Sunday, 30 November 2025

Take Me To Your Leader

A party could not credibly contest a General Election without a candidate for Prime Minister, nor legally register with the Electoral Commission without a Leader. The Green Party had two, but it has done so much better since it gave up on that. What was good for little green men has turned out to be good for little Green nonbinaries.

Chosen by sortition, an extraordinary number of attendees at the Your Party Conference came clearly and outspokenly from what the last census showed to have been the half of one per cent of the population that professed a gender identity different from its biological sex, a half that is not electorally decisive in any parliamentary constituency. Corbynism the first time was not like that, and as an activist movement this one has spent the weekend siding against Jeremy Corbyn.

Administrative Affairs

Our rulers think that they are living in The West Wing. But they are really living in Yes Minister.

An episode of that featured a hospital with 500 administrative staff but no patients, and this is on very much the same track.

Their Party?

Just as the admittedly farcical proceedings of the last two and half days have been no worse than the MP-shedding of Reform UK, or the entire sorry history of Change UK, so even the switching off of microphones and the occasional removal of troublemakers were as nothing compared to Tony Blair's forcible ejection of Walter Wolfgang from the Labour Party Conference in 2005, never mind Keir Starmer's deployment of armed police at the end of every row in 2021.

It may not be the 18 per cent, ahead of Labour, that it managed on the day that it was first announced, but Your Party is still showing at 12 per cent tonight, one in eight. And after a hypothetical party led by Rupert Lowe started on 10 per cent yesterday, today brings the news that 43 per cent of Reform supporters would vote for it. Jeremy Corbyn has trouble with Marxist-Leninists, but Lowe has very little disagreement Yaxley-Lennonists. Corbyn had a bust-up with Zarah Sultana, but Lowe would have a love-in with Stephen Yaxley-Lennon.

The same may not be true of all attendees. While the Far Left groupuscules all hate each other, this weekend they managed to hold together against MPs who had already been elected without the Labour ticket and against the Labour machine. But the Far Right groupuscules routinely greet each other with the extreme physical violence fundamental to their ideology; let no one tell you that "Fascism" was almost a meaningless word. Around rather than against a sitting MP, the founding conference of Their Party would be like nothing that this country had ever seen. Lowe might ask Starmer, who was still in Opposition in 2021, how to go about hiring those armed police.

Not Our Party

“It’s quite hard for the public to grasp the idea that there’s 10 people that run things,” said Jeremy Corbyn yesterday. Well, there are going to be 16 of them now. That is ridiculous, as is the name. Downright pernicious are the expressly anti-parliamentary ban on MPs from this “leadership model”, and the permission of dual membership at the discretion of the Central Executive Committee, which will now be concerned with little else apart from its misnamed “democratic whip” that must be a contempt of Parliament.

Will that CEC feature the Conference darlings Amy Leather, who was on the Central Committee of the Socialist Workers Party during its rape scandals, and Evan or Eryn Browning, whom the Scottish Greens removed as a council candidate only in April because he had texted underage girls to ask them to drink his urine? And no matter who was on the CEC, imagine submitting to that arrangement after having been elected as an Independent. It is an incredibly difficult thing to be elected to Parliament as an Independent, never mind to take a seat from the party that won the overall General Election by a landslide, in one case overturning the 22,675 majority of someone who would otherwise have entered the Cabinet. Zarah who?

With no hope of holding Coventry South even on what was going to be a very bad night for Labour, rumour has it that Zarah Sultana will be heading back to Birmingham, where she and a friend will try to keep Shabana Mahmood and Jess Phillips in Parliament by keeping out Akhmed Yakoob and Jody McIntyre. Since Wes Streeting is practically certain to lose his seat, this intervention might be enough to make either Mahmood or Phillips Leader of the Labour Party. Within 18 months, she could be Prime Minister. Your Party cannot tell you who would be Prime Minister if it won a General Election. It can tell you only that it would not be Jeremy Corbyn.

A Proper Charlie

I used to think of Charles Falconer as a merely ridiculous figure. Perhaps he has changed, but it is now quite clear that he is a monster. In the last few days alone, he has given us assisted suicide explicitly for material poverty, and now the abolition of trial by jury.

As I had been expecting, judges are coming out in favour of juries. Judges are public figures, yet in that capacity they are to determine guilt of the kinds of charges that were currently tried by jurors who, as such, very definitely were not.

What switch in the brain will a judge be expected to press in order to erase the evidence that that same judge would hitherto have ruled inadmissible? Crown Court judges did not sign up for this. This was not the job for which they applied. But killing people was not the job for which doctors applied, either.

Saturday, 29 November 2025

Party Poppers

Someone needs to introduce Kemi Badenoch to Christian Democracy. She should also ask Theresa May whether working with the DUP entailed small spending. And if “There was no State in the early days of Christianity”, then by whom or what were the martyrs martyred? Whatever the robustly disputed meaning of “Render unto Caesar”, Badenoch would have no Caesar despite wanting to be Caesar.

Still, as Badenoch might put it, “God help us!” Rachel Reeves has got away with it. Mind you, it has been 20 years since a Prime Minister won a General Election even after everyone knew that he had lied this country into a war. The mass movement against that, back to which so very much goes, was not “an unholy alliance”. Until then, Muslims had mostly voted Labour, and not only under Tony Blair.

The Muslim politicians and activists in the anti-war movement were also staunchly left-wing economically, just as none of their social views was beyond the bounds of the Left in those days. Only 10 years ago, MPs who always voted against abortion, as John Smith had always done, and MPs who had voted against same-sex marriage, were among those who nominated Jeremy Corbyn for Leader. Another was a considerable private landlord who had been too left-wing for Blair’s Cabinet. If you treat your tenants well, and as an MP vote for tenants’ rights, then what is wrong with that? Nothing ever used to be.

If this is now a Trotskyist thing, then in 2005, the Socialist Workers Party distributed George Galloway’s expressly anti-abortion leaflet at Bethnal Green and Bow. The SWP forbids both dual membership and internal factions, and it is a ruthless expeller; Leninist organisations sometimes allow and even encourage entryism elsewhere, but not the SWP. It also has some far worse habits than that. Formations of people who had been driven out of it are today demanding that it be allowed to do what it did within Your Party, presumably to protect their own positions. That is quite some cynicism, and I speak as a connoisseur. In Gateshead in 2016, I remember the SWP picketing Corbyn. If you wanted, as an SWP speaker put it today, “collective decision process running through the organisation”, then you would not join the SWP, or you would leave very quickly and never speak of or to it again.

Since George lost his seat, every party with MPs for England, Scotland or Wales has been split on the transgender issue, and Corbyn probably does not agree with the Gaza Four about it, but he clearly respects the legitimacy of their position within the struggle for economic equality and for international peace. Zarah Sultana’s making of that the shibboleth excludes, not only the Workers Party of Britain, but also the Communist Party of Britain and with it the Morning Star, as well as Arthur Scargill’s Socialist Labour Party, which still exists.

It ill behoves those who agree with the MPs who have already left Your Party and with most people on the trans issue to mock them as “Islamists” or as “hardline Muslims”. What will you be called when you are the targets of Eryn Browning, who denounced Adnan Hussain and Iqbal Mohamed from the platform today, having been removed as a Green candidate only in April because Evan Browning had sent inappropriate messages to underage girls? They are coming for you in all the parties that are currently sitting for Great Britain in the House of Commons. And never mind a Sultanaite mass defection to the Greens. Her supporters have already parted company with them, and look why.

As for the Greens themselves, in Brighton they have increased the council’s surplus by the same £60 million that they have cut from services. Across the country, their councillors vote for austerity. Meanwhile, a Portsmouth City Councillor of 30 years’ standing, Jason Fazackarley, who has sat both as a Green and for Labour, has moved from the Liberal Democrats, who had made him Lord Mayor, to Reform UK, following at least one other sitting Lib Dem councillor, Jeff Sumner of Burnley. From Labour to Reform has defected, among at least five others nationwide this year, Councillor Mason Humberstone of Stevenage, who contested internal Labour Party elections on the slate of Morgan McSweeney’s Labour Together. Reform is highly likely to take the parliamentary seat of Stevenage from Labour.

Alongside the steady stream of Boris Johnson veterans into Reform, expect a lot more of this sort of thing, warmly welcomed by Nigel Farage, Richard Tice, and that recent Conservative MP and fairly recent Labour councillor, Lee Anderson. But a tiny number of votes could deny Reform scores of seats, and this weekend has seen the first opinion poll to suggest a hypothetical party led by Rupert Lowe. When polled, its support is 10 per cent, only three per cent behind the tied Conservatives and Lib Dems, and only six per cent behind Labour, which is two points behind the Greens. Imagine the scenes if Labour under Corbyn had ever been in third place behind Farage and the Greens. Or if the Conservative Party under any previous Leader had ever been tied with the Lib Dems for fourth place.

