Monday 31 August 2020

Not Winning On Points

When Labour and the Conservatives were level in the polls last year, then the individuals who were doing cartwheels yesterday were insisting that Labour ought to have been 20 points ahead, and were demanding that its Leader resign.

Almost immediately after the 2017 General Election, when the party had taken the 40 per cent that it recorded yesterday but had still lost, then Labour acquired a poll lead that remained consistent until the adoption of Keir Starmer's second referendum. 

That lead was sometimes the eight points that has been at the lower end of the Conservative lead throughout the Starmer months until, supposedly, last week. Beginning with a Conservative overall majority of 80, then 40 per cent for each of the main parties would still translate into a comfortable Conservative victory.

It was not a joke when Starmer promised to put Labour 20 points ahead. When is that going to happen? Or when is Labour going to get rid of Starmer? The Leadership Election that there needs to be, and which there ought to have been this year, is a straight fight between him and Jeremy Corbyn.

1 comment:

  1. The latest YouGov:

    https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2020/08/26/voting-intention-con-43-lab-36-24-25-aug

    Gives 43% vs 36%, Conservatives 7% ahead.

    Basically every time there is a Johnson cabinet screwup the voters briefly strop, then they go back to preferring the party led by a clownish spiv vs. one led by a forensic whig.

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