Not only is Labour going to hold Stoke Central, but I would no longer bet against an increased majority.
Nor even against a UKIP third place.
If that latter were indeed to occur, then does anyone seriously imagine that Theresa May would invoke Article 50 by the end of next month?
And if she had not invoked Article 50 by the end of next month, then would anyone expect her to do so at any subsequent time?
Remember that she got the Leadership, and thus the Premiership, precisely because she was a Remainer.
It was not even deemed to be worth having an election over that.
The Labour candidate at Stoke Central is bloody awful.
But the UKIP candidate is even worse. And he is the Leader of UKIP.
Very probably, he is the last ever Leader of UKIP.