If Your Party rightly opted for a single Leader, then there would be a contest between Corbyn and Sultana. And if Sultana lost, then she would set up her third party in two years. Ask about a hypothetical party led by Sultana. No fat lady will be singing for a long time yet.

In Solidarity

The great Paul Knaggs writes:

A Message to Those Still Fighting for a Working-Class Alternative

Let’s be honest: we’ve been watching the unfolding drama inside Your Party (the rows, the withdrawals, the donations vanishing into administrative purgatory, the liberal identity-politics tug-of-war, the expulsions) and we can all see the same thing.

There is potential for a new working-class party in Britain. But only if someone finally gets a grip on party discipline and cuts loose the liberal anchor that’s dragging the whole project to the seabed.

For all our disagreements with Jeremy Corbyn, Zarah Sultana and the assorted leadership clique around them, the simple truth is this: their rupture with Labour remains one of the few genuine cracks in Britain’s political concrete. Within that fracture lies real opportunity, the chance for thousands of workers to finally break from the stranglehold of Labour’s decaying social democracy.

Because let’s be clear. Labourism, that comfortable compromise with finance capitalism, is now the chief barrier to building a genuine working-class politics in this country. Not the Tories. Not Reform. Not the Greens. Labour itself.

Labour’s role for decades has been to manage the decline politely while offering the working class nothing but scraps from corporate tables; it no longer even pretends to serve.

So if a new force is to emerge, it cannot rely on personalities, celebrity MPs or liberal influencers masquerading as radicals. A movement built around individual saviours is a movement waiting to collapse. Workers don’t need leaders to “gift” them organisation. Workers create leaders, and can unmake them just as easily.

Real power starts from below: branches, communities, workplace groups, people who actually know what it means to graft for a living. If members have already started organising locally, they shouldn’t stop now just because their leadership is wobbling. In fact, the wobble is all the more reason to push harder.

Use today’s conference to do what Labour long ago abandoned: link branches nationally, build solidarity, and unite around principles that serve the many (not the managerial class, not NGOs, not lobbyists, not the latest identitarian trend).

At Labour Heartlands, we have always grounded ourselves in a few basic, immovable truths. Not academic abstractions, not the latest Twitter catechism, but principles rooted in the lived experience of working people:

One. Class is the primary dividing line in British society. Not identity, not culture war distractions, but who owns the wealth and who creates it. Any genuine working-class party must stand unapologetically with those who graft, not those who speculate or manage.

Two. Material conditions shape political outcomes. Abstract theories and academic jargon serve the middle-class left, not working people. Socialism means concrete gains: jobs, housing, services, dignity. If it doesn’t improve lives, it isn’t socialism.

Three. Democracy in Britain is not a finished project. The fight for free speech, assembly, civil liberties, and yes, an honest reckoning with our archaic constitutional set-up, is essential. Without democratic power, economic power is a fantasy.

Four. Socialism is not a slogan; it’s a material programme. Public ownership of energy, rail, water and the commanding heights of the economy. If the resources of this country aren’t in the hands of the people, then the people will always remain tenants in their own land.

Five. Unity matters, but unity built on truth, not on liberal guilt-tripping. A working-class party must be a party for everyone. That means workers first (not NGO gatekeepers, not identity priests, not professional activists who think the pit villages are a political museum).

Six. Women’s sex-based rights are not negotiable. A party that cannot say “woman means adult human female” cannot hope to speak to the working class. A party that bends to every passing cultural fad cannot take on capital. A party captured by the liberal middle class cannot claim to represent the common people.

Seven. Democracy and sovereignty belong to the people, not to elites. Whether it’s the EU, NATO, the IMF, corporate lobbyists or the unelected quango state, power must be returned to democratic control. Internationalism doesn’t mean surrendering working-class interests to supranational bureaucracies.

If Your Party wants to step into the historic role Labour abandoned, then it must root itself in working-class life, working-class interests and working-class language. Discipline, clarity and courage: without them, leaders are merely captains without ships.

Your Party must understand British socialism has its own traditions. From the Levellers and Diggers to the Chartists, from Tony Benn to George Orwell, this country has produced a radical democratic tradition that owes nothing to Davos, nothing to NGOs, and nothing to the American culture war. We defend that inheritance.

We at Labour Heartlands want to see a real alternative emerge, one capable of breaking the political cartel and giving voice to millions who have been ignored for too long. But it must be built on bedrock, not on slogans.

To build a new Britain, you must build a new movement. And that starts with principles, not personalities.

If Your Party is willing to do that, then perhaps, just perhaps, the political realignment this country desperately needs can finally begin…

In solidarity,
Labour Heartlands

Reckoning With What Big Weed Has Wrought

The great Zohrab Ahmari writes:

In June 2014, Maureen Dowd published a column that has since acquired legendary status in drug-policy circles. In it, the New York Times writer recounted her experience trying a marijuana candy bar on a visit to Denver not long after Colorado legalized pot. After a calm first hour, the drug plunged her into a personal hell: panting, shudders, confusion, deep paranoia. Eventually: “I became convinced that I had died, and no one was telling me.”

Social media gently mocked Dowd when her column first appeared: silly Boomer, she didn’t dose it right — couldn’t handle the ride. Momentum for legalization was gathering back then, driven by the anti-antidrug Left, the free-market Right, and lobbyists and entrepreneurs who could just hear the cha-ching sounding from the next big vice industry. Twenty-three states plus the District of Columbia would follow in Colorado’s footsteps in the decade that followed.

The picture of weed shared by many older Americans, drawn from their own college years, helped ease the path of legalization. Weed, the mellow drug. The Cheech-and-Chong drug. The Grateful-Dead-road-trip drug. The munchies drug. The drug that, if anything, makes you overly cautious behind the wheel. Dowd thought of marijuana along similar lines — that is, until she tried the legalized stuff for herself and nearly lost her ever-loving mind.

Since then, weed potency has only intensified, with some concentrates reaching near-pure levels of THC, the plant’s primary psychoactive compound. Only now are policy makers and opinion elites reckoning with what Big Weed has wrought: “turning a drug that used to be 5% THC, and made people pass out for a few hours and eat Cheetos, into one that triggers psycho killers,” as Kevin Sabet, a former drug adviser in successive Democratic and GOP administrations, tells me.

Sabet admits that such talk can make him sound like Reefer Madness, the classic anti-weed propaganda film from 1936. “But if you look at almost every single mass shooting in this country, there are many common denominators, and one of them is a substance. And it’s not alcohol, and it’s not meth, and it’s not fentanyl. So you can guess what it is. It’s marijuana.”

Take Robert Westman, the 23-year-old who murdered two children and wounded 30 people in a gun rampage at a Minnesota Catholic school in August. In his diaries, Westman, who both used weed and worked at a dispensary, blamed the drug for his violent tendencies. “Gender and weed fucked up my head,” he wrote. “I wish I never tried experimenting with either. Don’t let your kids smoke weed or change gender until they are, like, 17.”

A 2025 study, published in the East Asian Archives of Psychiatry, found a definite and growing link between US mass-shooting perpetrators and the use, possession, and distribution of cannabis. Moreover, the researchers found that younger mass killers are more likely to be involved with marijuana. They concluded that the drug is particularly harmful to “subgroups of individuals” prone to such violent eruptions. 

Even if they don’t go full Columbine, young people who regularly use today’s high-potency varieties are at elevated risk for psychosis, per a 2019 study published in Lancet Psychiatry. King’s College London, home to the lead author, sums up the grim finding: “In cities where high-potency cannabis is widely available, such as London and Amsterdam, . . . a significant proportion of new cases of psychosis are associated with daily cannabis use.”

Things have gotten so bad that The Guardian, which once pooh-poohed concerns about weed, now regularly runs warnings about its adverse effects on health (it doubles the risk of heart death, to mention just one recent finding). Most recently, the paper took readers inside a pioneering London clinic specially dedicated to addressing cannabis psychosis. It’s a crisis that goes far beyond a typical “bad trip,” shattering minds and leading many users to take their own lives.

“We are dealing with a fundamentally different drug,” says Sabet, “that has been genetically modified and bred by a powerful industry that we are now sanctioning and encouraging, and allowing to contribute to inaugurations.. . . The fact that we are allowing this, to me, that’s immoral.” Despite bipartisan opposition from a pro-weed lobby led by the likes of John Boehner, the former Republican House speaker, Sabet’s calls for limits have begun to break through.

