Thursday, 30 July 2026

The Betrayal At The Heart

Paul Knaggs writes:

The Oldest Story in the Labour Movement Has a New Chapter, and It Stinks 

In 1874, a bookbinder named Emma Paterson founded the Women’s Trade Union League because the unions of her day would not organise women. This is not a new story. It is, if anything, the oldest story in modern history, and not only in the labour movement. Men shut the door. Women build their own room. 

Those rooms worked. Mary Macarthur built the National Federation of Women Workers for the women the established unions would not take, and in 1910 the women chainmakers of Cradley Heath struck to force employers to honour a minimum wage the law had already granted them. They won. The movement absorbed their victory into its mythology and has been proud of it ever since. That is the pattern, and it repeats: women organise separately because the general movement has neglected them, they win something nobody else was fighting for, and afterwards the movement discovers it had always believed in equal pay. Women are welcomed as symbols, celebrated on anniversary posters and praised from conference platforms. The warmth disappears when they organise as women, identify their own interests and refuse to surrender control of the room. 

It is disappearing again now, in the run-up to Liverpool. 

UNISON, ASLEF, USDAW and the Musicians’ Union are boycotting Labour’s Women’s Conference because its formal proceedings are reserved for women. The seats they leave empty do not belong to four general secretaries, a policy committee or a press officer at union headquarters. They belong to the female members whose subscriptions paid for them. 

That is the betrayal at the heart of this dispute. Union leaders have taken political representation purchased by women workers and thrown it away to make an ideological gesture against women organising as a sex. 

Labour’s Women’s Conference will take place in Liverpool in September. Transgender members may attend fringe meetings, receptions and exhibition areas, but only women will participate in the main conference proceedings, debate policy, vote on motions and elect representatives to the National Women’s Committee. Labour says the arrangement reflects the Supreme Court judgment on the meaning of sex in the Equality Act and the party’s legal obligations. The four unions have responded by refusing to send delegations, while confirming that their attendance at Labour’s main annual conference will continue as normal. 

Of every room available to them, they chose to empty the women’s room; it is an attack on women and women’s voices. 

Steelmanning

Recently, I have made a habit of steelmanning the arguments this column takes on: giving the other side its best case, stated fairly, before answering it. On this occasion, the word earns its own pun, because the case being steelmanned is, at bottom, the case of men. Here it is at its strongest. Trans women previously took part in Labour’s women’s structures, some transgender union members will experience the change as exclusion, and trade unions carry a duty to protect those members from harassment and discrimination. That duty remains. Trans people continue to possess legal protection under the protected characteristic of gender reassignment.

None of that abolishes sex, nor does it give trade union executives the right to confiscate women’s political representation. Strip away the language of inclusion and what remains is a choice: these unions have placed the concerns of men who identify as women above the material realities of women. That is the priority they have set, and they should be made to own it in those words.

The Supreme Court settled the legal meaning in April 2025. References to “woman”, “man” and “sex” in the Equality Act concern biological sex, while protections against discrimination for transgender people remain intact. The Government laid the revised EHRC code before Parliament on 21 May, its scrutiny period ended on 9 July without challenge, and the commencement order has been made: the code comes into force as statutory guidance on 5 August, days after these unions announced their boycott. They are not confronting an unlawful Labour exclusion. They are protesting because Labour has finally accepted that a women’s political structure must be capable of identifying the class of people it was established to represent.

The word ‘women’ cannot perform any political work if it is forbidden from describing women.

A women’s conference exists because women experience material conditions arising from their sex. Pregnancy discrimination is not allocated according to identity. Maternity penalties do not descend upon men who feel insufficiently represented. Women remain disproportionately responsible for unpaid care, more likely to work in low-paid public services and more vulnerable to particular forms of sexual violence and workplace harassment.

These are not abstractions assembled for a diversity seminar. They shape the wage packet, the pension, the night shift, the maternity meeting and the changing room. Women require the political freedom to discuss those conditions together and organise demands around them. That freedom is an exercise in collective assembly, the very principle on which trade unionism stands. 

That history makes UNISON’s position particularly indefensible. The union describes itself as containing one million women, around 80 per cent of its membership, and has promoted the claim that without women there would be no UNISON. It also maintains a women members’ group whose stated purpose is to campaign against workplace inequality and advance women’s rights. Yet when Labour provides a conference at which women can debate precisely those matters, UNISON refuses to represent them. 

No publicly available statement from the union shows that its million women members were balloted on surrendering their delegation. UNISON’s explanation is a single sentence: restricting the conference floor to women conflicts with its policy on trans equality. ASLEF, USDAW and the Musicians’ Union have offered no publicly demonstrated mandate from their female membership either. A policy written elsewhere has simply been placed above the right of women members to participate. 

That is not representation. It is substitution, the executive’s politics placed where the members’ voices should have been. 

Labour Women’s Declaration

The Labour Women’s Declaration is a seven-point political statement launched in November 2019 by members of the UK Labour Party. Its stated aim is to protect women’s sex-based rights, single-sex spaces, and the use of biological definitions of sex within policy and internal party structures.

The Labour rulebook has allowed an affiliated organisation one delegate for every 10,000 members, up to a maximum of 25. Trade union delegates also elect representatives to Labour’s National Women’s Committee. Boycotting therefore means more than missing speeches and sandwiches in Liverpool. It removes votes, influence, committee representation and the ability to shape the policies later carried into Labour’s wider conference machinery. 

Power does not disappear when a union walks out. It passes to those who remain, and if the unions won’t use it, then women must organise themselves. 

The female cleaner, care worker, teaching assistant, shop worker, train driver or musician does not gain anything from this performance. Her union does not become more principled by silencing her. She simply loses a representative in the room while continuing to pay the subscription that funded the empty chair. 

UNISON’s conduct in the Darlington nurses’ case shows that this boycott is not an isolated error. It belongs to an established political choice. 

Eight nurses at Darlington Memorial Hospital brought employment tribunal claims after they were effectively required to share their female changing room with a biologically male colleague who identified as a woman. The tribunal found that the trust had prioritised the perceived rights of its transgender employee over those of the nurses, leaving the women with no genuine alternative changing provision. It concluded that the policy violated their dignity and created a hostile, humiliating and degrading environment. 

Seven of the nurses later received a combined £187,000 in damages, together with an apology from the trust and a commitment to provide separate changing facilities for male and female staff. 

UNISON was not the organisation standing beside them. The women had to secure outside legal support and establish the Darlington Nursing Union. Before the tribunal ruling, UNISON president Steve North accused the then health secretary of pandering to anti-trans bigotry, merely for meeting the nurses. After the judgment, UNISON issued a statement saying it needed time to consider the lengthy decision and reaffirming its existing policy on trans, non-binary and gender-diverse members. Its published statement did not offer solidarity to the women whose dignity the tribunal found had been violated. 

That record matters. It tells female members what may happen when their rights collide with an ideology already adopted by the union hierarchy. Their union may decline to represent their position, condemn the politicians who listen to them and then issue a carefully sterilised statement after a court vindicates them. 

Now the same hierarchy is applying that choice on a national scale. 

The boycott also carries financial weight. UNISON gave Labour close to one and a half million pounds before the 2024 general election, USDAW more than half a million, ASLEF a hundred thousand. None of the four unions has publicly threatened to withdraw Labour’s funding over the conference. They do not need to spell out every implication. When several affiliated donors coordinate a public walkout, the party leadership knows which ledger is being placed on the table. 

That makes the dispute a test of whether Labour will defend women’s lawful political organisation when organisations holding money and institutional influence demand otherwise. It is also a test for the trade union movement. A union exists to represent its members against concentrated power, not to use concentrated power against its own members. 

The women paying subscriptions to these unions are entitled to ask who authorised the boycott, which governing body approved it, whether women members were consulted and what democratic process allows their conference representation to be surrendered. Those questions should be tabled in branches, recorded in minutes and directed to every executive member responsible. Where leaders refuse to answer, women should organise to replace them.

Emma Paterson did not wait for established organisations to discover their consciences. Mary Macarthur did not tell women chainmakers to accept that somebody else’s policy took precedence over their wages. The Darlington nurses did not remain quiet when their own union failed to defend them. Each generation of women has been forced to organise because institutions claiming to speak for everyone decided that women’s interests could be postponed, diluted or exchanged.

