Since 9/11, numerous groups have launched aiming to make
the neoconservative, interventionist approach the only acceptable foreign
policy for candidates on the Right.
The newest member of this club, the
formerly little known John Hay Initiative, just had something of a
coming out party in Washington, holding two high-profile events with GOP rising
stars in the last few weeks.
Named after the secretary of state to Teddy “carry a big
stick” Roosevelt, and consisting largely of the former Mitt Romney foreign
policy team, the Initiative has been around since 2012.
But it stepped into a
more prominent place last month, when it held its first public event,
a September 17 speech by Sen. Marco Rubio; on September 28, it hosted Speaker
of the House aspirant Rep. Kevin McCarthy to explain his foreign policy views.
The group, which does
not have a website, has reportedly released a book entitled Choosing to Lead: American Foreign
Policy for a Disordered World, though it has not yet appeared on Amazon.
The Initiative, which as an IRS 501(c)4 nonprofit is
permitted to both lobby officials and conceal its donors, was founded and is
still headed by Brian Hook, a former Romney adviser and a George W. Bush political
appointee as assistant secretary of state.
He is joined by Eliot Cohen and Eric
Edelman, familiar hardliner figures also from the second Bush administration.
Hook says that the group supports “American leadership abroad” and is
concerned about “neo-isolationism in both parties. We want to be a resource
to…those who are interested in conservative internationalism and promoting
American leadership and ideals.”
With Mitt Romney himself on its advisory council, the Hay
Initiative claims to have 200 experts on tap to provide commentary and
“viewpoints” on global developments, who are themselves divided into 20 policy
working groups focused on specific issues like Iran.
The Initiative issues a
weekly newsletter called “The Hay Bulletin” and prepares policy white papers.
It claims to have advised half of the 17 candidates who were initially
competing for the GOP nomination, which explains why so many of them sound the
same when speaking about foreign policy.
The list of current and former clients
includes Rick Perry, Carly Fiorina, Chris Christie, Jeb Bush, Scott Walker,
Marco Rubio, Ted Cruz, and Lindsey Graham.
Initiative “experts” reportedly wrote the foreign policy
talking points used by candidates Chris Christie and Carly Fiorina in the
second Republican debate.
They undoubtedly scripted Carly’s astonishing menu for her first day in office in which
she would immediately call Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to pledge
undying fealty, followed by a call to the Iranians to read them the riot act as
a prelude to cutting off their money supply.
She also pledged not to speak to
Russian President Vladimir Putin as she has nothing she wants to say to him.
A number of Initiative-affiliated individuals have also
made the logical transition to actually join the campaigns of several
candidates, including Michael Chertoff and Michael Hayden, who are both
advising Jeb Bush.
They and others of a like mind would presumably step up to
become the foreign policy team if a Republican is elected to the
presidency in 2016.
The Hay Initiative is only the newest addition to the
virtual alphabet soup of organizations that have shaped Republican foreign
policy over the past decade.
The American Enterprise Institute (AEI) regularly
briefed the White House in the lead-up to the disastrous Iraq War.
Since that
time AEI’s resident scholars as well as their counterparts from the Center for
Security Policy (CSP), the Institute for the Study of War (ISW), the Project
for the New American Century (PNAC), the Foreign Policy Initiative (FPI),
Foundation for the Defense of Democracies (FDD), the Hudson Institute, the
Jewish Institute for National Security Affairs (JINSA), and Washington
Institute for Near East Policy (WINEP) have been regular fixtures on talk radio
and television, as well as in front of Congressional committees.
They all
produce their own newsletters and position papers but are also supported from
outside by the battery of publications that regularly promote neoconservative
views, including The Weekly
Standard, Commentary,
and National Review, as well as Rupert Murdoch properties
such as The Wall Street
Journal.
The various foundations and institutes compete for the
same pool of dollars—and have experienced some internal conflicts over message
and timing—but they are all essentially united in their belief that the United
States must project “strength” in promoting democracy (and, peripherally, free
markets).
As a general rule, these organizations have enthusiastically
supported bombing Serbia, invading Iraq, continuing the U.S. presence in
Afghanistan, attacking Iran, changing the regime in Libya, overthrowing Bashar
al-Assad in Syria, increasing U.S. strikes against ISIS, supporting Georgia and
Ukraine in their conflicts with Russia, and pushing back against Chinese
expansion in Asia. And defending perceived Israeli interests is always part of
their agenda.
These groups have also been generally uncritical of
abuses like torture, renditions, and secret prisons, while supporting legislation
frequently criticized by civil libertarians, including the Patriot and Military
Commissions acts and the various iterations of the Authorization to Use
Military Force.
This muscular foreign policy inevitably comes with a costly
price tag—and unsurprisingly much of the funding for neoconservative foreign
policy groups comes from defense contractors and pro-Israel sources.
As every candidate is listening to the same tune sung by
the same choir—and has virtually the same Hay Initiative-provided enemies list
of bad guys and rogue states—the only disagreement evident in most GOP debates
is who to attack first: Iran or Russia.
Carly Fiorina breaks the mold by
appearing to want to go after both of them simultaneously.
One critic of the Hay Initiative describes the organization and its associates as constituting a GOP Walmart for
foreign policy, noting with particular irony how the “experts” have experienced
no career damage from having been completely wrong on every significant foreign
policy development during the past 15 years.
And their shaping of the Romney
campaign from a foreign policy perspective might best be described as incoherent.
Of course, the Hay Initiative folks would argue that if Washington had doubled
down instead of retreating from its leadership role, everything would be coming
up roses.
The solution is to expose the putative candidates to some
alternative opinions—but that might be asking too much.
Do any of the GOP
aspirants read The American
Conservative or peruse any of
the established outlets that offer constructive and fact-based commentary on
global issues?
I know that some of their campaign staffers do so, but have to
be skeptical whether any of it permeates up to the top level.
I suspect the candidates are resistant to changing course
because they do not want to be perceived as altering their message.
Thus, the
insertion of John Hay Initiative experts into their campaigns at a relatively
early point may stifle consideration of any contrary points of view.
But I also
have to wonder if, within their own hearts, any of the GOP stalwarts are
insightful enough to realize that they are being fed a load of hokum by their
handlers.
As with any number of issues, it would be very interesting to learn
what leading politicians actually think about foreign policy when they are not
performing on stage.
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