Most notably, Sabet has led the campaign urging President Trump not to remove marijuana from Schedule I, the most serious category in the federal government’s scheme for classifying drugs. As he wrote in a widely read UnHerd essay, reclassification wouldn’t mean federal legalization. But it would grant the drug a false federal “imprimatur of being safer,” thus allowing Big Weed to enjoy tax deductions from which they are currently barred.

So far, Sabet’s campaign seems to have stayed Trump’s hand, even as the president has floated the idea of Medicaid coverage of marijuana products as a stress and pain balm for seniors. “This [reclassification] isn’t a priority for the president,” Sabet tells me. “But on the other hand, there are some lobbyists and maybe friends of his son-in-law and others in the business” who would benefit from rescheduling and its associated tax deductions, meaning Sabet’s work is far from over. Kevin Sabet came to the drug problem from an unusual personal angle. Born in the Midwest to a Bahai family that left Iran before the 1979 Islamic Revolution, he remembers a childhood in which he didn’t know anyone who so much as drank. (The Bahai religion, which is persecuted by Iran’s ruling Islamists, preaches the unity of all faiths — and total abstinence). When he moved to Orange County as a teenager, his perspective was radically different from that of his peers. And what he saw of addiction encouraged him to fight it.

As an undergrad at the University of California, Berkeley, in the mid-’90s, he says, “I saw the influence of the [drug] culture. I saw marijuana shops before that was even a thing.” Then the rave culture arrived, giving rise to what he describes as a “mini-epidemic” associated with the hallucinogen ecstasy, also known as MDMA. As a student, he’d go to clubs and hand out postcards showing scans of drug-addled brains on one side, and a call-for-help number on the other.

His activism won him some attention in the press — and then a phone call from Barry McCaffrey, the retired US Army general then serving as President Bill Clinton’s drug czar. “I thought the call was fake,” Sabet recalls. But it wasn’t. Gen. McCaffrey was offering him a job as a speechwriter. Sabet accepted and moved to Washington before heading to Oxford to earn a master’s degree in social policy.

“Weed potency has only intensified, with some concentrates reaching near-pure levels of THC.” After 9/11, many of Sabet’s friends went off to Afghanistan in defense of the homeland, and he felt guilty writing papers at “Oxford, of all places, a comfortable place.” As it happens, the White House called again — this time, the George W. Bush administration with an offer to hire him as a senior speech writer on drug policy. “ ‘We want you to serve your country,’ ” he remembers the caller saying. “ ‘We know you’re not a Republican, but we also know you’re not a Democrat, and that’s fine with us.’ ” (His politics, as far as I can tell, are: whatever will stop this scourge.)

Yet another White House stint came during the Obama administration, which tapped him as senior drug-policy adviser (by then he’d finished his master’s and a doctorate at Oxford). It was around that time, the 2010s, that marijuana legalization went from a pothead’s dream to a serious business and political enterprise. Weed, the legalizers said, is harmless. Sabet disagreed, and he published a book, Reefer Sanity, to push back against the complacent mythology.

The book, in turn, led to his founding of a restrictionist advocacy group, Smart Approaches to Marijuana, or SAM, today the most visible drug-policy organization in Washington (a telling indicator of the growing concern about Big Weed).

But why the focus on marijuana? Why not the likes of fentanyl or heroin? Marijuana, Sabet answers, “is the most dangerous drug in my mind because it’s the most misunderstood.” There was a time when one could “experiment” with pot as part of the transition to adult responsibility and success. “The marijuana of today is doing the opposite,” he says, potentially derailing a person for life. “It’s causing violence, it’s causing erratic people to lose any sense of reality.”

And it’s addictive, a truth that Americans are still reluctant to accept. Sabet recalls speaking to a large group about the addiction angle, only for a member of the audience to tell him during the Q&A portion: “I use it every day, Kevin, and I’m qualified to tell you it’s not addictive.”

The numbers say otherwise. As the Associated Press reported on Tuesday, regular use of marijuana has now outpaced drinking, with 18 million Americans reporting daily use, up from fewer than 1 million in the 1990s. In tandem, there has been an explosion in diagnoses of cannabis-use disorder — an insatiable craving for the drug that leaves people incapable of fulfilling ordinary responsibilities; 1 in 3 pot users suffers from it, with symptoms classified from mild to severe.

But aren’t alcohol and tobacco just as destructive? Why not call for a new Prohibition and extend it to cigarettes for good measure?

“The reason I would say that Prohibition wasn’t sustainable as a policy in America is because alcohol has been so ingrained in Western civilization, since before the time of the Old Testament.” Then, too, alcohol is associated with human sociality, and for most people, the substance and its effects leave the body after 24 hours. Not so with weed, which lingers for much longer and at a cellular level. Sabet thus dismisses the argument that we shouldn’t restrict marijuana until alcohol is under control: “That’s like saying my headlights are broken, and just to be consistent, I’m going to break my tail lights, too.”

As for smoking: “Ninety percent of the people who built the Brooklyn Bridge were smokers. They were smoking at the time they built the Brooklyn Bridge. They could function. Maybe it even made them concentrate better,” Sabet says. The cigarette — unlike tobacco itself — “is a relatively new invention.”

Lung-cancer deaths before the 1920s were almost unheard of. Only with the rise of a cigarette industry did the smoking crisis appear. And that, he says, is also what’s happening with legalized, industrial weed, a product hawked by growers chasing ever higher THC yields — mental health be damned. Moreover, as cigarette smoking rates decline, Big Tobacco is looking to enter the weed market, Sabet says.

So what to do now, beyond restriction (a cause that’s already lost in half of US states)? At the root of the drug crisis, Sabet thinks, is a “moral and spiritual breakdown.” Drugs, he suggests, offer too-easy answers to the search for meaning; or else they palliate the pain associated with modern life. Even so, Western societies can erect guardrails, for example by hindering the spread of weed advertising to ever-younger audiences.

As for those already trapped, Sabet sees a role for behavioral incentive systems, such as programs that offer cash rewards for addicts who don’t use — or ones in which they face a choice between doing time or going to rehab.

“I’m calling for a new effort on drugs,” he says, aware of the odium attached to the War on Drugs. “I don’t love the war analogy because wars have defined ends, or they should. And this will never stop. We will never stop having to stop drug use among young generations. . . . I embrace aiming for a drug-free society, even if it’s not possible. We’ve never had a violence-free society, but that doesn’t mean that we don’t want to aim for that.”

Risen, Not Raisin

Collective Leadership is a daft idea; Jeremy Corbyn himself has never had any truck with it, and it scuppered what would have been several worthwhile initiatives in the heady early days of his Leadership. Not allowing membership of other parties is normal (who does not do it?), and keeping out the SWP, as such, is common sense. Yes, I have worked with individuals in it. But the thing itself? I have been around.

The five founders of the Independent Alliance were all experienced people, and at least two of them were experienced politicians, in one case immensely so. In the next Parliament, he will be the Father of the House, having already been elected to it three times when Zarah Sultana was born. He was Leader of the Opposition for five years and through two General Elections. At the first, his party took 40 per cent of the vote. At the second, Sultana was elected for the first time.

All five founders are projected to hold their seats, with the Independent Left to win 13 more, and with a further two for the Workers Party, whose Leader last night confirmed publicly that he had been driven into exile. Meanwhile, Coventry South is projected to be a Labour hold.

A Funny Tinge

With fiscal drag and other austerity, with war, and with the repression on which both austerity and war depended, our people cannot afford to laugh at Your Party. But Reform UK has lost 40 per cent of its MPs elected last year, one third of all MPs ever returned under its banner.

And no one was ever elected to anything under any of the names of Change UK, the changes of which, like the splits in the party, made anything this weekend look like the soul of professionalism. The period since the foundation of the Independent Alliance is already considerably longer than the period from the foundation of the Independent Group for Change to the deregistration of Change UK.

Don't Be Misled

Of course Rachel Reeves lied.

And of course she is not going to resign over it.

Friday, 28 November 2025

Home To Roost?

Not before time, the knock on the door has come for Andriy Yermak. Suddenly, they are telling you that Ukraine was as corrupt as we had always told you that it was. Next, they will rediscover that it was full of Nazis, a fact that they used to report as quaint, quirky, and even charming. There has always been a lot of that about. For example, and although in all fairness he himself died in 1939, Kaja Kallas’s great-grandfather, Eduard Alver, was a key figure in founding the anti-Soviet Kaitseliit militia that became the Estonian component of the Forest Brothers, collaborationist exterminators of the Jews.

