Although his seat is in any case abolished by the boundary chages, and he stands absolutely no chance of persuading any other Constituency Labour Party to take him on, those who would draft Dan "Five Minutes In Politics, After Several Lost Wars" Jarvis should heed well the wise words of Daniel Larison:
How can the GOP escape this demolition derby? Some have
proposed a unity bid by House Speaker Paul Ryan (Wis.), or the redux of former
Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney.
But these politicians would look like
opportunists — stealing the nomination from the two candidates who won most of
the primaries and caucuses — and the result might be even more divisive for the
GOP.
Enter the candidates on horseback [bold mine-DL]: It may sound like a crazy idea, but this
country is hungry for the leadership the U.S. military, at its best, embodies.
The reason why this sounds like a crazy idea is that it
is one.
There is nothing inherently absurd in drafting a former general to run
for president as a normal candidate to compete for the nomination as anyone
else would, but that’s not what we’re talking about.
There is something wrong
with resorting to drafting a retired officer as part of an effort to dismiss
and override the preferences of two-thirds to three-quarters of the primary
voters in a nomination contest.
It would be bad enough to install Ryan or some
other time-server in a convention coup, but to impose some random general would
be even worse.
As dysfunctional and fractured as the GOP is, it can surely do
better than settling for quasi-Bonapartism.
It wouldn’t win back any alienated Trump and Cruz
supporters, so the overall result would be the same: a shattered party headed
to a major loss in the fall.
It also wouldn’t do the nominee any favors, since
the respect that the public has for military officers stems in part from the
fact that the institution is perceived to be apolitical and not tarred by the
squabbles of partisans.
Once a former officer joins the fray as a candidate, he
forfeits that advantage. In Petraeus’ case, a nominee already tainted by
personal scandal would be in an even worse position.
Ignatius says that the GOP
should “consider a nominee who might actually be able to lead the country out
of the wilderness,” but never explains why any of the people he names would be
able to do that.
The impulse to turn to former military officers in a
situation like this makes even less sense when we are coming off of more than a
decade of failed wars.
In the past, former military officers have become
nominees after having been part of winning a war, but the U.S. hasn’t won any
of the recent wars in which these officers served.
That isn’t necessarily their
fault, but it hardly recommends them as obvious presidential material.
Even if
we grant that some of the people Ignatius mentions have a record of competence
in their military careers, that doesn’t necessarily translate into being a good
politician or political leader.
I doubt that any of the people he names would
be suited to running a modern presidential campaign, and anyone foolish enough
to accept the nomination under such unusual circumstances would be taking on a
thankless task.
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