Wednesday 4 June 2008

From Man To Pig, And From Pig To Man

Peter Hitchens writes:

Most of you will, I hope, recognise the words above from the end of 'Animal Farm', where the poor beasts look through the farmhouse window and can no longer tell the difference between the visiting men ( whom they have supposedly overthrown) and their rulers the pigs ( who led the revolution against the men).

The quotation seems to me to fit the current merger of Cameron Tory and New Labour into a united political force, which is rapidly taking recognisable shape.

Some of you will recall a recent 'interview' with Mr Cameron (the paper involved never revealed where and how this interview had taken place) in which he praised several Blairite figures, including Alan Milburn. Now Mr Milburn is repaying the favour.He has declared in the public prints that Gordon Brown risks losing the next election for Labour. All politicians know that such remarks will be taken to mean rather more - in this case, it will be suggested that Mr Milburn thinks Gordon Brown deserves to and should lose.

Lord Levy, the former Labour fundraiser, was also reported as having met Michael Gove, the MP who is David Cameron's personal representative on Earth.

Readers of this weblog will not be surprised by these developments. It has long been predicted here that there will be significant defections by so-called 'Blairites' to the Cameron party before the next election. There were whispers of this at the Labour conference in Manchester nearly two years ago. But what is a 'Blairite' anyway?

The word, in its crudest sense, means 'power-worshipper'. Once the Blair faction was in firm control of the Labour machine, all ambitious MPs began to describe themselves as 'Blairites'. In the past, they may have been Trotskyists, friends of Neil Kinnock, Nuclear Disarmers, trade union militants, Communist fellow-travellers you name it. All this was forgotten in the famous Blair Revolution. The essence of this was 'electability is everything', so the deep convictions of Labour MPs were buried even deeper, never to be spoken of again, and they all talked a bland language of 'reform' and the 'third way' , while agreeing that 'Clause Four' which hadn't mattered for decades anyway, could be got rid of. The fact that they never spoke of their aims did not, however, mean that they had given them up.

...

In 2001, given a perfectly good opportunity to sack New Labour - whose nature was by then clear to all but the dimmest - the voters refused to take it. Some actually declined to vote Tory because William Hague was bald. I remember a woman in the audience of 'Question Time' actually giving this as her reason for not supporting the Tories. Such is democracy. Hague, who is now universally lauded as a great intellect and author, fine speaker, potential premier, etc etc was then universally smeared as a hopeless, hairless idiot unable to run a bath let alone a government, and his party dismissed as a dead parrot by the same media who now talk up David Cameron.

The 2001 election, as I have pointed out here before, was viewed by Labour insiders as mainly about crushing what was left of conservatism inside the Tory Party (This was made clear by Mr Blair in remarks he made at the end of the campaign, and by the journalist Steve Richards a few months later).

...

Mr Cameron was, in a way, the media classes' revenge for the Tories' refusal to pick the media's own favourite candidate, Michael Portillo. You might call Mr Cameron 'Michael Portillo for slow learners'.

Mr Cameron, untroubled by beliefs, had got the message of 2001. The Tories would only be allowed to operate again, without having huge vats of slime tipped over them all the time by the whole media, if they repudiated the Thatcher era and made it clear they wouldn't reverse what Labour had done. And lo, it has come to pass. The slime is now being directed at Gordon Brown, not in buckets but through a battery of high-pressure hoses on 24-hour standby.

Thanks to this amazing reversal of support, and melodramatically abrupt redirection of all that slime (one of the few products in which we still lead the world), what now seems possible - though by no means certain - is that the sweets of office, and the levers of power (provided they don't pull them too hard) will be in Tory hands in, say, 2010.

Now, what does a power-worshipper do in such circumstances? Why, like a big friendly dog he goes lolloping over the man most likely to give him a biscuit. So all those ex-whatever-they-weres will now become Tories. I expect the first defections to be in the House of Lords. But there'll be some in the Commons too. And perhaps some among the Think Tank political professionals who aren't in either house yet, but assume they will be eventually, because they have demonstrated that they have no principles and it is therefore safe to let them become MPs.

It will be really funny if, after defecting, they find themselves stranded by another, unpredictable turn of the political weather, and the Tories fail to win the next election. But then, I suppose they can always re-rat.

The point of all this is that we now have a permanent government in this country, run pretty much on the basis of the Labour manifesto of 1997, the 'political arm of the British people as a whole'. Those who wish to be allowed political office must accept those policies. But it is less and less important which party they belong to.

The rest of us, in the meantime, can do nothing to change this - except to refuse to give legitimacy to these people by voting for them. If a major horse-race or an important football or cricket match were fixed as blatantly as our Parliament now is, there'd be rioting in the streets.


But who needs to defect? Expect Andrew Adonis to be Cameron's Education Secretary while still receiving the Labour Whip in the House of Lords. Only John McDonnell would make any sort of fuss. And not even he would make much of one.

23 comments:

  1. If Labour loses, John McDonnell will almost certainly lose his seat. But don't worry. Pretty much every single Labour MP, and every Labour member, would object to someone serving as a Conservative minister while holding the Labour whip. So he won't. So we don't need McDonnell to do it.

    Sometimes your lack of understanding of the PLP really surprises me.

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  2. Dream on, on every possible level.

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  3. The PLP? Does that still exist? It sure as hell might as well not, and it obviously does whatever it's damn well told.

    McDonnell was supposed to lose his seat last time. Don't bet on it. But do bet on what David predicts about Cameron and Adonis.

    Adonis wouldn't be the only one. Alan Milburn, Stephen Byers and (if they stand again) Charles Clarke, David Blunkett and John Reid can all expect office under Cameron. The Labour Whip will not be withdrawn from them. No one will even suggest that it should be.

    Britain is a one party state. Face the fact.