It is no wonder, although it is still inexcusable, that it recently came as “news” to Kallas that Russia and China had been among the victors of the Second World War, and that she has just claimed that no country had invaded Russia in the last 100 years. Thankfully, Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty does not mean what most Europeans, and possibly most Canadians, think that it means, since no United States Senate would ever have ratified that. We could still say no if Kallas’s Estonia purported to have been attacked by “Putin’s chilling squadron of remote controlled spy pigeons fitted with brain implants”. As, indeed, Estonia could say to us. Oh, for the simpler time of Iraqi weapons of mass destruction, which although also nonexistent were at least potentially credible, yet in which 90 per cent of the British population nevertheless had the good sense to disbelieve.

France and Germany, meanwhile, were well enough governed to stay out of the whole thing. Now, though, they are preparing to reintroduce conscription, even if the French were initially somehow making it voluntary while the Germans could not yet square the circle that these days, everyone had to pretend to be unable to tell the sex of an 18-year-old. On 2 May 1945, the Soviet flag was planted atop the Reichstag building, while on 31 March 1814, having marched into Paris, the Russian Army watered its horses in the Seine. We must have no part in any of this. Rightists of that mind might easily take enough votes to deprive the increasingly hawkish and Johnsonite Reform UK of scores of seats that it might otherwise have won, while farcical conduct such as we see in Liverpool is inexcusable when the Independent Left is otherwise predicted to hold its five seats and to win 13 more, with a further two for the Workers Party, whose Leader has this evening confirmed publicly that he has been driven into exile.

It's Time To Scrap The OBR

Without a manifesto commitment, Tony Blair and Gordon Brown immediately surrendered democratic political control of monetary policy. The Liberal Democrats forced the creation of the Office of Budget Responsibility. The Conservatives created the short-lived Economic Advisory Council out of thin air, and Rachel Reeves reconstituted a Council of Economic Advisers with at least one of the same people on it. Yet on none of those occasions have the salaries of the First Lord of the Treasury, of all other Treasury Ministers, and of all senior Treasury civil servants been halved, as they should have been. Andrew Neil is correct in his central premise:

The premature publication of the Budget by the Office for Budget Responsibility was just about the only reason for a chuckle in what was a pretty grim day for the country and the economy. The OBR mistakenly posted online its Budget forecast and analysis, which contained all the measures about to be announced – before Chancellor Rachel Reeves was even on her feet in the Commons to deliver them.

The bungling beancounters tried frantically to retrieve the situation. But it was too late – the cat was well and truly out of the bag. There was a certain justice about the blunder. The Treasury, with Reeves’ complicity, had flown enough pre-Budget kites to blot out the sun. So many leaks came from official sources that we already knew most of what was in the Budget. It somehow seemed both logical and fitting that we should be given the whole caboodle in advance. It is all a huge embarrassment for the OBR, of course, which normally toils away in relative obscurity. But its credibility is undermined far more by being consistently wrong in its forecasts – which matters hugely because these forecasts shape the tax-and-spend policies of government.

As a result the OBR, unaccountable and unelected, has over the years acquired a pivotal role in the Budget process, which politicians can hide behind and which defies proper democratic scrutiny. There have been times when it has directed Chancellors down the wrong road – and other times when it has stopped them doing the right thing. Of course, all economic forecasters get their predictions wrong. It is hardly an exact science. But even its former boss, Robert Chote, has admitted that the OBR’s forecasting errors are frequently larger than those of the Treasury, the Bank of England or reputable private-sector analysts.

The OBR was established by George Osborne, who became Chancellor of the Tory-Lib Dem Coalition after the 2010 general election. Gordon Brown, Chancellor for most of the New Labour years under Tony Blair, had become notorious for fiddling the figures to make it look as if he was still sticking to his fiscal rules. The OBR was meant to provide independent scrutiny of the Treasury’s number-crunching and keep Chancellors honest with impartial forecasts of the consequences of their policies.

It got off to an inauspicious start. After embarking on its work in the so called era of austerity it often overestimated how much borrowing was needed, forcing the government to implement deeper public spending cuts than necessary. At other times it was overly optimistic, encouraging the government to think it could expect revenues that never actually materialised. In March 2012 it forecast a robust recovery which overestimated GDP growth over three years by 30 per cent, forcing the government to borrow more.

Its recent track record is no more encouraging. In March of this year it predicted the fiscal deficit for the financial year 2024-25 would be £137 billion. It turned out to be £150 billion. Its March forecast for this year’s deficit (2025-26) was £117 billion. Now it says it will be £138 billion. Back in March it forecast borrowing of £97 billion for 2026-27. Now it thinks £112 billion. So borrowing forecasts made only eight months ago for last year, this year and next year have already turned out to be a total of £50 billion out.

Note in particular that forecast for 2024-25, made when the financial year was in its final month. You might think a decent forecaster would have a fair idea about the full year’s budget deficit. But it was out by £13billion. If the OBR can’t get right, by a long chalk, a forecast for a year that’s almost over then why would you give a moment’s notice to what it thinks borrowing will be in 2030? Yet it is on that fragile forecast that Reeves has sculpted her plans for tax rises, more spending and extra borrowing, so that she is seen to be within her self-imposed fiscal rules by 2030. It is a ludicrous way to conduct economic policy.

The OBR should have been cut down to size by now. But it was given a new lease of life by the reckless economic policies of Liz Truss in the autumn of 2022. She attempted to go round the OBR and borrow billions to cut taxes without consulting it for a forecast of the consequences. The bond markets turned on her. So did the whole economic establishment, led by Reeves, virtue signalling as usual. Suddenly the OBR became the symbol of all that was fiscally prudent, sensible and reliable – a vital tool of economic policy which no government should dare to defy. Truss was forced out after 49 days as Prime Minister. Reeves promised to enhance the OBR’s power, which she did on becoming Chancellor. You get the feeling she now regrets that. She has discovered the hard way that when you endow the OBR’s forecasts with too much significance you are, in effect, giving it a veto over government policy. 

It’s not just forecasting the OBR gets wrong. It has misled governments on a number of crucial matters. It has seriously overestimated the positive impact of mass migration on economic growth. It consistently ignores the dynamic contribution of supply-side reforms, such as lower taxes and less red tape. It never foresaw Britain becoming a job-creating machine because of tax changes over a decade ago. It does not see the potential of welfare reform to spur growth. It underestimates the impact of high taxes on the wealthy, encouraging many of them to flee for the door. Yet for 15 years it has overestimated productivity growth – despite endless warnings – leading governments to think the economy would grow faster than it did. Something it only started to put right this week, much to Reeves’ chagrin since it reduced Treasury revenues and she had to find more tax.

Nor is the OBR truly impartial. It embodies the same mainstream social democratic ethos and outlook of so much of Britain’s economic establishment, from the Treasury to the Institute for Fiscal Studies to most of the main economic think tanks. It is collectivist in culture and suspicious of the animal spirits of capitalism.

It is time to scrap the OBR. Invented for the best of reasons, it has become a hindrance to good economic policy not its guarantor. Its core product – medium-term economic forecasts – is not fit for purpose. We should revert to Treasury forecasts (as before 2010), with rigorous external scrutiny from a handful of respected outside bodies such as the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS), the UK’s leading independent economics research institute. They will soon discover if the Chancellor is cooking the books, Brown-style.

No other advanced economy has anything like the OBR. Yes, America has the Congressional Budget Office and France its High Council for Public Finances. They have the power to scrutinise fiscal policy and to publish their findings. They are taken seriously by ministers and commentators. But they don’t have the power to change economic policy or determine budgetary constraints. Nor should they. In the end, the best guarantor of honest government and fiscal discipline is the market. If those who lend us billions suspect the Treasury is cooking the books, they have the power to exact a terrible price, either by refusing to lend any more or by demanding penal interest rates.

It’s also time to junk the fiscal rules of which Reeves is so proud. The bond markets have little interest in what the deficit might be in five years’ time. They know it’s the difference between two massive figures – total revenues and total spending – neither of which can be accurately calculated so far in advance. So to think anyone can divine the difference between them is a fantasy.

The OBR and the fiscal rules have had their day. It is time to return the responsibility for fiscal policy and the forecasts that go with it to the Chancellor and the Treasury – for, unlike the OBR, we can hold them to account when it all goes wrong.

“Why I Walked Away From Your Party”

Our fight is to strengthen families and communities by securing economic equality and international peace through the democratic political control of the means to those ends, including national and parliamentary sovereignty. In the struggle for economic equality, the leading role belongs to those who suffer most from its absence, namely the working class, while in the struggle for international peace, the leading role belongs to those who suffer most from its absence, namely the working class and the youth. Social solidarity is an expression of personal responsibility, personal responsibility is protected by social solidarity, international solidarity is an expression of national sovereignty, and national sovereignty is protected by international solidarity. As Adnan Hussain writes:

There were the factional disputes and serious concerns over organisational conduct and governance, of course.

But I also left ‘Your Party’ last month because of something more fundamental: an increasingly rigid ideological culture that insists socially conservative values have no place in a left-wing movement.

