Sunday, 30 March 2014

Poll Position

I hate to point this out, but a lead is a lead, people.

When the Prime Minister's party is cock-a-hoop at being "only" one point behind (in one poll), then it is all over.
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8 comments:

  1. Anonymous31 March 2014 at 04:27

    In three polls. And of course, as with any opposition, their poll rating only falls before and during an election, so they won't be in the lead at all.

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  2. David Lindsay1 April 2014 at 02:29

    Did that happen in 1997?

    This Election has been over for years.

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  3. Anonymous1 April 2014 at 15:35

    Yes it did. Labour were at some points polling over 55%,were on 47% before the election and got 43% on election day, while tne Tories polled 24% and got 31% on election day. No poll ever showed them as close to the Tory score as they are now. If they drop by even half of a similar amount from the current 36-35 average, it's over.

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  4. David Lindsay1 April 2014 at 17:19

    And who won the 1997 Election?

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  5. Anonymous1 April 2014 at 17:33

    New Labour, but the point is they only did so because they were already so vastly, incredibly far ahead anyway. 2014 Labour have a popular vote lead so small as to be meaningless. Come May 2015 they WILL have fallen behind.

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  6. David Lindsay1 April 2014 at 17:47

    It's too late now. 1992-1997 was also a five-year Parliament, and Labour was ahead for almost all of it. Like this one.

    The Conservatives have stopped even bothering to behave like a governing party. They are openly having a post-defeat Leadership Election. Already. With more than a year left to go.

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  7. Anonymous1 April 2014 at 18:41

    Anon is right.

    The most extraordinary point is how pathetic Labour's poll ratings are-especially if this Coalition is as hated as they allege.

    That makes their poll performance as the main Oppposition all the more laughable.

    It bears out Peter Hitchens point that the two parties are now just dead husks in an unpopularity contest-a race to the lowest poll rating.

    The Tories are only just winning that contest-by a point.

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  8. David Lindsay1 April 2014 at 22:58

    What, by being a point behind? Although it is back up to four again tonight.

    A lead is a lead, and Labour needs only a very small one indeed for an outright win.

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