Sunday, 14 February 2010

Calibre Test

Nursing my Lemsip, I have had the time to think about a number of yesterday's comments.

Yes, of course, seats are only "safe" if the other parties and their media spear-carriers decide to treat them as such, for the parties' and the media's own convenience. For as long as I can remember, I have been hearing people in this area complain that the Tories and the Lib Dems do not put up remotely credible candidates or do any campaigning work worth speaking of, and that they might pick up support if they made more of an effort. "What has the Labour Party ever done for us?" may be a particularly loud refrain after the last 13 years, but there is nothing new about it. However, even now, when Labour's appeal here is based on ancient history, and when the later half of the intervening generation has been lived under a less than spectacularly successful Labour Government, voting for anyone else still depends on having anyone else worth voting for.

But the truth is that, while there must be any number of people in the country at large capable of being MPs, the three parties cannot find from among their members anything like the collective two thousand or so that they would need in order to field a serious candidate in every constituency, giving every voter a meaningful choice. It is this, rather than the electoral system, that needs to be addressed. It demands, not a new way of voting, but new people for whom to vote, selected by new means that involve the whole electorate.

Even in their own safe seats, a number of the candidates being put up by the existing parties this year constitute an insult to the electorate: Stephen Twigg, Liz Truss, Luciana Berger, Joanne Cash, Matt Hancock, and many more besides. Mercifully, at least three of those stand no chance of election if the sitting MP is returned in Twigg's case, if a good enough local Independent can be found in Truss's case, if Ricky Tomlinson either wins outright or takes enough votes to cost New Labour the seat in Berger's case. But note that there is no threat whatever to Twigg or Berger from the Tories or the Lib Dems, nor to Truss (or Cash, or Hancock) from Labour or the Lib Dems. Just how bad must their candidates be in those constituencies? Alas, we all know only too well just how bad they must be.

Here in North West Durham, the Tory activists on the ground cannot name their quite longstanding candidate. The Lib Dem is a well-known local councillor, but he is probably 70 and is doing it out of duty rather than because he really wants the job. A similarly aged local Independent may yet give it another go, but he makes no pretence at expecting to win; he wishes to raise certain local issues. He may or may not link up with UKIP. The BNP has promised to stand against me, but not otherwise. And five eye-poppingly bad shortlisted applicants were defeated for the Labour nomination, all but two of whom, and possibly all but one, will be imposed on safe seats between now and the Election. Change the party labels, if that, and much the same tale can be told the length and breadth of the land.

For that matter, what about the successful Labour applicant? She was the best of the field, but the fact remains that, however long she may have held a Labour Party membership card, she only became politically active in her fifties, when she stood for Lanchester Parish Council to make up the numbers on the same day as her husband, also a political newcomer, was standing both for that and, unsuccessfully, for Derwentside District Council, since abolished. All of three years later, with a patchy attendance record at the Parish Council and without ever having held any party office, she is the Prospective Parliamentary Candidate.

It had, you see, to be a local candidate, or this "safe" seat would be lost. The Chairman of the Constituency Labour Party said so on The World At One. The former Deputy Leader of the District Council said so on The Politics Show. The County Council Chief Whip said so on Look North. If that is "safe", then what the hell is "unsafe"? Only two local applicants could be found to shortlist, and one of those was 23. So Pat Glass it was, and Pat Glass it is. But she was not even the first Lanchester Parish Councillor to whom it had been offered. And, as always with potential MPs in this age of interchangeable and interdependent parties, no one seems to have bothered to ask about her political opinions. Since she refuses to attend any hustings, we shall never know.

Am I better than that? Yes, I am.

15 comments:

  1. Oh why did we have to have a woman only short list? Knowing that there would be one made you leave Labour. Without it you would have stayed and we could have had you. I will vote for Pat Glass when I am convinced that she could write anything comparable to this blog.

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  2. What do you think of my propsdal that all MPs be local or near enough, such as living in the constituency or one next door for at least 10 years before the election, to encourage people of quality from all shades of opinion to come forward in every area?

