Neither main party has fought for an overall majority since 1992. Labour got them by default in 1997, 2001 and 2005. Both sides played for a draw and got it in 2010.
In 2015, the Conservatives got the shock of their sweet little lives when an unrepeatable combination of local flukes and local frauds put them over the line.
Long-term readers will recall that I predicted a hung Parliament on the day that the 2017 Election was called. I confidently assert that that was also the analysis of everyone at the top of the Labour Party, and of everyone at the top of the Conservative Party who was not Theresa May.
There is going to a hung Parliament next time, too. But the Leader of one or other of the two main parties will have to be Prime Minister. And remember, a Corbyn-led Government would have a sterling crisis. A sterling crisis! I mean, just try and imagine that.
Sterling would surely. skyrocket under Corbyn since he pledged a second referendum and Remain.
ReplyDeleteIt’s only nose diving in anticipation of a Tory Hard Brexit.
Never say "surely".
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