Ben Chu writes:
Imagine a policy that makes a very small number of poor
families significantly worse off, but which doesn’t address any of the
underlying problems afflicting them.
And imagine, too, that this
policy saves the taxpayer virtually nothing, while feeding a pernicious myth
that the UK’s welfare system is a giant racket for the workshy.
Does that sound like something a
sensible and humane government should be doing?
This week the benefit cap was forced down onto the heads of tens of thousands of
families by the Government.
In 2010 George Osborne came up with the idea
of restricting the total amount in state benefits a single workless household
could claim to £26,000 – arguing no family should be able to receive more in
benefits than an average full-time worker makes in wages.
As of this week the cap has been
reduced to £23,000 in London and £20,000 elsewhere.
This will increase the
number of families impacted from 20,000 to 88,000; still not a big number in
the context of the UK’s 26 million households.
The workless families affected by
the first stage of the cut had two principal characteristics: relatively large
numbers of children, meaning they were eligible for higher than average child
benefit payments, and high housing costs, meaning they received higher than
average housing benefits.
Almost half lived in London,
where rents are particularly elevated due to a chronic shortage of housing and
the housing benefit bill is correspondingly massive.
The Work and Pensions Secretary
Damian Green has heralded the first phase of the cap as a “real success” and
asserted that it encouraged affected families into the workplace.
But the Institute for Fiscal Studies reckons only 5 per cent of those households
hit moved into work specifically because of the cap, which hardly suggests an
effective welfare-to-work policy.
An even smaller proportion moved into smaller homes to
cut their housing benefit bill.
The majority of those affected did not
start working and did not move house but merely absorbed the pain of the cut
and became significantly poorer as a result.
And this pain will now
intensify.
Those households newly affected
by the cap will lose an average of £2,000 a year in benefits.
Those
already hit will lose a further £3,000 to £6,000 a year, depending on where in
the country they live.
Could you afford to lose £3,000 a year?
And
how much will that punishment benefit taxpayers?
The Treasury estimates a saving
of £100m a year, which is less than a tenth of one per cent of the total UK
welfare bill.
And it’s doubtful even this will
be recouped.
Many councils responded to the first phase of the cap by
subsidising affected families with Discretionary Housing Payments, offsetting
almost 40 per cent of the original £65m saving.
What would a sensible policy
designed to assist families with large numbers of children into work and to cut
the overall benefits bill look like?
To ask the question is to realise
instantly that the benefit cap is not a sensible policy.
It does not address the
underlying reasons why a small minority of families receive outsize benefits
payments, primarily the fact that rents have soared due to a chronic shortage
of new housing supply.
If the Government wants to reduce
the housing benefits of families (and not just the payments to workless
families) it needs to build much more social housing.
On the child benefit front, the
policy is equally wrongheaded.
Government welfare policy is specifically
designed to target children living in poverty, which is why payments rise when
low-income families have more children.
Placing a hard cap on benefit
payments to those with large families just pushes in the other direction,
undermining the first policy.
Yet polling shows that benefits cap is popular
with the public – indeed it has been one of the Government’s most popular
single policies in recent years.
Why is that?
In reality, a very large share of
the working-age benefits bill is payments to low-income families who are
working or who are disabled, in the form of tax credits and housing benefit –
one of the reasons Mr Osborne’s framing of the issue as a comparison between
average full-time wages and a household’s benefits payments was so toxically
misleading.
Theresa May has buried a great
deal of Mr Osborne’s fiscal legacy since she entered Downing Street, from the
foolish surplus target to his damaging race to the bottom on international
corporation tax rates.
What a pity, then, that she has seen fit to leave
perhaps his most callous, craven and stupid policy of all in place.
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