Wednesday 31 March 2021

Reduced To The Irreducible

Only 60 per cent of those who voted Labour in 2019 prefer Keir Starmer to Boris Johnson. That is not remotely surprising. Three fifths of the 2019 Labour vote is the irreducible core of the Labour vote. Starmer has those people, by definition. But he has absolutely nobody else. Exactly as some of us predicted a year ago.

The number of people who would absolutely never have voted anything other than Labour has never been any larger than 60 per cent of the 2019 total. Starmer's Brexit policy lost Labour everyone else who would not have voted for Jeremy Corbyn no matter what. And of course, Starmer's Leadership has now lost Labour the dedicated Corbyn supporters, too. It is down to its core, and that has never been very big.

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