As someone shaped by working-class, immigrant, northern life, that was not a position I could intellectually accept or morally concede. My grandfather came to Lancashire in the 1950s, to a mill town on the outskirts of Burnley. The skyline was defined by chimneys; the streets were held together by graft. Three generations later, my family is economically secure, very educated and deeply rooted in British life.

My own political journey mirrors the very social mobility the left claims to champion. That is why the assertion that people like me have “no space” in a socialist party strikes me as a profound misunderstanding of the British working class.

I was elected not through party machinery or metropolitan networks but through grassroots organising in one of the most deprived communities in the country. I unseated Labour in what was a stronghold of theirs because I listened to locals who had long felt neglected by the mainstream, two-party system. I understood their anxieties, their loyalties, their values – and their anger.

Yet during my involvement in the formation of ‘Your Party’, I found myself being lectured by individuals with far less connection to Britain’s working class than I could ever discard. To be told that I was unfit to represent working-class voices because I introduced a conversation about social conservatism and the left was absurd and insulting.

The problem is ideological absolutism masquerading as progressive principle. There is a strain of thought on the left that sees socially conservative views as a pathology to be corrected. It is rooted in an assumption: improve someone’s economic conditions and their social attitudes will, inevitably, liberalise. This is historically, sociologically and politically illiterate. Human beings are not economic widgets. People hold on to traditions, beliefs and identities because they are meaningful, not because they are materially convenient.

When the left insists that working-class people must relinquish their cultural or religious attachments to be politically acceptable, it reproduces a form of liberal paternalism every bit as condescending as the attitudes it claims to oppose. It tells communities already scarred by deindustrialisation and abandonment that their values are a problem to be solved, not experiences to be understood.

This vacuum, created by the left's refusal to engage authentically with working-class social conservatism, is being exploited by actors who do not have these communities’ best interests at heart. The far right and wealthy online disruptors are able to make people feel seen. That should trouble all those who claim to care. And how did such actors gain influence in the first place? Years of neglect by the left of these very communities.

My commitment as an MP is simple: represent my constituents as they are, not as theory demands they should be. And this is where, after my experience with the dogmatic, restrictive culture involved in creating a new political party on the left, independence has become not a compromise but a necessity.

The political landscape of modern Britain defies the old binaries. Left and right are no longer sufficient coordinates for navigating the complexity of today’s social, economic and cultural terrain. Solutions must come from wherever they are found: sometimes from the left; sometimes the right; always from the lived realities of the people I serve.

A successful movement on the left with mass electoral appeal will be one that listens, allows difficult conversations and respects faith, culture and tradition while relentlessly pursuing economic justice. A left that lifts people up without demanding they leave themselves behind. That is the only left worth building, and the only politics worth practising.

Ahead of the Your Party founding conference this weekend, I wish my dear colleagues, those who have worked tirelessly on the Your Party project, the very best of luck. I hope the party is ultimately able to become what it initially promised: an inclusive, hopeful, pluralistic movement capable of bringing people together rather than driving them apart.

Meanwhile, I hope to represent my working-class constituency of Blackburn as an Independent – free of both party and ideological restrictions.

Here They Stand?

Martin Luther was convinced that justification by faith alone was orthodox, and no matter how many times or by whom he was told that it simply was not, that spurred him only to wage war on the authorities that did so, up to and including the See of Peter. He was not the first like that, nor has he been the last. In our own time, we have the proponents of Marian Co-Redemption. They have now been told that the title “Co-Redemptrix” might still be used in private devotion provided that anyone who did so meant it in a sense that practically no one who did so ever would, but that it was expressly banned from the Liturgy and from the official documents of the Holy See, in which case no one should wish to use it in private devotion. Get the message.

This month has made it clear that there were Catholics who took their lead from sedevacantists or from El Palmar de Troya, which latter, at least, would suit their tastes perfectly. They are as pernicious as any liberal. This is not about ecumenism. The Truth is the Truth, and there will only ever have been anything much to ecumenism when a church full of Pentecostalists chanted Salve Regina. Rather, the Church’s defined dogma is already complete with regard to Our Blessed Lady’s cooperation in the Redemptive Work of Her Divine Son, and the movements to proclaim Her Co-Redemptrix have been motivated by the desire, not to summarise that dogmatic corpus in that title as Popes had occasionally done, but to assert Her equality with Him in that Work. The Collyridians probably never existed in the days of Saint Epiphanius of Salamis. But they do now, complete with the pastries.

Their position is blasphemy and heresy, leading to idolatry and sacrilege. It is “another Gospel”, resembling Mormonism in its distortion of classically Christian vocabulary into a polytheism that included a Mother Goddess, although Mormons rarely mention theirs, whereas what we have here is more like Shaktism. Both are called to mind by the prominence of ostensible seers and gurus. Catholics are required to accept the principle of private revelation, permitted to accept those specific examples which the Church had formally approved, and forbidden to accept those which She had formally repudiated. In any event, no private revelation can be a basis for dogma. Those invoked by the proponents of Marian Co-Redemption manifestly fail 1 John 4:1, and any apparent blessing flowing from them should be referred to Galatians 1:8 and to 2 Corinthians 11:14.

Wonderful Years?

35 years ago today, in not her first use of the royal plural, Margaret Thatcher announced that, “We’re leaving Downing Street for the last time, after 11 and a half wonderful years.” Many others tried, but the only organisation that ever succeeded in getting rid of Thatcher was the Conservative Party. If it loved her in life as much as it loves in her death, then it had a very, very, very strange way of showing it. In her memoirs, the extremely bitter chapter on the Poll Tax makes it clear that she laboured under no delusion that she had been removed because of “Europe”. That was the cover story, but “Europe” had not been the reason why scores of Conservative MPs had been on course to lose their seats. The content, rather than the tone, of that policy did not change under her successor. By contrast, the Poll Tax was abolished completely, with a reversion in all but name to the previous system of domestic rates. The Conservatives then unexpectedly won the General Election of 1992, when Thatcher retired from the House of Commons.

Thatcher’s humble origins are greatly exaggerated. She was the daughter of a major local businessman and politician who ran most of the committees and charities for miles around. Even the people who love her can see why the people who hate her do so; they just do not agree. But why the people who love her do so is, in their own terms, a complete mystery. She gave Britain the Single European Act, the Anglo-Irish Agreement, the Exchange Rate Mechanism, the Police and Criminal Evidence Act, the Children Act, the replacement of O-levels with GCSEs, the destruction of the economic basis of paternal authority in the stockades of male employment, the massive increase in benefit dependency, the rise of Political Correctness, the general moral chaos of the 1980s, the legalisation of abortion up to birth for “severe fetal abnormality” that did not have to be specified, the fight against Victoria Gillick, and that is just the start. Her only Commons defeat was when she tried to make Sunday just another shopping day. The basis of the lockdowns was the Public Health (Control of Disease) Act 1984. Who was the Prime Minister in 1984? For having publicly set fire to the Quran, Martin Frost and Hamit Coskun were both charged under section 5 of the Public Order Act 1986. Who was the Prime Minister in 1986? Three years later, Thatcher’s supporters wanted to use that provision against those who had publicly set fire to The Satanic Verses.

The stockades of working-class male employment were destroyed, and a new ruling elite of middle-class women funded and empowered by the State was created, by the politician who proclaimed the self-made man and the self-made woman, a proclamation of which the inexorable logic is gender self-identification. Just as Thatcher emerged in the Britain of everything from Danny La Rue and Dick Emery to David Bowie and The Rocky Horror Show, so a comparable figure, emerging in the Britain of the 2020s, would be assumed to be a transwoman. Thatcher has already been played by a drag queen at least once on British television, and specifically on Channel 4, which she created, meaning that one of her most abiding legacies is that Britain has two state broadcasters, one of which nevertheless carries advertisements. Thatcherism in a nutshell, as has always been clear from the output.

Was Thatcher “the Iron Lady” when, in early 1981, her initial pit closure programme was abandoned within two days of a walkout by the miners? Was she “the Iron Lady” when she had Nicholas Ridley negotiate a transfer of sovereignty over the Falkland Islands to Argentina, to be followed by a leaseback arrangement, until the Islanders, the Labour Party and Conservative backbenchers forced her to back down? Was she “the Iron Lady” when, within a few months of election on clear commitments with regard to Rhodesia, she simply abandoned them at the Commonwealth Conference in Lusaka? Was she “the Iron Lady” when, having claimed that Britain would never give up Hong Kong, she took barely 24 hours to return to Planet Earth by effecting a complete U-turn? Was she “the Iron Lady” when she took just as little time to move from public opposition to public support of Spanish accession to the Western European Union?