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  4. I know, Anonymous 00:09. The PLP, indeed! John Smith is still Leader of the Labour Party, you know.

    If only.

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  5. I expect Michael Gove to be David Cameron's Education Secretary, while taking the Conservative whip in the House of Commons.

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  6. Then you are as deluded as the people who think that the PLP wouldn't stand for Labour Party members in a Cameron Cabinet.

    Who is going to be in the next PLP? Mostly people who have exchanged cocaine, bodily fluids or both with Cameron's frontbenchers, by no means only at university.

    And who is going to be in the Cameron Cabinet? David Davis will last about as long as Clare Short did, and Liam Fox (if appointed at all) will last about as long as Gvin Strang or Michael Meacher.

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  7. "David Davis will last as long as Clare Short did".

    That's six and a half years, then. Not a bad run, and longer than a lot of Blair's cabinet ministers. And Short had a lot less support among the PLP (yes, that again) than Davis does among Conservative MPs.

    Incidentally, do you think Michael Gove thinks he'll be Cameron's education secretary, or does he recognise that Cameron's just stringing him along?

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  8. But surely this is irrelevant? After all, as you said, Cameron "cannot possibly" win the next election?

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  9. David - you have just accused David Cameron of taking hard drugs both at Oxford and beyond. To my recollection, he has never admitted the former, and flatly denied the latter. He would have a strong case for suing you for libel (I am a lawyer, so I know what I'm talking about).

    He won't however, because it is notoriously hard to sue people for internet comments. You know this, presumably, because you're a smart guy - far too smart to make random unsubstantiated accusations of the type you'd never get away with in print. So you're clearly aware of the legal protection offered by the internet.

    So if that's the case, why do you refuse to publish other names, including senior people within the Labour party who have "begged you" to keep things silent? You have claimed in the past that not even the internet keeps you safe. However, you've clearly now reached the opposite conclusion because of your otherwise libellous remarks re Cameron. So why not publish everything?

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  10. I've promised people that I wouldn't name them, so I'm not going to.

    I never said "Cameron", I said "Cameron's frontenchers". But you have mentioned Cameron specifically. I wonder why.

    And I think we all know why he never sues any of the legions of people who refer to him and drugs.

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  11. Anonymous 12:16, not if the best that he can manage is a crudely projected forty-four per cent of thirty-five per cent, and that including neither most of the West Country nor anywhere in Scotland, no.

    Apart from that, all he's done is overturn a mere seven thousand majority in Cheshire two years before a General Election. So what?

    Anyway, the real point is that it doesn't matter who wins. At least Labour activists and core supporters always had the wit to despise Tony Blair back. Tories seem determined to pretend, even to themselves, that Cameron is one of them really. No, he is not.

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  12. Anonymous 9:26, Gove is on for something a lot grander than that.

    As for Davis, he's the Mod Cons' John Prescott: no influence over anything, but simply having him there keeps the dwindling party faithful and the donors happy.

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  13. David Davis has support among Tory MPs? Who? No one who'll be standing as a Tory next time, even if they currently still think that they will be allowed to one last time. Cameron's and Osborne's chums from school and Oxford want those seats and will be given them.

    Why do they stay in the Tory Party? They must know that it offers them nothing at all, either politically or personally. Why don't people like the Cornerstone Group just break away, or defect to Ukip?

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  14. It's well known that the new intake of Tory MPs, and the majority of PPCs, are to the right of Cameron's positioning as leader. Davis doesn't have anythin to worry about on that score.

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  15. "Well-known" to whom? Labour people used to talk like that in the run up to the 1997 Election - "don't worry, once we're in..."

    If Cameron wins, then most of those elected for the first time while be just like him: ultra-louche, ultra-posh, and ultra-Europhile. Whether he wins or loses, all new Tory MPs - every single one - in 2014 or 2015 will be like that.

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  16. Conservative Home's survey of Tory PPCs in winnable seats and their views on a range of topics is here. They're certainly not ultra-Europhiles - 94% think too many powers have been given up to Brussels.. And 71% support the right of Catholic adoption agencies to refuse to place children with gay couples.

    And this survey of Tory PPCs, published today, finds that an overwhelming majority want to cut the abortion limit.

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  17. They are either not telling the truth, or they'll in any case do whatever they are told once they are in, or both.

    If a Labour grassroots website surveyed Labour PPCs like this, I think we can all guess how left-wing they'd pretend to be. It wouldn't be true, though.

    As for abortion, the American Republican Party has spent 40 years keeping itself in existence by pretending to be against abortion while never doing the slightest thing about it.

    The Tories look as if they are trying the same trick over here. But it won't work. It isn't even working in America the way it used to.

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  18. Meanwhile, on the 2005 intake: this briefing paper by the indispensible Philip Cowley shows that by the end of 2007 61% (31 out of 51) of the 2005 intake of Conservative MPs had rebelled against Cameron's leadership at least once, compared with 43% of the parliamentary party as a whole.

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  19. But his majority isn't going to be made up of the 2005 intake, is it? It's going to be made up of the 2010 intake, several of whom were on his A-list while still card-carrying members of the Labour Party, which they had only ever joined because of Tony Blair.

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  20. Well, if his majority is 50, then it will indeed be made up of the 2005 intake, won't it?

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  21. Good to see you admitting that he'd only be a one-term Prime Minister, in that case.

    Blair became PM with rank on rank of the 1980s and 1990s Hard and Soft Left behind him, even alongside him in the early days. So what?

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  22. "Good to see you admitting that he'd only be a one-term Prime Minister, in that case."

    He might be, he might not be - I hope he won't even get one term. But I admitted no such thing, because I discussed no such thing. What on earth are you talking about?

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  23. Only having a majority of 50, and that made up of serial rebels.

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