The invaluable Andrew Spooner writes:
The last
week in Thailand has been tumultuous.
The
caretaker prime minister, Yingluck Shinwatra – who won a huge electoral landslide in
the 2011 elections – was removed from office by
the Kingdom’s notoriously politicised Constitution Court.
The
Constitution Court’s decision was based on flimsy evidence and upon an absurd
premise – that Yingluck’s government transferred the previous regime’s national
security advisor, Thawil Pliensri, to a different position.
Of course
such transfers are common practice in a democracy. Thawil
wasn’t sacked, just shuffled to the side.
It should also be said that in a more normal situation a standing security advisor with clear political affiliations to the previous regime would do the honourable thing and resign once a new government took office.
It should also be said that in a more normal situation a standing security advisor with clear political affiliations to the previous regime would do the honourable thing and resign once a new government took office.
Not so
Thawil, whose political allegiance to Thailand’s anti-democratic PDRC movement
is so explicit he was pictured recently kowtowing to a notorious army-linked
‘Buddhist’ monk, Buddha Issara, who is the leader of one of the most
violent factions of the fascistic PDRC.
The
international press’s condemnation of the Constitution Court’s decision has
been almost universal.
The Economist described the court’s decision as a
“measure of quite how far Thailand has fallen”; the New York Times called it “a coup by another name”; and
Foreign Policy magazine derided the court as having a
“dark, sordid history”.
Not that
any of this helps Thailand’s beleaguered democracy much.
In the last
24 hours a convoy of Thai Army armoured personnel carriers has been spotted on the move in
Bangkok and the violent and thuggish PDRC have taken to the streets again,
backed, once more, by the Eton-educated and British-born, Abhisit Vejjajiva,
the leader of what Time magazine
described as the “hilariously misnamed Thai Democrat Party”.
As this
post is being written, the PDRC – who have been ‘protected’ by Thai Army
soldiers throughout almost their entire six month rally – have taken over TV
stations and are trying to seize Government House in an attempt to impose an
unelected and unconstitutional ‘Peoples Commission’ on Thailand.
This entire
situation – wherein the politicised Constitutional Court and their allies in
the PDRC work in tandem – can easily be analysed as a slowly unfolding de facto
coup d’état.
Substantive
sources also claim that the Thai Army are about to make a more explicit move
against what remains of Thailand’s democratic system.
A former
Thai cabinet minister, Jakropob Penkair, who has high-level contacts throughout
Thailand, told me that “there is an ongoing attempt to stage a coup in the next
few days”.
He added
that “the intention is to take a lead before the red-shirt pro-democracy
supporters can regroup.”
Another
insider, former MP and member of the Thai equivalent of their Foreign Affairs
select committee, Jarupan Kuldiloke, said to me that while she felt a military
coup might not happen that the Constitutional Court and the PDRC street chaos
working together are “exactly the same thing”.
Jarupan also said that there were “significant rumours” that a military coup might still take place even though she remained uncertain.
Jarupan also said that there were “significant rumours” that a military coup might still take place even though she remained uncertain.
Such
rumours and speculation are not without precedent – the Thai Army has staged 18
coups, the most recent being in 2006 which
removed Yingluck’s brother, Thaksin Shinawatra, only a few weeks before an election that
he was absolutely certain to win.
To add to this present background noise of military intervention, the Bangkok Post’s well-connected defence correspondent, Wassana Nanuam, published an article in the last few days in which she stated that for the military “the prospect of a coup is looking more appealing”, with one anonymous Thai Army commander stating that “Events will let us know if a coup is necessary”.
To add to this present background noise of military intervention, the Bangkok Post’s well-connected defence correspondent, Wassana Nanuam, published an article in the last few days in which she stated that for the military “the prospect of a coup is looking more appealing”, with one anonymous Thai Army commander stating that “Events will let us know if a coup is necessary”.
Ultimately
a more explicit military coup may not come to pass in Thailand; but what is
certain is that Thai democracy has suffered considerable damage.
It is also
clear that the vast majority of Thai voters understand democracy and use their
vote, as is the case in all democracies, to the best effect they can.
Today,
Saturday 10 May, over 100,000 pro-democracy Red Shirt activists gathered in a
suburb of Bangkok to express their resistance to the Thai establishment’s moves
to derail a fairer, more accountable society.
That powerful and supposedly ‘educated’ Thais – like the cabal of well-groomed thugs in expensive suits who lead the PDRC/Democrat Party – are so ready to destroy Thailand’s hard fought for democratic gains whilst risking civil war, reveals them to be closer to nihilists than a credible political alternative.
That powerful and supposedly ‘educated’ Thais – like the cabal of well-groomed thugs in expensive suits who lead the PDRC/Democrat Party – are so ready to destroy Thailand’s hard fought for democratic gains whilst risking civil war, reveals them to be closer to nihilists than a credible political alternative.
I like the PDRC who rightly realise that, in a country based on tribal divisions between two groups (Red Shirts and Blue Shirts, or whatever you wish to call them) universal suffrage democracy means nothing more than the absolute domination of the numerically-superior group.
ReplyDeleteAnd the removal of all freedom from the losing group.
They've decided that Western democracy just isn't the answer to Thailand's many problems-and that monarchy and liberty matter much more than democracy.
Which is also what all proper conservatives think.
If you knew anything at all about them...
ReplyDeleteGood Googling, though. If there can be such a thing.
I find it hilarious that ignorant Western commentators take the neocon "export democracy everywhere" position on Thailand.
ReplyDeleteI've been there many times. Democracy just means rural Red Shirts looting the country and lording it over everyone else.
Utopian "pro democracy" Westerners just don't have a clue.
If "democracy" is so universally wonderful, how did it manage to produce Adolf Hitler, Robert Mugabe and (twice in a row) George Dubya Bush.
Get a grip.
We all know what you need, dear boy. But if you couldn't even get it in Thailand...
ReplyDeleteAndrew Spooner is an expert, he has not only been there on a holiday a few times.
ReplyDeleteThis has nothing to with exporting democracy, it is to do with defending one that was already there.
Far from being neocon it is the same as opposing the neocon supported coup in Ukraine, which was also never a democracy until the last couple of decades.
Very well said.
ReplyDeleteBut he hasn't been to the full moon beach party has he...
ReplyDeleteA democracy that was "already there"? You mean the one that returned the same corrupt gang to power each and every election?
Give us a break.
If you'd experienced "democracy" like the Thais have, you'd know why they don't want it any more.
In Russia, after the Yeltsin Years, they call democracy "the rule of excrement".
The Thais now have a similar attitude to it. And rightly so.
He is like those people who used to come back from the old South Africa enthusing about how wonderful it was and how happy the natives were, for no better reason than their own holiday had been so mind-blowing compared with 70s or 80s Britain.
ReplyDeleteI assume that you mean the other Anonymous, and not Andrew Spooner.
ReplyDeleteI went to South Africa in the 70s and it was nothing special.
ReplyDeleteI went back three years ago and it was amazing.
Sorry, off topic.