In the Budget of December 1976, Denis Healey and Jim Callaghan had delighted Thatcher by blindsiding the critics of monetarism on the Conservative benches, but was she “the Iron Lady” when she gave up monetarism completely during her second term? Thatcher’s continuous contact with the IRA, universally assumed at the time, has long since been confirmed. Four of the Hunger Strikers’ Five Demands were granted on 6 October 1981, and by 1983 even the right not to do prison work had been conceded. The Lady was as Iron about that as she was about most other things, namely not at all.

Thatcher was, though, true to her assurance in 1979 and in 1983 that, although until 1985 the Ulster Unionist Party remained affiliated to the National Union of Conservative and Unionist Associations, there would be no return to office for Enoch Powell. But then, when told that Thatcher professed to have been influenced by his books on economics, Powell replied that, “She couldn’t have understood them, then.” He baffled her by telling her that he would have fought in the Second World War even if Britain had had a Communist Government. He would still have fought for his country. With no Tory roots, that was beyond her. With deep Liberal roots, she thought that wars were about “values”. That wider conversation was about what was then the recent Falklands War. While Powell had supported it on his own principles, Thatcher had seen it as an example of her dictum that, “If I send British troops abroad, it will be to defend our values.” Many years later, when asked her greatest achievement, she replied, “New Labour.” Quite. Thatcher has been named as her political heroine by Shabana Mahmood, who would issue us all with digital ID, and who would make people who had lived here for at least 10 years earn indefinite leave to remain by performing both paid and unpaid work to her satisfaction.

In 1981, Thatcher did impose an absolute ban on all government work for Andersen in view of its role in the DeLorean fraud, a ban that lasted until the General Election of 1997, when Patricia Hewitt was made Secretary of State for Trade and Industry, having only just entered Parliament from her position as Head of Research at Andersen Consulting. And in 1988, Thatcher and Nigel Lawson did correct the taxation of wealth at a lower rate than earnings until, in 1998, Tony Blair and Gordon Brown put the clock back to the Chancellor of the Exchequer who had gone on, as First Lord of the Treasury, to introduce monetarism to Britain and vice versa. But if those moves made Thatcher a better social democrat than New Labour, then their reversal made New Labour better Thatcherites than Thatcher or even Lawson.

The middle classes were transformed from people like Thatcher’s father into people like her son. She told us, and she really did, that “there is no such thing as society”, in which case there cannot be any such thing as the society that is the family, or the society that is the nation. Even more damagingly, and that is quite a feat, she endorsed the vugar illiteracy that the currency-issuing State had no money of its own, and could therefore “run out of other people’s money”. All in all, she turned Britain into the country that Marxists had always said that it was, even though before her, it never had been. Specifically, Thatcher sold off national assets at obscenely undervalued prices, while subjecting the rest of the public sector, fully 40 per cent of the British economy, to an unprecedented level of central dirigisme.

Thatcher continued public subsidies to private schools, to agriculture, to nuclear power, and to mortgage-holders. Without those public subsidies, the fourth would hardly have existed, and the other three, then as now, would not have existed at all. So much for “You can’t buck the market”. You can now, as you could then, and as she did then. The issue is not whether private schools, agriculture, nuclear power, or mortgage-holding is a good or a bad thing in itself. The issue is whether “Thatcherism” was compatible with their continuation by means of “market-bucking” public subsidies. It simply was not, and is not.

Thatcher’s assault on council housing created the Housing Benefit racket, and it used the gigantic gifting of capital assets by the State to enable the beneficiaries to enter the property market ahead of private tenants, or of people still living at home, who in either case had saved for their deposits. What, exactly, was or is conservative or Tory about that? Or about moving in the characters from Shameless either alongside, or even in place of, the respectable working class?

It is thanks to Thatcher that the Conservatives have been the party of Net Zero for 40 years. Svante Arrhenius first theorised about anthropogenic global warming in 1896, and Thatcher was briefed about it by Sir Crispin Tickell, the then Deputy Under-Secretary of State for Economic Affairs at the Foreign Office. Thatcher always credited Tickell with having convinced her, leading to her speech on the subject to the Royal Society in 27 September 1988, the point at which the agenda of his 1977 Climatic Change and World Affairs entered the political mainstream. Tickell’s briefing of Thatcher was in 1984, tellingly the year that the Miners’ Strike began.

Thatcher began to blather on about environmentalism as a means of Socialist control once she had the dementia that also turned her into a born again Eurosceptic, but she was very Green indeed as Prime Minister, shocking first the Royal Society, and then the United Nations General Assembly, with her passion on the subject. By the time of her speech to the UN on 8 November 1989, she had made Tickell the British Ambassador to it, and the United Kingdom’s Permanent Representative on its Security Council. Johnson described Thatcher’s destruction of the coal industry as “a big early start” towards Net Zero. Her milk-snatching is now held up as a pioneering strike against the wicked dairy industry, as I had been predicting for many years.

In 1979, Thatcher had not initially wanted to meet Menachem Begin in London, since her generation remembered what he was, and afterwards she expressed her regret at not having stuck to her guns. In 1980, she signed the Venice Declaration of nine European countries against Israeli settlements on the West Bank. In 1981, she denounced the Israeli bombing of Iraq’s Osirak nuclear reactor, calling it illegal. In 1982, she responded to the Israeli invasion of Lebanon by imposing an arms embargo on Israel that remained in force until 1994; when Begin wrote to ask her to reconsider, then she did not even reply. In 1988, she expelled two Israeli diplomats and closed the London Mossad station when one of its double agents had been convicted of terrorism in Britain and when that station had been caught for a second time forging British passports, a practice that was to resurface, with similar but notably less severe consequences, in 2010; no Israeli diplomat had ever before been deported from a friendly state.

While all of that was to her credit, that would not be the view of her flamekeepers today, any more than they would approve of her attitude when visiting Kiev in June 1990, when she said that Britain would no more open an embassy in Ukraine than in California or Quebec. When the Soviet Union did collapse anyway, then she ludicrously pretended to have brought it down merely because she had happened to be in office at the time. But she did make a difference internationally where it was possible to do so, by providing aid and succour to Pinochet’s Chile and to apartheid South Africa, and by refusing to recognize either the Muzorewa-Smith Government or Joshua Nkomo, thereby paving the way for Robert Mugabe. Known as “the Peking Plotter”, she never saw a Maoist whom she did not like, from Mugabe, to Nicolae CeauÈ™escu, to Pol Pot. She even sent the SAS to train the Khmer Rouge.

And it was Thatcher who issued what amounted to the open invitation to Argentina, armed by Begin’s Israel, to invade the Falkland Islands, followed by the starved Royal Navy’s having to behave as if the hopelessly out-of-her-depth Prime Minister did not exist, a sort of coup without which those Islands would be Argentine to this day. Until the eve of the invasion, Thatcher had been about to sell the ships that then had to be deployed. At a bargain basement price. To Argentina.

Brown Faces In High Places

Digital ID, facial recognition, routinely armed policing, the capital punishment that Keir Starmer could not rule out in principle, the abolition of trial by jury and of the automatic right of appeal, and the empowerment of magistrates to imprison for up to two years. Has the clamour for these come from the Afro-Caribbeans of Tottenham?

Whenever such measures need to be announced, then an old school blacks-and-Asians ethnic minority is found to do it. Then either "it can't be racist" or, as is the line on cue this time, "these immigrants don't understand". Do not allow yourself to be played.

To Crack A Nut

David McGuiness and David Milligan, well-known podcasters for a Scottish independence to which I could not be more opposed, have been arrested and charged with supporting a proscribed terrorist organisation, not because they had expressed support for Palestine Action, but because they had expressed opposition to its proscription.

South of the Border, the judge who was to have heard the judicial review of that proscription was replaced, the day before he had been due to start sitting, with a trio of veteran spooks and Israel lobbyists, while the trial of six activists has been treated to Orgreave-grade stuff about a sledgehammer. You can see the joke in that, I suppose.

And lest juries acquit Palestine Action, then trial by jury is to be abolished for everyone in most cases, as is the automatic right of appeal, while magistrates, including District Judges who are state employees sitting alone, will be empowered to imprison for two years. All while we were to be required to use digital ID to do anything much, surrounded by the facial recognition technology of Palantir, which is the Israeli intelligence that is about to install as the ruler of Gaza Tony Blair of the Tony Blair Institute that will be providing the digital ID.

Bust The Boom

While I am not an intergenerational warrior, the case for the triple lock, which I strongly support as a stimulation of the consumer economy, is not assisted by Rachel Reeves's announcement on television a few hours ago that those whom its application took over the income tax threshold when their only income was the state pension would not have to pay income tax for the duration of this Parliament. HMRC does not want to be "going after tiny amounts of money"? Since when?

