Alexander Cockburn writes:
Republican Scott Brown takes over a Senate seat held by the Kennedy family for over half a century and the dark cloud already hovering over Obama's White House thickens. By any measure the energetic Brown's emphatic defeat of Martha Coakley, believed only a month ago to be a sure thing as Ted Kennedy's replacement, is a disaster for the Democratic Party and for President Obama.
Coakley, a former prosecutor and attorney general of Massachusetts, ran a dumb, complacent campaign, allowing Brown to charge that she seemed to believe she had an inherent right to the seat. Coakley ladled out platitudes; Brown, pelting about in a manly GMC truck, made the Democrats' health reform bill his prime issue, which was scarcely rocket science, since people of moderate income accurately believe that "reform" is going to cost them money, with zero improvement in overall service.
A year after his inauguration Obama has disappointed so many constituencies that a rebuke by the voters was inevitable. Yesterday it came in the state often categorised as the most liberal in the union. This is entirely untrue. Massachusetts is a disgusting sinkhole of racism and vulgar prejudice, as five minutes in any taxi in the state, listening to Talk Radio or reading the local newspaper, will attest.
Brown's achievement is not novel. His type of Republican has been elected governor in Massachusetts three or four times in the last 18 years by the real "majority party" - which is the "unenrolled" independents of whom there are up to one-and-a-half times the number of Democrats among registered voters, who in turn tower over the local Republicans.
Steve Early, a labor organiser in the state, wrote to me today that Brown "is in the mould of two recent Republican governors of Massachusetts, William Weld and Paul Celluci, the latter two actually being backed by some labor unions such as the Teamsters.
"These were genial, likeable, clean-cut jocks, presenting themselves to independent voters as a much-needed public rebuke to an increasingly corrupt, arrogant or personally screwed up Beacon Hill clique of Democrats [see recent spate of House and Senate member/leader indictments, jailings, and/or resignations pending trial]. A lot of folks, at the moment, are again just plain pissed about the self-serving political class of Democratic Donkeys who run our ‘one-party state', including the now unpopular Obama precursor, Deval Patrick."
Because the Democratic majority in the US senate is now reduced to 59, the common prediction is that the Democrats' health reform bill is doomed, since it takes 60 votes to override a filibuster, which the Republicans would mount to kill the bill.
More likely is that the insurance companies - who dictated the basic terms of the Obama "reform" and stand to gain millions of new customers forced by law to take out health insurance - will be loath to throw away months of successful lobbying and will dictate some new "compromise" which will allow both Republicans and Democrats to claim victory. Obama will delightedly sign any insurance bill landing on his desk bearing the necessary label, "reform".
Certainly Coakley's resounding defeat is grim news for Democratic politicians limbering up for the midterm elections this coming autumn. The parallel is with the midterms of 1994, when voters, furious at the bumbling failures of Clinton's first two years, handed both the Senate and the House to Republicans for the first time in decades.
Obama has caused fury and disillusion across the spectrum. The nutball right bizarrely portrays him as a mutant offspring of the Prophet Mohammed and Karl Marx, demonstrating that cretinism flows more strongly than ever in Uncle Sam's bloodstream.
The Republican small business crowd tremble at the huge deficits. The independents see no trace of the invigorating change pledged by Obama. Working people in the labor unions who supplied the foot-soldiers for Obama's campaign see no improvement in their economic condition. Everyone knows that Obama is the champion of bankers, not bankrupts.
The liberals morosely list 12 months of disasters, from a wider war in Afghanistan to major betrayals of pledges to restore constitutional restraints after eight years of abuse by Bush and Cheney.
Obama richly deserves the rebuke from Massachusetts. Armed with a nation's fervent hopes a year ago, he spurned the unrivalled opportunity offered by economic crisis to do what he pledged: usher in substantive change. He's done exactly the opposite. Wall Street has been given the green light to continue with business as usual. The stimulus package was far too weak. The opportunity for financial reform has passed. Trillions will be wasted in Afghanistan.
A final note on Coakley. She rose to political prominence by peculiarly vicious grandstanding as a prosecutor, winning a conviction of the 19-year-old English childminder Louise Woodward for shaking a baby to death. An outraged judge later freed Woodward, reducing her sentence to less than a year of time served. Then Coakley went after headlines in child abuse cases.
Innocent people are still rotting in prison as a consequence of Coakley's misuse of her office. For this alone, regardless of the setback the Democrats richly deserve, I rejoice in her humiliation.
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As long as the Democrats are merely the "party of good managers" they will never be able to beat the Republicans for any long period of time. Right now, the Democrats exist as a managerial party, a party that touts itself as the party of managerial competence. This aura of managerial competence, along with a devotion to social liberalism, is what keeps, and will likely keep, a good number of affluent professional types voting for the Democrats. But it looks like the Republicans are making headway on Main Street with a fervent populist message, as false and contrived as it often is on many issues, particularly economics. If the Democrats want to be the party of the people again, they must define themselves once again as the party of unions and churches, small towns and working-class neighborhoods, and develop a solidarity ethos to counteract laissez-faire capitalist populism.
ReplyDeleteNote: I should give a tip of the hat to American historian Eric Foner. Foner’s description of Italy's managerial "Left" reminds me of the modern Democrats. Here is a link to his article: http://www.ericfoner.com/articles/053101nation.html
The article is an old one, but I think it is still interesting and relevant