The executives of UNISON, ASLEF, USDAW and the Musicians’ Union have made that same decision. They have placed ideological conformity above female representation and called the resulting silence inclusion.

Women’s rights were never a man’s to grant. They are not a union’s to boycott or betray.

Stop Lowering Our Sights

Bernard Lovell founded Jodrell Bank under a Labour Government, indeed under the Labour Government, of which it was very much in the spirit. With that caveat, Ameer Kotecha writes:

Why is the UK shutting its iconic space telescope? The news that Jodrell Bank, which hosts the largest telescope in Britain, is to be closed, after the government scrapped funding for the facility, has been greeted with widespread outrage. The Royal Astronomical Society said it was ‘shocked and dismayed’. I’m angry and depressed.

Jodrell Bank is a serious bit of kit. The Lovell Telescope – 76 metres in diameter – is the world’s third-largest, fully steerable dish radio telescope. In the Cold War, it tracked Sputnik. Just last year, GCHQ revealed the secret role Jodrell Bank played in the space race, working with the intelligence agency to intercept signals from satellites, orbital weapons and space probes. The dish continues to conduct world-leading radio astronomy. It has researched black holes and the afterglow of the Big Bang. Just last week, experts demonstrated that the telescope could track space debris.

The mooted closure is reportedly the result of cuts to the government’s physics and astronomy research budget. The UK Research and Innovation (UKRI) has decided that, when the current funding agreement ends in March 2028, it will stop supporting the entire e-Merlin network – a group of seven UK radio telescopes, including the Lovell at Jodrell Bank. Together, they make up one of the world’s most important networks for astronomical observation. Manchester University, which helps run the observatory, said it would be ‘difficult to sustain’ the telescope without replacement funding.

At present, Jodrell Bank receives just £2.8million a year. That is peanuts. Never mind that the facility represents just 0.03 per cent of UKRI’s annual budget. As a country, we recently spent £100 million on a bat tunnel for HS2. We spend £300 million a day on debt interest. By the time you’ve read this article, Britain will have spent more servicing its national debt than it would cost to keep Jodrell Bank operating for an entire year. We spend £9 million a day on asylum accommodation. But then, who needs to search for alien life when we have illegal aliens arriving on the south coast who need housing?

The decision to close such an iconic facility, which costs such a measly amount to run and which clearly punches so significantly above its weight, provokes genuine bafflement. Perhaps, as one weary soul on X suggested, it had been given the chop because the telescope is white.

But seriously, how can the UK credibly claim to be the best place in the world to do science, let alone want to lead the technologies of the future, while choosing to close internationally respected research infrastructure that costs what amounts to a rounding error? The UK has managed to become a significant global player in radio astronomy thanks to just a handful of globally significant sites, including Jodrell Bank and the Mullard Radio Astronomy Observatory near Cambridge. That leadership is now seriously imperilled. And how is it that UKRI, an organisation whose budget will reach £10 billion by 2030, cannot find a couple of million for one of its most iconic and important facilities?

When I was growing up, getting my hands on a telescope came second only to a metal detector (so I could go up and down the garden looking for buried treasure). Big telescopes are the sort of thing that capture children’s imagination. If Andy Burnham really wants to encourage kids from working-class communities to dream big and reach for the stars, being able to see them would be a good start.

Of course, the message this sends internationally is pitiful. As China expands its scientific capability and the US continues to invest heavily in frontier science, we are scrapping what assets we have to fund ever more handouts and international aid, including to countries like Pakistan – which has its own space programme.

Like death by a thousand cuts, national decline comes through many small choices that quietly signal a scaling back of ambition. Closing Jodrell Bank is that sort of choice. One waits to see whether Burnham will step in, in response to the backlash – the facility is, after all, just outside Manchester and near his constituency.

We need to decide whether we still want to be the sort of country that dreams big and plays its part in discovering the great questions of life – or just be a welfare state with a country attached. We should stop lowering our sights and instead look to the stars.

During Scrutiny

Even The Times editorialises:

The prime minister said on Wednesday that before there was a wider debate on the principle of assisted dying, “there’s something that needs to happen first and that’s the fixing of the funding of palliative care and social care”. Fixing palliative care and social care is a long-term project. Lauren Edwards, a Labour backbencher, has pledged, in the next parliamentary session, to reintroduce the deeply flawed Terminally Ill Adults (End of Life) Bill that was mercifully timed out in the Lords in April. The message to her from her new boss is: don’t bother.

This is welcome news, for three reasons. First, Andy Burnham is right: whatever your view of the ethics of the state sanctioning doctors to dispense lethal doses of drugs to their patients, the suggestion that before contemplating such a momentous step the government should first radically improve end-of-life care is surely correct. Hospices in the UK are underfunded. The notion that the suffering of the terminally ill can only be alleviated by a fatal injection, rather than by the love, care and medication that befit a member of a wealthy, civilised nation, is a grotesque counsel of despair.

Second, as even many of its proponents admit, the initial bill — introduced by the Labour MP Kim Leadbeater — was poorly drafted, light on precision and due safeguards. It had no business passing on to the statute book. The Lords, performing its constitutional duty to scrutinise legislation, saw fit to table more than 1,300 amendments, over 70 of them proposed by Lord Falconer of Thoroton, the bill’s sponsor in the upper house.

During scrutiny, the risks of such a seismic shift in the relationship between state and citizen were exposed. In Canada, where medically assisted deaths have been allowed for a decade, they now account for 5 per cent of all deaths, having risen from 0.6 per cent ten years ago. Nothing in the failed bill would have prevented a similarly sinister increase in England and Wales. The measure was opposed by all the relevant royal colleges and hundreds of disability charities. It was not included in Labour’s 2024 manifesto. The prospect of the bill being forced through the Lords under the provisions of the Parliament Acts of 1911 and 1949 is arrogant and undemocratic.

Third, Mr Burnham’s smooth and swift euthanising of this zombie proposal showcases his political acumen while demonstrating the absence of any such quality in his predecessor. Sir Keir Starmer, bizarrely citing lobbying by Dame Esther Rantzen as his motivation, said he supported the principle, but then failed to expend any authority to back Ms Leadbeater’s bill. Wes Streeting, then the health secretary, said it was a mistake. Shabana Mahmood, the home secretary, was disgracefully smeared by her own side as a religious zealot for voicing her objection. Sir Keir floundered. The result: a protracted mess.

Mr Burnham knows the concept of assisted dying is currently popular with his backbenchers. But he is clear-sighted enough about the legal and moral morass it entails. He has little personal enthusiasm for the cause and certainly doesn’t want the distraction. So the prime minister has found an elegant way, acceptable to his party, of signalling that this is not a priority. Assisted dying should be retrieved from obscurity only if any party can muster the courage to include it in its next manifesto. Given that many voters, rightly, regard this matter as a thick red line not to be crossed, such courage is unlikely to be summoned.


The Terminally Ill Adults (End of Life) Bill had no democratic mandate. It was a Private Members’ Bill, not a government initiative. There had been no pre-legislative scrutiny, no consultation, no proper impact assessment before the Bill was introduced. The result was widespread concern.

Finally published on 11 November 2024, a little more than two weeks prior to Second Reading, giving MPs virtually no time to assess its provisions, it ultimately limped through the Commons at Third Reading with a majority of just 23 votes — 314 to 291 — on 20 June 2025, with support from fewer than 50 per cent of MPs. In those seven months, it had undergone significant change and lost vital safeguards.

The duty of the House of Lords is to scrutinise, and to approve, amend or reject a bill. We do not have to pass a bill simply because the House of Commons did so.

Very specific and detailed criticisms and concerns arose among stakeholders and the public. Among those raising concerns, the Royal College of Psychiatrists said they could not support it; the Royal College of Physicians said that “it was not in line with good clinical and professional practice”. The Royal Colleges of General Practitioners, Pathologists, and Nursing, and the Royal Pharmaceutical Society, The British Association of Social Workers, The Law Society, the British Geriatrics Society, the Association for Palliative Medicine, Liberty, and the group Standing Together Against Domestic Abuse all made extensive criticism of the bill, as did Disability Rights UK, BEAT and other eating disorder groups, MIND, the National Down Syndrome Policy Group and many others.