Spending on benefits is projected to rise by £73.2 billion to £406.2 billion by 2030, and most of that will be pensions, so the beneficiary generation might consider whether either this, or the exemption of those aged over 65 from the drastic reduction in the cash ISA limit from £20,000 to £12,000, was worth the loss of political capital.

Thursday, 27 November 2025

Not The Red Benches

So the House of Lords can block workers' rights that were in the winning party's manifesto at last year's General Election, but it cannot, it absolutely must not, block a Private Member's Bill for the assisted suicide that was in no one's manifesto. The Government has allocated extra time for the Lords to pass assisted suicide. It refused to allocate extra time in the Commons for scrutiny of that Bill, which would now be heading for defeat without this deathbed intervention.

Conservative Governments do not "consult" the unions. This only ever works in one direction. On behalf of the only people who interested it, the Government has told Labour MPs that it had given them the lifting of the two-child benefit cap, so this was the price of that. Shameful. Utterly, utterly, utterly shameful. And while Angela Rayner brought her downfall on herself, hasn't it turned out all right for some?

In opposing even today's monstrosity, the Conservatives are to the right of the CBI, just as their continued support for the cap puts them to the right of Reform UK and of all four stripes of Unionist MP from Northern Ireland, and indeed their frontbench to the right of Suella Braverman. For the second week running, Reform is not on the Question Time panel but one of the 72 Liberal Democrat MPs is, so someone has obviously had a word. The nearest thing to a Reformer this week is Luke Johnson. Among other things, he used to be Chairman of Channel 4. Tell me again how the media, even the part that was an old-fashioned nationalised company having been set up that way by Margaret Thatcher, was biased to the Left.

Expensive Justice Is Worth It

Boris Johnson has always received far too little criticism for what he did to Nazanin Zaghari-Ratcliffe. Although we should have just paid the debt, which was not very much and which there was absolutely no doubt that we owed, thus bringing home Zaghari-Ratcliffe, Anoosheh Ashoori, Murad Tahbaz, and all the rest. If that had not worked, then someone sufficiently prominent should have flown unannounced to Tehran, smartphone in hand, and tweeted only as the plane was landing that they would not be leaving without our people. One of those whom I approached would still have been an MP if he had done that, and another would have become Prime Minister.

But Peter Hitchens confirms that not even in Iran could you be convicted and imprisoned by the same State employee sitting alone. He is too sentimental about our own criminal justice system, which has clearly yet to come from him, and about a pre-1960s Britain that was in fact extremely violent in ways with which that system did not then concern itself, but rightly does now, which is not the only reason for much higher crime figures, but which is no small factor. The description of David Lammy as a “Leftist” would be as ludicrous to the people who were on course to deprive him of his seat as the same of Roy Jenkins would be to George Galloway, who did take Jenkins’s seat. Yet Hitchens is broadly right here:

Arrest in most countries is a bit like dying. Your former life ends, as stone-faced men conduct you down a series of staircases to a room like a tomb. You are powerless beyond belief Stupid people can insult you (and quite possibly beat you up) without any fear of consequences. You are as cut off from help as if you were in Antarctica. And don’t put too much hope in having your ‘day in court’. Your only hope of getting out is to co-operate with the people who are trying to crush you.

This has been the case all down the ages, in most places. People in this country have almost no idea how lucky they are to be safe from it. For, with the mighty defence of trial by jury, the innocent have less to fear from the state here than in any other part of the world. But the British state, like some huge, blind, indestructible worm lying beneath the foundations of Whitehall, has an instinct for unlimited power, and has never given up trying to weaken and get rid of jury trial.

Last Sunday, many of us watched the BBC drama Prisoner 951, in which the innocent Iranian woman Nazanin Zaghari-Ratcliffe (played by Narges Rashidi) is seized at Tehran airport by sneering agents of Iran’s Revolutionary Guard, a fanatical state within a state. If you are like me, you watched the whole process with your heart in your mouth, especially her eventual arrival in a slum prison in a remote corner of Persia, totally cut off from all help. In juryless states such as the Islamic Republic of Iran this is what happens. Your ‘trial’ will be a committee of people debating just how guilty you are. Yet Iran itself is, on the surface, a modern country with all the appearance of civilisation. Its injustices may seem far away in space and time, but I would not be too sure. What struck me about the TV portrayal of Mrs Zaghari-Ratcliffe’s ordeal is that some aspects of it could already happen here. And it won’t take much before a lot more of them will do so.

You may not much like the former MP George Galloway, and I have many disagreements with him. But a few months ago, he and his wife were stopped and held on arrival at Gatwick airport. It is still not clear why. Police acted under schedule 3 to the Counter-Terrorism and Border Security Act 2019, one of a battery of new laws using ‘terrorism’ as the pretext for demolishing former freedoms. It allows an officer to stop, question, search and detain a person entering the UK, to find out if they have engaged in ‘hostile activity’, whatever that is. Crucially, nothing has to be proved against them, nor any charge made. But they can be held, and police can invade their privacy. Those detained can be required to provide passwords to electronic devices (I was struck by the way the Iranian heavies made the same demand of Mrs Zaghari-Ratcliffe). Mr Galloway said he had been held for nine hours of interrogation, and was eventually released without further action. He complained: ‘Not a single effort was made to show cause for having detained me... with armed officers in public in an English airport.’

If I were you, I wouldn’t let this pass just because you don’t like George Galloway. Sooner or later it will happen to somebody you like – and then what? After all we are all too familiar with police descending on individuals who have said something they don’t like on the internet. All this would be far worse if we did not still have the remnants of jury trial here – but alas they are remnants, and soon they will be sparser still if the Starmer Government has its way. Personally, I agree with Justice Secretary David Lammy who, in an earlier incarnation, tweeted on June 2020: ‘Jury trials are a fundamental part of our democratic settlement. Criminal trials without juries are a bad idea. The Government need to pull their finger out and acquire empty public buildings across the country to make sure these can happen in a way that is safe.’ But now he says in an internal Whitehall document that only rape, murder, manslaughter and ‘public interest’ cases should continue to be heard by juries. Some guess that as many as 75 per cent of trials would then be heard by a judge instead of a jury. And most defence lawyers will tell you that judges tend to be prosecution-minded. The excuse for this is that our system cannot keep up with all the trials it needs to hold, and the whole thing has become too expensive. Well, justice is expensive.

It is also worth it. A society without justice is a perilous slum, where the government is too powerful and the citizen is a serf. My guess is that, if the excuse of saving money is accepted and acted on, jury trials will be gone altogether within 20 years. It’s not just money, of course. In recent times it has been Leftists such as Mr Lammy who have done the most damage to justice. They think they are so nice that the rest of us just have to trust them to be good. The gravest assault on our crime and justice system was made by the 1960s Labour Home Secretary Roy Jenkins, the liberal’s liberal. Jenkins, like most of today’s elite, believed in the phantom of ‘rehabilitation’ instead of punishment. He was seduced by a belief that crime was a disease that would be cured by better living conditions. So, under him, deterrent beat policing, and stern orderly prisons quietly vanished – a disaster that his successors, Labour and Tory, would complete by abandoning any effort to deter illegal drugtaking. Jenkins rejected the sound, old idea that crime was a voluntary act, which should be deterred by visible police and punished by the courts in stern, tightly-run, austere prisons.

In 1960, before he got going, the peace was kept in cities and in the countryside by just 73,000 police officers (there are now 148,000, who obviously don’t keep order). They were mostly in small forces that did what their local taxpayers wanted. They believed their job was to prevent crime, not chase about after it had happened. It is almost incredible to note that at the time we had a prison population in England and Wales of 27,000 (now it is 87,500). But we were locking up the right people, before they had become habitual offenders, which is how you make prison work. Similarly, there were in those days only 807,000 recorded crimes a year, when crime was so rare that it was actually reported properly, as it long ago ceased to be. And like many self-admiring liberals, Jenkins could not see the point of juries. Perhaps he thought with people as ‘civilised’ as him in charge, there would never be any danger of the state growing too powerful. He got rid of the requirement for unanimous verdicts, a grave blow. But this is worse. If we are sensible, we will all work together to kill Mr Lammy’s plan, or a surprising number of us will live to regret it.

A Total Surveillance Machine

When I grow up, I want to be Thomas Fazi:

In theory, Chat Control should have been buried last month. The EU’s ominous plan to mass-scan citizens’ private messages was met with overwhelming public resistance in Germany, with the country’s government refusing to approve it. But Brussels rarely retreats merely because the public demands it. And so, true to form, a reworked version of the text is already being pushed forward — this time out of sight, behind closed doors.

