fund. That is opposed only by those who cannot accept that Margaret Thatcher did anything wrong, not even when she lost this country a trillion pounds by not creating a Norwegian-style sovereign wealth fund with the profits from North Sea oil, and by those who cannot accept that any good idea was ever had by Tony Benn, who in fact founded the National Enterprise Board, which invested in Acorn Computing, which in turn helped to develop the ARM Processors that are found in all iPhones, so that all iPhones are Bennite.

Even without the sovereign wealth fund to buy it, the case for the renationalisation of water has been made yet again by the sacking, or whatever you preferred to call it, of Nicola Shaw. Water privatisation has indisputably failed, and the shares in the companies are monetarily worthless (what would you pay for them?), so bring on lock, stock and barrel renationalisation, leading to the National Grid that was promised by Labour in 1979. Just do it. Now. The Parliament of the United Kingdom may legislate over and above any devolved body, and the people of Scotland and Wales would love this arrangement once they had it. Nothing has weakened the Union, and democratic national and parliamentary sovereignty, more than privatisation. While there are grey areas, if something would obviously have to be rescued by the State rather than allowed to go bust, then it belongs in public ownership, just as if something obviously would not, then it does not. Corner shops? Obviously not. But water? Obviously.

Likewise, it is obviously welcome both economically and strategically that the Ministry of Defence should buy British wherever possible and require offsets wherever it had to do otherwise. As with the zero rating of VAT on dometic power, it is a clear Brexit benefit that it should be free to do so. But let that be only the start. BAE Systems should be renationalised as the monopoly supplier to our own Armed Forces, with a ban on all sale of arms abroad, and with a comprehensive programme of diversification in the spirit of the Lucas Plan. And instead of Trident, an extra £70 billion should be given to each of the Royal Navy, the British Army, and the Royal Air Force. That would not entail depriving anything else of funding. As a sovereign state with its own free-floating, fiat currency, the United Kingdom has as much of that currency as it chooses to issue to itself, with the fiscal and monetary means to control inflation, means that therefore need to be under democratic political control in both cases.

Friday, 30 October 2026

Green Light?

If Zia Yusuf was wrong, then Alastair Campbell should sue him. Having been Groom of the Stool both to Robert Maxwell and to Tony Blair, at 69 Campbell still has absolutely no self-awareness. But then, where would he have acquired any? None of the Iraq mob has ever suffered professionally. Quite the reverse, in fact. 90 per cent of the British population saw through the Iraq War from the start, but none of the 60 million of us has ever been deemed capable of assuming any of those wholly discredited individuals’ positions in public life. Campbell should be given Allison Pearson’s column in the Daily Telegraph, not because I bear him any good will, but just for the fun of it in so many directions.

Campbell has never rejoined the Labour Party, which, like the Liberal Democrats, is now taking in disgruntled Green councillors. Until the point of defection, each of those had at least pretended to believe that Zack Polanski ought to become Prime Minister. Polanski has never been a spokesman for the British Red Cross, he has never been a spokesman for Make Votes Matter, he has never been a full member of the National Council for Hypnotherapy, and he has never worked for the nonexistent “justice assessment committee” of the Ministry of Justice. But he did fail to pay Council Tax on his narrowboat despite having been registered to vote there, he did fail to register to vote anywhere in the local elections this year, and he did take payment to hypnotise women so that their breasts would grow bigger.

The Greens are the British party for which Noam Chomsky would vote, so taking in their refugees formally admits to the Epstein Class the Lib Dems who were the more pro-austerity and pro-war party to the Coalition when Polanski stood as a Lib Dem for the Camden Borough Council seat of St Pancras and Somers Town, in the Holborn and St Pancras constituency that he recently failed to win as a Green. Polanski had joined the Lib Dems during the Coalition, but they now provide a happy home to Greens for whom even he was too left-wing.

Meanwhile, with deep reactionary roots, the Greens are a party of anti-industrial Malthusianism and misanthropy, and therefore of NATO and the EU, of their war in Ukraine, of the conscription to which that was leading inexorably, of Scottish and Welsh separatism, of gender self-identification, of drug legalisation, of licensed prostitution, and of Peter Tatchell. So yes, interchangeable with Labour, then.

The Green Party was all of those things on the day before its recent conference, yet just as the Old Greens are not making a fuss about its hugely significant abandonment of its opposition to nuclear power, so there was no talk of a firewall until it passed a resolution stating the view of most of the relatively few people in Britain who had much of an opinion on Zionism. Polanski was defeated at Holborn and St Pancras because he was as described above, not because of that resolution.

But how does that resolution look now, anyway? Israel was not an apartheid state because the Arabs were “allowed” vote, but they barely did, so that once they did in such numbers at to end up with the potential balance of power, then that must have been because of the kind of foreign interference that the implacable opponents of Brexit or of Donald Trump were wont to allege? And Zionism required no inclusion of the Arab-led parties in government no matter how well they had done, even if that required further elections, quite possibly on a more restricted franchise, or with a higher threshold, or with the Arab-led parties banned, or with all of those measures? If that is not racism, then what is it? And if that is not racism, then what is?

