And I am not only talking about the storms.
Since May, the Conservative share of the vote at Oldham West and Royton has gone down by half.
Half.
There is no reason to assume that that would not apply, at least broadly, in almost every constituency in the North of England, including most of the 44 that the Conservatives already held.
George Osborne would be toast in 2020, while Boris Johnson or Theresa May never did have any appeal beyond the South, and in Johnson's case probably not much appeal outside London.
Since May, the Conservative share of the vote at Oldham West and Royton has gone down by half.
Half.
There is no reason to assume that that would not apply, at least broadly, in almost every constituency in the North of England, including most of the 44 that the Conservatives already held.
George Osborne would be toast in 2020, while Boris Johnson or Theresa May never did have any appeal beyond the South, and in Johnson's case probably not much appeal outside London.
I was surprised Hitchens didn't pick up on this, the Northern Tory voted halved in seven months. So much for Osborne.
ReplyDeleteI'd still bet on him as Prime Minister on the day of the 2020 Election. But not a day later.
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