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  3. Honestly, Jack, I'm not sure. I'll have to think some more about that one. But I can see your point.

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  4. Berger's carpet-bag Liverpool address contained hundreds of ballot papers in the selection contest.

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  5. Twigg and Berger are both former Chairs of Labour Frinds of Israel and sitting Liverpool MP Louise Ellman is Vice-Chair, so that would be three Liverpool MPs. LFI was at the centre of cash for honours and anyway Israel is a foreign power.

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  6. When are Tory voters going to grow the same backbone, and insist that candidates who are, among other things, paid agents of a foreign power are unacceptable? I assume that Truss, Cash and Hancock are CFI, so maybe in one or more of their cases?

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  7. Berger is prob 2nd favourite for the Wavertree seat. Certainly on the recently released Ladbrokes odds she is, so how this equates to there being no Lib dem challenge is a mystery?

    As for Wareing any notion that as an independent he would come anywhere near to challenging Twigg is patent nonsense

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  8. He's a hugley popular incumbent MP who has been right about rather a lot over the years where Twigg has been wrong, and whose background and views are in tune with the constituency.

    If the Lib Dems take Wavertree, then it will because of the ex-Labour vote for Ricky Tomlinson. Can you even name the Lib Dem candidate? I mean, without looking it up.

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  9. I do know its colin Eldridge cos i follow Liverpool politics, but I take your inference that he is quite anon

    As for Wareing David, I accept that he shares your politics and you like him, but it really is absurd to suggest he is going to do anything.

    who is he popular with? He is anon in the constituency. He hasnt put a single leaflet out since he was deselected. And lets remember in his selection battle he got 23 votes (from over 200) I cant imagine any Liverpool constituency is "New labour" which therfore tells me everything i need to know about his performance as local MP when he musters 23 votes after 25 years as MP.

    This is not left bashing, I like and respect Corbyn, Mcdonnnell, simpson because they are effective local MP's. Wareing isnt and hasnt been for some time. hence his deselection by west derby clp

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  10. That wasn't the reason at all. If they had just wanted someone younger and more energetic, then they could have found someone like that who would not have been Stephen Twigg. This was a Blairite coup. It will not stand at the ballot box.

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  11. David,

    are you alleging that all but 23 members of west derby (inner city council estate liverpool to be specific) where/are blairites?

    Dosent this strike you as very unlikely?

    If Bob Performance as an MP were up to scratch he would never have been trigged in the 1st place.

    Do Corbyn or Simpson get triggred or dennis skinner ? no of course not as they are good MP's

    Perhaps his recent proclomation that he wont be paying back "a penny" of his expenses will further endear him to his electorate

    My own view is that he wont even stand, However should he I would be prepared to have you a sunstantial wager that he wont win.

    In fact he wont even come 2nd.

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  12. If he doesn't win, then he will take enough votes to cost Berger the seat.

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  13. I think we are talking at cross purposes?!

    Wareing is a difrent constituency to Berger. Its wareing Vs twigg

    I agree that Tomlinson will cost her the seat if he stands and gets 2kish in wavertree

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  14. Yes, I do apologise, of course I meant Twigg.

    West Derby - Wareing either wins or takes enough votes to give the seat to someone other than Labour.

    Wavertree - Tomlinson either wins (much less likely) or takes enough votes to give the seat to someone other than Labour.

    Twigg and Berger are wasting their time.

    Now, where else can we pull this off?

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  15. well will will have to disagree on that one.

    factors in this seat include the (limited) lib dem vote being hopelessley split by the presence of a local liberal (not lib dem) candidate

    given that the neighbouring seat of Wavertree is the LD's number one target in the North west, you can imagine what priority West derby is getting. nil.

    So I cant see how with no campaign from the Lib dems (and i mean literally nothing) and what vote they have got spitting with a popular local Liberal cllr then anything other than a Twigg victory is likely.

    if you are under the impression David that Bob is running any sort of campaign agaisnt Twigg you would be mistaken.

    Totally agree that Tomlinson could cost Lab in Wavertree but the situation (and the demographics of the seat) are much Diffrent in the neighbouring seat.

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