Wednesday, 14 May 2014

Blue And Yellow Make Green

The latest IpsosMori poll has Labour down three points to 34 per cent, with the Conservatives on 31 per cent, UKIP on 11 per cent, the Lib Dems on nine per cent, and the Greens statistically tied with them on eight per cent.

A three-point lead is a storming Labour majority, but that is not news. The news here is that the Greens have gone up by no fewer than five points.

This poll is very much in line with others of late. People are not flocking to the Conservatives. Rather, those who voted Lib Dem in 2010 are going Green.

The huge Labour leads, next to which that party now seems to be doing quite badly, had been artificially inflated by those people.

But they were never very reliable for Labour. Nor does Labour need them in order to win.

The Lib Dems, however, do need them, simply in order to survive. But it has lost them, and it is losing more of them all the time. Oblivion awaits.

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