Wednesday 25 March 2020

Identity Politics

Of course there is going to be no reduction in the number of MPs. The Conservatives won big under the present boundaries, so expect only the odd tweak to those. They would be far less wise if they were to go ahead with voter ID.

In the constituencies that in 2019 the Conservatives won either for the first time in many decades or for the first time ever, voter ID would heavily favour the people who still voted Labour.

It would favour them over those who had risen in revolt from the other side of the desk against the people who, armed with the full power of the State, had been patronising them, ordering them about, and sanctioning them.

In the seats that the Conservatives won and must hold, being middle-class is a public sector, Labour-voting thing. The voters that the Conservatives won, thereby tipping the seats, were disproportionately non-drivers who did not travel abroad.

The drivers who did travel abroad still voted Labour, and they will do so again in 2024. Not much could lose the Conservatives that General Election, but this just might. It would certainly cut their majority very drastically indeed.

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