Wednesday 31 January 2024

A Political Horizon, Irreversible Progress

10 years ago, Andrew Mitchell called for an arms embargo on Israel, and that was before either a ruling of the International Court of Justice that genocide in Gaza was plausible, or an attack on a West Bank hospital by IDF soldiers disguised as medical staff, who murdered three of the patients in their sleep. In their hospital beds. However responsible Iran may be for arming those who have killed three American troops based illegally in Syria, we and the Americans are more so for arming this. And for what? What do we get out of it?

The EU has stopped funding UNRWA, to which please donate here, but non-EU Norway is leading the righteous shaming of European states, EU and otherwise, into continuing to do so. If Britain were to join so very close an ally as Norway in this rallying of the troops, then that would be a Brexit benefit alongside the making good of David Cameron's remarkable offer to recognise a Palestinian state without having to wait for the permission, which can obviously never be given, of the Gaza ethnic cleansing and resettlement conference. A Labour Government would wait for that permission, and Keir Starmer has dismissed the critics of that policy as "fleas", which is exactly the sort of language that those conference attendees use. Starmer's public school was very minor. He probably thinks that Seven Pillars of Wisdom was a prog rock album, and that Glubb Pasha was one of the Ewoks.

But when I tell you that there is going to be a hung Parliament, then you can take that to the bank. I spent the 2005 Parliament saying that it was psephologically impossible for the Heir to Blair's Conservative Party to win an overall majority. I predicted a hung Parliament on the day that the 2017 General Election was called, and I stuck to that, entirely alone, all the way up to the publication of the exit poll eight long weeks later. And on the day that Rishi Sunak became Prime Minister, I predicted that a General Election between him and Starmer would result in a hung Parliament.

To strengthen families and communities by securing economic equality and international peace through the democratic political control of the means to those ends, including national and parliamentary sovereignty, we need to hold the balance of power. Owing nothing to either main party, we must be open to the better offer. There does, however, need to be a better offer. Not a lesser evil, which in any case the Labour Party is not.


  1. To say something is "plausible" of course means absolutely nothing in legal terms. It is "plausible" that Princess Diana was killed by the SAS or that UFOs landed at Roswell.

  2. "Starmer's public school was very minor. He probably thinks that Seven Pillars of Wisdom was a prog rock album, and that Glubb Pasha was one of the Ewoks." Get you.

  3. It's exactly as I said- the ICJ ruling on the genocide allegation will take years and any allegation is plausible until a court has ruled either way (which will take years in this case). Israel is hardly going to pay much attention to them, especially now we know the UN's local branch is riddled with Hamas and Islamic Jihad.