The Government’s Suicide Prevention Advisor said it was “very dangerous”. The former President of the Family Division of the High Court said it was “lamentably short of providing adequate safeguards.” Lord Stevens, the former CEO of the NHS, said that there was “evident and substantial risk”.

In fact, for the two days we debated the general principles of the Bill, information provided indicates that 516 Peers attended at least one day, while 327 turned up for both. It was the beginning of a long and very difficult process.

At least 244 peers were directly involved in scrutiny of the Bill in Committee, and the average speech lasted less than 7 minutes, although we were allowed to speak for up to 10 minutes on most occasions.

92 peers tabled or supported amendments. Lord Falconer, the promoter of the Bill, tabled 76 amendments, some of which removed safeguards inserted in the House of Commons.

The Bill’s supporters said that we had only discussed 7 clauses in 14 days in Committee. Actually, we debated over 800 amendments and discussed the content of 46 of the 59 clauses in the Bill and all 3 of the Schedules.

These amendments addressed some of the major problems we identified, including the risk of individual and organisational coercion of the elderly, sick, the disabled, those with learning difficulties, those with mental illnesses, those who might be isolated and struggling with financial difficulties, and many others.

There was a huge risk of people opting to die not because they wanted to, but because they had been subjected to pressure to do so, or because people living with Down Syndrome and learning disabilities often have an “acquiescence bias” and a strong innate desire to please authority figures, so they were more likely to agree to something suggested by a doctor. There were no proper safeguards against this.

The NHS exists “to improve our health and wellbeing, supporting us to keep mentally and physically well, to get better when we are ill and, when we cannot fully recover, to stay as well as we can to the end of our lives”, not to help people to kill themselves.

We considered the effect on practitioners who did not join their professions to help people kill themselves. The Bill provided a degree of protection against involvement but only for clinicians, not for all the other people who enable the NHS to work — the administrators, the porters, the cleaners: if they did not want to engage with assisted suicide they would face possible disciplinary action, and would have to go to an employment tribunal to fight for the jobs which they needed to pay their rent or mortgage to feed their children etc.

There were so many unanswered questions — where could deaths take place, is it to be inside or outside the NHS, which drugs are to be used to kill people, what will it cost, how is it to be funded, (we had been told by the Secretary of State for Health that if it is to be provided by the NHS then NHS funding will have to be diverted from other unspecified processes), where will all the doctors, psychiatrists, social workers come from? There were so many other problems and questions, but there is no space to list them all.

During the debates, we faced hostility and endless accusations that we did not care whether people suffered or not. However, it is precisely because we do care — about the most vulnerable in our communities whose lives would have been endangered by the Bill — that I, and so many colleagues, acted as we did. In the end, the Bill ran out of time and was lost because it was so dangerous.

A Fierce Public Warning


The BBC, which spends millions on giant salaries for star presenters most of us haven’t heard of, couldn’t be bothered, last week, to send a reporter to watch the sentencing of a terrifying killer in court.

So it missed a major story. The man, 50-year-old Simon Carter, had committed a ghastly, heartbreaking crime of a kind that would not long ago have been headline news across the country.

He had crazily and without reason or purpose beaten his 72-year-old mother to death, so ferociously that he had broken his own hand.

Bad enough already, you might think, even though, in these sad times, alas, crazy murders are all too common.

But there was an urgent and important new aspect to this killing. Carter was out of his mind thanks to the sort of marijuana habit that far too many people nowadays have.

It was a big enough story to warrant being there in person to watch the outcome if you are reporting it. But that’s not all.

So appalled by what he had heard, the judge, Steven Everett, was moved to issue a fierce public warning against those who seek to legalise this drug.

He appears to be one of the few judges who have been prepared to speak out on that issue. He warned that cannabis was a ‘terrible’ substance, which ‘caused and exacerbated’ mental health issues. And he said campaigns to decriminalise it – led by politicians including Labour’s London Mayor Sadiq Khan and the Green Party’s Zack Polanski – were ‘wholly misconceived’.

He was incisive and specific, saying the case was evidence that those who talk about cannabis being a positive drug in the community are gravely mistaken.

He told the man who had beaten his mother to death: ‘You are not the first and won’t be the last with mental health issues to appear before me and say, “I smoke cannabis.”’ But if it had not been for the Daily Mail, which had an actual reporter from a reliable and experienced news agency in the courtroom, most people would not know.

Instead of arranging proper coverage of this event, the giant BBC supposedly dedicated to public service, relied rather pathetically on a police press release for its account.

Where do I begin? How can fair and accurate court reporting rely on the account provided by one side? In any case, it is not the job of the police to report court cases. They have other things to do.

Indeed, a police source told me they were not in court for the sentencing, which is why their release did not mention the judge’s comments.

I can’t begin to think how much trouble I’d have been in, in my court-reporting days on the Swindon Evening Advertiser, if I had done such a thing. You jolly well stayed to the end. The source also revealed that marijuana (possession of which remains a serious crime) didn’t feature in their investigations of this dope-infused crime.

Make what you like of that. Maybe if they cared more about it, there’d be fewer crimes of this kind.

Anyway, as a result, the BBC missed the story, which in my view very much deserved national exposure.

When I first saw the BBC account of the sentencing, and compared it with the Daily Mail’s far superior version, I thought the reason must be that the Corporation’s top deck were not that keen on reporting criticism of a drug that may possibly be used by some of its staff.

I was astounded to find that the true reason was, if anything, worse.

Many media just don’t cover the courts properly any more. An experienced freelance reporter explained to me that the BBC probably didn’t see the full story – as they have taken to cancelling contracts with on-the-spot agencies.

All serious newspapers and broadcasters used to make good use of such agencies, or even send their own people if the case was a big one – say, a son beating his mother to death.

A BBC source droned that they make decisions in line with editorial priorities and available resources at the time. News teams, the source added, follow clear editorial guidelines to ensure accuracy and this includes fact-checking with the relevant authorities. Or then again, not.

Apparently, on this occasion, they ‘fact-checked’ the police version with the Crown Prosecution Service. The CPS told me the BBC ‘just asked what mental health illness the defendant was determined by psychiatrists to have, and we confirmed schizophrenia’. As if this made things better, the BBC source said that their behaviour was something that many, if not all, media outlets do. Happily, not all.

I had long heard rumours about how the reporting of much of what goes on in this country is collapsing, as the provincial newspapers where I learnt my trade 50 and more years ago shrink or decay. But I had never seen it so starkly illustrated as in this court case, which badly needed to cause a national controversy, and now won’t.

It is amazing to recall that the small evening paper in Swindon where I started work in 1973 had a full-time librarian and a treasury of cuttings going back at least 70 years, in which the history of the town was stored.

Every one of us was carefully trained in law and shorthand, and our first attempts at court reporting were always supervised by an experienced senior reporter.

The same went for all the other things we wrote about. I was actually an indentured apprentice, like a character out of Dickens, and could not be released from this bond until I had served my time, satisfied my superiors at many tasks, and passed various tests and examinations.

The national company that owned my paper and several others would pay for us to spend occasional weekends in a Victorian country house in the Chilterns, where we were lectured by experts and old hands, and spent the final day putting together an imaginary newspaper, under heavy time pressure. I don’t think it was that exceptional.

As a result, the whole country in those days was covered by a safety net of reporters who, though not perfect, kept a constant eye on things that badly need to be exposed to the clear light of day, if they are to stay healthy.

I suspect this is vanishing fast, because the advertisers and readers, who once kept local papers going, have deserted them, and all we have instead are websites.

Oh, and the BBC, which still has billions in licence fee receipts and can afford to do what the old newspapers often can’t.

So why doesn’t it?

Has Nigel Farage Peaked Too Soon?

Even GB News is clearly having doubts when Tom Harwood writes:

In May last year, when Keir Starmer dragged the nation’s political press along to a glass manufacturing centre in Warrington, everyone was a little baffled. While some expected a grand new announcement, a new policy, perhaps even a new direction for the government – new policy came there none.

Instead, the then Prime Minister had orchestrated the whole jaunt in order to devote his speech in its entirety to one Mr. Nigel Farage. By this point, Labour had been consistently behind in the polls for a month, following an unrelenting downwards trend since the general election ten months earlier.

But at this point, Labour wasn’t that far behind. Starmer didn’t just make the speech to warn of what he saw as the dangers of the rise of the Reform Party. He also very deliberately framed the debate as Labour vs Reform. He declared Nigel Farage the Leader of the Opposition.

