Tuesday 9 April 2013

Guinea Pigs Can Scratch

Just as the recently deceased used Scotland as her Petri dish for the Poll Tax, so David Cameron has just begun his use of the (far more populous) North of England as his Petri dish for the withdrawal of Disability Living Allowance.

The difference is that the Scots asked for the Poll Tax in advance because they hated the rates so much. They never rioted against it, unlike the English, and Scotland was the only part of the country to experience a net gain in Conservative MPs at the General Election after its introduction.

Whereas the Conservatives have now managed to convince themselves so completely that no one in the North ever did vote for them, that when UKIP came second at Rotherham, all the talk was of "former Labour voters".

The same would happen if UKIP came second at South Shields. On that same night, Lancashire looks more and more likely to be one of three County Councils to pass straight from Conservative to Labour control.

But if the UKIP voters at Rotherham or South Shields were formerly Labour, then how come Labour still romped home at Rotherham, and is still going to romp home at South Shields?

If necessary, Labour can win without the South, as happened in 2005. Whereas the Conservatives cannot win without the North, as has never happened. That is just the reality.

And UKIP, not to say Question Time, take note: it's called First Past The Post for a reason.

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