Thursday 26 December 2013
Making Plans For Nigel?
Survation has the voting intentions for the European Elections: Lab 32%, UKIP 25%, Con 24%, Lib Dems 8%, Green 6%.
In other words, the Lib Dems are statistically tied with the Greens. And the Conservatives are statistically tied with UKIP. For second place. Seven or eight points behind Labour.
Farage has bet the farm on leading his party to the top of the poll. Yet it may very well come third.
Even if it does have a possible use. Together with Labour, it could and should remove both Coalition parties from every seat in Scotland (although UKIP will not win a seat there) and in the North of England.
But, as some of us have now been saying for over a year, at best UKIP is still going to come a fairly distant second to Labour overall. If it does not come third.