Thursday, 28 March 2019

Very Clearly The Mood

The DUP is writing out the death warrant of Northern Ireland. Tory England wants Brexit a whole lot more than it wants to hold on to that expensive and ungrateful stepchild.

But the tune would have changed after five years of Theresa May's deal, and she knows it. By then, it would be a matter of begging to be let back into the EU, on absolutely any terms that the EU institutions or any member state chose to set.

The euro, Schengen, no rebate (which was always a red herring, designed to distract from Margaret Thatcher's Single European Act), an even worse deal on fisheries, goodbye to Gibraltar, the lot. And the readers of the Daily Mail would dance in the streets as it came into force.

Assuming, that is, that May's deal had been passed five years earlier, thereby making this new order necessary from the Mail's point of view. If that deal were still never to be approved, then would May stand down as Prime Minister?

If May were indeed to resign as Prime Minister and as Leader of the Conservative Party, then the former position would have to be filled on the spot. As it would be, on her recommendation.

May's chosen successor would then go into any Conservative Leadership Election, an unlikely event in itself, having already been seen kissing the Queen's hands on the front page of the Daily Mail.

The members of the Conservative Party would never vote against someone like that. It would strike them as downright treasonable to do so. But in any case, they would be most unlikely to be asked.

And there is absolutely no chance of anyone even loosely attached to the pro-Brexit Right, such as Boris Johnson or Michael Gove, being one of the two names sent out to the party in the country by the MPs. Never mind the real thing, such as Dominic Raab or Jacob Rees-Mogg.

The last time that almost exactly that same body of MPs was asked, then it could think of no name except that of Theresa May. And David Cameron had not already had the Queen appoint May as Prime Minister, as May will have had her own preferred successor appointed. Welcome to British parliamentary democracy.

Another hung Parliament is coming, however, and we need our people to hold the balance of power in it. It has become a local commonplace that I am on 30-30-30 with Labour and the Conservatives here at North West Durham, so that any one of us could be the First Past the Post. I will stand for this seat, if I can raise the £10,000 necessary to mount a serious campaign. Please email davidaslindsay@hotmail.com. Very many thanks.

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