At the time, it was obvious to many why Sir Keir chose this risky gambit. He thought that given a straight fight Labour was likely to beat Reform. He knew that at the time his personal ratings held up best against Nigel Farage. Not that this would last long.

Arguably rather than boosting his own party, all the gambit served to do was to boost Farage’s ratings up higher still. When the then Prime Minister made his speech, Reform was polling in the mid-20s. In the months after, the party rose above the 30 per cent threshold.

Andy Burnham has taken the opposite approach. This week he invited the leaders of the Liberal Democrats and the Conservative Party to engage in cross party talks in his bid to create a new consensus on public funding of social care. Left out of those talks? The man who had led more than 350 opinion polls in a row.

Out in the cold

Instead of bigging up Nigel Farage and Reform, as Keir Starmer once did, Andy Burnham is leaving them out in the cold. It doesn’t help Farage’s case that he has taken himself off the pitch by calling an unnecessary by election, effectively banishing himself from our television screens and radio sets thanks to Britain’s anachronistic broadcasting rules around elections. Yet, Burnham is clearly operating as if the Farage ascendency is not inevitable.

And just as the new Number 10 has taken this new approach to the Reform party, something else has changed. For the first time since April 2025 there are now polls that show Reform knocked off its first place spot in the polls. Suddenly everything looks a lot more competitive. And not just in one direction. There has been much commentary of Labour’s polling advance – the Burnham bounce – yet that isn’t the only shift we are seeing. This week’s latest Yougov poll put not just Labour and Reform, but the top three parties in a statistical tie. 22-22-21 for Reform, Labour, and the Tories (remember them), respectively.

The research agency More In Common has for some time been tracking the rise in Kemi Badenoch’s personal approval ratings. And it is true to say the Tory Party has now risen beyond its nadir or 15-16 per cent in the polls some months ago.

Indeed in the three latest polls (from YouGov, Survation, and More In Common) the Conservatives are now just one, two, and three points behind the Reform Party.

Britain has had history of an insurgent third party looking ascendant – practically all dominating – as the SDP-Liberal Alliance peaked at over 50 per cent in some polls in 1981. But the Gang of Four peaked too early. By 1983, the party came third in both vote share and seat share, and the same old two party politics – once declared dead – was back with a vengeance.

This Parliament could still run for another three years yet. Whisper it, could the next election yet become a traditional Labour-Tory affair once again? Don’t rule it out.

Not Optimistic

Paul Sagar writes:

I’ve seen things you people wouldn’t believe. I’ve seen things Andy Burnham wouldn’t believe.

While lying paralysed in a hospital bed, I have watched NHS nurses telling agency staff to just stand over there and do nothing, because they were so incompetent they were making things worse by trying to help. I’ve had the terrifying prospect of trying to explain to somebody who can’t speak English — and yet is working in a spinal unit in a hospital ward — in the middle of the night, why I desperately need them to get the nurse. Because if my autonomic dysreflexia isn’t arrested, I’m going to have a stroke and then die.

I’ve had the rather different experience of returning to my ward to find a care worker asleep on the radiator. If the worst three words in the English language are “rail replacement bus”, then the most terrifying for a long-term hospital inpatient are “agency staff”. NHS rules dictate that a certain number of care staff have to be on the ward floor to support nurses as a legal requirement — even if the agency staff recruited to be in line with the law make the work of the nurses harder. When I learned that these agency staff were trained over Zoom before being sent into hospitals, I wasn’t exactly surprised.

Lying behind this sorry state of affairs is the uncomfortable fact that the British electorate wants to have its cake and eat it, three ways over.

There is, for one thing, growing awareness and concern that the social care sector is in crisis. But taxes are already at a historic high, and people don’t want them to go up yet further. And although this is not polling quite as highly as it was last year, there is a clear preference for reducing the level of immigration.

This is what pointy-headed academics like me call a trilemma; it is impossible to satisfy all three preferences simultaneously. If you want more care workers there are two options. You could make starting salaries a lot higher so as to encourage far more people from the existing British population to become carers. Or you can keep starting salaries pitifully low, so that the only people who will take these jobs are immigrants so desperate for the work that they will turn up anyway.

The problem with the first option is that the only way to do this is to raise taxes in order to directly fund social care. And given that it will cost literally billions, it really will mean putting taxes up. The problem with the second is that it makes reducing immigration levels particularly difficult, given how many immigrants will be needed to cover work in social care, especially with an ageing population. And of course, if we halted immigration tomorrow, the entire NHS would collapse.

But something has to give. My own preference would be to raise taxes and pay the care workers more. This isn’t primarily to reduce immigration at the net level (which I’m personally pretty relaxed about, because I’m a wet centrist of dad-age, and I think that the net economic benefits of migration outweigh the costs of cultural conflict that arise). It is because I think that if we pay carers more, we will get better quality carers — wherever they were born.

And I speak here not just as a pointy-headed academic, but also as somebody who has (to use the jargon that I hate) “lived experience” in this area. As regular readers will know, in 2023 I suffered a rock-climbing accident that left me tetraplegic — paralysed from the collarbones down. Ever since, I have needed 24-hour, on-call care to help me with everything from going to the toilet, having a shower, preparing food, getting dressed, and making sure that if my body starts trying to kill me (which it very much can and does), somebody is close by to stop it doing that. I spent eight months in hospitals, four months in a nursing home in Enfield, and ever since I’ve lived independently, but with 24-hour assistance.

Now, before we go any further, an important point that must be emphasised. It is by no means the case that all nursing homes, and all care agencies in the UK are bad. Far from it. Indeed, I have been one of the lucky ones, who has received good care at all points.

The nursing home in Enfield was genuinely excellent — which of course is not the same thing as enjoying living there, but everything is relative in such cases. When I first moved back to Waltham Forest, I initially received care from a small-scale, locally managed agency, who did extremely well by me. I frequently spoke to the Managing Director herself, who went out of her way to make sure that her staff were not just looking after me properly, but helping me to adjust to the challenges of my new life. After about a year, we agreed that I would do better if I moved to a specialist agency that provides care only to people with tetraplegia. That is who I am with now, and it has allowed me to regain a level of independence I didn’t think would be possible.

But it is important to emphasise that I am very much one of the lucky ones. Not least because my local authority has competent and empathetic NHS social care administrative staff, who signed off on a more expensive spinal agency taking over my care. This is not the norm. I have heard many horror stories, from others in my situation, about how their local authority basically wouldn’t agree to pay for appropriate care, usually through some mix of callousness, bean counting, and incompetence. But note: it is not an accident that the care I receive from my specialist spinal agency is the best available and the most expensive. They charge more, so they can pay their staff more, which means they can recruit better people. It’s also much easier for them to turn away candidates who are not up to scratch.

Now compare this to what most people, and their families, have to confront: the fact that vast numbers of social care workers in this country are not being employed directly by the NHS, but by unscrupulous private nursing homes and even more unscrupulous agencies.

We are not just talking about people with spinal injuries, but the huge range of conditions that require assistance for daily living: Alzheimer’s, strokes, advanced multiple sclerosis, severe learning disabilities, and a hundred other conditions that those of us who don’t suffer from them have probably never heard of. If you need social care in this country, the overwhelming likelihood is that you are going to receive it from an agency primarily concerned with one thing: extracting as much money from the NHS as it can, to feed back to its private equity masters.

The best way to do that? Pay staff as little as possible. Give them as little training as you can get away with. Don’t worry about the local authority kicking up a fuss; they can’t fully cover the cost of social care already after two decades of austerity, let alone check that you’re doing a good job. They’ll just give you the contract if you say you’ll cover it. Provided your staff don’t literally murder a client in front of the neighbours, you’re probably in the clear.

British people won’t take the work, because they have better options than the 12-hour shifts, low pay, and stressful conditions you are offering? No worries. Just exploit immigration visa exceptions for care work, and import low-skilled people from abroad. They can’t speak English? Whatever. Send them out to vulnerable people anyway. Money in the bank, Frank.

If you think I’m making this up, just ask anybody who has had to rely on one of the bigger agencies for social care provision. Like my friend from spinal rehab, who was injured at almost exactly the same time as me, with almost identical care requirements. Unlike me, however, he was not one of the lucky ones. In fact, he asked me not to use his name, because he’s scared of recrimination.

