John McDonnell writes:
The
autumn statement on Wednesday will be the first time in 10 years George Osborne
will be nowhere in sight for a major fiscal event.
There will be many who
breathe a sigh of relief at that alone.
But his presence will be heavily felt.
Not least as the Budget last March contained a black hole
as the decisions he had made for the previous six years started to catch up
with him.
However, it also poses the first major test for the new chancellor, Philip Hammond.
I ask him a simple question:
will you genuinely change course on the economy?
It is a simple yes or no
question, but it defines the entire approach he takes to this year’s autumn
statement.
If the Brexit vote taught us anything it is that many
people are demanding change.
The Chancellor and the Prime Minister may want to
blame Brexit for our current economic plight but, as a recent leaked Treasury
document shows, the damage to public finances was done before the referendum.
Brexit has simply exposed the fact that the last six years were wasted and that
the Tory economic policy they supported every step of the way has failed so
many in our country.
The Budget in March was a prelude to Wednesday, when the
Tories are set to fail by their own measure – breaching their own fiscal
targets set out in the 2015 Conservative manifesto.
They said they would cap
welfare spending and yet they have breached their own cap while punishing
working families.
They said they would increase business investment with huge
corporation tax giveaways, but it is decreasing and companies are sitting on
huge cash piles, not investing.
Yet most of all they have failed because they did not
equip our economy for the challenges that Brexit poses.
The Tories have no
answers to meet the task ahead.
Last week, I gave a speech in which I said we now need a
positive approach to Brexit.
Let me be clear. I will continue to oppose a “hard
Tory Brexit”.
That is because the Tories want to take a Trump-lite approach
with a minuscule increase in infrastructure investment, a pernicious
immigration policy, the destruction of workplace rights and environmental
protections, alongside a race to the bottom in taxes for the rich and in wages
for the rest of us.
Labour will oppose them every step of the way in parliament
and insist on full accountability for their negotiating positions.
As a democrat, I respect the referendum result.
Not to do
so would sow even deeper divisions within our society.
But that does not mean
we cannot use the period of the Brexit negotiations positively to work with our
socialist, social democrat and progressive friends in Europe to construct a new
relationship based upon solidarity, co-operation and democracy.
Labour has long
argued that there are aspects of current single market regulations that should
be reformed.
The Brexit negotiations provide an opportunity to work with
European partners to advance those reforms, such as state aid rules and
enforced deregulation and privatisation.
Labour
will press the government to take up that opportunity.
We must move the debate
on from the divisions of the referendum and bring people together.
We must look
to the future, not the past.
The Tories have no more a plan for our economy than they
do for Brexit.
It is why their handling of the Brexit negotiations has
descended into a shambles and why they’re now making up deals factory by
factory.
As the Foreign Secretary said, it looks like a Tory Brexit will be a
“Titanic success”.
In addition, they still put the rich ahead of the rest of
us by making working families pay for the giveaways to a wealthy few.
For
instance, 0.3% of the population are getting a tax cut worth £3,000 a year on
average, while cuts to universal credit will leave more than two million families
on average of £2,100 a year worse off.
Austerity was always a political choice, not an economic
necessity.
That is why we need an autumn statement that is on the side of
working families and with polices that are equipping our economy for the
future.
The autumn statement must meet Labour’s three tests.
First, we need a credible fiscal framework, which is
crucial not just for the public finances but also to help us to invest in our
economy so we can create jobs and growth.
The Government should target a
balanced current budget five years ahead and separate capital expenditure from
day-to-day spending.
To best do this they should replace the fiscal framework
with Labour’s fiscal credibility rule.
We would also set up a national
investment bank with a regional banking network.
It would mean we could invest
properly in our country and start to address regional inequality.
In contrast, the Government’s commitment to the “northern
powerhouse” has always been a media exercise, just like the now-forgotten “big
society”.
The government is only paying lip service to people in the north of
England, but it can’t continue to just re-announce old schemes, it needs to
deliver on them.
The fact that only one in five projects in the infrastructure
pipeline is in construction shows that the government has not been meeting its
own promises.
The Hull-Selby rail electrification plan has been cancelled in
the last few weeks and the Government is failing to commit seriously to develop
HS3 for the North of England.
Labour wants to set up a “Bank of the North” so
that we can channel the vital funding and investment that the region needs.
Second,
we need actual support for those in work on low and middle incomes, who will
struggle as prices rise.
The Chancellor can start by introducing a real Living
Wage.
He needs to provide honest solutions to the childcare crisis.
Furthermore, he should reverse the giveaways to the wealthy and reverse those
cuts, such as universal credit and employment and support allowance, to low and
middle earners.
Many people are indeed “just about managing”, but that is
directly due to Tory economic policies that have favoured a rich few over the
rest of us, and left many in our country behind while a few at the top have
soared ahead.
Third, we need secure and properly funded public
services.
With the NHS at breaking point, with a £2.5bn deficit, and social
care in crisis, with one million people not receiving the care they need, there
can be no more fudges on funding.
The same applies to local authority funding,
which has been cut at nearly every fiscal event under the Tories.
Ultimately, the autumn statement needs to be ambitious
for Britain by signalling a genuine change by Philip Hammond, not more cuts and
half measures.
Austerity should not be delayed, but ended – once and for all.
Otherwise it will just provide further proof why only a
Labour Government can ensure no one and no community is left behind.
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