Thursday, 13 January 2011

A UKIP Win?

Nigel Farage is going round predicting that UKIP will top the poll at the next European Elections, and most Conservative MPs agree with him.

But add together the Conservative and UKIP votes in London, or Wales, or the West Country, or either of the Midland regions, or any of the Northern regions. You get far too high a figure for the number of natural Tories living there. Where are they the rest of the time? Half of UKIP's Strasbourg vote is Old Labour or, especially in the West Country, Old Liberal rather than Old Tory.

A properly funded and properly publicised candidate of Britain's traditional social democratic, morally and socially conservative, patriotic Left in each region could yield between half a dozen and a dozen seats. Let's get organising.

2 comments:

  1. David Lindsay. Sir I do not pretend to understand your contribution.
    I work to get votes for UKIP. I concentrate on people who have never voted, and disillusioned voters who would not vote for any party. You flatter yourself by assuming that UKIP exists by consent of the Tories. It is attitudes like this that makes my job easy.
    You say; “A properly funded and properly publicised candidate of Britain's traditional social democratic, morally and socially conservative, patriotic Left in each region could yield between half a dozen and a dozen seats. Let's get organising.” I say don’t give up the day job.

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  2. Thank you for demonstrating how and why this project is going to be a lot less daunting that some people think it is going to be.

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