My friend has been shunted around large-scale care agencies for the best part of three years. He will tell you about the carer who ignored him as he screamed “Stop!” because his catheter was being ripped out through poor physical handling. He will tell you about the carers who don’t even try to understand what he’s saying to them (in English, which they can’t speak), and just walk away mid-sentence, before ignoring him for hours, alone in his own home. He will tell you about the one who refused to unblock his catheter, saying he was lying about experiencing autonomic dysreflexia — the life-threatening medical condition that if not resolved would have killed him. (That time he just about managed to manipulate the catheter himself. Next time, he might not be so lucky.) And yes, he complains to the agency. No, nothing ever changes. They just send fresh incompetents.

All of which makes me, I’m afraid to say, pretty pessimistic about Burnham’s promise to take the social care crisis seriously. For a start, he’s already ruled out raising taxes. And yet he claims to agree that social care workers need to be paid more. Well, Andy, how are you going to afford them?

The more fundamental problem is that the recent noise out of the new No. 10 about social care is all vibes and no concrete policy. And that’s because concrete policy is hard. In this case, really hard. As far as I see it, the only realistic chance of breaking the trilemma is not only to put up the wages of care staff (so that we get better quality people from the UK and overseas), but to remove from the equation the private equity funds that stand behind the large private agencies, more interested in their top line than you flat-lining.

This does not mean straightforward nationalisation. There are huge pitfalls with doing that, and some private agencies deliver very good services: as a general rule, the ones who are smaller scale, both in provision and staff size, and not backed by private equity. Let’s not turn the need for reform into a case for demolition.

Burnham in his first week declared that he wanted to reverse 40 years of neoliberalism. There are good reasons to think he’s using the wrong word here: neoliberalism started to die in 2008, and has been dead as a dodo since 2016. What we currently live under is something worse. Zombie-neoliberalism: the legacy of Margaret Thatcher and Tony Blair fed through the meatgrinder of austerity. Indeed, the failure of Britain’s social care system is the archetypal case. We pay higher taxes, so that private actors can get rich, while providing substandard care to the most vulnerable people in society.

Our new Prime Minister is absolutely right to want to change this. The question is: does he have the courage of his convictions? Because the rich don’t like to give up their power and their privilege, no matter how many people with severe mental and physical disabilities suffer as a result. Those who gain from private equity’s deep reach into the NHS are going to fight him on this. And they are going to fight him hard. Will he stand up to them? And if he does, can he win? I’m not optimistic.

Nor should he be, as Sarah Marsh writes:

A US private equity firm will take control of NHS patient records in a deal experts say should “ring alarm bells” amid concerns sensitive health data is increasingly being handed to private companies.

The investment firm TPG has bought Optum UK, the healthcare technology business behind the electronic patient record system used by most GP practices in England, in a deal worth about $400m (£300m).

Doctors, campaigners, MPs and human rights groups say the transfer of a company handling millions of NHS patient records to a US private equity firm has taken place with little public scrutiny.

A spokesperson for the campaign group Doctors’ Association UK (DAUK) said: “Private equity now owns the plumbing of English general practice. The GP records of more than half the country sit on a system controlled by a firm whose business model is returns for investors, not care for patients, and the public found out after the fact.”

It added: “We have been here before with Palantir. The difference is that this time the buyer is a private equity giant whose overseas hospitals stand accused of pushing patients into debt … We want the government to set out what safeguards exist, what happens to the data if TPG later sells the asset, and why none of this was put to parliament.”

Helen Morgan, the Liberal Democrats’ health spokesperson, said such deals were “being rubber-stamped without any scrutiny or protections for patients”, adding: “Time and time again, patients are seeing the government hand over sensitive NHS data to US tech firms, leaving our public services dangerously exposed.”

The MP called for the government to listen and “start backing British tech instead”.

Concerns have also been raised about TPG’s track record after hospitals linked to the firm in Africa were accused of pushing patients into poverty through excessive medical bills.

Earlier this year, an investigation by the International Consortium of Investigative Journalists (ICIJ) examined hospitals in Kenya owned by Evercare, a healthcare group backed by TPG’s Rise Fund.

The investigation reported allegations that some patients were left with crippling debts and in some cases were required to provide land deeds as collateral for unpaid medical bills. A spokesperson for TPG said it strongly disagreed “with the facts and characterisation of the allegations in the ICIJ’s report”.

They added: “We’ve made more than $100m of investments across Evercare over six years, which have led to substantial gains in quality, accessibility, and accreditations, as well as patient rights and protections. Any suggestion that TPG or Evercare prioritises profits over patients is incorrect and ignores the extensive clinical governance and patient’s rights policies we’ve instituted.”

The former Oxfam health policy lead Anna Marriott said the deal should “ring major alarm bells”. She said: “It is deeply concerning that a private equity firm with a highly controversial track record in healthcare internationally can take control of sensitive NHS patient data with so little public scrutiny. / “NHS patients have no say over who holds their medical records, which makes it the government’s job to guarantee their safety. This deal should ring major alarm bells. Private equity’s penetration of our health service is fast outrunning the regulatory guardrails needed to protect patients, workers and the public interest.”

TPG acquired Optum UK from the New York-listed healthcare corporation UnitedHealth Group. The business includes EMIS, whose software is used by more than half of GP practices in England, making it one of the NHS’s most significant providers of primary care technology and giving it responsibility for managing the electronic health records of millions of patients.

A spokesperson for EMIS said: “We have a longstanding commitment to the NHS and the wider UK healthcare system. Data security and patient privacy have always been at the core of our operations, supported by rigorous controls, strict access requirements, and compliance with all applicable regulatory and contractual obligations.

“The acquisition was reviewed and approved by the UK government through the applicable channels in accordance with the National Security and Investment Act 2021. Any suggestion that this acquisition changes patient data protections disregards nearly three decades of upholding only the strictest compliance standards – a commitment TPG shares and has a demonstrated record of reinforcing through investment in the systems that further strengthen those safeguards.”

A spokesperson for TPG said: “Assertions that TPG could in any way access, control, maintain, or utilise NHS patient records are entirely false. A change in ownership of the company has in no way changed how patient data is stored, protected, or governed, nor has it altered the legal, regulatory, contractual, and operational safeguards that apply. TPG is committed to upholding and reinforcing EMIS’ independent standards of data protection, patient privacy, and service to the NHS.”

The Department of Health and Social Care did not provide a comment.

Time To Lose The Faith And Get Real


Here they go again. Last month, Air Chief Marshal Sir Richard Knighton notified a House of Lords Committee that our Armed Forces would be depleted and become dysfunctional unless defence spending is increased.

I found the demand galling. Globally, the UK is already among the top 10 defence spenders. The Ministry of Defence guzzles public funds and expects never to be scrutinised or criticised.

This was the silent promise made to the Armed Forces after the end of the Second World War. They saved us from Hitler; we must forever be in their debt. Decades later, the department has fallen into disorder and chaos, incompetence and excess, yet an unholy alliance of politicians, their advisers, journalists, policy wonks and futurists habitually and uncritically transmit the messages of the top brass, condemning as unpatriotic those of us who argue that this sector needs reform and economic discipline.

The royals were once similarly protected by the establishment. Until Charles, then Diana, laid bare the truths of their blighted marriage, the fantasies of perfect happiness in golden palaces kept the masses loyal and happy. In the past 25 years, sections of the media and population have lost deference. You do get cloying adoration from royal correspondents, but real investigations too.

A few bold public figures are now breaking the code of reverence and calling out military leaders and government ministers. Here is Sir Simon Jenkins, author and former editor of The Times, expressing pretty radical views recently: “Britain should spend less on defence. It is a waste of money and should be reduced so more could be spent on supporting employment, welfare and growth. Why is there no such debate? Why should ‘defence’ be awarded an almost religious invulnerability?”

It shouldn’t. Time to lose the faith and get real.

Let’s start with the misuse of tax revenues. A dossier compiled by Labour in 2022 accused the Ministry of Defence of squandering £13bn since 2010. No project was expected to be on time or within the original budget; £4.8bn was handed out for cancelled contracts. An RAF project was £325m over budget and 28 months late. And so on and on. Imagine the screeches of right-wing commentators if this happened in the Department for Work and Pensions.

