Peter Hain writes:
David Cameron has a streak of petty, bullying
arrogance which often reveals itself at prime minister's questions – very
un-prime ministerial.
Now his henchmen have been trying to spin his humiliating defeat by parliament over military intervention in Syria into an unedifying character assassination of Ed Miliband.
Now his henchmen have been trying to spin his humiliating defeat by parliament over military intervention in Syria into an unedifying character assassination of Ed Miliband.
It wasn't
Miliband who attempted to grandstand by bouncing parliament prematurely into
attacking Syria.
The Labour leader hasn't been responsible for perhaps the most monumentally misjudged British foreign policy in recent times. Cameron began two years ago demanding regime change – which didn't work.
Then he resourced the rebel forces – which failed too. Then he tried to send arms to the rebels – until cross-party opposition in parliament blocked that: perhaps he forgot the series of protests by MPs culminating in the vote opposing his policy by 114 to one on 11 July on a backbench motion moved by Tories?
The Labour leader hasn't been responsible for perhaps the most monumentally misjudged British foreign policy in recent times. Cameron began two years ago demanding regime change – which didn't work.
Then he resourced the rebel forces – which failed too. Then he tried to send arms to the rebels – until cross-party opposition in parliament blocked that: perhaps he forgot the series of protests by MPs culminating in the vote opposing his policy by 114 to one on 11 July on a backbench motion moved by Tories?
When first phoned last week by the PM and
informed of his intentions to recall parliament at short notice, Miliband
initially offered to co-operate – as was his duty. The hideous chemical weapons
attack revolted everyone.
But he was not prepared to support an ill-judged and
rushed decision to use military force: before the UN weapons inspectors had
reported, before the UN security council had even debated and voted on the
basis of the evidence presented, and before the wider impact of military action
on the region had been properly weighed up.
Miliband has been consistent ever
since he was elected Labour leader three years ago: these are the lessons of
Iraq. We have to learn them.
Instead, Cameron insisted parliament vote ahead
of the evidence – and parliament refused to be bounced. No amount of poisonous
Tory briefing can escape that truth.
Yes, on Wednesday backbench and frontbench Labour
MPs made it clear they were unwilling to go along with the PM. As did many
Tories too – though No 10 ignored them, in a way the Labour leader did not with
his party.
But the real problem is that Cameron gave absolutely no sense of
where all this was going to lead. What would happen after a military strike –
"surgical" or not? What about collateral civilian casualties,
retaliatory attacks, escalatory consequences?
Although they do indeed cross a
red line in warfare, chemical weapons actually account for just 1% of all the
terrible casualties in Syria. What would parliament be asked to do next?
If Cameron had been doveish over Syria all along
and come to MPs saying "we simply must stop chemical attacks", maybe
he might have achieved a different result.
But he has been repeatedly and
publicly straining at the leash of British military intervention for over a
year now. The chemical attack simply seemed like an excuse to do what he had
long wanted.
The fundamental flaw in the position of the
government, the US and its allies is to see Syria as a battle between a
barbaric dictator and a repressed people.
It's a civil war: a quagmire involving Sunni versus Shia, Saudi Arabia versus Iran, the US versus Russia, with al-Qaida fighters increasingly prominent among the rebel forces.
It's a civil war: a quagmire involving Sunni versus Shia, Saudi Arabia versus Iran, the US versus Russia, with al-Qaida fighters increasingly prominent among the rebel forces.
Bashar
al-Assad has the backing of 40% of the population who may fear his ruthless
dictatorship, but fear much more becoming victims of genocide or Sunni
extremism.
Surely if western military strikes toppled Assad without a settlement in place, there could be even greater chaos and carnage in a powder keg of a region?
Surely if western military strikes toppled Assad without a settlement in place, there could be even greater chaos and carnage in a powder keg of a region?
There can be no military victory by either side.
The alternative is to drop a failed British policy and promote a negotiated
settlement between Assad and his enemies.
However impossible that looks today, it's the only way to solve this bloody and increasingly dangerous war.
However impossible that looks today, it's the only way to solve this bloody and increasingly dangerous war.
If Cameron stopped his poisonous spin and changed
course he would find Miliband and MPs of all parties willing partners.
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