The World of Nathan Cofnas

The Jason Arday affair has repeatedly been shown to have been nothing like as bad, or even as unusual, as it was presented, and there may well be more such correction to come. The whole thing was got up over the summer to distract from the true scandal of Lola Salem, itself extending to the emergence of a Parisian-style Far Right intellectual and cultural scene in London with connections to the very hearts of Reform UK and the Conservative Party. The self-appointed inquiry into Arday announced its existence and composition in one of the two magazines closest to Salem and to the already convicted Henry Hopwood-Phillips. And proving that he still held the United Kingdom visa that he needed to address a Reform event, but which the Labour Government had denied to Andreas Malm to address a Tribune one, Nathan Cofnas is to speak at the Oxford college from which Salem had been suspended, as Charlie Brinkhurst-Cuff writes:

When I heard that Nathan Cofnas – the self-described “race realist” who spearheaded a campaign against Jason Arday, the Black, former Cambridge professor whose academic work prompted unrelenting scrutiny before his untimely death – was due to speak at Oxford University’s Oriel College next month, I wasn’t surprised. Only a few months ago, the university union had hosted Stephen Yaxley-Lennon (aka Tommy Robinson), one of the most dangerous far-right men in the country who was actively responsible for stirring up race riots across the summer. I was, however, disgusted.

This column will not be another treatise on the right or wrongs of free speech; we have been there and done that. But what I am interested in is the world of elite academia, of which most of us have only ever skimmed the surface. By my reckoning, the world of Nathan Cofnas is dank, self-obsessed and manages to be both deeply hypocritical and highly illogical while utterly convinced of its superiority. This is a man who, in the weeks after Arday’s death, appeared on right-wing podcasts decrying a peaceful vigil as an “anti-Cofnas hate rally”. Cofnas has claimed if he had set foot in central London that evening, he would have been murdered. I attended the vigil, and it was flooded with tears and sorrow at the premature loss of Arday by those who loved him.

A couple of years ago, I went to an exhibition in London’s Wellcome Collection by artists Larry Achiampong and David Blandy, titled Genetic Automata; it explored race science and eugenics. In the first room were artefacts, mostly from the beginning of the 20th century: a swatch of different hair textures and colours, neatly labelled; a collection of glass eyes used as part of an antisemitic study to compare the irises of children alongside a set of sepia-toned photographs; a device that measured the heads of individuals to make judgments on their intelligence or supposed affinity towards criminality. None would be out of place in a sci-fi show: they were terrifying, and ridiculous.

What these objects reminded me of, as someone who has engaged with interest in the (very British) history of race science, reading the work of geneticist Adam Rutherford and science journalist Angela Saini in particular, was just how dehumanising it is at its core. As Saini wrote in her 2019 book, Superior: The Return of Race Science, “Mainstream scientists, geneticists and medical researchers still invoke race and use these categories in their work, even though we have been told for 70 years that they have no biological meaning, that they have only social meaning… Racial injustice and inequality in their minds isn’t injustice or inequality at all. It’s there because the racial hierarchy is real.” On the growth in right-wing “race realists” such as Cofnas, she accurately predicted that they have been playing a “waiting game” – waiting for the right time to espouse their views publicly and virulently. “The public assumed that the extremes of scientific racism were dead, when in fact they were always active under the radar,” she wrote. The time, unfortunately it seems, is now.

Cofnas is a part of a dark and dangerous legacy, so grotesque it is fit for a horror movie (think: the most gruesome aspects of the transatlantic slave trade and the Holocaust). It takes a sick-minded and corrupted individual to decide to spend their life’s work dedicated to this field of “study”; to spend their time looking for genetic differences in intelligence, even though the former of which has been debunked time and time again, and the latter of which is inherently subjective. How many times is it necessary to say that race is a social construct; that skin colour and phenotype can basically never be a measure of anyone’s inner world? I do not tar Cofnas with the brush of evil lightly. His contributions to academia are, despite his weak protestations, founded on sand, and, from the papers that I’ve read parts of, both dull, damaging and ahistorical. Or, as Rutherford writes, “risible and vapid”.

And so back to Oxford, and the fact that the university’s Reform UK student supporters group has invited students to an evening with the man. Reform has been labelled by Oxford students themselves as the first anti-university party. They are fresh off the back of not one but two major undercover investigations into their racism, and earlier this year their party leader, Nigel Farage, was reminded of the fact that his schoolmates were the victims of his nascent racist behaviour. Thus far, the university hasn’t stepped in to prevent the event going ahead. As put by academic and author Kehinde Andrews, a friend of Arday’s, “This is not an example of Oxford against its values. These are the values of Oxford University.” A place where racist language becomes coded into diatribes about DEI. Where someone like Cofnas can be awarded a PhD [at Oxford?]. “Maybe,” Andrews says, “it's a perfect talk that should be given to remind you all of what the university is.”

Even so, today, an open letter and petition calling for the cancellation of the event, signed by academics and celebrities including Beverly Knight and Zawe Ashton, has been circulated, and I predict the ongoing backlash to the event will be substantial. I completed a fellowship at Oxford during the height of the pro-Palestine encampments and protests – many of the students’ actions were tightly organised, coordinated and deeply politically aligned. Surely, Cofnas’s appearance at the university won’t be met with anything less than that same energy and righteous anger.