Next, the use of fear when getting approval for massive military spending. Or shock-and-awe action. They did this in Iraq, Afghanistan and Libya. Countless deaths. Millions of pounds squandered. All three countries more inimical to the West than ever. Now, we are told that Vladimir Putin will take over these isles and China will overwhelm us. These malevolent nations can do us some harm. But no, like Jenkins, I do not believe they will be in our skies any time soon.

On to arms makers and traders. Back in 1961, US president Dwight D. Eisenhower warned that the “military-industrial complex” had too much influence in US government circles. His concerns were limited to the West. But vendors of killing machines are now in every nation on Earth. Uganda, my old country, which has deep poverty in some parts and big problems caused by global warming, is spending recklessly on weapons. Why? Because all the other African countries are doing the same. Same as all western, eastern and southern states.

We come to mutual advantages. A brilliant investigation by Prospect magazine found “a revolving door between private defence companies and the UK government and military officials”. Examples cited included a special adviser, who in August 2023, left the Ministry of Defence to become director of strategic engagement at a German defence firm. Meetings between the company and department reps followed. A factory was later opened in Plymouth.

Prospect identified “more than 120 applications by former senior military officers, civil servants and politicians to take paid positions with firms either directly holding MoD contracts or bidding for them”. No rules were broken. But these practices don’t seem honourable to me.

John Healey, now Chancellor and one of the compilers of the 2022 Labour dossier quoted above, concluded back then that “The Ministry of Defence is a uniquely failing department.”

Yet now, PM Andy Burnham pronounces that “increasing our national security, in every sense, will be my first priority” and promises transparency and accountability. In his dreams, he sees weapons manufacturing leading to a new dawn of reindustrialisation and growth. Defence Secretary Wes Streeting is on side. Defence spending will not be cut. Benefits cuts are so much less trouble. So, as with all British governments, warfare wins; welfare loses. And our high hopes for ethical governance are dashed.

To the pages of J’accuse, where the Marquis writes:

‘Comrades.. Comrades. Can.. Can we please stop talking now please. Can... Right. Comrades. Cease conversations please. We’re about to begin.’ The International Anti-War Conference is off to a late start, and our grizzly, trade unionist compere is addressing the crowd in the manner of a teacher wrangling an unruly school trip - a tone of beleaguered authority much added to by the fact that the lectern has cropped his “NO WAR” t-shirt right at the crest of the belly, so it now reads, very simply, in XXL-size black Impact font on white: “NO”.

Scheduled to start at the crack of 10am, and not filling out until a fair bit past that, this is, I suppose, the ‘Early Birds’ session. The speakers are the conference’s lesser-known delegates, from the smaller unions, the student groups, and the upper-middle ranks of various British and Continental anti-war movements. They have more to prove and get less time to prove it in, and for that reason give some of the more detail-heavy, concise, compelling speeches of the day. The consensus is that, across Europe, governments like ours, Macron’s, Merz’s and Meloni’s are all engaged in a push for rearmament; motivated partially by the war in Ukraine, partially by the realisation that the US’s foreign interests, as in Iran, may not always overlap with ours, and partially at the behest of the military-industrial lobby. Thankfully, there are forces across Britain and the Continent ready to push back, and already we have won some meaningful victories.

The Trades Union Congress has overturned its initial support for Labour’s increased defence spending, and a German delegate spoke movingly on how valiantly the students there have rejected the move towards reintroducing conscription that began with the Military Service Modernisation Act at the start of this year. The week prior to the conference, the Iranians seemed to prove they were not to be bullied, and forced Trump to sign a peace deal that even his opponents to the Left would criticise as too lenient, news the conference met with optimism verging tentatively on bravado - we did not know at the time, though might have guessed, that the memorandum would collapse within less than a month. The proscription of Palestine Action and thuggish treatment of its members is, while a loss, a sign the government is scared and lashing out in a spasm of paranoia. The warhawks have shown us they’re slightly weaker than we thought, and soon, we may hope, maybe the peaceniks will have them on the run.

Given the tone of British politics today, where all sides seem to be competing as to who can pledge the most to the defence budget, it all feels refreshing and urgent - especially given that the new militarism in Europe has come, in Britain and elsewhere, largely from our false-friends on the centre-left, and not our old enemies on the right. Merz has set out a €377 billion plan to build “the strongest conventional army in Europe.” Macron (following his famed 2022 Zelensky-style ‘pajamas and stubble’ photoshoot) has been railing at the French defence industry for not meeting his production demands for a “war economy.” Starmer, and now Burnham, have been dancing around a ‘reindustrialisation through rearmament’ program that has the slightly dowdy, mothball odour of the Blue Labour bench. Al Carns, ex-serviceman and, before Burnham’s ascendency, Maurice Glasman’s pick for Labour leader, has gone as far as suggesting he’s open to “some kind of national service.”

Perhaps you’ve noticed the Army recruitment adverts plastered all over the Tube in recent months. One features a man whose top half is in camo, but in a football kit from the waist down; the tagline reads: ‘Kit. Formation. Drills. You’re already speaking our language.’ If you’re wondering who’s been given the contract for the Army’s recruitment program, it’s our old friends at Serco. The government has hired a company that provides asylum seeker HMOs to convince young people to join the army by way of a blokey football analogy; it reads like a one-line caricature of the Starmer-Burnham period an editor would rightly cross out with the note: ‘too on the nose.’ 

‘Reindustrialisation through Rearmament’ is a dead end. Per research published by the Scottish Government, military spending ranks 70th in ‘employment multipliers’ out of 100 categories of economic activity. As Russell Whiting, Parliamentary Officer for the Campaign for Nuclear Disarmament, points out, it is outranked by “everything from agriculture to energy to food manufacture, chemicals, iron and steel, to computers, construction, and a host of others in between.” Its real motives are lurking elsewhere. As Britain and Europe become more and more demographically and politically fragmented, our governing parties increasingly assailed by the populist right, the new jingoism is an attempt to inject us with a much needed bit of esprit de corps, to engineer a more regime-friendly mode of patriotism than that of Reform or AfD. As Glasman, one of Labour’s more devoted proponents of rearmament, puts it: “Diversity isn’t our strength, solidarity is.” Solidarity with whom? With what? When the Union Jack gets flown by rioters in Southampton or Belfast, it’s the flag of the people against the state. When it’s flown by ex-military politicians like Al Carns or Mike Tapp, it’s the flag of the people with the state. In ‘solidarity.’

As it stands, British military spending, relative to similarly second-rate powers, is not especially low. We spend roughly 20 per cent more than France, and Germany spends roughly 20 per cent more than us - the latter thanks to an aggressive policy of rearmament pursued since the outbreak of the war in Ukraine. Taken as a percentage of GDP, we spend more than either of them. Whatever is going wrong at the Ministry of Defence is owed less to a lack of funding than it is to the woeful inefficiency of our procurement program. We spent £5.5 billion developing Ajax, an armoured vehicle that, because of issues with noise and vibration, left test-drivers vomiting in expert medical care last year. Ajax will not be ready until the end of the 2020s, over a decade late. A new fleet of Nimrod reconnaissance aircraft cost us £4 billion, got scrapped in the 2010 Defence and Security Review, and then, from beyond the grave, snatched an additional £500,000 in waste recycling bills. These are the kinds of once-in-a-lifetime bargains that make the government say: “Please hand over your tax money now, we’ve got an investment opportunity you won’t want to miss.”

And they’re still asking that, even in the midst of what they keep calling a ‘cost of living crisis’ - an admittedly trite euphemism for something nonetheless quite real, for life punctuated by throbbing panic. Panic at opening the banking app, panic at the landlord and (like you’re a dog, like someone has turned you into an actual dog) the postman coming with his DO NOT IGNORE letters, panic at calls from unknown numbers that might have debt collectors lurking on the other end, panic at the yawning gap between what life costs and what it gives back. In the face of problems as immediately anxiety-inducing as these, we are being told we need to fork over £15 billion for new nuclear warheads, weapons we have all agreed never to use first but only in revenge - as if, should we in Britain ever be turned to dust, we might find some comfort in the fact that, somewhere on the other side of the globe, somebody else has been turned to something less than that.