Chat Control, formally known as the Child Sexual Abuse Regulation, was first proposed by the European Commission in 2022. The original plan would have made it mandatory for email and messenger providers to scan private, even encrypted, communications — with the purported aim of detecting child sexual abuse material.

The tool was sold as a noble crusade against some of the world’s most horrific crimes. But critics argued that the tool risked becoming a blueprint for generalised surveillance, by essentially giving states and EU institutions the ability to scan every private message. Indeed, a public consultation preceding the proposal revealed that a majority of respondents opposed such obligations, with over 80% explicitly rejecting its application to end-to-end encrypted communications.

Yet despite repeated blockages, and widespread criticism for violating privacy and fundamental rights, the text was never abandoned. Instead, it was repackaged, and continually pushed forward from one Council presidency to the next. Each time democratic resistance stopped the original plan, it kept returning in new forms, under new labels, each time dressed up as a “necessary” and “urgent” tool to protect children online, yet always preserving its core logic: normalising government-mandated monitoring of private communications on an unprecedented scale.

In May, the European Commission once again presented its proposal. Yet several states objected. That included Germany, but also Poland, Austria and the Netherlands. As a result, Denmark, which currently holds the rotating presidency of the European Council, immediately began drafting a new version, known as “Chat Control 2.0” and unveiled earlier this month, which removed the requirement for general monitoring of private chats; the searches would now remain formally voluntary for providers. All this happened under the auspices of Coreper, the Committee of Permanent Representatives — one of the most powerful, but least visible, institutions in the EU decision-making process. It is where most EU legislation is actually negotiated; if Coreper agrees on a legislative file, member states almost always rubber-stamp it.

The gamble worked. Yesterday, this revised version was quietly greenlit by Coreper, essentially paving the way for the text’s adoption by the Council, possibly as early as December. As digital rights campaigner and former MEP Patrick Breyer put it, this manoeuvre amounts to “a deceptive sleight of hand” aimed at bypassing meaningful democratic debate and oversight.

While the removal of mandatory on-device detection is an improvement on the first draft, the new text still contains two extremely problematic features. First, it encourages “voluntary” mass scanning by online platforms — a practice already allowed in “temporary” form, which would now become a lasting feature of EU law. Second, it effectively outlaws anonymous communication by introducing mandatory age-verification systems.

An open letter signed by 18 of Europe’s leading cybersecurity and privacy academics warned that the latest proposal poses “high risks to society without clear benefits for children”. The first, in their view, is the expansion of “voluntary” scanning, including automated text analysis using AI to identify ambiguous “grooming” behaviours. This approach, they argue, is deeply flawed. Current AI systems are incapable of properly distinguishing between innocent conversation and abusive behaviour. As the experts explain, AI-driven grooming detection risks sweeping vast numbers of normal, private conversations into a dragnet, overwhelming investigators with false positives and exposing intimate communications to third parties.

Breyer further emphasised this danger by noting that no AI can reliably distinguish between innocent flirtation, humorous sarcasm — and criminal grooming. He warned that this amounts to a form of digital witch-hunt, whereby the mere appearance of words like “love” or “meet” in a conversation between family members, partners or friends could trigger intrusive scrutiny. This is not child protection, Breyer has argued, but mass suspicion directed at the entire population. Even under the existing voluntary regime, German federal police warn that roughly half of all reports received are criminally irrelevant, representing tens of thousands of leaked legal chats annually. According the Swiss Federal Police, meanwhile, 80% of machine-reported content is not illegal. It might, for example, encompass harmless holiday photos showing nude children playing at a beach. The new text would expand these risks dramatically.

Further concerns arise from Article 4 of the new compromise proposal, which requires providers to implement “all appropriate risk mitigation measures”. This clause could allow authorities to pressure encrypted messaging services to enable scanning, even if this undermines their core security model. In practice, this could mean requiring providers such as WhatsApp, Signal or Telegram to scan messages on users’ devices before encryption is applied.

The Electronic Frontier Foundation has noted that this approach risks creating a permanent security infrastructure, one which could gradually become universal. Meta, Google and Microsoft already scan unencrypted content voluntarily; extending this practice to encrypted content would merely require technical changes. Moreover, what begins as a voluntary option can easily become compulsory in practice, as platforms face reputational, legal and market pressure to “cooperate” with the authorities. Furthermore, this doesn’t affect just people in the EU, but everyone around the world, including the United States. If platforms decide to stay in the EU, they would be forced to scan the conversations of everyone in the bloc. If you’re not in the EU, but you chat with someone who is, then your privacy is compromised too.

Another major danger is the introduction of mandatory age-verification systems for app stores and private messaging services. Though the Council claims these systems can be designed to “preserve privacy”, critics insist that the very concept is technologically unworkable. Age assessments inevitably rely on biometric and behavioural data, both of which require invasive data collection. Far from protecting children, these systems would increase the volume of sensitive personal information being stored and potentially exploited.

Requiring official identity documents for online verification would exclude millions of people who lack easy access to digital IDs or who won’t provide such sensitive documentation merely to use a messaging service. In practice, this would spell the end of anonymous communication online, forcing users to present ID or face scans simply to open an email or messaging account. Breyer has warned that such measures would be particularly disastrous for whistleblowers, journalists, political activists and others reliant on online anonymity. It would also push under-16s towards less safe, poorly regulated alternatives that lack encryption or basic safety protections.

Ultimately, critics argue that mass surveillance is simply the wrong approach to combating child sexual exploitation. Scanning private messages does not stop the circulation of child abuse material. Platforms such as Facebook have used scanning technologies for years, yet the number of automated reports continues to rise. Moreover, mandatory scanning would still fail to detect perpetrators who distribute material through decentralised secret forums or via encrypted archives shared using only links and passwords — methods that scanning algorithms cannot successfully penetrate. The most effective strategy would be to delete known abuse material from online hosts, something Europol has repeatedly failed to do.

Chat Control, in short, would do little to actually help victims of child sexual exploitation while harming everyone else. Every message would become subject to surveillance, without any judicial oversight, contrary to long-standing guarantees of private correspondence. There’s a legal question here too. The EU Court of Justice has previously ruled that general and automatic analysis of private communications violates fundamental rights, yet the EU is now poised to adopt legislation that contravenes this precedent. Once adopted, it could take years for a new judicial challenge to overturn it.

The confidentiality of electronic communication — essential for personal privacy, business secrecy and democratic participation — would be sacrificed. Sensitive conversations could be read, analysed, wrongly flagged or even misused, as past scandals involving intelligence officials and tech employees have shown. One of the most notorious cases of intelligence abuse came from the US National Security Agency, in which multiple NSA employees were caught using the agency’s powerful surveillance tools to spy on romantic partners and ex-lovers. Leaked documents have also shown that the UK intelligence agency GCHQ captured and stored images from Yahoo webcam chats, including millions of sexually explicit images of completely innocent users. There have also been several cases of Big Tech employees — from Google to Facebook — using internal tools to spy on unsuspecting users.

Furthermore, secure encryption, a foundation of cybersecurity, would be compromised by introducing backdoors or client-side scanning tools that foreign intelligence services or criminal actors could exploit. At the same time, the responsibility for criminal investigations would shift from democratically accountable authorities to opaque corporate algorithms, with minimal transparency or oversight.

Opponents therefore argue that the EU should instead adopt a fundamentally different approach: one that protects children without undermining fundamental rights. They propose ending the current voluntary scanning of private messages by US internet companies — restoring the principle that targeted surveillance requires a judicial warrant and must be limited to individuals reasonably suspected of wrongdoing — and maintain that secure end-to-end encryption, and the right to anonymous communication, must be preserved.

Particularly worrying is the issue of function creep, the process by which a technology introduced for a narrowly defined purpose gradually expands to serve broader, and sometimes entirely different, purposes over time. The UK’s Online Safety Act, passed in October 2023, obliges firms to develop child sexual abuse detection systems, even though the British government itself admits that such infrastructure is not yet technically available, creating legal authority awaiting technical capability. In the United States, “temporary” surveillance measures introduced under the post-9/11 Patriot Act became permanent, and indeed expanded in scope. Once a technological infrastructure for comprehensive online surveillance exists, it can easily be repurposed and is hard to dismantle. Technologies designed to detect harmful content can quickly be extended to political repression; examples from authoritarian states demonstrate how similar systems are used to identify and target dissidents.

Breyer summarised this pattern starkly: “They are selling us security but delivering a total surveillance machine. They promise child protection but punish our children and criminalise privacy.” The implications are ominous. Europe effectively stands on the threshold of building a machine that can see everything. Once constructed, it will serve not only the current political authorities — the idea of Ursula von der Leyen spying on everyone’s messages is disturbing enough — but whoever wields power next. With yet another vote approaching, the window to stop Chat Control is narrowing.