In the opening of his essay on the nuclear question, Thinkability, Martin Amis tells us he was born four days before the Cold War shifted into gear, four days before the Russians ran their successful tests on the atom bomb, and knew it: ‘My mother says I looked like Orson Welles in a black rage … I was terribly sleepy and feverish. I kept throwing up.’ In February of 2001, I was born with a similar premonition about 9/11. All spring and all summer, my warnings went ignored. I was a voice crying out in the wilderness and it was thankless, tiring work. For seven months I was inconsolable. I refused food. I wept all night and slept all day. I soiled myself constantly. I stacked replica towers out of blocks and household objects, only to knock them over for what, to the heedless adults, looked like no reason at all. The first time they took me on a plane I screamed bloody murder for the entire journey. By the time it finally happened I was so bitter, so exhausted, so far past caring at all that, while mother and father gaped at the television with dumb horror, it did not even occur to me to bother interjecting: ‘I told you so.’

In the world that has emerged since, beyond the fall of the Berlin Wall, beyond the 90s optimism of McLuhan’s ‘global village’ that followed, the nuclear question has been arranged in new constellations. Had the Soviet Union dropped the bomb on New York, that ensured Moscow would be next and the rest of the world after that; what would be left of man is a stray animal padding about the ruins of his house, and that proved reason enough for us to hold off. It was unthinkable. In our own multipolar age, the possibility of nuclear war is somewhat less unthinkable. Mutually Assured Destruction could be taken as a given when there were two great powers holding each other in tension; it is less clear what happens today if, for example, America drops the bomb on Iran, if Pakistan drops it on Afghanistan, if, should they get one (and why shouldn’t they?), Rwanda drops it on the Congo. Who can be guaranteed to retaliate then? Who will pledge themselves to the series of escalating dares that ends in the murder of everything that exists? Nuclear war is no longer a synonym of the end of the world. There would be marches, and tribunals, and lengthy speeches at the UN, but it is altogether possible that life, for the majority, could carry on, scuttling backwards and forwards over the face of the earth. That is rather more ‘thinkable.’ The cause of the CND is obviously not so fashionable as it was some decades ago - today at Methodist Central Hall, they are sitting quietly where they often sit these days, at the back of a room where people are talking mostly about Palestine. It’s lost a certain apocalyptic grandeur and, having seen the new t-shirts, admittedly the graphic design department is not what it used to be - but the warheads are still there, Chekov’s Gun is still fizzing on the mantle.

Watching everyone file into the Main Hall for the afternoon session is the first chance we’ve had to see and eavesdrop on all the attendees at once, and make out a rough sketch of who’s here. About a third of the audience are French; an usher tells me that Mélenchon’s LFI had a hand in the organisational side, and the room is full of French trade union members in bright red bibs. One of the event’s loudest cheers goes to a Russian speaker, simply for the fact that he’d chosen to make his remarks in that wonderfully martial, Eastern-bloc-inflected French that makes me daydream about the Foreign Legion. I have no idea what he said but it went down well. As for the rest of us, at least half look to be hovering around retirement age. If recent polling on the Greens is correct, these causes are supposed to belong to the youth. So why is everyone here so old? Where are all the young, fashionable, attractive Polanski voters we’ve been hearing so much about?

In any case it’s time for the heavy hitters. The highlights come largely from the trade unionists; Ian Hodson from the Bakers, Food and Allied Workers Union, who rightly ignored instructions from the ushers to lower his voice and soldiered on in a rousing, preacherly crescendo, and Jo Grady, General Secretary of the University College Union, who spearheaded the push to overturn the Trades Union Congress’ initial support for Labour’s rearmament plans.

An unexpected personal favourite was Mothin Ali, largely because he was the first to mention Keir Starmer by name, prompting immediate panto-villain boos and hisses from the crowd which turned abruptly into cries of “F-ck Starmer!” The French people sat next to me shouted F-ck Starmer. I half-shouted F-ck Starmer. The old man next very much shouted F-ck Starmer. He rounded off by mocking the right-wing journalists who’d harangued him over the closing lines of his victory speech upon becoming a Leeds City councillor in 2024, asking the room to repeat those lines in a call-and-response - the last of which was a knowingly saucy “Allahu Akbar!” Admittedly, ‘Allahu Akbar’ was not quite the crowdpleaser ‘F-ck Starmer’ was. I don’t think the French people said it. I mumbled it. The old man very definitely did not say it. Either way, Mothin returned to the bench with a likably boyish twinkle in his eye: top marks for audience participation.

Ali aside, there seemed to be an inverse relationship between the fame of the speaker and the quality of the speech. Jeremy Corbyn’s address was the prime example: a vague, whistlestop tour of the various causes we’d been hearing about all day, which the crowd responded to with something short of enthusiasm. It’s strange to think that this is the same man who had 100,000 people chanting his name at Glastonbury less than a decade ago. There’s about 20 difficult seconds toward the end where, thinking he was about to wrap up, a good portion of us began a round of stingy, confused applause, until the compere arrived to quietly signal he’d overran. At one point he begins a sentence with the phrase, ‘Let us stand up…’ - a demand that, with some difficulty, one poor old woman at the back took rather literally. She was alone in that.

At around about this point - too hot, too bored, and realising it’s three hours until the bar opens - that my companion and I beat a clumsy, apologetic retreat through the crowd and head back up to leafy North London. On the journey, we duck and weave through Parliament Square, converted into a grazing paddock for frumpy Remain voters today who, now summer’s upon us, are holding one of their semi-regular demo-slash-picnics on the green. Further up, there’s Magic Mike Live in Trafalgar Square, one demo on The Strand where a man with a megaphone is railing, in broad but nonetheless furious, terms, against child trafficking, another against corruption in Zimbabwe, and on the bus, an American couple who are finding the street names in the Square Mile inexplicably, side-splittingly hilarious. Everyone is yelling about something today. It’s a clammy, frizzy day, and everyone is yelling about something. Saturday’s humidity would become Monday night’s thunderstorms and you could’ve guessed it: there’s a flustered mood in the air, a mood of thunder sweatily deferred. Starmer’s resignation, as it happens, would be announced later that evening.

One month on and a just over a week into Burnham’s premiership, we might wonder how the forecast has changed on the war front since; it’s looking like stormy weather.

For the first time, Britain has given permission to the US to use our airbases to launch strikes on Iran, Burnham apparently more convinced than Starmer that the mullahs can never be allowed to produce a nuclear bomb. Personally, I’d rather them have one than that alcoholic Halo 2 NPC, Pete Hegseth, if only because, should they ever drop it, we’d be spared the added indignity of our nuclear winter being preceded by one of Hegseth’s trademark Mortal Kombat lines like ‘Let’s finish this fight!’, or ‘We came here to win!’

Burnham voted for the Iraq War, against an inquiry into its legality, and tabled an Early Day Motion in 2004, politely requesting that journalist Rod Liddle shut up about the death of weapons inspector Dr. David Kelly (the alleged source of a BBC report accusing the government of ‘sexing up’ its dossier on Iraq’s WMDs) and apologise for his ‘slurs on the reputation, integrity and record’ of Lord Hutton, who chaired the inquest ruling Kelly died by suicide. From the point of view of the anti-war party, he is not, by any stretch, ‘one of ours,’ and the appointment of Chancellor John Healy, who initially resigned from Starmer’s cabinet over complaints about inadequate defence funding, should come as no surprise.

The push for rearmament will continue apace, funded by cuts to the welfare bill. Putting aside debates about welfare spending in and of itself, there is a very obvious rhetorical note that singling out that department in particular seems intended to hit: a note of no-nonsense machismo. Goodbye nanny state. This is a Labour Party that’s ‘not squeamish’ about ‘difficult decisions.’ A Labour Party that’s rolling up its sleeves, tightening its belt and puffing out its chest. Here swaggers in a more manly, brassy Labour Party, one that’s up for a ‘robust conversation’ about ‘the trans thing’, and definitely not up for a ‘robust conversation’ about what happened to Dr. David Kelly.

Today, Burnham is set to announce ‘a major investment in our nuclear deterrent, supporting 22,000 apprenticeships.’ I urge all individuals of merit to call the DWP and get your PIP claims in now. Grab whatever you can fit in a clenched fist, before it slips away into the black hole of the MoD budget. Long COVID, anxiety, chronic fatigue, just ‘not feeling up to it’; whatever it takes. Tell them you need someone on standby to chew your food for you and spit it back into your mouth. Nothing you might spend it on is a bigger waste of money than Burnham’s vanity missiles.

There are decades where nothing happens, and there are months where nothing happens, and there are weeks where things get very slightly worse in a way that is so boring and so predictable that it nevertheless feels like nothing happened, and perhaps never will - speaking for the peaceniks, the opening salvo of the Burnham government was one of those weeks.

Yet Phil Miller writes:

Britain’s new chancellor John Healey has asked for a military officer to accompany him at the Treasury, it has emerged.

The move indicates how much weight Healey will place on weapons procurement after resigning as defence secretary last month in protest at Keir Starmer’s military spending plans.

Chancellors do not normally have a serving military officer assigned to their private office, with the placements typically reserved for the prime minister and defence ministers.

However, Healey has requested an army major, naval lieutenant commander or air force squadron leader join his top Treasury team for at least the next six months.

The role of Military Assistant to the Chancellor has existed before but not with this level of access.

Defence chief Sir Richard Knighton has signed off on the request, according to an email seen by Declassified

A Whitehall source said the move risked blurring the line between civil and military departments of state. 

It could also weaken oversight of the Ministry of Defence’s notoriously expensive procurement projects, with parliament’s public accounts committee already critical of the department’s “opaque nuclear spending”. 

The Treasury has traditionally acted as a check on the MoD’s most ambitious spending programmes that often end up over budget and behind schedule. 

It is unclear if experts from other government departments like health or education will be invited to join Healey’s staff. 

According to The Times, Healey made his request for a military assistant “on day one in the role as chancellor”. 

A source close to that newspaper said: “It signals Healey’s commitment that national security and economic security are inseparable, and his determination to meet the UK’s defence commitments to allies.” 

‘Broken system’

However, Khem Rogaly, co-director of Transition Security Project, told Declassified the appointment was “extremely concerning”. 

Rogaly said: “Stationing a military officer at the Treasury will increase pressure to cut other areas of government spending to fund the soaring military budget. Cuts to fund the Defence Investment Plan were targeted at net zero during a summer of unprecedented heatwaves and severe droughts. 

“These cuts meant that the £15 billion added to the military budget will lead to net job losses in the UK. Further cuts will be deeply unpopular and damage the economy, taking money from schools and hospitals to fund a notoriously wasteful military.

“It should not escape the Treasury’s attention that military spending is one of the worst forms of public investment for jobs and growth. Military largesse is an extremely damaging economic strategy. 

“The Ministry of Defence’s existing plan to increase military spending pours money into a broken system that already loses billions every year to cancelled contracts and fraud. 

“Despite the claim that more military spending is needed for national defence, the Defence Investment Plan commits Britain to military engagement in the Middle East, Indo-Pacific, Africa, Latin America and the Caucuses.” 

The Treasury declined to comment, despite requesting and being granted an extra day to prepare a response.


The UK government and police chiefs are reviewing the process through which US military personnel accused of committing serious crimes on UK soil are avoiding the British justice system.

The effort, involving multiple government departments, is examining why UK police forces, which have primary responsibility for investigating such cases, have been ceding jurisdiction to US military investigators.

Such decisions pave the way for alleged perpetrators to be tried in a US military court martial process, an alternative justice system in which victims are often not given the same protections as they would get in a British court.

The government and police reviews were launched after the Guardian uncovered a series of cases in which British police forces allowed the American military to take over investigations into allegations of serious sexual offences.

When the first case was revealed in June, Downing Street said it was “very concerning” that UK authorities were not involved in the prosecution of an American fighter pilot accused of raping and strangling a British woman, Sarah Steele, in his apartment after they met on a dating app.

After Cambridgeshire police allowed US military police to take control of the case, the pilot, Capt Jacob Wulfson, was prosecuted in a court martial on a US airbase in Suffolk. The jury, an all-male panel of air force officers, convicted Wulfson of strangling an intimate partner but acquitted him of sexual assault.

Victims of sexual attacks by US military personnel that would meet a common definition of rape in the UK are finding that their attackers are instead being prosecuted for lesser offences.

Under the set of laws that govern US forces, known as the Uniform Code of Military Justice (UCMJ), the crime of rape carries a narrower definition than that adopted by the British courts, meaning many cases are charged instead as sexual assault.

Wulfson was given a six-month sentence which he is serving at the US base RAF Lakenheath.

In recent weeks, Home Office and justice ministers met Steele to discuss her case and whether changes should be made to how UK police and prosecutors handle cases involving US military personnel.

A government spokesperson said Steele had “shown incredible bravery in coming forward” and ministers had “committed to identifying and learning any lessons from this case to ensure that victims are supported and treated with the seriousness, dignity and compassion they deserve”.

The spokesperson said officials were working closely with the National Police Chiefs’ Council (NPCC) “to look at the guidance in place to ensure that cases are correctly referred to the Crown Prosecution Service for advice”.

Ministers have promised to press the US government for a full account of what happened in the Wulfson case. In a statement, the Foreign Office said it had “been engaging with the US on this matter”.

The Guardian has unearthed several other cases involving US air force personnel who avoided UK courts despite their alleged crimes occurring while off duty. In each, local police handed over the investigation to military prosecutors, sometimes within days of receiving a report of a crime on UK soil.

Hannes Marschalek allegedly exposed himself to a 16-year-old girl and four young women in Littleport, Cambridgeshire. He admitted a charge of indecent conduct after negotiating a plea bargain at a court martial. The conviction was later quashed on technical grounds.

Tyrion Davis allegedly raped two British woman in Suffolk. He was convicted of one count of sexual assault when he was court-martialled but acquitted of 10 further counts of sexual assault and abusive sexual contact.

James Loubeau, who was accused of a “spree” of rapes and sexual assaults in East Anglia, drugging some women and breaking into the homes of others, also avoided the British courts.

He was acquitted at a court martial where he was tried over allegations from just one of the six women who accused him of attacking them. He was later convicted in a court in Miami over another woman’s allegations, after an FBI investigation into his alleged attacks on women in England.

Suffolk police had handed over the Loubeau case to military prosecutors just 11 days after two British women contacted the force to say he and another US airman had drugged and raped them after a meeting in a nightclub.

In response to The Guardian’s reporting on such cases, Gavin Stephens, the chair of the NPCC, has written to all chief constables in England and Wales to ensure forces understand their legal obligations in cases involving visiting US forces.

A source familiar with discussions in government said ministers were alarmed to learn that UK police forces may not be seeking advice from the CPS before handing over investigations to the US military.

Under legislation dating back to the 1950s, visiting US armed forces in the UK can prosecute their own personnel if the offences were committed while they were on duty or against another member of the military, its property, or a dependant such as a spouse or child.

In all other cases, the British police have the first option on whether to launch an investigation into visiting US military personnel. However, the cases uncovered by the Guardian suggest the US has pushed to take control of investigations over which it does not have primary jurisdiction. British police appear to be acquiescing to these requests.

Two police forces – Suffolk and Cambridgeshire – are conducting their own reviews of how they handle investigations involving US military personnel.

In a statement, Cambridgeshire police said: “We are conducting a policy review being led by our investigation standards department.” The force added that the review was looking at cases going back to 2018, and it did not yet know how many there had been.

Suffolk police said: “We are in the process of reviewing the decision-making surrounding the transfer of primacy to the US air force and around case transfer practices more generally.”

More than 12,000 US military personnel are stationed in the UK, operating from at least 15 bases and facilities. The largest concentration of personnel is at two US military installations in Suffolk, RAF Lakenheath and RAF Mildenhall. Large numbers of US forces live in the surrounding areas, including in Norfolk and Cambridgeshire.

Concern about US service personnel avoiding the British justice system has been raised by MPs from across the political parties. Nick Timothy, the Conservative justice spokesperson, said Wulfson “should have been fully investigated by the English police and prosecuted in our courts”.

Jess Brown-Fuller, the Liberal Democrats’ justice spokesperson, said: “The British public expect crimes committed in England to be prosecuted in the English courts under English law. That expectation should not change simply because the accused is a member of the foreign military.”

Responding to a question in parliament about the Steele case earlier this month, the justice minister, Sarah Sackman, said: “Our thoughts are with the victim, and with the other victims whose experiences have subsequently come to light.”